BishopLamont
Banned
I second that. General statements don't make for good discussion.apujanata said:Now do a recap, together with the quote from the most prominent / exemplary posts. I know you can do that![]()
I second that. General statements don't make for good discussion.apujanata said:Now do a recap, together with the quote from the most prominent / exemplary posts. I know you can do that![]()
No offense meant at all Joshua (seriously, your data collection and presentation is absolutely wonderful and greatly appreciated), but this is why Rock_Man and myself keep the charts that we keep here (LINK).JoshuaJSlone said:It also makes it appear as if X360 has more games released for it than Wii or PS3, since the lesser-performing PS3/Wii games we just don't see, and thus they don't get put into the database. Even for the PS3/Wii games that are in the database, the lesser-performing ones are more likely to drop off after a week and not receive further updates for a long time if ever, so it makes X360 appear unusually strong in the third-party comparison... well, at least the part you scroll down to see.
Terrell said:If that chart is to be believed... PS3 and PSP sales DECREASED during this peaking week of Japan's holiday shopping season? Hmmmmm.....
But... I'm sorry, I've seen holiday numbers multiple times now. The only time that holiday sales go DOWN is due to shortages. Even consoles with no major mainstream success haven'ttaken a holiday sales dip like that. To quote Keanu Reeves: "... whoa."nextgeneration said:That's because it did.
Hardware - This Week | Last Week
PS3 - 58,167 | 63,720
PSP - 171,804 | 184,610
Terrell said:But... I'm sorry, I've seen holiday numbers multiple times now. The only time that holiday sales go DOWN is due to shortages. Even consoles with no major mainstream success haven'ttaken a holiday sales dip like that. To quote Keanu Reeves: "... whoa."
Terrell said:But... I'm sorry, I've seen holiday numbers multiple times now. The only time that holiday sales go DOWN is due to shortages. Even consoles with no major mainstream success haven'ttaken a holiday sales dip like that. To quote Keanu Reeves: "... whoa."
Those are some really negative stigmas you attached to both PS3 and PSP.TheDrowningMan said:They're niche products compared to Nintendo's, particularly the PS3....And the thing with the PSP is that it's not really seen as a console anywhere, hence the abysmal software sales. It's more of a media device than anything else. So it stands to reason that they wouldn't necessarily follow the same sales patterns as 'proper' gaming consoles.
Dalthien said:No offense meant at all Joshua (seriously, your data collection and presentation is absolutely wonderful and greatly appreciated), but this is why Rock_Man and myself keep the charts that we keep here (LINK).
With the PS3 LTD numbers released Nov 11, and the Wii LTDs released Dec 2 by Media Create, along with the Top 50 X360 LTD just released by Famitsu in addition to the monthly charts, we have fairly complete data available for all 3 systems. By excluding MC data, you eliminate a whole bunch of games from your list, and you leave many games needlessly stuck with outdated data. And there really isn't any reason to exclude either tracker since there is no reason to believe that one tracker is any better than the other. Undoubtedly, MC is more accurate for some titles, and Famitsu for others, but we have no way of knowing which is which.
For example, you have 152 3rd-party titles listed, but by adding in MC data, we have 211 titles tracked, and it is actually even more than that because we don't count the Platinum and Best Price releases as separate titles. The Top 500 chart at the end of the year will help somewhat, but many of the lesser-selling titles will still be left unaccounted for.
Just a suggestion if you want to clear up some of the discrepancies about the missing data for Wii and PS3 that you were worried about.
Not all systems peaked on the same weeks in previous years, either, though it seems more common than not. Differences in buying patterns among different demographics?Terrell said:If that chart is to be believed... PS3 and PSP sales DECREASED during this peaking week of Japan's holiday shopping season? Hmmmmm.....
Yeah. The big thing is just that Famitsu has a lot of regular, hard-to-miss data that I could find going way back. With MC it's generally numbers for the top 10 and ranks for the next 40 that disappear from the web after a week unless they're saved, and additional infrequent LTD updates, but incorporating that and even Dengeki's weekly rankings is on my vague to-do list.Dalthien said:With the PS3 LTD numbers released Nov 11, and the Wii LTDs released Dec 2 by Media Create, along with the Top 50 X360 LTD just released by Famitsu in addition to the monthly charts, we have fairly complete data available for all 3 systems. By excluding MC data, you eliminate a whole bunch of games from your list, and you leave many games needlessly stuck with outdated data. And there really isn't any reason to exclude either tracker since there is no reason to believe that one tracker is any better than the other. Undoubtedly, MC is more accurate for some titles, and Famitsu for others, but we have no way of knowing which is which.
donny2112 said:The PS3 hardware dropping in the historically largest hardware week for the year is bad. You can clothe it in all the "unpredictable market," "who could've predicted" regalia that you want, but it is just plain bad. This forebodes ~12K weeks as early as late January, which is the level it was at before the 40GB, new color, new controller, and Musou 5 launch.
test_account said:My point is that its 1 week, holiday season or not, and it doesnt necessarily show how it will be in the distant future.
donny2112 said:The PS3 hardware dropping in the historically largest hardware week for the year is bad. You can clothe it in all the "unpredictable market," "who could've predicted" regalia that you want, but it is just plain bad. This forebodes ~12K weeks as early as late January, which is the level it was at before the 40GB, new color, new controller, and Musou 5 launch.
donny2112 said:But taken in context, it sure is a good indicator.
donny2112 said:The PS3 hardware dropping in the historically largest hardware week for the year is bad.
Link316 said:its kinda expected, there's practically nothing being release on it until DMC4, Disgaea 3 and then there's another software drought until Yazuka 3
Link316 said:its kinda expected, there's practically nothing being release on it until DMC4, Disgaea 3 and then there's another software drought until Yazuka 3
Stumpokapow said:No, it's not expected. There's nothing on any other platform either, nor has there ever been in week 3 of December in any year ever, and yet virtually every year of virtually every console's lifespan, sales have gone up from December week 2 to December week 3.
Link316 said:well I was expecting it
Link316 said:well I was expecting it
Stumpokapow said:So if you expected a lack of major releases to cause hardware sales to decline this week, you must be amazed at the fact that the DS and Wii are way up, right?
I was expecting your expectation, and thusly prepared a counter expectation which I bet you weren't expecting.Threi said:I expected that you would expect that PS3 Hardware sales in Japan are bad.
Link316 said:well I was expecting it
Stumpokapow said:So if you expected a lack of major releases to cause hardware sales to decline this week, you must be amazed at the fact that the DS and Wii are way up, right?
Stumpokapow said:No, it's not expected. There's nothing on any other platform either, nor has there ever been in week 3 of December in any year ever, and yet virtually every year of virtually every console's lifespan, sales have gone up from December week 2 to December week 3.
Link316 said:like I said I was expecting it,
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?p=9002167#post9002167
2 years in a row is hardly a trend.donny2112 said:So what you're saying is that you have no grasp of the historical trends in the Japanese market. Fair enough.
If two years is not a trend, when is it? 3?Sage00 said:2 years in a row is hardly a trend.
moku said:If two years is not a trend, when is it? 3?
C'mon now.
donny2112 said:So what you're saying is that you have no grasp of the historical trends in the Japanese market. Fair enough.
Another stealthy "wait for xxx" post? :lolLink316 said:and yet PS3 sales went down while you were expecting them to go up based on "historical trends", so does that mean you have no grasp of the Japanese market? I'm just saying you still need games to sell a system, the PS3's library is kinda lacking right now, the fact that PS3 sales went against the "historical trend" pretty much backs that up
So this makes me think; PS3 and Wii are around long enough to have some yearly self-comparisons. I'll set up these charts for the next few years, so they won't need to be edited any time soon. Well, unless I modify the location of the files or syntax...nextgeneration said:What's even worse is that PS3 is trending below last year, in the same time frame (minus launch week). I'm curious to see if PS3 can recover in 2008, or at least improve upon from 2007, at the very least.
:lolizakq said:Link316, the Bill Kristol of video games.
Arde5643 said:Another stealthy "wait for xxx" post? :lol
Sage00 said:2 years in a row is hardly a trend.
donny2112 said:Famitsu
In 1998, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 1999, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2000, the period before Christmas is obscured by a two-week chart.
In 2001, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2002, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2003, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2004, every system selling above 10K, except for the PSP, went up in the period before Christmas. The PSP was in the midst of shortages.
In 2005, every system selling above 10K, except for the 360, went up in the period before Christmas. The 360 had launched the previous week.
In 2006, the period before Christmas is obscured by a two-week chart.
Media-Create
In 2002, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2003, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2004, every system selling above 10K, except for the PSP, went up in the period before Christmas. The PSP was in the midst of shortages.
In 2005, every system selling above 10K, except for the 360, went up in the period before Christmas. The 360 had launched the previous week.
In 2006, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
Whether it's also the largest week of the year is obscured by Famitsu combining weeks into a two-week period, but it is very often the largest week of the year for most platforms. The fact it went down without having just launched or being in shortage is bad and not something anyone who had looked at historical trends would have initially expected.
Well.. then.. :loldonny2112 said:[Spiralling statistical data destroying any argument I may have had]
moku said:Why do people argue with Donny? It's like, well, its not going to get you anywhere when he has the data, and you have your anus.
izakq said:Link316, the Bill Kristol of video games.
nextgeneration said:Maybe things will turn around in 2008 for ps3.
donny2112 said:The PS3 hardware dropping in the historically largest hardware week for the year is bad.
donny2112 said:Famitsu
In 1998, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 1999, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2000, the period before Christmas is obscured by a two-week chart.
In 2001, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2002, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2003, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2004, every system selling above 10K, except for the PSP, went up in the period before Christmas. The PSP was in the midst of shortages.
In 2005, every system selling above 10K, except for the 360, went up in the period before Christmas. The 360 had launched the previous week.
In 2006, the period before Christmas is obscured by a two-week chart.
Media-Create
In 2002, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2003, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
In 2004, every system selling above 10K, except for the PSP, went up in the period before Christmas. The PSP was in the midst of shortages.
In 2005, every system selling above 10K, except for the 360, went up in the period before Christmas. The 360 had launched the previous week.
In 2006, every system selling above 10K went up in the period before Christmas.
Whether it's also the largest week of the year is obscured by Famitsu combining weeks into a two-week period, but it is very often the largest week of the year for most platforms. The fact it went down without having just launched or being in shortage is bad and not something anyone who had looked at historical trends would have initially expected.
Edit:
It's worth pointing out that the PSP is also down this week, and that's probably due to it spiking last week with the launch of the Red PSP Slim.
Xeke said:You're expecting it to be the biggest failure in history?
test_account said:What happend to Jaguar, 3do, CD-i etc.?PS3 will never be the biggest failure in history.
apujanata said:But Link316's anus is much more entertaining than Donny's data.