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A new rumour suggests Nintendo is aiming to produce around 7 million units for the launch of Switch 2

Thick Thighs Save Lives

Thick Thighs Save Lives

NeoGAF's Physical Games Advocate Extraordinaire
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Coming fresh from Famiboards (via the GamingLeaksAndRumours subreddit), the same user who took to drawing a sketch last month of what they claimed to be the upcoming console left a coded message suggesting Nintendo has finalised its launch quantity target for the Switch successor.

While the decoded message doesn't give precise numbers, the user indicates that Nintendo is targeting "roughly 2.5 times the volume from March 2017."
Click to expand...

Now, Nintendo reported sales of 2.74 million Switches by the end of March 2017 (it released on 3rd March 2017) and the console was scarce at launch. Using that figure as a guide suggests Nintendo's goal is to ship in the region of 6.85 million units globally in time for launch - whenever that may be.

For comparison's sake, PS4 sold 2.1 million units in its first two weeks on sale, and Sony called PS5 its fastest-selling console after it sold 10 million systems in 249 days (the original Switch took 282 days to reach the same milestone). It's worth remembering that finding a PS5 was a challenge for a very long time - in many markets it was more than a year until you could walk into a store and buy one off the shelf.
Click to expand...

For big consoles, demand typically outstrips supply during the launch period and Nintendo is seeking to remedy that and avoid customers having to resort to scalpers with this enormous (and as yet unconfirmed) figure of ∼7 million. Whether the firm will be able to actually sell all those systems at launch is another question. If there's substance to this rumour, however, it's clear that Nintendo intends to be prepared for what could be the biggest console launch ever.

A launch date for the "Switch successor" is currently unknown, although Nintendo plans to reveal the new system before the end of March 2025. The firm announced last month that the system will be backwards compatible with current Switch software.
Click to expand...

www.nintendolife.com

Latest 'Switch 2' Rumour Suggests Nintendo Is Preparing For An Enormous Launch

Initial shipments could dwarf previous systems
www.nintendolife.com www.nintendolife.com
 
Azelover

Azelover

Titanic was called the Ship of Dreams, and it was. It really was.
If this is true then I'm happy, because it means they are confident in the product.

They produced 3.2 million for the Wii, and that was a holiday launch, because it was so different. It's very difficult when you over produce a console. So, unless It's safe they won't get crazy with manufacturing. Especially Nintendo..
 
Robb

Robb

Gold Member
Azelover said:
They produced 3.2 million for the Wii, and that was a holiday launch, because it was so different. It's very difficult when you over produce a console. So, unless It's safe they won't get crazy with manufacturing. Especially Nintendo
Click to expand...
Do we know the launch production numbers for the WiiU?

Would be interesting to see what they produced coming off of the success of the Wii.
 
Azelover

Azelover

Titanic was called the Ship of Dreams, and it was. It really was.
Robb said:
Do we know the launch production numbers for the WiiU?

Would be interesting to see what they produced coming off of the success of the Wii.
Click to expand...
They shipped 3.06 million Wii Us Q1. I don't know how many were produced but it was definitely not 7 million or anything near it.
 
Robb

Robb

Gold Member
A.Romero said:
What's holding them from announcing it officially!?
Click to expand...
Technically I guess it is announced officially as the “successor to the Nintendo Switch”, we just don’t know anything about it.

I’d guess the holiday season is the reason. They lowered their sales estimate for Switch from 13.5M to 12M recently, and are probably expecting to sell around 5-6M Switch units this holiday. That’ll be hard enough to do without having their next platform interfering.
 
Robb

Robb

Gold Member
Azelover said:
They shipped 3.06 million Wii Us Q1. I don't know how many were produced but it was definitely not 7 million or anything near it.
Click to expand...
Yeah, 7 million sounds like it’d be a huge bump then.. Makes me wonder if this rumor holds any weight.
 
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Haint

Haint

Member
How could it possibly cost less and make more sense to delay a product outside the holiday period, and potentially dramatically over produce it, than to simply create a cross retailer preorder system that limits 1 sale per credit card billing address, no businesses and no P.O. boxes. Scalpers only have so many friends and relatives who'll front a purchase for them, it'd be an inconsequential market and pretty much solve launch window scalping overnight.
 
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XXL

XXL

Member
I think they're is some confusion in here.

7M is an insane amount of consoles/handhelds available at launch.
 
justiceiro

justiceiro

Marlboro: Other M
Whatever makes pressure for them to cut the price eventually if they don't move stock fast enough, is welcome.
 
M

Mayar

Member
A highly suspicious figure, to be honest, no of course if they pull it off I'll applaud standing up. But I'm not sure that they'll be technically able to produce that many consoles by launch. If they hits 4 million it will be good. If I remember correctly, all the successful consoles sold 2-2.5 million in the first 2 weeks, so I think 4 million will allow them to cover demand + solve the scalpers problem. If it's less than 2 million, then there will be trouble.
 
Polygonal_Sprite

Polygonal_Sprite

Gold Member
If they launch Switch 2 in March with a new 3D Mario, BotW Definitive Edition and Metroid Prime 4 for launch. Then they have Mario Kart 9 for Summer, Luigi’s Mansion 4 for Autumn and Pokemon Legends 2 for the Holidays then I genuinely think they could outsell Series consoles (30+ million) within a single year if they are able to manufacture that much stock.
 
IDKFA

IDKFA

I am Become Bilbo Baggins
A.Romero said:
What's holding them from announcing it officially!?
Click to expand...

As others have said, they want to squeeze one more good Christmas out of the current Switch.

I would expect the console to be revealed officially very early in 2025. I'm guessing reveal in Feb, then release the thing in April or May. The current Switch has a enough software to last to that point, including Metroid Prime 4, Pokemon Legends and Xenoblade Chronicles X.
 
salva

salva

Member
Cornbread78 said:
How about the just fucking announce & show the fucking thing
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This. I'm in the fence with the Steam Deck atm. I mean it's an absolute long shot and won't happen, but I'm keen to see the official features/specs/library on the Steam 2 first.
 
K

KINGMOKU

Member
Looks like they are going for the biggest launch of all time, by a factor of two.

Produce 7 million, sell 7 million.
 
Minsc

Minsc

Gold Member
I am not sure if those numbers are supposed to sound comforting, but at the moment they have me imaging myself loading up StockX after the launch shortages.

Edit: Also 7 million? Cloud would be proud, Final Fantasy 7 launch title practically confirmed!
 
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PeteBull

PeteBull

Member
Ninny fans are starved af, if suply is there even 20m units on first year wont be a stretch, first 2 to 3 years every unit will sell even at 500usd per :p
 
DaleinCalgary

DaleinCalgary

Member
Most likely a good choice as long as they don't do anything weird with the console and just make it better but not garbage like they do every 2nd console. That many units will need them to carry close to 3 billion in inventory costs (@ 7 million) plus interest if they aren't going to just use cash while stockpiling. Anyone know if they have 3 billion in cash to do this??
 
alf717

alf717

Member
The current Switch launched world wide with only 2 million units right? If they are aiming for 7 million I hope its even easier to get.
 
A

alphachino

Member
I'm planning on buying 3.

One for me, one for the wife, and another to keep sealed on 1.0 software.

Last 3 months, I've been playing nothing but my Switch Lite, It's the GOAT handheld, and it's not even close. My Steam Deck OLED is gathering dust.
 
L

Luc2010

Member
Yes, I might get 2. I don't expect Nintendo's plan will work very well. I bet when they announce Switch 2. You will be able to purchase right afterwards. It will not be a pre-order.
 
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