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Official October NPD prediction Thread - (360, DS, PS2 HW, Bully, Marvel: UA, SC:DA)

D

donny2112

Member
I just realized that sonycowboy forgot to include Clubhouse Games as one of the larger releases in October. I'm going back to edit. :D
 
O

Orgen

Member
1)

NDS: 343k
PS2: 286k
X360: 248k
GBA: 192k
PSP: 151k
GC: 47k
Xbox: 7k

2)

Bully - 450.000
Madden (PS2) - 320.000
Scarface (PS2) - 315.000
Mortal Kombat (PS2) - 280.000
Splinter Cell: DA (X360) - 210.000
Nintendogs: Dalmation - 198.000
Saints Row - 160.000
Lego Star Wars II (PS2) - 145.000
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon (NDS) - 130.000
New Super Mario Bros - 120.000

3)

More titles > 100k

Madden (X360), Pokemon Mystery Dungeon (GBA), FIFA 07 (PS2) and Sims 2 Pets (PS2)
 
J

JJConrad

Sucks at viral marketing
EDIT - I almost forgot to update...

Hardware Predictions:

NDS - 360,000
PS2 - 290,000
360 - 238,199
GBA - 170,000
PSP - 140,000
GCN - 37,000
XBX - 5,000

I have no expectation of winning this month's contest. A few of my predictions are more symbolic than actual guesses.
I think I'l still be fairly competitive but that because I think many of the other guesses here are really bad
 
S

sonycowboy

Member
Looking at the (few) Sw predictions, I think people are greatly underestimating Marvel and perhaps Bully. From what I've heard, they did quite well. Bully should be well over 100k, but I don't see it going much above 200k if at all.

Again, when I look at the past few October's releases from years past, this one is pretty weak, but has potential of strong sales on established IP's. (Star Wars, Marvel, Splinter Cell, Pokemon, Madden, etc).
 
F

Frankfurter

Member
Only hardware from me for the moment. I'll perhaps add software later.

PS2: 340k
X360: 195k
GCN: 40k
Xbox: 6k
NDS: 360k
GBA: 165k
PSP: 160k
 
S

sonycowboy

Member
.

Wedbush Expectations said:
Expect 11 games over 100k

US Publisher Specific Titles
Madden > 300k
Mortal Kombat 200k
Bully 150k
Saints Row 150k
Marvel: Ultimate Alliance 150k
Test Drive: Unlimited 50k

Avatar + Spongebob + Destroy All Humans ~400k
Click to expand...
 
D

donny2112

Member
Stopsign said:
That is Avatar, Spongebob, and Destroy All Humans combined.
Click to expand...

Probably all platforms, too. (Destroy All Humans! did ~210K between XBX and PS2 back in June 2005.) Of course, that would make Madden's total waaay low, in my opinion. :p

Edit:
I just noticed sonycowboy's new tag.

sonycowboy
Xbox 360 to sell 500 million units by the end of the year
(Today, 01:45 PM)

:lol
 
davepoobond

davepoobond

you can't put a price on sparks
Stopsign said:
That is Avatar, Spongebob, and Destroy All Humans combined.
Click to expand...

ah ok. i thought each one did 400k each. didn't surprise me for the first 2 since they're onlike 9 things each.
 
S

sonycowboy

Member
It's tomorrow.


HW
NDS 325k
360 275k
PS2 270k
GBA 150k
PSP 140k
GCN 37k
XBX 5k

SW Titles over 100k
Madden PS2
Splinter Cell 360
Lego Star Wars PS2
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon NDS
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon GBA
Bully PS2
Saints Row 360
Mortal Kombat PS2
Scarface PS2
Marvel: Ultimate Alliance PS2 (maybe - only 4 days of sales)
Splinter Cell PS2 (maybe)
 
M

Meier

Member
Can't see Bully doing much more than 150k. There doesnt seem to be any buzz around the game to be honest. Vice City Stories seems like a bit of a bust too although I guess it will have a full month of sales next NPD and should see a boost due to Christmas sales.
 
Norse

Norse

Member
damn, I missed this thread......I just moved to downtown Minneapolis the past 10 or so days and finally have 24/7 internet, etc. Lets see.....due to wii and ps3 arriving in november, I see a down month for october. No numbers, but just a down month.


Any jobs with Microsoft in Minneapolis area? Just got here and don't really want to start working again for 6-12 months, but if the right job is available I could change my mind. :D

Yes, I left Sony after 7.5 great years....couldnt take San Diego living any longer. Housing prices were nuts.
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
Norse said:
damn, I missed this thread......I just moved to downtown Minneapolis the past 10 or so days and finally have 24/7 internet, etc. Lets see.....due to wii and ps3 arriving in november, I see a down month for october. No numbers, but just a down month.


Any jobs with Microsoft in Minneapolis area? Just got here and don't really want to start working again for 6-12 months, but if the right job is available I could change my mind. :D

Yes, I left Sony after 7.5 great years....couldnt take San Diego living any longer. Housing prices were nuts.
Click to expand...
so....you predict 250k 360's?
 
A

argon

Member
DS 315k
PS2 250k
360 235k
GBA 130k
PSP 120k
GC 35k
XBX 5k

Over 100k:
Madden PS2
Madden 360
Saint's Row 360
Lego Star Wars II PS2
Lego Star Wars II GCN
New Super Mario Bros DS
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon DS
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon GBA
Splinter Cell 360
Bully PS2
Scarface PS2
Mortal Kombat PS2

Top 10:
1. Madden PS2 320k
2. Bully PS2 310k
3. Saint's Row 360 270k
4. Splinter Cell 360 250k
5. Lego Star Wars II PS2 240k
6. Scarface PS2 210k
7. Pokemon Mystery DS 180k
8. Madden 360 140k
9. Pokemon Mystery GBA 130k
10. Mortal Kombat PS2 120k
 
D

donny2112

Member
sonycowboy said:
SW Titles over 100k
Madden PS2
Splinter Cell 360
Lego Star Wars PS2
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon NDS
Pokemon Mystery Dungeon GBA
Bully PS2
Saints Row 360
Mortal Kombat PS2
Scarface PS2
Marvel: Ultimate Alliance PS2 (maybe - only 4 days of sales)
Splinter Cell PS2 (maybe)
Click to expand...

sonycowboy said:
Required Predictions
You must make the following predictions to qualify

1) Hardware (within 10k) each system
2) Top 10 overall w/units (must pick per sku, not combining multi-platform)
3) Titles over 100k
Click to expand...

I'm sorry. You do not qualify for this month's NPD prediction thread. Please try again next month.
</recorded message voice>


Anyone else going to make predictions? ;)
 
O

Oblivion

Fetishing muscular manly men in skintight hosery
HEY GUYS I GOT WHAT YOU'RE LOOKING FOR JUST THOUGHT I'D LET YOU KNOW



Damn you, SC. :p
 
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