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[donny2112]

Prediction entries must be in and finalized by 4 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, October 17th. If you want to be sure your entry is counted, use the correct format.

Format:

[360]
[GBA]
[NDS]
[PS2]
[PS3]
[PSP]
[WII]

Examples:

Good              Bad
[PS2] 123K        [PS2] 123.5K
[PS2] 123,000     [PS2] 123.000
[PS2] 123000      [PS2] - 123000
[PS2] 123456      [PS2] one-hundred and twenty-three thousand

Put any software predictions in quote tags or else they may be picked up as hardware predictions. Also, you can put comments on the same line spaced after the number.




NPD Release: October 18th @ 4:00 p.m. EDT (thread posted around 6:30 p.m. EDT)
NPD Coverage: September 2 - October 6 (5 weeks, August was 4 weeks)



August 2007 Results (4-week month) - thanks to sonycowboy and NPD

PlayStation 2 202K
PlayStation 3 130.6K
PlayStation Portable 151.2 K
Xbox 360 276.7K
Wii 403.6 K
Nintendo DS 383.3K
GBA 69.5K

360 MADDEN NFL 08 896.6K
PS2 MADDEN NFL 08 643.6K
360 BIOSHOCK 490.9K
PS3 MADDEN NFL 08 336.2K
WII PLAY W/ REMOTE 256.8K
WII METROID PRIME 3: CORRUPTION 218.1K
WII MARIO STRIKERS: CHARGED 147.4K
PS2 GUITAR HERO 2 W/GUITAR 145.4K
WII MARIO PARTY 8 138.3K
PS2 GUITAR HERO ENCORE: ROCKS THE 80S 127.1K

Potentially significant releases from September 2 - October 6

360 - Stranglehold (9/5), NHL 08 (9/11), Skate (9/13), Halo 3 360 HW (9/16), Eternal Sonata (9/17), Halo 3 (Reg, LE, Leg) (9/25), NBA Live 08 (10/2), PGR4 (10/2)
NDS - MySims (9/18), Namco Museum DS (9/18), Sonic Rush Adventure (9/18), Zelda: PH (10/2), Black/Red DS HW (10/2)
PS2 - NHL 08 (9/11), Singstar (80s/Amped) (9/18), NBA 08 (9/25), NBA Live 08 (10/2)
PS3 - NHL 08 (9/11), Heavenly Sword (9/12), Skate (9/24), NBA Live 08 (10/2)
PSP - PSP Slim Hardware - Daxter (9/5), PSP Slim Hardware (9/5)
WII - MySims (9/18), DDR: Hottest Party (9/25)



Japanese Sales September 3 - October 7 - for comparison

PSP - 578,549
NDS - 388,475
WII - 125,108
PS2 - 61,287
PS3 - 61,008
360 - 10,978
GBA - 2,329

 

[HomShaBom]

360 > WII/DS?

No.

 

[donny2112]

Space reserved for September software prediction guidelines.

It looks like we may get to do some form of official software predictions this month. Details will come later.

Edit:
Official Software Prediction thread is here.

 

[FrankT]

Party time.

 

[frankthurk]

[360] 460k
[GBA] 80k
[NDS] 400k
[PS2] 250k
[PS3] 145k
[PSP] 250k
[WII] 450k

 

[VultureDude]

Space reserved for September software predictions.

It looks like we may get to do some form of official software predictions this month. Details will come later.

just to confirm, but conversation without numbers is not welcome here, correct?

 

[RumFore]

"360 > WII/DS?" Why would you put that in that title? Now its going to a bitch fest for 50 pages.

 

[Odysseus]

let me find my stuff from the last npd thread....



[nds] 500001
[wii] 500k
[psp] 400k
[360] 320k
[ps2] 250k
[ps3] 150k
[gba] 90k


going to have to do some more research on psp

 

[beerbelly]

[360] 475,000
[GBA] 70,000
[NDS] 432,000
[PS2] 205,000
[PS3] 157,000
[PSP] 213,000
[WII] 412,000

 

[rikitikitik]

[360] 395k
[GBA] 85k
[NDS] 480k
[PS2] 210k
[PS3] 160k
[PSP] 270k
[WII] 460k

 

[Maxwell House]

[360] 510k
[GBA] 75k
[NDS] 510k
[PS2] 260k
[PS3] 150k
[PSP] 260k
[WII] 500k

 

[Threi]

[360] 490k
[GBA] 90k
[NDS] 420k
[PS2] 245k
[PS3] 169k
[PSP] 230k
[Wii] 400k

 

[Relix]

[360]750K
[NDS]520K
[WII]480K
[PS2]250k
[PSP]160K
[PS3]130k

 

[Maxwell House]

Remember, this is a 5 week period, vs last month's 4.

 

[devilscallmedad]

[360] 515K
[GBA] 82K
[NDS] 500K
[PS2] 240K
[PS3] 135K
[PSP] 275K
[WII] 450K

 

[legend166]

[360] 440k
[GBA] 47k
[NDS] 500k
[PS2] 270k
[PS3] 125k
[PSP] 280k
[WII] 580k

 

[corez]

[360] 450,000
[GBA] 70,000
[NDS] 430,000
[PS2] 205,000
[PS3] 157,000
[PSP] 213,000
[WII] 425,000

 

[Ydahs]

[360] 380,000
[GBA] 70,000
[NDS] 450,000
[PS2] 210,000
[PS3] 160,000
[PSP] 230,000
[WII] 430,000

 

[duk]

[360] 420k
[GBA] 100k
[NDS] 430k
[PS2] 240k
[PS3] 142k
[PSP] 210k
[WII] 475k

 

[citrus lump]

[360]475k
[GBA] 63k
[NDS]397k
[PS2] 210k
[PS3] 87k
[PSP] 177k
[WII]459k

 

[SIP YEK NOD]

[360]492000
[GBA]66000
[NDS]433000
[PS2]214000
[PS3]156000
[PSP]312000
[WII]493000

 

[Brak]

[360]750K
[NDS]520K
[WII]480K
[PS2]250k
[PSP]160K
[PS3]130k

 

[Guy Legend]

[360] 422k
[GBA] 70k
[NDS] 420k
[PS2] 195k
[PS3] 140k
[PSP] 230k
[WII] 420k

 

[felipeko]

Damn, it's a great gaf month, Bungie, Nintendo, Bioware (ok, thats bad), Capcom next week... i wouldn't even miss NPD if we keep this pace.. but oh well, i love it, lets' do it!

[WII] 481k
[NDS] 423k
[360] 392k
[PSP] 246k
[PS2] 221k
[PS3] 152k
[GBA] 79k

 

[Thunder Monkey]

[WII] 465,000
[NDS] 395,000
[360] 380,000
[PSP] 240,000
[PS2] 220,000
[PS3] 125,000
[GBA] 85,000

I love this time of the month.

 

[Lobster]

[360] 500,000
[GBA] 67,500
[NDS] 390,000
[PS2] 200,000
[PS3] 135,000
[PSP] 160,000
[WII] 405,000

 

[angelfly]

[360] 338,000
[GBA] 34,000
[NDS] 420,000
[PS2] 120,000
[PS3] 160,000
[PSP] 210,000
[WII] 431,000

 

[GhaleonEB]

[360] 435,800
[GBA] 87,500
[NDS] 482,500
[PS2] 242,000
[PS3] 146,900
[PSP] 283,200
[WII] 467,300

This month is going to be a hoot.

 

[Kujo]

[NDS] 420K
[WII] 380K
[360] 340K
[PSP] 320K
[PS2] 230K
[PS3] 150K
[GBA] 80K

 

[Speevy]

360 might outsell the Wii, but not the DS.

 

[donny2112]

just to confirm, but conversation without numbers is not welcome here, correct?

I think conversation on sales without numbers is fine. It's when non-public numbers start being posted that the problems arise.

 

[Linkhero1]

[360] 325,000
[GBA] 85,0000
[NDS] 420,000
[PS2] 205,000
[PS3] 150,000
[PSP] 250,000
[WII] 430,000

 

[Spasm]

[360] 490k
[GBA] 70k
[NDS] 400k
[PS2] 210k
[PS3] 130k
[PSP] 190k
[WII] 390k

 

[Brak]

360 might outsell the Wii, but not the DS.

I dunno, Wii has outsold the DS the past 2 months.

 

[Game-Biz]

[NDS] 410K
[WII] 445K
[PSP] 340K
[360] 950K
[PS3] 145K
[PS2] 250K
[GBA] 70K

 

[RBH]

[360] 375k
[GBA] 90k
[NDS] 470k
[PS2] 230k
[PS3] 155k
[PSP] 300k
[WII] 440k

NPD threads are my favorite part about GAF.

 

[kammy]

[NDS] 400k
[WII] 390k
[360] 350k
[PS2] 210k
[PS3] 200k
[PSP] 190k
[GBA] 80k

 

[Lobster]

360 might outsell the Wii, but not the DS.

? Wii outsells the DS..so shouldn't 360 outsell the DS if it outsells Wii?

 

[AniHawk]

[360] 460,000
[GBA] 80,000
[NDS] 430,000
[PS2] 240,000
[PS3] 150,000
[PSP] 320,000
[WII] 460,000

 

[Loudninja]

If Sony do not drop the price,and add the 40 gig this month, we have to wait all the way to December to see the results ugggggggh.

 

[ShockingAlberto]

360 > Wii or DS? Sure.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

Did these about a week ago, nothing much has happened to change my thoughts significantly thus far.

Wii: Some have said this is the best supply they've had all year. I'll assume this is so, but not by a huge amount over July's high of ~106K/week. So 108K/week * 5 weeks = 540K.

DS: September is usually a handheld increase, but not as much as the 25% of extra time would suggest. Since this August was down from July, I'll say September is a bounce back up to July numbers. 405K.

GBA: As I said above, September is usually slightly up from August... but GBA's continual downslide works against that. A slight decrease at 69K.

PS3: The effect of a price drop on a third place console drops pretty quickly, and to make matters worse for PS3 this month it's still neither Wii nor plays Halo 3. Down from ~33K/week to 27K/week. 27K * 5 = 135K.

PSP: Definitely there will be a reverse of the downward trend now that the Slim is released... but it doesn't seem to have been nearly as big a deal here as in Japan, without a Crisis Core. *shrug* I'll say double last month's weekly rate, so 151.2K / 4 * 2 * 5 = 378K.

PS2: As newer systems shine, PS2 continues to fall. 47K/week * 5 weeks = 235K.

X360: On the one hand things dip after a price cut... on the other hand Halo 3. I'll say that for the first three weeks sales were down 20% relative to last month, then doubled from that in the last two weeks. So .8x3 + 1.6x2 = 5.6 August weeks worth of sales. 276.7K / 4 * 5.6 = 387K

GCN: Just in case. 7K, about 1K down each month since we last saw it.



[Wii] 540K
[DS] 405K
[360] 387K
[PSP] 378K
[PS2] 235K
[PS3] 135K
[GBA] 69K
[GCN] 7K

 

[andy_lhc]

[Wii] 450k
[NDS] 420k
[360] 410k
[PSP] 330k
[PS2] 220k
[PS3] 190k
[GBA] 70k

 

[duderon]

[360] 470k
[Wii] 450k
[DS] 440k
[PSP] 345k
[PS2] 215k
[PS3] 130k
[GBA] 70k

 

[Agent Icebeezy]

[WII] 480k
[360] 410k
[NDS] 450k
[PS2] 170k
[PSP] 190k
[PS3] 130k
[GBA] 67k

 

[2600]

[360] 438k
[GBA] 85k
[NDS] 405k
[PS2] 229k
[PS3] 144k
[PSP] 269k
[WII] 429k

 

[MaX_PL]

xbox 360 is over 400k, maybe over 500k.

 

[rakka]

[360] 400k
[GBA] 50k
[NDS] 410k
[PS2] 240k
[PS3] 150k
[PSP] 320k
[WII] 500k

 

[Christine]

[Wii] 550,000
[360] 409,000
[DS] 460,000
[PSP] 300,000
[PS2] 210,000
[PS3] 120,000
[GBA] 65,000

 

[I AM JOHN!]

Y halo thar, Predition Thread. Long time listener first time caller here.

[DS] 470K
[Wii] 415K
[360] 410K
[PS2] 230K
[PSP] 204K
[PS3] 130K
[GBA] 70K

360 Halo 3 Fucktons
360 Madden '08 540K
PS2 Madden '08 350K
DS Brain Age 2 308K
Wii Wii Play 255K
PS3 Heavenly Sword 235K
PS3 Madden '08 215K
DS Phantom Hourglass 200K
PS2 Guitar Hero II 180K
360 skate. 150K

There'll be a big drop-off on Bioshock, and Stranglehold will tank. I'm calling it right now.