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Media Create Sales: Week 3, 2015 (Jan 12 - Jan 18)

Road

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) -
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) -
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) -
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) -
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) -
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) -

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Deadline: January 28th 2015 08:00 am (EST)
t1422450000z1.png



Attention:
  • Remember for some games it's not only the 1st week.
  • Multiplatform games are the combined available sales of each platform
  • [ALL] = all consoles (PS4 + PS3 + 360 + XBO + etc.) the game is being released

Rules:
  • Do not edit your post after the deadline. If you do, you'll be disqualified.
  • The official monthly hardware sales will be the sum of weekly numbers for all versions of the system available from Famitsu.
  • The official monthly software sales will be the latest total or the sum of the weekly numbers if the title is release before the period available from the Famitsu Top 30.
  • The official monthly sales for multi-platform releases will be the combined available sales of each platform shown in the title entry.
  • The official monthly sales for games with multiple versions will be the combined available sales of each version shown in the title entry.
  • Any game missing in the Famitsu top 30 will be taken out of the predictions.

Before you ask, yes, DQH is released February 26th, but it ends up in Famitsu's calendar for March.

Also, sorry I'm late. Due to the unusual monthly calendar I just mentioned, I forgot to open the predictions earlier. I should set up calendar reminders for myself...
 
Hyrule Warrios.

Even if it can't reach a million, isn't Koei Tecmo doing an incredible job monetizing game content? It seems there's plenty of DLC already with more upcoming. The margins should be substantial to offset the game not reaching enough sold units to cover the costs.

This company is getting quite attached to this busyness model, i heard there's 100's of dollars worth of DOA 5 suits.
 

hiska-kun

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) -
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) -
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) -
[3DS] The Seven Deadly Sins: Unjust Sin (12 days) -
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) -
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) -

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Deadline: January 28th 2015 08:00 am (EST)
t1422450000z1.png



Attention:
  • Remember for some games it's not only the 1st week.
  • Multiplatform games are the combined available sales of each platform
  • [ALL] = all consoles (PS4 + PS3 + 360 + XBO + etc.) the game is being released

Rules:
  • Do not edit your post after the deadline. If you do, you'll be disqualified.
  • The official monthly hardware sales will be the sum of weekly numbers for all versions of the system available from Famitsu.
  • The official monthly software sales will be the latest total or the sum of the weekly numbers if the title is release before the period available from the Famitsu Top 30.
  • The official monthly sales for multi-platform releases will be the combined available sales of each platform shown in the title entry.
  • The official monthly sales for games with multiple versions will be the combined available sales of each version shown in the title entry.
  • Any game missing in the Famitsu top 30 will be taken out of the predictions.

Before you ask, yes, DQH is released February 26th, but it ends up in Famitsu's calendar for March.

Also, sorry I'm late. Due to the unusual monthly calendar I just mentioned, I forgot to open the predictions earlier. I should set up calendar reminders for myself...

No Far Cry 4?
And no Zelda???
 

sörine

Banned
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015


[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 43,834
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 48,931
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 167,499
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 182,437
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 258,455
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 18,860
 

Bruno MB

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 77.500
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 60.000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 220.000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 110.000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 195.000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 23.500
 

Road

Member
No Far Cry 4?
And no Zelda???

P.S. Road, did you forget to include The Legend of Zelda: Majora's Mask 3D? In case you did I will later edit my post to include it.

sörine;149116889 said:
[PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

What?!! It is being released this month? I thought it was April/Golden Week or something. lol

Going to put Zelda in place of Seven Deadly Sins, which was just filling a spot. Likewise, I only put Far Cry 4 last month because there was nothing else.

Sorry, please correct your post as well, sörine.

Unrelated, but Geimin has a note on the website they were hacked. And gamedatamuseum is all in some weird green, I wonder if they were attacked as well. It's been awhile since I've gone to 2ch, there must be a thread about it.

----------------------

PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) -
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) -
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) -
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) -
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) -
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) -

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Deadline: January 28th 2015 08:00 am (EST)
t1422450000z1.png
 
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 78.000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 67.000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 290.000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 107.000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 269.000
 

cafemomo

Member
[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 75.000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 50.000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 300.000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 200.000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 350.000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 10.000
 

hiska-kun

Member
Tsutaya's Ranking Week 4 2015

01./00. [PS3] Tales of Zestiria <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games)
02./00. [3DS] Legend of Legacy <RPG> (FuRyu)

03./01. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch 2: Shin Uchi <RPG> (Level 5)
04./00. [WIU] Kirby and the Rainbow Curse <ACT> (Nintendo)
05./04. [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate <ACT> (Capcom)
06./03. [3DS] Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS <FTG> (Nintendo)
07./00. [PSV] Atelier Escha & Logy Plus: Alchemists of the Dusk Sky <RPG> (Gust)
08./05. [3DS] Pokemon Alpha Sapphire <RPG> (Pokemon Co.)
09./00. [PSV] Tsurugi no Machi no Ihoujin: Kuro no Oukyuu <RPG> (Experience)
10./02. [3DS] Kenka Bancho 6: Soul & Blood (Spike Chunsoft)
11./06. [WIU] Super Smash Bros. for Wii U <FTG> (Nintendo)
12./07. [3DS] Pokemon Omega Ruby <RPG> (Pokemon Co.)
13./09. [3DS] Final Fantasy Explorers <RPG> (Square Enix)
14./08. [PSV] Gundam Breaker 2 <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games)
15./12. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2015 (Konami)
16./11. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V <ACT> (Take-Two Interactive Japan)
17./00. [3DS] LEGO Marvel Super Heroes: Universe in Peril <ACT> (Warner Entertainment Japan)
18./13. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf <ETC> (Nintendo)
19./00. [PS4] Resident Evil HD Remaster [Download Code] <ADV> (Capcom)
20./16. [PS3] Grand Theft Auto V [Bargain Edition] <ACT> (Rockstar Games)
 

random25

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):


[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 100000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 80000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 200000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 100000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 200000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 20000
 

casiopao

Member
Tsutaya's Ranking Week 4 2015

01./00. [PS3] Tales of Zestiria <RPG> (Bandai Namco Games)
02./00. [3DS] Legend of Legacy <RPG> (FuRyu)

03./01. [3DS] Yo-kai Watch 2: Shin Uchi <RPG> (Level 5)
04./00. [WIU] Kirby and the Rainbow Curse <ACT> (Nintendo)
05./04. [3DS] Monster Hunter 4 Ultimate <ACT> (Capcom)
06./03. [3DS] Super Smash Bros. for Nintendo 3DS <FTG> (Nintendo)
07./00. [PSV] Atelier Escha & Logy Plus: Alchemists of the Dusk Sky <RPG> (Gust)
08./05. [3DS] Pokemon Alpha Sapphire <RPG> (Pokemon Co.)
09./00. [PSV] Tsurugi no Machi no Ihoujin: Kuro no Oukyuu <RPG> (Experience)
10./02. [3DS] Kenka Bancho 6: Soul & Blood (Spike Chunsoft)
11./06. [WIU] Super Smash Bros. for Wii U <FTG> (Nintendo)
12./07. [3DS] Pokemon Omega Ruby <RPG> (Pokemon Co.)
13./09. [3DS] Final Fantasy Explorers <RPG> (Square Enix)
14./08. [PSV] Gundam Breaker 2 <ACT> (Bandai Namco Games)
15./12. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2015 (Konami)
16./11. [PS4] Grand Theft Auto V <ACT> (Take-Two Interactive Japan)
17./00. [3DS] LEGO Marvel Super Heroes: Universe in Peril <ACT> (Warner Entertainment Japan)
18./13. [3DS] Animal Crossing: New Leaf <ETC> (Nintendo)
19./00. [PS4] Resident Evil HD Remaster [Download Code] <ADV> (Capcom)
20./16. [PS3] Grand Theft Auto V [Bargain Edition] <ACT> (Rockstar Games)

Go go gooooo Legend of Legaccy.^~^ do well and we can hope to heaven for the game to come over here.
 

Crema

Member
Not sure if I'm allowed to join but just ignore if I'm not.

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 40,000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 55,000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 280,000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 120,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 260,000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 45,000
 

small44

Member
[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 120000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 60000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 350000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 120000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 150000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 12000
 

Yeshua

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 50000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 50000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 200000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 75000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 180000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 30000
 

u_neek

Junior Member
It's been a while but I'll give it a go:

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 95,000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 60,000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 180,000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 110,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 175,000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 45,000
 
Been awhile since I've done one of these.

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 60,000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 70,000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 266,000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 180,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 245,000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 30,000
 

Orgen

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 58.000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 77.000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 233.000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 101.000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 204.000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 36.000
 

Road

Member
Comparisons:

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - ???
[3DS] Shin Megami Tensei: Devil Survivor Overclocked: 30,273(32 days)
[NDS] Shin Megami Tensei: Devil Survivor: 79,308(18 days)
[NDS] Shin Megami Tensei: Devil Survivor 2: 85,843(32 days)

[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - ???
[360] Dragon Ball: Raging Blast: 8,570(11 days)
[PS3] Dragon Ball: Raging Blast: 90,067(18 days)
[PS3] Dragon Ball: Raging Blast 2: 74,713(18 days)
[PS3] Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Z: 43,839(18 days)
[PSV] Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Z: 29,428(18 days)

[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - ???
[PSP] God Eater: 276,104(4 days)
[PSP] God Eater Burst: 267,178(4 days)
[PSP] God Eater 2: 119,620(4 days)
[PSV] God Eater 2: 258,826(4 days)

[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - ???
[WII] Samurai Warriors 3: 126,646(4 days)
[PS3] Samurai Warriors 3 Z: 224,012(4 days)
[PS3] Samurai Warriors 3: Empires: 70,488(4 days)
[PSP] Samurai Warriors 3 Z Special: 18,703(4 days)
[PS3] Samurai Warriors 4: 149,068(4 days)
[PSV] Samurai Warriors 4: 43,545(4 days)
[PS4] Samurai Warriors 4: 10,672(4 days)

[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - ???
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina of Time 3D: 223,260(11 days)
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: A Link Between Worlds: 293,996(11 days)

[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - ???
[PS4] Killzone: Shadow Fall: 25,978(2 days)
[PS4] inFamous: Second Son: 39,757(4 days)
[PS4] The Last of Us Remastered: 29,156(4 days)
[PS4] Driveclub: 7,611(4 days)
 

Eolz

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 46,000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 73,000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 210,000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 184,000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 198,000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 29,000
 
I know that COMG isn't the greatest indicator, but it still looking like the game is coming for a > 50k FW. Really impressive.
I doubt, but it all depends on how many copies Furyu shipped at launch.

Cardfight, a media franchise, had more points and sold 44k FW. (dumb comparison, but hey, it's the biggest Furyu game so far)
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
All right, after about the first week, here's where Bravely Default: D's Archive sits on iOS:


The actual performance isn't especially astounding, but what did surprise me was the review scores, especially since games based on handheld/console series are usually judged much harder by their fans than games that just target mobile audiences. Here is a review comparison of Square Enix's successful mobile titles (plus Record Keeper since it bears the FF name).

bravelydefaultreviewsavuk2.png


Given this, I suspect the game isn't as aggressively monetized as some of their games. That or it offers better gameplay than most.
 

Jamix012

Member
PREDICTION LEAGUE FEBRUARY 2015

Predict how much these titles will sell in the month (from Jan 26 to Feb 22):

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 38,000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 80,000
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 189,000
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 111.000
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 169,000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 12,500
 

mao2

Member
It would be nice to actually translate what the articles say when posting them in an English forum. Just saying.
Experience's boss Hajime Chikami tweeted that additional physical copies that they printed last week were sold out, and they're printing more. Also, digital sales numbers are the highest compared to their previous titles. Not sure if he meant first week sales or total.
 
Experience's boss Hajime Chikami tweeted that additional physical copies that they printed last week were sold out, and they're printing more. Also, digital sales numbers are the highest compared to their previous titles. Not sure if he meant first week sales or total.

Thanks!

Given this, I suspect the game isn't as aggressively monetized as some of their games. That or it offers better gameplay than most.

It might also be that the score is not actually statistically different from the score of FF:RK, which has a bigger sample size.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
Given this, I suspect the game isn't as aggressively monetized as some of their games. That or it offers better gameplay than most.

I found a gameplay video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTrEoqrvPDc

It seems a bit more in-depth than your standard mobile RPG, but it's certainly not Bravely Default's system.

It might also be that the score is not actually statistically different from the score of FF:RK, which has a bigger sample size.

It's the way the scores are divided that surprise me more than the number. Most mobile games have the majority of their reviews be 5's because a lot of people will always rate something a 5 if they like it.

However, usually you don't see it this top heavy in the 4's and 5's, because the people who are more critical than "I like it so it's a 5" will go down notably farther, and there tends to be a spike of 1's where people are really angry about this type of game existing in said franchise (or due to core mechanics).

Here there's shockingly little vitriol or even ho-hum 3 responses.
 
I found a gameplay video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aTrEoqrvPDc

It seems a bit more in-depth than your standard mobile RPG, but it's certainly not Bravely Default's system.



It's the way the scores are divided that surprise me more than the number.

Usually you don't see it this top heavy in the 4's and 5's, and there tends to be a peak of 1's where people are really angry about this type of game existing in said franchise (or due to core mechanics).

It'd be nice to know, then, how scores allocation was when DQ and FF were first released. What I see, anyway, is that a game from a well-known "traditional" franchise (FF:RK) has a really, really low percentage of 1's, as a new mobile IPs (Sangokushi Rumble); all the other games follow the same trend,both new and old IPs.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
It'd be nice to know, then, how scores allocation was when DQ and FF were first released. What I see, anyway, is that a game from a well-known "traditional" franchise (FF:RK) has a really, really low percentage of 1's, as a new mobile IPs (Sangokushi Rumble); all the other games follow the same trend,both new and old IPs.

Actually looking at my chart I excluded a few I was thinking of that reviewed more poorly in major franchises.

Notably none of these make money, especially compared to the above.

ffreviews7wuid.png
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Didn't know G-Bike fared so bad. On GP, despite being between 100,000 and 500,000 downloads, the game never entered the top 200 of Grossing Charts. It really didn't profit that much.

Bravely Archive is surely faring better: currently around 40th in the Grossing Charts, and 7th in the Free Download Ranking. 40th in the Grossing Charts is not that great, but it's not that bad either.

Probably, later today I'll post a first analysis on its performance on Android, since it went over 100,000 downloads a few days ago.
 

L~A

Member
To further prove how dead the Xbone is in Japan: Dragon's Dogma Online won't come out on X1 from the looks of it (at least not in Japan). PS3/4 + PC. F2P. Interesting... It's 2015, apparently, and it's definitely the big scoop teased last week.
 

Eolz

Member
Wouldn't be surprised if we learn later on that there'll be an Xbox version in the west though.
 

L~A

Member
The fact it's (for now) not planned for the West, yet has a PC version, seems to indicate they're targetting Asian markets (imo).

Since they're yet to confirm Deep Down for the West too (or did I miss something), it's... well, Capcom can be confusing sometimes
(aka: most of the time)
.
 

L~A

Member
Didn't Xilia 2 fail/struggle to sell through the first shipment? Makes sense that they'd be a bit more careful this time around.

So, ToZ did ok then?
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
As was expected, it had an smaller shipment than Tales of Xillia 2.

What was Tales of Xillia 2's first shipment?

EDIT: Nevermind, since the MC thread when Xillia 2 released has been posted, going by Media Create numbers, it was 466,691.
 

L~A

Member
Decent numbers for ToZ. Not to mention that in future they will sell it second time to some people with enchanted PS4 version...

Fixed that for ya. Probably one of the announcements at either Tales of Festa in June, or at Sony's presser at (pre)TGS.

But yeah, Tales of series is quite stable, sales-wise.
 
Haven't done one of these in a while.

[3DS] Devil Survivor 2 Break Record (25 days) - 31,000
[ALL] Dragon Ball Xenoverse (18 days) - 50,765
[ALL] Samurai Warriors 4-II (12 days) - 184,444
[PS4+PSV] God Eater 2 Rage Burst (4 days) - 234,432
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda Majora's Mask 3D (9 days) - 185,000
[PS4] The Order 1886 (3 days) - 9,886
 

hiska-kun

Member
The blog reported 70% sellthrough for its first day. Going by the 400k shipped number that means 280k first day, so total sales for the week could be between 320-370k.

If true that's pretty good, I must say.
 

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
The blog reported 70% sellthrough for its first day. Going by the 400k shipped number that means 280k first day, so total sales for the week could be between 320-370k.

If true that's pretty good, I must say.

It doesn't say if 400k is shipment for first day or week.
 
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