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Official July 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

Busty

Banned
Guy Legend said:
wtf happened over there....



PleoMax and Co. decided to try out some new material for their new 'Blue Troll Comedy Tour' and ran straight into the Ban Hammer.

Justice was swift.
 

Plinko

Wildcard berths that can't beat teams without a winning record should have homefield advantage
Talamius said:
DK would be better. I wouldn't even make it intelligible.

YES! Now THAT is classy. They should include a picture of DK ground-pounding a PS3 and 360 as well.
 
Reposting for the new page...

Results...

sonycowboy said:
July Hardware Figures
Wii 425 k
Nintendo DS 405 k
PlayStation 2 222k
PlayStation Portable 214k
Xbox 360 170k
PlayStation 3 159k
Game Boy Advance 87k

1. ingrin - 101,000
2. RobertM - 144,000
3. Colonel Mustard - 154,000
4. B_Rik_Schitthaus - 158,000
5. womfalcs3 - 159,000
6. Dalauz - 162,000
7. dk_ - 164,000
8. Jtyettis - 164,748
9. CitizenCope - 165,000
10. HocusPocus - 165,689
11. Raist - 169,000
12. lochnesssnowman - 170,000
13. Drensch - 174,000
14. perfectchaos007 - 177,000
15. davepoobond - 178,000
15. DayShallCome - 178,000
17. GAF Aggregate - 178,654
18. Jube3 - 180,500
19. Restricted_Area - 182,000
20. JJConrad - 184,000
21. Taurus - 186,000
22. LiquidMetal14 - 188,000
22. TunaLover - 188,000
24. Metalmurphy - 190,000
25. Psychotext - 191,000
26. Alkaliine - 193,000
27. RevoDS - 197,000
28. lollerskates - 198,000
28. Hyllian - 198,000
30. Gekkonidae - 199,000
30. Kurosaki Ichigo - 199,000
32. Xenon - 200,000
32. Frillen - 200,000
34. duderon - 201,000
34. Lo-Volt - 201,000
36. cvxfreak - 202,000
36. DSWii60 - 202,000
38. felipeko - 203,000
39. Linkhero1 - 204,000
39. USD - 204,000
39. RPS37 - 204,000
39. JoshuaJSlone - 204,000
39. Bo130 - 204,000
39. RattleHead_ - 204,000
39. bycha - 204,000
46. dammitmattt - 204,240
47. Pope Benedict XVI - 205,000
48. Stop It - 206,000
49. HylianTom - 206,999
50. college_boy - 208,000
50. Clever Pun - 208,000
50. Freki - 208,000
53. MikeMyers - 209,000
54. Doytch - 211,000
55. Jokeropia - 212,000
56. jey_16 - 214,000
56. jepense - 214,000
56. rostocker - 214,000
59. Threi - 214,300
60. Orgen - 215,000
60. Lucky - 215,000
60. Brak - 215,000
63. sonycowboy - 215,944
64. Hammer24 - 216,000
64. Brakara - 216,000
66. laserbeam - 217,000
67. OliveJuice - 217,900
68. donny2112 - 218,000
68. TwinIonEngines - 218,000
70. AniHawk - 220,000
70. Thunder Monkey - 220,000
70. argon - 220,000
70. Danthrax - 220,000
74. Odysseus - 221,000
74. -WindYoshi- - 221,000
74. Stopsign - 221,000
77. Haunted One - 222,000
77. TheKurgan - 222,000
77. RBH - 222,000
77. sionyboy - 222,000
77. toxk_02 - 222,000
82. apujanata - 223,000
83. Ataru83 - 224,000
84. Michan - 225,000
85. Pachter - 226,000
86. squicken - 227,000
86. tinderbox - 227,000
86. duk - 227,000
89. rikitikitik - 229,000
90. crimsonheadGCN - 229,240
91. Segata Sanshiro - 229,500
92. courage201 - 231,000
92. Mojo - 231,000
92. Nightz - 231,000
92. Mr. Pointy - 231,000
92. Ch Totoro - 231,000
92. starship - 231,000
98. evlcookie - 232,000
98. jamesinclair - 232,000
100. Fio Maravilha - 233,000
101. DeaconKnowledge - 234,000
101. GhaleonEB - 234,000
101. jonabbey - 234,000
101. Tideas - 234,000
105. ascii42 - 236,000
106. Cooter - 238,000
107. swanlee - 238,300
108. Action Jackson - 239,000
108. Frankfurter - 239,000
108. Aadil - 239,000
111. C4Lukins - 240,000
112. GameGamer - 241,000
113. Qwerty710710 - 241,500
114. Thoren - 242,000
115. Bildi - 243,000
116. Hollywood_mIRC - 243,340
117. devilscallmedad - 244,000
118. Branduil - 244,500
119. rage1973 - 248,000
120. Sho_Nuff82 - 249,000
120. besada - 249,000
120. Heidir - 249,000
120. Nallen - 249,000
124. jrricky - 250,000
125. somesayyea - 251,040
126. BuzzJive - 252,000
127. rs7k - 255,000
127. Ginko - 255,000
129. moai - 256,000
129. doicare - 256,000
129. Beef - 256,000
132. A2D - 257,000
132. Tempy - 257,000
132. Dimmuxx - 257,000
135. Xisiqomelir - 258,040
136. kefka2030 - 259,000
136. RiskyChris - 259,000
138. turtle553 - 260,000
139. Cheebs - 261,000
139. psycho_snake - 261,000
141. Xekrn - 262,000
141. Cruceh - 262,000
143. NomarTyme - 264,000
143. chadums90 - 264,000
145. jj984jj - 267,000
145. MirageDwarf - 267,000
147. djtiesto - 267,500
148. Uncooked - 268,000
148. Keio - 268,000
150. Parl - 268,865
151. K.Jack - 270,000
152. Deku - 270,200
153. legend166 - 275,000
153. John Dunbar - 275,000
153. dyls - 275,000
153. Stapler Gonzales - 275,000
157. apotema - 276,000
158. Orlics - 279,000
158. schuelma - 279,000
160. gollumsluvslave - 280,800
161. GreenGlowingGoo - 281,000
162. DarthWoo - 282,000
163. Fularu - 283,000
163. itsgreen - 283,000
163. diddlyD - 283,000
166. Hus - 284,000
166. Milabrega - 284,000
168. LOCK - 287,000
169. seattle6418 - 290,000
170. PhatSaqs - 291,000
171. kassatsu - 292,000
171. AlternativeUlster - 292,000
171. Patton - 292,000
174. NintendoGal - 294,000
175. Broken Arrow - 297,000
176. pswii60 - 299,000
177. DenogginizerOS - 312,000
177. PetriP-TNT - 312,000
179. Karma Kramer - 322,000
180. The M.O.B - 324,000
180. Billias - 324,000
182. TwinsDad - 324,500
183. tha_con - 325,000
184. ksamedi - 330,000
185. Lightning - 331,000
186. Earthstrike - 335,900
187. frankthurk - 336,000
187. justjohn - 336,000
187. ComputerNerd - 336,000
190. capslock - 337,000
191. pissmypants - 344,000
192. Mojovonio - 346,000
193. d[-_-]b - 355,000
193. TTP - 355,000
195. Rekwest - 364,000
196. PhoenixDark - 367,500
197. Markster - 382,564
198. Tf53 - 384,000
199. kkg1701 - 388,905
200. Innotech - 389,001
201. Amir0x - 391,285
202. corez - 396,000
203. Sapapayo - 401,000
204. angelfly - 419,000
205. chico - 425,000
206. Blablurn - 429,000
207. Yoboman - 434,000
208. spwolf - 436,000
209. LizardKing - 444,000
210. the-iek - 446,400
211. cjelly - 484,000
212. Shpeshal Ed - 522,000
213. Oblivion - 563,000
214. sleeping_dragon - 574,000
215. Linkup - 623,655
216. Drinky Crow - 991,972
217. JCBossman - 1,059,000
218. Alcibiades - 1,174,000
219. Gahiggidy - 1,262,000
220. Gadfly - 1,444,000
 

USD

Member
Seriously, fuck the Wii. My numbers are pretty good until you take the Wii into account. But then again, it probably screwed up most everyone else as well.
 

RevoDS

Junior Member
WTF at DS and Wii? And I thought PS3 would be the biggest surprise...

27th. Not bad :D Even if I'm almost 200k away from the actual numbers ^^
 

reilo

learning some important life lessons from magical Negroes
Wait, what? Why did Sonycowboy lock the official thread?
 

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
DS: 430k
Wii: 330k
PSP: 220k
Xbox360: 180k
PS3: 120k
GBA: 93k

HOLY FUCK, WII RUINED MY PREDICTIONS! KDAFLDJ
 

cvxfreak

Member
AniHawk said:
Well I beat Pachter again.

Really wasn't expecting 100k a week for the Wii in July.

Japan's starting to become a fairly decent indicator for the Wii. Haven't Japanese sales been up since early June in general? They haven't been very low IIRC.
 

FrankT

Member
Got to say I'm proud of this one;

[360] 168,299
[PS3] 157,189


Xbox 360 170k
PlayStation 3 159k


Anyhow, coming in at number 8 for my first prediction ain't too shabby either. Poor Pachter, better luck next time. I knew that was way lowball after seeing NPD Canada for the 360.
 

besada

Banned
Woo! Dead middle again. I got pretty close on the PS3/360, but was off by like 200,000 on the Wii:lol

Edit:Everyone but the top 30 were off by at least 200,000:lol I don't feel so bad.
 

apujanata

Member
82. apujanata - 223,000

I overestimate Wii in May and June, therefore I lowered my Wii expectation in July. Hence, I am double burned by Wii. :(

I never think it is possible that Wii can > DS. Never. At least not for July 07. It might be possible in Nov 07 or Dec 07.
 

laserbeam

Banned
Pretty much Wii and DS are the only things to screw my prediction. everything else was pretty good.

Missed By:

120,000 on the DS
50,000 on Wii
36,000 on PSP
5,000 on 360
4,000 on PS3
2,000 on PS2
0 on GBA

100% correct on the GBA lol
 

Gadfly

While flying into a tree he exclaimed "Egad!"
I got so owned it's not even funny ([PS3] = 220K, [360] = 140K)

Forget last place because I just gave numbers for 360 and PS3. I really expected for PS3 to break 200k barrier and 360 to fall in anticipation of new HW revision and price drop.
 

Gadfly

While flying into a tree he exclaimed "Egad!"
I like to suggest another way to determine winners and losers:

1- Give people option to do only consoles.
2- Measure the percentage they were off and add them together.

Yes, I know we went through this a couple of months ago and there is no chance in hell people would agree with this.
 

donny2112

Member
Predictions closed Wednesday, August 15, @ midnight. I believe your prediction was after that. Pachter will also be excluded when I do the point totals, since he was late. ;)

Edit:
Thanks for sending the prediction entries, Cheesemeister! I'll add in the points results tomorrow. :)
 
donny2112 said:
Predictions closed Wednesday, August 15, @ midnight. I believe your prediction was after that. Pachter will also be excluded when I do the point totals, since he was late. ;)

Edit:
Thanks for sending the prediction entries, Cheesemeister! I'll add in the points results tomorrow. :)

But the NPD was delayed a week, Donny...
 

davepoobond

you can't put a price on sparks
Cheesemeister said:
Reposting for the new page...

Results...


15. davepoobond - 178,000



awesome opossum. back in the game, baby! after last months horrible predictions, at least.


My predictions:

[NDS] 450,000
[WII] 350,000
[PSP] 220,000
[PS2] 250,000
[360] 160,000
[PS3] 170,000
[GBA] 90,000


results for me:

Overestimated DS by 45k
Underestimated Wii by 75k (man, what a killer :( )
Overestimated PS2 by 28k
Estimated about equal for PSP (over by 6k)
Estimated about equal for 360 (under 10k, if only i switched it with PS3 prediction!)
Estimated about equal for PS3 (over 11k)
Estimated about equal for GBA (over 3k)
 
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