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Media Create Sales: Week 43, 2011 (Oct 24 - Oct 30)
- Thread starter Chris1964
- Start date
Cosmonaut X
Member
Orgen said:
Mpl90 said:
Holy shit - low absolute numbers, but still impressive!
Captain Smoker
Member
/edit
nevermind, understood it wrong. ^^
nevermind, understood it wrong. ^^
walking fiend
Member
I think it'll be broken 2 times: MH release week, and the week leading to holiday. Thought, it should mean at least 1.2m 3DS being sold in December alone!idwl said:
So, SM3DL is not sold out?king zell said:
walking fiend
Member
Would it be sold out if there wasn't additional shipments, though?Chris1964 said:
Will be pretty good if it does that much!
Chris1964 said:
Mmh, so we can suppose that the famous first shipment that some retailers were bitching about because too low for the demand was something like 200k, no?
Come on Mario, surprise me in the best way possible.
Edit: 400-500k for the first week? Too high!
Gianni Merryman
Member
BowieZ said:
What's that giant-sized 3DS?
An hologram perchance?
By the look of it it is displaying some actual 3DS footage, perhaps not requiring either 3D glasses.
frankie_baby
Member
I'd assume its just a tv with footage of Mario on itGianni Merryman said:
Chris1964 said:
I think he was referring to king zell's site.
...Or to some mysterious entities who live in Japan and take pictures of what happen.
THEY.
However, I think they shipped something like 200k for the first day, since you said it would have been already over if they hadn't shipped again, and considering that Galaxy and Galaxy 2 FD had been in the 150k territory, and that retailers blamed them for the low shipments (so, they had to be even lower than Galaxy FW - 250k - , in my opinion).
Bigger shipments for weekends, eh?
So, they're readying for this and the next month!
walking fiend
Member
That would be King Zell, and I the little Arabic I understand is enough to tell that's what written there.BowieZ said:
400k-500k is high for the first week, but since Chris says there wont be shortages, is achievable I suppose.
walking fiend said:
Naaah, Galaxy did 250k the FW, and it had a serious problem of overshipment (700k or so).
We have to see if demand continues to be big with this new shipments... and so, also to see if the White obtains to attract new customers, who will buy also Mario.
It could even do 400k, but everything goes in a great way. 350-370k is what it should achieve in its first week.
Gianni Merryman
Member
frankie_baby said:
If so it would be something new AFAIK, it's the first time I ever saw any 3DS footage on a screen other than the actual 3DS tiny one.
Actually I reckon that could be some kind of holographic stuff that gives you the illusion to animate if you change your perspective.
Gianni Merryman
Member
Between november and december there'a almost 9 weeks.
Calculating around 100k a week, 1 milion is pretty doable, 2.5 mlns maybe it's a tad too much, unless both Monster hunter 3G and Mario kart 7 turn out to be milion sellers by the end of the year.
Calculating around 100k a week, 1 milion is pretty doable, 2.5 mlns maybe it's a tad too much, unless both Monster hunter 3G and Mario kart 7 turn out to be milion sellers by the end of the year.
walking fiend
Member
Me, 2; it would actually conform pretty well to holiday effects in the other years as well; but I suspect it may even do more due to all the games coming out in these two monthssaichi said:
Gianni Merryman
Member
walking fiend said:
Again, to ricapitulate, what are the big guns coming out shortly, aside from MH3G and MK7?
Inazuma eleven, Gundam, that Dragon quest spinoff, Layton vs Ace Attorney, that Pokemon spinoff, that Labyrinth thingy and what more?
JoshuaJSlone
Member
You might not notice the difference just to look at it, but Famitsu has changed the internals of their weekly software and hardware pages--so those of us with things parsing them probably have revisions to do.
The bundle costs 20,800 yen. Buying a separate 3DS (15,000 yen) and a copy of MH3G (5,800 yen) costs 20,800 yen.Gianni Merryman said:
The bundle is attractive for the people invested in the series (limited console edition), but it might actually be cheaper to buy the game and a 3DS separately (if there's enough stock).
lunchwithyuzo
Banned
Layton V Wright is 2012, as are Beyond the Labyrinth and whatever secret Pokemon game is coming.Gianni Merryman said:
This year's "big" games are Mario 3D Land, Mario Kart 7, MH3G and Inazuma Go imo. Those are the ones that'll break 500k. OOT 3D will leg it past 500k too, and maybe Nintendogs will too depending on it's holiday rise.
Exterminieren
Banned
Love Plus, too.Gianni Merryman said:
Let's face it, you don't really need more. That's the best Holiday lineup for a single system in Japan for as long as I can remember.
Gianni Merryman
Member
Exterminieren said:
Yes, it really is a pretty strong line-up indeed, but what are realistically the odds for 3DS to sell more than 2 mls based on these games in this early stage?
Even if both MH3G and MK7 should turn out to be million sellers by the end of the year, ir still wouldn't be enough, even though Love plus and Inazuma eleven could do the trick.
Exterminieren
Banned
3DS has sold more than a quarter of a million this past month with basically zero significant games. I hardly think it's unreasonable to suggest that games actually arriving, coupled with the new bundles, coupled with the holidays, may see a significant boost to 3DS sales; enough to comfortably take them above 2 mill. DS and PSP sold a mill last Christmas, in advanced points in their lifespans, and with nowhere near as good lineups as this one.Gianni Merryman said:
I could well see 3DS going past DS's record sales week, actually.
Square Enix Earnings Release:
http://www.square-enix.com/eng/news/pdf/12q2earnings.pdf
http://www.square-enix.com/eng/news/pdf/12q2slides.pdf
Shipments up to Sep. 30th:
Deus Ex: Human Revoluion: 2.18 million (NA: 0.8M; EU: 1.38M)
Dungeon Siege III: 820k (JP: 20k; NA; 320k; EU: 480k)
Dragon Quest 25th Anniversary Collection: 350k (JP only)
http://www.square-enix.com/eng/news/pdf/12q2earnings.pdf
http://www.square-enix.com/eng/news/pdf/12q2slides.pdf
Shipments up to Sep. 30th:
Deus Ex: Human Revoluion: 2.18 million (NA: 0.8M; EU: 1.38M)
Dungeon Siege III: 820k (JP: 20k; NA; 320k; EU: 480k)
Dragon Quest 25th Anniversary Collection: 350k (JP only)
test_account
XP-39C²
That is true, there are some similarites as you mentioned. It is also similarities with MH this time around, it shares being on a popular handheldwalking fiend said:
I dont think that the size of the userbase matters all that much this time around with 3G actually. The 3DS is cheaply prices and it has seen a good increase in popularity/interest over the last period of time. If 3G "bombs", then i think it is more about the game itself and not so much about the size of the userbase.frankie_baby
Member
That's because amazon have sold out, the 18k is a price from a resellercw_sasuke said:
test_account
XP-39C²
It is a 3rd party seller.cw_sasuke said:
EDIT: Beaten
I think the main reason for using MHTri as a point of comparison is because that is essentially what Capcom has done. They've set their FY target for the game pretty much exactly at what Tri sold - so that makes Tri an easy and convenient point of reference.Spiegel said:
Of course, Capcom has a pretty horrible history of sales projections - so that doesn't really mean a whole lot. But you can't blame people for using the comparison when the game's publisher has basically used the exact same comparison.
thestopsign
Member
cvxfreak said:
Just did a bit of math on the last prediction. If November rises by a minimum of 1.3x over October as he suggests and 3.5x rise from November to December and the other possibilities.
270*1.3=351k
351*3.5=1228.5k
Total: 1579.5k
270*1.6=432k
432*3.5=1512k
Total: 1942k
270*1.6=432k
432k*5.76=2488.32
Total: 2920.32k
I think the 2nd total there is approximately what the 3DS could see, the 3rd total is a wee bit too much in my opinion.
frankie_baby
Member
Really? Where did you heap that?cw_sasuke said:
sixteen-bit
Member
Might as well get yours now before the Monster Hunter supply constraints I suppose.jett said:
test_account
XP-39C²
First post isnt updated with Top 50 yetMpl90 said:
Dalthien said:
Well, I'm thinking that if Capcom seriously expects only 1.2M of copies for MH3G investors will be asking for blood soon.
I mean, if I were an investor I would want to ask some questions to the one from management who was responsable of deciding that releasing MH3G for 3DS only (expecting 1.2M after the last game did >5M on two consoles) was the best option for a MH game released in December 2011.
lunchwithyuzo
Banned
1.2m is only Capcom's expectation for the fiscal year. If MH3G is anything like previous handheld installments, it'll be selling a significant amount afterwards too.
Besides, Tri is likely contractually bound to Nintendo. 3DS seems like a better bet than Wii anyway, and what MH3G is really doing is base building for MH4. We're at a generational transition, sacrificing short term sales for long term goals is going to be a common occurrence.
Besides, Tri is likely contractually bound to Nintendo. 3DS seems like a better bet than Wii anyway, and what MH3G is really doing is base building for MH4. We're at a generational transition, sacrificing short term sales for long term goals is going to be a common occurrence.
lunchwithyuzo
Banned
My guess is the October totals weren't in yet when he made the prediction. Pretty insane to think 3DS is going to sell in November than it did the month previous.Mpl90 said: