ziran said:
i'm sure nintendo could ship 3 million a month, maybe 4, if they could produce them.
They probably could... for now. But keep that up and you're looking at 36-48 million a year. That is maybe not sustainable. I think they'd rather keep a smooth level of supply, increase it but not enough to fully meet demand. That way they can continue that momentum into next year. The way it's going shortages could last into next summer, and with the western launches of Pokemon we could conceivable see shortages all the way 2009. Let alone what could happen with a drop to $99 or some more new blockbusters appearing.
The way it's going it looks like a 200K a week average is very possible which would get them to 13.5M by December. Then it depends what kind of stocks they can get, but honestly, if they don't beat the 2M they got last year then there was a ****up somewhere along the line. I mean it's not like they didn't predict 10M being sold not too late in the year.
Also, Tamagotchi 2 is racing along. The first one managed 400K by December and just under 800K by January. Part 2 looks like it could be well over 500K by the end of August and possibly over 1M by December. Then anything can happen. FFIII will probably do well, over a million and I think it has a shot at 2 million if it can draw in some of the new gamers the DS has attracted.