Do you think the Switch 2 will reach the success of the Switch?

Is the Switch 2 going to sell as much as the Switch?

  • Yes

  • No

Results are only viewable after voting.
We've seen similar numbers with PS4 to PS5 adoption. If Nintendo doesn't screw it up, no reason why there won't be similar numbers. As those players age, I can see there being competition from Steam Deck/PSP/Xbox mini once they release. But those are years away.
 
I went with no on my poll. The reasons I think it might not even be half the success of the Switch :

In the last 2 decades, Nintendo found success in "gimmicks". Motion control, second screen, 3D, etc. They were able to capture a crowd that does not buy video games, normally. I was working for 6 years in a video games store from 2002 to 2008. I saw the crowd of old people buying DS for Brain Training. Kids wanting it for Nintendogs, parents buying a Wii "to get the kids moving". That was huge interest, but always temporary interest.

Then the Wii U happened. People think the main reason Wii U didn't sell well was the name. I disagree, I think that it didn't sell well mainly because people didn't understand how different it was from the Wii. It used the same motion controllers, similar form factor, etc. HD graphics wasn't enough. And it's not because Wii U didn't have good games. It had the usual slew of Nintendo games (that became huge successes when re-released on Switch.)

From the leaks we had so far, Switch 2 seems to be a more powerful Switch, something the majority of the Nintendo buyers clearly don't care about. As a lot of the Switch buyers are parents... I think a lot will scratch their heads at why they should something similar to what their kids already have.

Also, a lot of young people now play on mobile, so it might affect it.

I don't think it will fail per se, but I think it will be far less successful than the Switch.
 
Will it be successful, sure.

Will it sell as much as Switch? I don't think it will.

Historically I feel it's hard to follow up with that type of success, because there were so many variables at that time that allowed for it to be so successful that may no longer be the case.

What those are I can't definitively say, but speaking more broadly in terms of repeating what was previously accomplished can proved to be more difficult.
 
Last edited:
MikeM said:
We've seen similar numbers with PS4 to PS5 adoption. If Nintendo doesn't screw it up, no reason why there won't be similar numbers. As those players age, I can see there being competition from Steam Deck/PSP/Xbox mini once they release. But those are years away.
Click to expand...
Before Steam Deck, for any game that was available on both Steam and Switch, it was always a question whether the portability was worth more than playing on PC with much better performance, mods, and probably for a cheaper price.

After I got a Steam Deck a year and a half ago, I literally haven't bought a single 3rd party game for Switch.

There's no doubt in my mind that some subset of gamers won't feel the need for Switch 2 because they have another portable. And another subset who owns both, but buys fewer games on Switch 2 because portability is no longer a unique advantage.
 
Definitely not, from all the rumours it's too similar to the switch 1 and there is loads of as good and much better handheld gaming devices in the market now.

The games will always make it sell millions but I don't think it will reach 100 mil.

Also leaving it so long to even announce it, by the time it starts to make some noise people will be more hyped about ps6 or next gen whatever it is imo.
 
I think it will be quite successful as long as they stick to unique gameplay and not push the whole "it can now play 3rd party properly at a staggering 1080p" shtick.
 
absolutely not no.

it will probably be a decent success, but the novelty has worn out by now, so now it's just a better version.
 
I'm surprised so many think there's legit competition. Isn't the Steam Deck like the most popular non-Switch handheld and it's sold like what 4-5m units so far? Even the Vita was selling faster.

Hellraizah said:
From the leaks we had so far, Switch 2 seems to be a more powerful Switch, something the majority of the Nintendo buyers clearly don't care about. As a lot of the Switch buyers are parents... I think a lot will scratch their heads at why they should something similar to what their kids already have.
Click to expand...
You could say the same about the other consoles. If anything there's less reason to upgrade those since you know Nintendo isn't going to waste time pushing people to the new console and not spend years durdling with cross gen games.

Games like Pokemon, Zelda, Smash, Animal Crossing, and Mario sell 20+ million each and are system sellers. We're also long overdue for a new Mario Kart as well. People will buy the new console because that's where the games are.
 
Sintoid said:
Cause it was different from Wii

This will not be the same difference and it will make an "You already have one" effect that new software will ease only partly
Click to expand...
They will only "already have one" if the games they play are still being released on Switch. Once almost all games are Switch 2 only, then they'll need to upgrade.
 
If no, they will buy Sony

Season 2 Lol GIF by Insecure on HBO
 
Last edited:
DonkeyPunchJr said:
Before Steam Deck, for any game that was available on both Steam and Switch, it was always a question whether the portability was worth more than playing on PC with much better performance, mods, and probably for a cheaper price.

After I got a Steam Deck a year and a half ago, I literally haven't bought a single 3rd party game for Switch.

There's no doubt in my mind that some subset of gamers won't feel the need for Switch 2 because they have another portable. And another subset who owns both, but buys fewer games on Switch 2 because portability is no longer a unique advantage.
Click to expand...
The fuck is this Steam Deck shit? You realize Switch 2 is going to outsell the Deck's LTD in pre-orders, right? It's not even a blip to Nintendo.
 
The original Switch got the boost from the pandemic and also the form factor was more unique at the time.
Now the pandemic is over and you've got all these PC handhelds like the Steam Deck or ROG Ally.
I vote no.
 
Rawbutt Jellybean said:
I'm surprised so many think there's legit competition. Isn't the Steam Deck like the most popular non-Switch handheld and it's sold like what 4-5m units so far? Even the Vita was selling faster.
Click to expand...
That's true for now, but there are rumors of both Sony and MS working on handheld machines that, if true, are very likely to release during the Switch 2's lifetime. Which is something the current Switch never had to deal with.
 
I voted no.
If it's more of the same I don't see what the value proposition is for the people that bought party games for the switch 1.
On the other hand, the backwards compatibility if present will make it the first Nintendo console I'm interested since GBC.
 
Interfectum said:
The fuck is this Steam Deck shit? You realize Switch 2 is going to outsell the Deck's LTD in pre-orders, right? It's not even a blip to Nintendo.
Click to expand...
Calm your tits dude. Nobody is saying that Steam Deck will beat Switch 2. But it will undeniably take SOME of their market. And portable gaming PCs (and the Steam platform) are growing rapidly while the console market is shrinking slightly.
 
Woopah said:
They will only "already have one" if the games they play are still being released on Switch. Once almost all games are Switch 2 only, then they'll need to upgrade.
Click to expand...

Im not thinking to those who follow the market but the mass of casual buyers, Curios but not followers of gaming. They were Wii fortune and I think they're a solid base in Switch user base

Not to mention that maybe the large installment of Switch could be a problem for same Nintendo, not developing for Switch means a millions of lost sales, maybe a cross gen situation like Sony with PS4/PS5 will be a solution to keep software sales during transition but it will be another obstacle to the transition itself
 
Robb said:
That's true for now, but there are rumors of both Sony and MS working on handheld machines that, if true, are very likely to release during the Switch 2's lifetime. Which is something the current Switch never had to deal with.
Click to expand...
I just think it's an incredibly bad bet to think whatever Sony or MS does will matter when it comes to Nintendo. Nintendo is off on their own with a ton of (true) exclusive franchises that are sales juggernauts. Nothing Sony or MS will put out now will rival the run the PSP had and even with the PSP the DS was the 2nd most selling gaming system of all time.
 
Interfectum said:
The fuck is this Steam Deck shit? You realize Switch 2 is going to outsell the Deck's LTD in pre-orders, right? It's not even a blip to Nintendo.
Click to expand...

It's anecdotal obviously, but I agree with DPJ. Among the people I know, a handful of them bought the switch mainly to play smaller third party games while traveling. All of those people have switched to hand-held PCs like the Deck, Ally, and Legion Go for their travel gaming. Not to mention PlayStation and Xbox are looking to get into that market as well. All that competition is going to have some affect on Switch 2 sales.

I have no doubt that Switch 2 will sell 100+ million units and you're right, the hand-held PC market is a blip on the radar by comparison. But the Switch is likely to come close to 150m units. It's up there with the PS2 and DS. If they lose any amount of players to other platforms, that's going to make it hard for them to surpass the height set by the Switch.
 
First response nailed it. I know people who hadn't purchased a new console in a decade that got a Switch to beat the lockdown blues.

I think it'll sell well, but not as well as the Switch 1 did. Maybe around PS3 numbers?

Switch 1: 146M
PS3: 88M
 
Rawbutt Jellybean said:
I just think it's an incredibly bad bet to think whatever Sony or MS does will matter when it comes to Nintendo. Nintendo is off on their own with a ton of (true) exclusive franchises that are sales juggernauts. Nothing Sony or MS will put out now will rival the run the PSP had and even with the PSP the DS was the 2nd most selling gaming system of all time.
Click to expand...
Maybe. But even so I think a handheld that's pushed by Sony/MS has a lot more potential to grab market share than, say, SteamDeck. Even if they "only" sell between 20-40M LTD, those could be potential customers that might have bought a "Switch 2" instead (depending on how similar these supposed devices are).

It's just one more thing that would make it more difficult to reach 150-160M again.
 
Sintoid said:
Im not thinking to those who follow the market but the mass of casual buyers, Curios but not followers of gaming. They were Wii fortune and I think they're a solid base in Switch user basei
Click to expand...

I'd say that is what Nintendo's marketing is for. The mass of casual buyers will find out that Mario, Pokémon, Animal Crossing, Ring Fit etc. are only on Switch 2, in the same way they learnt about the previous games were only on Switch.

Not to mention that maybe the large installment of Switch could be a problem for same Nintendo, not developing for Switch means a millions of lost sales, maybe a cross gen situation like Sony with PS4/PS5 will be a solution to keep software sales during transition but it will be another obstacle to the transition itself
Click to expand...
I do expect a lot of the smaller titles (remasters, remakes, 2D Kirby etc.) to be cross gen for the first couple of years. But there will also be tentpole releases from first and third parties that will be Switch 2 only.
 
I voted yes. Nintendo's never screwed up a handheld (well at least since the GBA days). They're really the last bastion of true exclusives in gaming since PlayStation is porting things to PC, and everything's an Xbox. I think that counts. Factor in backwards compatibility, the likelihood they're going to get everything on their platform even if it runs like shit. It's certainly possible it doesn't reach Switch numbers, but I think there's a legit chance it does.
 
Naw

It'll sell bonkers just not as good as OG

Switch was in a particular period in time, it was the first good mobile gaming platform hybrid.

Switch 2 will have a ton of competition I feel. Sony / Microsoft / Steam are rumoured to have new handhelds in the work. Not saying they take the #1 crown from Switch, but eat away at certain % for sure.

I'm more interested to continue my steam library to portable for example and Deck 2 is more awaited from me than Switch 2. I know deck will never sell like Nintendo, but again, chip away at those OG switch success.
 
Robb said:
Maybe. But even so I think a handheld that's pushed by Sony/MS has a lot more potential to grab market share than, say, SteamDeck. Even if they "only" sell between 20-40M LTD, those could be potential customers that might have bought a "Switch 2" instead (depending on how similar these supposed devices are).

It's just one more thing that would make it more difficult to reach 150-160M again.
Click to expand...
I'm just not seeing it. DS 2nd best selling system of all time when PSP sold 80 million and no handheld from MS or Sony is going to be anywhere close to as successful as the PSP.

As long as Nintendo is the place to play Nintendo games, they'll be massively successful. Maybe not setting best selling console records in back to back gens but at the very least it'll hit 100 million and likely much more.
 
Last edited:
Rawbutt Jellybean said:
As long as Nintendo is the place to play Nintendo games, they'll be massively successful. Maybe not setting best selling console records in back to back gens but at the very least it'll hit 100 million and likely much more.
Click to expand...
Oh for sure. I'm just viewing it as a potential obstacle to "reach the success of the Switch".

I definitely think they'll be successful either way. I just don't see them getting to +150/160M units sold again.
 
Average shovelware enjoyer won't pay premium prices. My guess is that the original model will still sell like hotcakes if they bother to cut prices a lil bit.
 
The Switch sold so much coming from the disaster of the Wii U. To me I see this like the PS1 sales going to PS2. I think anyone and everyone will buy a Switch 2. If not it will be close. They can't fail on this either way.
 
No, but it'll still be wildly successful.
 
Sybrix said:
Nope.

Switch 2 will offer maybe a 20% increase in performance/graphics over Switch at a 60%+ cost.
Click to expand...
Either you live under a rock or don't understand how modern SoCs work. The Tegra X1 has 256 shader cores, while the T239 has 2048 CUDA cores. In pure technical theory, the chip in Switch 2 could deliver 4 TFLOPS, compared to the Switch 1's 0.4 TFLOPS, or a 10x increase.

In reality, it'll probably be closer to 3-6x, depending on how much it's underclocked (so maybe around 2-3 TFLOPS), especially in handheld mode. But the presumed DLSS will help elevate it even more.

In gaming terms, it's similar to the jump from the 360 to the PS4.
 
Michael Jackson expected Bad to sell twice the copies of Thriller and it didn't. It still sold a shitload though but repeating that kind of success.. Hmm I don't think it's likely.
 
I share the sentiment of many here, it'll be successful, no Wii U bomb but it wont reach Switch 1 numbers. 100 mil tops
 
The Switch, like most of the latest Nintendo consoles, are Zelda, Mario, and Pokemon machines, so by default they'll sell a lot but not offer much outside that (going by their recent history)

3rd party support has been practically dead for the past few generations due to weak hardware and the gimmicks it has (and censorship in some cases). The Switch gets ports like The Witcher 3, that are not good versions, but it seems like developers wanted to see if they could and not should port some of these games.

Unless Nintendo actually evolves past the year 2000, they *could* get WiiU'd again. It's crazy how far behind they are in so many basic aspects / features (apart from greed and being anti-gamer, they are one of the leaders in that).

I personally have no interest in the Switch 2 in terms of owning one, but I am curious what it'll be. I only have a Switch as it was free when I bought a phone a few years back.
Wonder how many sales that accounts for too? (very little im sure, just curious) Nearly every phone brand offered the Switch or one of the Xboxs as a gift.
 
MayauMiao said:
Probably not because many will still stick to Switch 1 which still have plenty of life. Also, Covid probably help with the Switch sales.
Click to expand...
Any source for that claim? The switch is a hybrid a lot of people use for mobile play. During the pandemic, with a lot of people working at home, stationary consoles should have done better.
 
I think they'll pull an xbox and brag about the switch family in general versus the switch 2 as a separate thing.

That and the nintendo curse kinda makes me believe the switch 2 will have a harder start than the current one (lets just hope we dont get a 3ds or wii u launch situation)
 
Last edited:
Stationary consoles have games that do not look that much better than those of the previous generation( with some exceptions, but not many). So a Switch being close in power to a Ps4 or Ps4 Pro,in addition to Ai upscaling, is gonna hugely benefit from that.
 
Last edited:
Hohenheim said:
It will sell shitloads, but i'd be suprised if it reach Switch numbers.
A lot more competition in the handheld space now, and will definitely continue to be.
Quite a few people who was there day 1 with the Switch will probably have moved on to Steam Decks or Rog Allys etc, and might not feel the need a new Nintendo hybrid because of that. Then again.. the power of Nintendo's exclusives is pretty heavy.

I will of course get one for a few of the Nintendo exclusives like Metroid, Mario and Zelda. And I bet many who now actually prefer PC handhelds (like me) will get one on the side because of those titles.
Click to expand...
The nintendo handheld will be cheaper than a Steam Deck or Rog Ally, and will have the benefit of Nintendo exclusives in addition to that. Why by a Rog Ally, when i get the same games on the Nintendo handheld, looking as good and access to Mario, Zelda etc.
 
meech said:
The nintendo handheld will be cheaper than a Steam Deck or Rog Ally, and will have the benefit of Nintendo exclusives in addition to that. Why by a Rog Ally, when i get the same games on the Nintendo handheld, looking as good and access to Mario, Zelda etc.
Click to expand...
Many gamers have a massive existing Steam library. Plus Steam gamers are usually cheaper and they have some insane sales, as well as the Steam store experience being roughly 1,000,000x more pleasant than the Nintendo eshop ghetto. Plenty of reasons why someone might choose a handheld PC over a Switch 2

For me personally I will probably get a Switch 2 on day 1, but will use it almost exclusively for Nintendo first party games.
 
Last edited:
nobody cares about another handhelds cepts for nintendo even ds broked records when PSP came out 150 millions im sorry my friends
 
Last edited:
If you go by the recent Nintendo cycle they tend to have a huge success followed by a big drop off.

Let's see what happens
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

What do you think about Switch Online on Switch 2
12
525
InterMusketeer replied
Will The Nintendo Switch 2 Be A Success?
2 3 4 5 6
295
7K
SiahWester replied
  • Poll
Betting time - will Switch 2 be a success?
Sales-Age  2 3
141
4K
Killjoy-NL replied
  • Poll
Will you be using mouse controls on the Switch 2?
12
348
NotMyProblemAnymoreCunt replied
  • Poll
What Month will the Switch 2 Launch?
2
57
2K
AJUMP23 replied
Top Bottom