Road said:Dark Void forecast revision history:
2 million -> 1.3 million -> 600k.
Yeah, good idea to come back to earth with that one.
Road said:Dark Void forecast revision history:
2 million -> 1.3 million -> 600k.
Heh, Lost Planet 2 went from 3.7 million forecast to ---:lolSpiegel said:Thanks to Capcom's new revised forecast we know they expected Monster Hunter Tri to sell 1,5 million in Japan.
http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/data/pdf/e20091222.pdf
Page 7 - MH3 *overseas (500k)
markatisu said:Well that is more believable to split 500k between the US and EU
Even shit games can sell 100-200k on Wii in those regions
Why should Nintendo reach an agreement that may eat into the sales of their evergreen titles?Spiegel said:If they make the online portion free, they will easily meet that target.
But the forecast is pretty low for a game that is supposedly going to get Pokemon-like advertising from Nintendo.
Maybe Capcom and Nintendo didn't reach an agreement?
dolemite said:Why should Nintendo reach an agreement that may eat into the sales of their evergreen titles?
dolemite said:Why should Nintendo reach an agreement that may eat into the sales of their evergreen titles?
Spiegel said:If they make the online portion free, they will easily meet that target.
But the forecast is pretty low for a game that is supposedly going to get Pokemon-like advertising from Nintendo.
Maybe Capcom and Nintendo didn't reach an agreement?
Spiegel said:Thanks to Capcom's new revised forecast we know they expected Monster Hunter Tri to sell 1,5 million in Japan.
http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/data/pdf/e20091222.pdf
Page 7 - MH3 *overseas (500k)
onken said:Come on you know full well you don't send 3 months worth of shipment out at launch for a game with this pedigree. A 1.1m first shipment says to me "we expect this game to sell 1.5m+"
I wonder if this will affect the next console Monster Hunter game, if that game will be exclusive to the Wii like MH3 is or if they will go multiplatform. I am sure that Capcom didnt lose any money on MH3, but seeing the 1.5 million expectation from Capcom seems to me that they was hoping for more sales. Maybe if Capcom goes multiplatform with the next console MH game, that this game will have a bigger chance to mean Capcom's sales expectations? But i also consider about 1 million copies of MH3 as a relative success as you say, i agreeschuelma said:Ahh the mystery is solved. I'm struggling for the exact wording since I still think a 1.1M shipment and >1m LTD is a relative success, but I think its safe to say its a minor(?) letdown for Capcom.
That is a good point, about how many copies that are shipped. I wonder how many big titled games that does get a first shipment that is as big as the publisher's/developer's sales expectations. For example FFXIII shipped 1.8 million copies, but Square-Enix seems to hope that FFXIII sells 2 million copies.onken said:It's nice to be right about something (for once).
The latest numbers that i can find for Lost Planet 1 is from June 29, 2007. Then Lost Planet 1 had sold 1.37 million units worldwide.kswiston said:That 3.7M prediction for Lost Planet 2 was craziness. Did the original even hit 2M shipped worldwide?
Capcom seem to have been over exuberant with a lot of their expectations up until recently, so MH3 hitting the 66% mark is probably one of the better titles for performance vs expectation.test_account said:I wonder if this will affect the next console Monster Hunter game, if that game will be exclusive to the Wii like MH3 is or if they will go multiplatform. I am sure that Capcom didnt lose any money on MH3, but seeing the 1.5 million expectation from Capcom seems to me that they was hoping for more sales. Maybe if Capcom goes multiplatform with the next console MH game, that this game will have a bigger chance to mean Capcom's sales expectations? But i also consider about 1 million copies of MH3 as a relative success as you say, i agree![]()
I don't think NSMBW sales will plummet after the end of holidays but slowly decline, like Wii Fit. In the case it follows the ''soft'' decline of NSMB we are looking at a 5+ million LTD.kswiston said:I still think that 5M will be tough. At some point, the Wii's fairly low install base will limit sales. 4M seems like a good bet though. The game will be at 2.5-2.75M by the end of the holidays. Sales will plummet afterwards, but if it continues to sell strongly, it could hit 4M by the end of 2010.
test_account said:I wonder if this will affect the next console Monster Hunter game, if that game will be exclusive to the Wii like MH3 is or if they will go multiplatform. I am sure that Capcom didnt lose any money on MH3, but seeing the 1.5 million expectation from Capcom seems to me that they was hoping for more sales. Maybe if Capcom goes multiplatform with the next console MH game, that this game will have a bigger chance to mean Capcom's sales expectations? But i also consider about 1 million copies of MH3 as a relative success as you say, i agree![]()
Lost Planet actually sold 2.7 million: http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/business/salesdata.htmltest_account said:The latest numbers that i can find for Lost Planet 1 is from June 29, 2007. Then Lost Planet 1 had sold 1.37 million units worldwide.
http://www.gamasutra.com/php-bin/news_index.php?story=14520
At this date, Lost Planet 1 was about 5-6 months old. The PC and PS3 version was released after that these numbers were given out i think. I dont know how much the PC and the PS3 version sold, but i am under the impression that they didnt sell a lot at least. I guess that maybe Lost Planet might have gotten somewhere close to 2 million copies shipped worldwide by now, but i dont think that it much over 2 million copies at least if this is the case, if i should guess.
Spiegel said:Thanks to Capcom's new revised forecast we know they expected Monster Hunter Tri to sell 1,5 million in Japan.
http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/data/pdf/e20091222.pdf
Page 7 - MH3 *overseas (500k)
I think you are correct.swerve said:It looks to me like it's saying they were expecting to sell 500,000 overseas before March 31st but now they aren't because they've changed the release date.
I love Zelda, like Pokémon and no way will I buy Monster Hunter 3, to me it's one of the worst game concepts that doesn't involve shooting around. I think you are a bit exaggerating here.thefro said:Considering how many people are interested in MH Tri amongst the Nintendo fanbase, I'd expect it to sell pretty well overseas.
Wouldn't be surprised if it sells better in the US & EU than in Japan.
If it is advertised the right way everyone who is interested in Zelda & Pokemon will want to play it.
Ye, that is true. Compared to for example their Bionic Commando expectations, their Monster Hunter 3 expectations seems to have matched closer to how Moster Hunter 3 actually sold. How much has the new Bionic Commando game sold worldwide by now by the way, less than 1 million copies?poppabk said:Capcom seem to have been over exuberant with a lot of their expectations up until recently, so MH3 hitting the 66% mark is probably one of the better titles for performance vs expectation.
Ye, as for development costs, going the Wii/PSP route is probably the best way to go indeed as you say, so who knows if we will ever see a Monster Hunter game for the PS3. I have been wondering how a PS3 Monster Hunter game would sell if it has the possibility to do some good interaction with a PSP Monster Hunter game thoughmarkatisu said:Well I suppose they could up-port the next one to the PS3 to garner additional sales, but the Wii-->PSP route seems to be the most financially sound at least for the next version. Not sure how many more copies you would sell splintering it between the PS3 and Wii though, I do not think its a situation like the Tales series saw where there is a quite large MH fanbase in waiting sitting on the Sony side of things waiting for MH
As has been mentioned though, this last quarter it seemed Capcom took a page out of Namco's book and overestimated some of their franchises which is why we have the downward revisions.
I can almost promise you Capcom did not lose any money solely due to the revenue earned from online (there is an interview somewhere that essentially says that)
Ah, that is more than i would have guessed. Thanks for the info!Nirolak said:Lost Planet actually sold 2.7 million: http://www.capcom.co.jp/ir/english/business/salesdata.html
test_account said:Ye, that is true. Compared to for example their Bionic Commando expectations, their Monster Hunter 3 expectations seems to have matched closer to how Moster Hunter 3 actually sold. How much has the new Bionic Commando game sold worldwide by now by the way, less than 1 million copies?
Ye, as for development costs, going the Wii/PSP route is probably the best way to go indeed as you say, so who knows if we will ever see a Monster Hunter game for the PS3. I have been wondering how a PS3 Monster Hunter game would sell if it has the possibility to do some good interaction with a PSP Monster Hunter game though![]()
I have no idea how sought after a MH3 game is on the PS3. Wasnt MH3 when it was still a PS3 title in Famitsu's Top 20 list over most wanted games, or do i remember wrong? Maybe this Famitsu list isnt too accurate when it comes to how many people in generall that are interested in a game though. By the way, is there any particular reason(s) why you dont think that a large MH fanbase is sitting on the Sony side and are waiting for a MH game? I dont know myself, but i am just wondering if there is any particular reason(s) for why you dont think so![]()
Spiegel said:Top Ten is up
1. [PS3] FFXIII
2. [Wii] NSMB Wii
3. [NDS] Tomodachi
4. [NDS] Pokemon
5. [Wii] Wii Fit Plus
6. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 2
7. [Wii] Pokemon Wii
8. [NDS] Layton 4
9. [Wii] Wii Sports Resort
10. [PSP] Queens Blade
cvxfreak said:http://www.amazon.co.jp/dp/B002R8KWT2/
PS3 Lightning Bundle back in stock on Amazon JP. Wonder how long it'll last.
slaughterking said:I'm so looking forward to not getting the Famitsu leak today.
Wow, 150k isnt much, at least compared to when Capcom had an expecations of 2 million. Ye, maybe they have sold more copies since the price was slashed as you say. I bought 3-4 copies of Bionic Commando myself after that the price was slashed (i used one of the copies as a trade in at Gamestop, and i will keep the remaining copies for collection purposesmarkatisu said:Much Much Much Much less than 1m :lol It might have moved some copies when the price was slashed but I thought the last WW report we saw it was lucky to pass 150k
I think so toomarkatisu said:Yes and I think that would be a good selling point
Ah, did you mean if Monster Hunter 3 got ported over to the PS3? If yes, i also dont think that a PS3 version of MH3 would sell as much as 300k-500k (unless that there were some pretty good interaction with the PSP Monster Hunter games (or at least with one of the Monster Hunter games on the PSP), i agree. I first thought that you ment that many people on the Sony side wasnt waiting for a new Monster Hunter game, that is why i was wondering why you didnt think that many people on the Sony side didnt want a PS3 Monster Hunter gamemarkatisu said:Because I just don't see it, there is not any one reason but given the fact MHG Wii sold on par with the PS2 editions and MH3 Tri will have an LTD of just over 1m while the portable series stays in the 2-4m range shows me that a console audience for the game regardless of platform is only so big.
I just do not see an additional 300-500k just waiting around with a PS3 thinking "you know if MH came to this system we would really go out and buy it"
I will preface that by saying if a PS3 version ever came and it did have substantial benefits for PSP owners, then that would change how I see things. The PSP owners are the great variable, if they have a reason to adopt the console version then you raise potential sales. For MH3 as it stands now the only real reason to buy it was the fact it was the next version, but it offers nothing in the way of enhancing or benefiting the PSP versions.
Erm...uh...yeah....no.markatisu said:Much Much Much Much less than 1m :lol It might have moved some copies when the price was slashed but I thought the last WW report we saw it was lucky to pass 150k
gogogow said:Erm...uh...yeah....no.
It sold 550k WW as of July 2009. Check Capcom's first quarter (April - July) earnings statement.
RE5 - 600k (5m LTD WW)
MHFU - 600k - (incl. Japan) underperformed
BC - 550k - underperformed
Definitely shipped to store. Sell-through is probably optimistically around 120k. Optimistically.schuelma said:Those are shipment reports I think. I don't think it sold anywhere close to 550K.
Then you should provide a link where it mentions how much it actually sold.schuelma said:Those are shipment reports I think. I don't think it sold anywhere close to 550K.
gogogow said:Then you should provide a link where it mentions how much it actually sold.
Because I can't find another source other than the CAPCOM statement where it said how much copies it sold. Cause i'm just going by the earning reports.
Spiegel said:Top Ten is up
1. [PS3] FFXIII (Square Enix)
2. [Wii] NSMB Wii (Nintendo)
3. [NDS] Tomodachi (Nintendo)
4. [NDS] Pokemon (Pokemon)
5. [Wii] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo)
6. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 2 (Level 5)
7. [Wii] Pokemon Wii (Pokemon)
8. [NDS] Layton 4 (Level 5)
9. [Wii] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo)
10. [PSP] Queens Blade (Namco Bandai)
http://www.famitsu.com/game/rank/sokuho/1230762_1796.html
I don't know, you tell me, that's why I ask for a link. I'm not saying the game sold 550k, but like I said, i'm just going by the Capcom earning reports. There must be a source where you guys got the 120k-150k from, right?schuelma said:It sold 26K in the U.S its first month. How much do you think its sold?
gogogow said:I don't know, you tell me, that's why I ask for a link. I'm not saying the game sold 550k, but like I said, i'm just going by the Capcom earning reports. There must be a source where you guys got the 120k-150k from, right?
Spiegel said:Top Ten is up
10. [PSP] Queens Blade (Namco Bandai)
http://www.famitsu.com/game/rank/sokuho/1230762_1796.html
Much like how you're not allowed to watch Bill Gates punch in his PIN, there are some reports that can't be shared. You can get the JP numbers by checking Media Create/Famitsu archives, the US first month numbers you can check in the appropriate NPD thread, and the rest, well, you're just going to have to have faith that I don't have a vested interest in making Bionic Commando look bad. I actually enjoyed the game.gogogow said:I don't know, you tell me, that's why I ask for a link. I'm not saying the game sold 550k, but like I said, i'm just going by the Capcom earning reports. There must be a source where you guys got the 120k-150k from, right?
schuelma said:It sold 26K in the U.S its first month. How much do you think its sold?
Well yeah, if you are only looking at the US and first month. No one said anything about selling out the shipment. We just want to know how much it sold.schuelma said:I have no clue where he got that number from. I'm just using some common sense. If a game on the HD twins sells about 25K in its first month in its biggest market, that odds are pretty good it hasn't gotten close to selling out the shipment.
Fair enough.Segata Sanshiro said:To be perfectly transparent, I'm estimating Euro numbers. I'm pretty confident about the range I'm pegging for it, though.
Layton is hanging in there because of the movie hype. They are really marketing the hell out of the game and movie. I almost want to go see the movie I've seen the commercial so many times.Jaruru said:good job lvl 5 for Layton & Inazuma, along with the NSMB Wii.
how long will FFXIII stay on the top?
Which Media Create report is this?jesusraz said:So it's roughly:
1. [PS3] FFXIII (Square Enix) ~1.5 mil
2. [Wii] NSMB Wii (Nintendo) ~530,000 | ~1.9 mil total
...from the MC report released the other day.
markatisu said:Much Much Much Much less than 1m :lol It might have moved some copies when the price was slashed but I thought the last WW report we saw it was lucky to pass 150k
Yes and I think that would be a good selling point
Because I just don't see it, there is not any one reason but given the fact MHG Wii sold on par with the PS2 editions and MH3 Tri will have an LTD of just over 1m while the portable series stays in the 2-4m range shows me that a console audience for the game regardless of platform is only so big.
I just do not see an additional 300-500k just waiting around with a PS3 thinking "you know if MH came to this system we would really go out and buy it"
I will preface that by saying if a PS3 version ever came and it did have substantial benefits for PSP owners, then that would change how I see things. The PSP owners are the great variable, if they have a reason to adopt the console version then you raise potential sales. For MH3 as it stands now the only real reason to buy it was the fact it was the next version, but it offers nothing in the way of enhancing or benefiting the PSP versions.