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[Snowden's Secret]

Dear God, you believe.

EDIT: Wait, is that a month or is that a week?

I took Chris's predictions:

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 765.432
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 987.654
[3DS] Demon Training - 123.456

And increased them a tad (someone has to have the highest, right?). I'm confused as to what the window of prediction is however, I thought it was first week but someone else mentioned that it's a month?

 

[Lord_Byron28]

I took Chris's predictions:

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 765.432
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 987.654
[3DS] Demon Training - 123.456

And increased them a tad (someone has to have the highest, right?). I'm confused as to what the window of prediction is however, I thought it was first week but someone else mentioned that it's a month?

Reread Road's post its 4 weeks, july 30th to august 26th. Which means you'll be missing the first 2 or 3 days of sale from nsmb2 and demon training, if I'm not mistaken.

 

[Snowden's Secret]

Reread Road's post its 4 weeks, july 30th to august 26th. Which means you'll be missing the first 2 or 3 days of sale from nsmb2 and demon training, if I'm not mistaken.

You're right, I was also partially basing my numbers on Pokemon B/W but just realized they sold for twice as long, so I am probably high. I'll stick with it for poops and giggles though, and maybe I (Nintendo?) will get lucky.

 

[schuelma]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 525,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,100,000
[3DS] Demon Training -250,000

 

[Salvadora]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 550,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,000,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 200,000

 

[Road]

For the new page:

Prediction League August, 2012

Predict how much these titles will sell in the 4 weeks (from July 30th to August 26th):

[WII] Dragon Quest X -
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 -
[3DS] Demon Training -

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Special attention to NSMB2 and DT: the period does not include their "first week", it's only how much they'll sell in the next month, not the LTD.

Deadline: August, 1st 09:00 am (EDT)

Rules: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=40358460&postcount=359

 

[Currygan]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 708.000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1.060.000
[3DS] Demon Training - 419.000

 

[Linkhero1]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 550,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,150,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 220,000

 

[BY2K]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 500,000
[3DS]New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,000,000
[3DS]Demon Training - 250,000

 

[terrisus]

First post in one of these threads, which feels really weird after having lurked them for years. But, hey, may as well get into the prediction thing.

The main thing that's really throwing me off is how much of the launch in this particular set of predictions, it's hard to put down exactly for "the month after launch, but not necessarily including launch." I'll probably be way off, but, here's a shot

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 650,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 950,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 160,000

 

[Takao]

A game on PSP that exceeds retailers' expectations is the exception not the rule lately. You can't blame them or BN this time when they usually stay with unsold stock.

Well the first day numbers were rather large. I would've assumed Namco Bandai could've got another batch ready to ship. UMDs do not take the time to press as cartridges do.

 

[metalslimer]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 475k
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 -1,050,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 140k


2 games that could probably go anyway and one huge game. Won't be this good again until December

 

[lunchwithyuzo]

If Famitsu doesn't include card sales, I'm probably f-ed. Man, so many variables this time around. :3

 

[metalslimer]

If Famitsu doesn't include card sales, I'm probably f-ed. Man, so many variables this time around. :3

The only prediction I see as way too high is Demon Training. That's one that seems like it skew way higher towards digital downloads.

 

[Taurus]

Oh wow, next numbers are going to be total Nintendomination!

 

[Mpl90]

The biggest curiosity is for Oni Training, by far.

 

[Salvadora]

The biggest curiosity is for Oni Training, by far.

I really haven't a clue about that one.

 

[Spieler Eins]

So, will the cards for NSMB2 and Brain Training be counted by Media Create?
Also, DQX already comes out and alongside these games? wtf...

 

[donny2112]

So, will the cards for NSMB2 and Brain Training be counted by Media Create?

There is no official word on the matter. That said, they include software bundled with hardware in the software totals, so I'd imagine that they'd include the download cards with the software totals, too.

 

[Forever]

Ouch, we seem to have lost Takao at a most inauspicious time.

 

[Hero of Legend]

Ouch, we seem to have lost Takao at a most inauspicious time.

WOW, what happened this time?

 

[lunchwithyuzo]

Ouch, we seem to have lost Takao at a most inauspicious time.

I feel incomplete.

 

[metalslimer]

Potentially this?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=40385460&postcount=57

Sad times

 

[ohlawd]

I feel incomplete.

 

[Culex]

Out of curiosity, does anyone find my charts useful? I have a spreadsheet, back to 2006 that I can graph, so it will show DS / PSP up to present, but will be HUGE on the X-axis.

 

[ULTROS!]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 400,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,200,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 200,000

 

[Smiles and Cries]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 600,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,100,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 300,000

 

[eighty(one)]

Wii - Dragona Quest X: 590,000

3DS - NSMB 2: 745,000

3DS - DemonTraining/Oni Tore: 210,000

That's my guesstimate :/

 

[The M.O.B]

Potentially this?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=40385460&postcount=57

Sad times

What a stupid thing for him to say, had that one coming.

 

[Drago]

I've never done this before

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 550,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 1,200,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 300,000

 

[rpmurphy]

WOW, what happened this time?

Getting too close to digivolving to Ultimate level again.

 

[Forever]

I feel incomplete.

The universe is out of balance. Who will defend Vita's honor now while lunchwithyuzo has his way with it?

 

[BishopLamont]

Out of curiosity, does anyone find my charts useful? I have a spreadsheet, back to 2006 that I can graph, so it will show DS / PSP up to present, but will be HUGE on the X-axis.

Sure, why not.

 

[Kazerei]

Out of curiosity, does anyone find my charts useful? I have a spreadsheet, back to 2006 that I can graph, so it will show DS / PSP up to present, but will be HUGE on the X-axis.

Can you post a thumbnail in the thread and link to a full-size image?

 

[Nirolak]

The universe is out of balance. Who will defend Vita's honor now while lunchwithyuzo has his way with it?

Spoiler

He won't actually be gone that long.

 

[Boney]

http://www.abload.de/img/[B]creepymiku[/B]7ojwe.png[IMG]

[spoiler]He won't actually be gone that long.[/spoiler][/QUOTE]

[IMG]http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-uqjSWdFuGDY/TzFyhcinXWI/AAAAAAAAPG0/T95UvOCJD8k/s1600/18%2Bhatsune-miku.jpg

 

[You Are Viewtiful]

Out of curiosity, does anyone find my charts useful? I have a spreadsheet, back to 2006 that I can graph, so it will show DS / PSP up to present, but will be HUGE on the X-axis.

Feed us graphs.

 

[muu]

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 350,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 700,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 450,000

 

[zroid]

With Takao's luck, Vita Game Heaven 2 will probably be on Tuesday or something

 

[Gamer @ Heart]

[Wii] Dragon Quest X - 847,000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 630,000
[3DS] Demon Training - 312,000


My first time. Saved myself for a crazy week.

 

[Chris1964]

The universe is out of balance. Who will defend Vita's honor now while lunchwithyuzo has his way with it?

There are far more extreme posters here who have the role to defend Vita's honor.

 

[Taurus]

The universe is out of balance. Who will defend Vita's honor now while lunchwithyuzo has his way with it?

michaelius gets my vote.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=39784752&postcount=294
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=39784892&postcount=299

 

[Chris1964]

There aren't many blogs with reports for Saturday first day sales. The general impression at retail is NSMB2>>>Oni Training with high sellthrough for 3DS LL.

Deadline: August, 1st 09:00 am (EDT)

Maybe the deadline must change to the time Famitsu will give early numbers at Monday or Tuesday. Predictions made after then will have the advantage to know first week sales.

 

[Mpl90]

michaelius gets my vote.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=39784752&postcount=294
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=39784892&postcount=299

Takao is a Nintendo fanboy compared to michaelius. True story. XD

 

[zroid]

michaelius gets my vote.

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=39784752&postcount=294
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=39784892&postcount=299

There was an amazing post in an MC thread a few weeks ago where someone made a case for Vita's sales being effectively better than 3DS'. Don't remember where it is/who it was

 

[Nekki]

There was an amazing post in an MC thread a few weeks ago where someone made a case for Vita's sales being effectively better than 3DS'. Don't remember where it is/who it was

I remember that... he made a calculation with the pricing of each console, lol. It must've been 3 or 4 weeks ago or so.

This one the one you were talking about??

If we're honest and evaluate by revenue, at minimum, the Vita came very close to surpassing the 3DS this week.

34000 x 25000 = 850000000
61000 x 15000 = 915000000

Note this comparison favors the 3DS given the existence of the Vita 3G SKU and Nintendo's historical penchant for bundling and discounts, which is just a euphemism for an underhanded, selfishly single minded way of acquiring sales and undermining the competition. However, I won't declare this an outright victory for Sony as I want to remain strictly factual. But if you note the top 5 (where 90%+ of the software sold each week resides), four of the software titles belong to the Sony ecosystem. If you factor in licensing fees and other unmentionable soft factors, this week was a resounding victory for Sony.

 

[Bruno MB]

Prediction League August, 2012

Predict how much these titles will sell in the 4 weeks (from July 30th to August 26th):

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 535.000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 699.000
[3DS] Demon Training - 140.000

 

[zroid]

This one the one you were talking about??

ahaha yeah, that's the one~

"unmentionable soft factors"

 

[Culex]

Can you post a thumbnail in the thread and link to a full-size image?

I'll work on it today.

 

[twothunder]

Predict how much these titles will sell in the 4 weeks (from July 30th to August 26th):

[WII] Dragon Quest X - 376.000
[3DS] New Super Mario Bros. 2 - 450.000
[3DS] Demon Training - 120.000