Still amazed the cap game goes this hard. Yes, let's take Welfare's estimates (which have always been overly bullish for Xbox) over very known & prominent market analyst firms, and the multi-billion dollar publisher with the industry's single-biggest game franchise who used those same sources.
Why do they keep hurting themselves with takes like these? Is it a fetish now?
What we do know is, Xbox Series was at barely over 25 million sold-through at the start of 2024. They moved somewhere between 3.8 - 4.2 million for the entirety of 2024, going with realistic estimates. So at worst they hit 28.8 million (sold-through) by EOY 2024, at
best 29.2 million.
At this moment they are lucky to be within 500K of 30 million. Again, all sold-through. So I'd take Take Two's estimate over Welfare's or a random poster who regularly stans (to ridiculous lengths) for the pictured console.
EDIT: Actually, my Xbox estimates for EOY 2024 might even be too high at the low-end. Turns out SIE announced 65.6 million PS5s at the end of September, and we know they sold 2 million (WW I think) in December 2024 alone, so that'd be at least 67.6. They didn't stop selling systems in October or November either and we can probably assume around a million for each month globally.
So actual realistic LTD for Xbox Series by EOY 2024 could be as low as 25 million...
sold through...by EOY 2024
Personally I'd say 27-28 million (somewhere in-between) if we're being extremely lenient, but there's a big chance it's definitely lower than 27 million (by EOY 2024).