In your "world without college", you are still going to have similar numbers of people gravitating towards and applying for particular fields, and will still have differences in intelligence, education, skills, and personality.
All your "world without college" premise does is lower the average level of education and the complexity of industry/society.
Depends on the fields. Sure, I don't think more people will apply to engineering. But you'll have more people applying for certain jobs than prior.
Not sure how there will be much differences in education at the HS level. Intelligence isn't that measurable (might be able to point out the morons and geniuses, but other than that) and hard to figure out who is skilled without actually hiring them.
Okay, let's look at lawyers. That is a field that is crowded, btw. Take away those top of the line graduates and take away people with connections. How are the others mostly picked?
So many law graduates have given up. Smart ones that would make great lawyers, too. There's too many of them and firms are struggling to figure out who to pick. Because law schools have become cash cow machines, even to misleading potential students about their prospects, the degree isn't worth much anymore. They saturated the market and it's kind of fucked right now. Too many people chasing too few jobs and too many low tier lawyers randomly being placed in jobs at the expense of high tiered ones. And this is in a place with high barriers of cost to entry reside (law school ain't cheap).
But given you assert college mostly doesn't educate you at all, you aren't going to agree with that. So this is getting us nowhere.
I never said college doesn't educate you. You get educated. I just argued that what you learn (especially outside STEM) doesn't mean much with regards to work and is even diminished in general (you don't retain a lot over time).
Let's just end this by saying I disagree with almost all of your view on college.
No problem. But most of the empirical data seems to back me up (I posted some earlier).
I'd just like to reiterate my argument is that it's okay to have some cost of barrier for college. I don't believe the high debt levels students accumulate today is good; i don't want that. And I think we can set up the system so that good students can be paid back what they've done in college and try to get poor students with potential into college easier. I'm for all of this.
But empirical evidence does seem to indicate college, with relation to the labor force, only matters so far as the actual degree is considered and I also think the other stuff about college is nice and great but mostly fluff when you break it down (diversity of people is the one thing it truly has going for it).