Still way too early to tell anything from these numbers
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Still way too early to tell anything from these numbers
So, 150k ltd... damn. Pretty sure it's already outsold the Happy Price Selection version, especially since that version was released the same year.
It's amusing a game from 2012 is still making frequent comebacks in the Top 20 like that (though obviously, the general drop in sales for the JP market only accentuate the sales of leggy titles like that one).
darkstar0155
Member
While its not set in stone, I think its very reasonable to assume at this point that it is easily going to surpass the Wii U, possibly in its first full year (march to march) once MK8, Spaltoon 2, and Mario Odyssey are all on the system. Especially if a MHXX port is on the one, and a possible pokemon.
I didn't know. I am astonished.
Dark Cloud
Member
Actually it's pretty easy to tell. It's by far a better product and more appealing than the Wii U. It's easier to understand than the Wii U. And the first 9 months of Switch consists of multiple system seller games and blows the Wii U's first 9 months out of the water.
Also, the Wii U launched in the holidays, while this launched in March.
ZSaberLink
Media Create Maven
Peléo;232976738 said:
You're leaving out all the portable titles though. OOT 3D sold 600K, MM3D & ALBW sold over 400K. Phantom Hourglass was close to 1M, and Spirit Tracks was like 700K.
BoTW will probably outsell Skyward Sword in a week. It'll be interesting to see whether it can pass TP.
The WiiU is a bad example the console has sold just over 3m, surpassing it alone won't be enough for the Switch to be considered a success.
FalsettoVibe
Member
Not bad. Now show me a good E3 and I will buy, Nintendo.
darkstar0155
Member
TP and MM I think are easily going to be beat at this point. Its already over 400K when you factor digital (I find it hard to believe digital is under 20K)
thestopsign
Member
Outselling the Wii U LTD in one year would be great. Outselling the Wii U's launch period, say, first two months, would be phenomenal considering it launched in the holiday season and the Switch did not and is supply constrained.
Famitsu data is out, and MHXX is at 255k. So I guess it's not just MC adjusting their data this week.
Famitsu: 1 270 332 units LTD.
https://www.famitsu.com/biz/ranking/
Famitsu: 1 270 332 units LTD.
https://www.famitsu.com/biz/ranking/
The Switch is still sold out around the globe, the WiiU was readily available almost everywhere within its first month AND the WiiU was launched in the Holiday Season...
Nintendo also shipped a lot more WiiUs in hopes it would do as well as the Wii for launch, they shipped less Switch because of the failure the WiiU was. So comparing the initial sales is not really a possibility. I guess we can get our Nintendoomed memes ready if the Switch isn't instantly selling what Nintendo ships anymore. -And if the Switch hasn't outsold the WiiU by April 1st 2018. If you ask me, I guess the Switch will reach 15 milion units by that time, the WiiU won't.
I don't think the Switch can do as well as the Wii, while it's a possibility of course, I guess it will sell along the lines of the 3DS eventually.
Nintendo also shipped a lot more WiiUs in hopes it would do as well as the Wii for launch, they shipped less Switch because of the failure the WiiU was. So comparing the initial sales is not really a possibility. I guess we can get our Nintendoomed memes ready if the Switch isn't instantly selling what Nintendo ships anymore. -And if the Switch hasn't outsold the WiiU by April 1st 2018. If you ask me, I guess the Switch will reach 15 milion units by that time, the WiiU won't.
I don't think the Switch can do as well as the Wii, while it's a possibility of course, I guess it will sell along the lines of the 3DS eventually.
Dark Cloud
Member
The person you quoted said Wii U. So, I'm going off of that. This will sell better than Wii U. Where it goes from there will be seen.
If you're buying a powerful handheld then Switch is probably what most are gonna be picking up now, even if Vita has more software.
darkstar0155
Member
Ah, ok, I was just saying it will easily outsell the Wii U. I still think it should be pretty easy to see it will be a success but how big of one cant really be decided yet.
It was in the Premium Pack from launch until they released the Wind Waker HD bundle (after that they began cycling games). But here, I was just pointing out that they followed the same strategy for both the Wii and Wii U (with only the west getting a game with the launch pack).
test_account
XP-39C²
Its also the successor to the 3DS, and the WiiU. I would expect at least 15million LTD for a system like that. Nintendo also have high expectations for it, expecting 110 million (worldwide).
EDIT: It seems that Nintendo (or Kimishima specifically) said that the Switch had the potential to sell like the Wii, not that this was necessarily their expectation.
Good to see the Switch hold. If it continues to stand its ground before Splatoon 2 drops, it's going to dominate the Japan scene for the days to come.
Btw,
Switch LTD: 519.504
BotW LTD: 302.080
What are these 200k or so people buying the switch so early for??? I know the BotW number doesn't account for digital but that's just too big a gap to expect digital to fill.
Btw,
Switch LTD: 519.504
BotW LTD: 302.080
What are these 200k or so people buying the switch so early for??? I know the BotW number doesn't account for digital but that's just too big a gap to expect digital to fill.
12M isn't a huge milestone to reach if you're going for both the handheld and console market.
In fact 12M should be a mid-low expectation for Switch in Japan, that would be less than half what the 3DS will do in the end.
In what real life scenario will the Switch sell less than the Wii U? Walk us through your thought process.
frankie_baby
Member
Does japan have the joycons snipperclips bundle? Perhaps its that
And more assets. Lots of enemies and level tiles/themes were absent from SMM. Also, I want my frog and hammer bros suits as well!
frankie_baby
Member
I know GAF likes to think switch only has Zelda but look on the charts there are othergames
15m for switch down from 26m+ combined for 3DS and Wii U does not seem so great. Nintendo has massive expectations for this thing.
But I agree. I'm expecting some real low numbers hardware numbers between Kart and Splatoon.
Where is this coming from?
Dark Cloud
Member
It doesn't work like that...There's a good amount of crossover between Wii U and 3DS fans
I also think some people underestimate how Mario Kart 8D is going to help.
??
Any other game.
??
A misunderstanding of something that Kimishima said.
Considering the price (1667 yens) I doubt it, it's just a simple download code.
darkstar0155
Member
What? Splatoon carried the Wii U for months and boosted its hardware pretty good. To think it wouldn't do the same for the Switch is odd to me.
kuroneko0509
Member
bcos download card probably
test_account
XP-39C²
Its less than that, 3DS + WiiU is currently at about 26m. 3DS will probably sell at least 1 million more, so it will be around 27m. Its still a big drop, but i think that is expected.
From Nintendo CEO, Kimishima, himself. I'm not sure if he specifically said 110 million, but he did say that its expected to sell as well as the Wii. I think something similar was said about the WiiU, but still, it shows that expecations arent low.
True, but the WiiU will sell like 3.4 million units. Even if that is an 100% overlap, 3DS alone will do maybe around 24 million. So a 15 million number is still a big drop.
What did he mean to say?
thestopsign
Member
3DS and Wii U combined are closer to 26m in Japan. It also isn't exactly reasonable to expect it to sell the combined number of the systems before it with the overlap of user bases.
There's no such bundle in Japan, actually. And Famitsu clearly indicates it's for download cards. I think it's one of the rare times (along with Pokémon VC) that we've had download cards in the Top 30.
frankie_baby
Member
From what I recall, Kimishima's actual statement was that he thinks it has the potential to reach "Wii-like sales," which then got mistranslated into "expects Wii-like sales," and then taken as Nintendo expects to sell 110 million units.
Like, I remember people going crazy over Serkan Toto's initial tweet about him expecting Wii-like sales before it later came out that it was a slight mistranslation and Kimishima's actual statement was a lot more tame.
Dark Cloud
Member
Damn. That telephone effect.
ZSaberLink
Media Create Maven
Kresnik258
Member
fredrancour
Member
i'm also curious about families with multiple kids and any possibility of buying multiple handhelds. I know it happened in the gbc/gba/ds generations. Did it still happen in the 3ds generation? cause I'd expect the odds of a family double-dipping to be way lower with the switch.
I am also very pleased so far, Japan is the most important market for the Switch to dominate in in my opinion, because that's where all the Japanese devs are coming from and that's where a lot of their games are sold. I don't think the system will get many games from western publishers but that's fine, I have my PC for that.
The Switch has to make it clear to Square Enix, Capcom, Namco, Atlus among others, that it is the system of choice to develop for, ultimately succeeding the 3DS.
True, I was thinking about worldwide numbers though, the Switch will have a hard time to sell more than the Wii on a world wide basis. As for Japan I think it has a good chance at reaching 3DS numbers, perhaps surpassing them by a good amount, we'll see.
frankie_baby
Member
Double dipping switches will happen when the price comes down
And_Gignac
Member
Your expections are not based on the evidence we have now, then. So they are probably going to be very wrong