grandjedi6 said:Despite the conception, Obama has never won a semi-open Primary.
What? Many of those were caucuses, but still.States with an open primary
* Alabama
* Arkansas
* Georgia
* Idaho
* Indiana
* Michigan
* Minnesota
* Mississippi
* Missouri
* North Dakota
* South Carolina
* Tennessee
* Texas
* Vermont
* Virginia
* Washington
* Wisconsin[13]
syllogism said:What? Many of those were caucuses, but still.
Uh, and which states had a semi-closed primary? Massachutes, Rhode Island and...?grandjedi6 said:Semi-open, not open. Semi-open primaries are where only Democrats and Independents can vote, which is what this amounts to since the proposed primary would prevent people who voted in the Republican primary from crossing over. Obama doesn't win them for various reasons, though it may be a coincedence
EDIT: Some call them semi-closed instead of semi-open to different them from another type of open primary
grandjedi6 said:Obama doesn't win them for various reasons, though it may be a coincedence
syllogism said:Uh, and which states had a semi-closed primary? Massachutes, Rhode Island and...?
thekad said:What would you say those reasons are?
grandjedi6 said:I don't think Obama was leading in the polls for any of them regardless, But I have to doublecheck
Correct on both counts.Liara T'Soni said:About this pastor....I just saw the clip on CNN and I'm really beginning to question just how in touch with Black America whites are....
What exactly is the big fuss over this man? Do some people have no experiece at all with a black church and what a pastor or minister means to the community?
His statements, while uncomfortable for some, is certainly not the kind of stuff I thought would be causing such a strong uproar.
What has he said in the past? Certainly something more controversial then this, I'm guessing.
Or is the whole thing about people wanting to be offended, just so they can claim double standards and political correctness?
Liara T'Soni said:About this pastor....I just saw the clip on CNN and I'm really beginning to question just how in touch with Black America whites are....
What exactly is the big fuss over this man? Do some people have no experiece at all with a black church and what a pastor or minister means to the community?
His statements, while uncomfortable for some, is certainly not the kind of stuff I thought would be causing such a strong uproar.
What has he said in the past? Certainly something more controversial then this, I'm guessing.
Or is the whole thing about people wanting to be offended, just so they can claim double standards and political correctness?
From TPM:Tamanon said:Thank god we'll have another debate between the two on April 16th on ABC, in Philly. Obama also proposed a debate on the 19th in NC, Clinton hasn't accepted yet.
:faceplantHillary agrees to what would be the 964th debate of the 2008 campaign, in Pennsylvania.
Late Update: It gets worse. Obama has accepted and proposes yet another debate, this one in North Carolina, with Katie Couric moderating.
IAWTFPGhaleonEB said::faceplant
grandjedi6 said:hahahaha. Edwards is campaigning in Iowa to tell his delegates to stay put :lol
Mills is back baby!
maximum360 said:What's the point of this?
maximum360 said:What's the point of this?
Tamanon said:I guess he's about to pledge his delegates to a candidate?
Tamanon said:I guess he's about to pledge his delegates to a candidate?
Smiles and Cries said:uhm so we get another debate on the 16th ugh
ToyMachine228 said:I've been thinking that an Edwards endorsement could have a pretty decent effect in Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Now would be the time John.
[N]egative campaigning is a negative-sum activity. Both the attacker and the attackee tend to see their popularity drop. Usually, the victim's popularity drops farther than the perpetrator's, which is why negative campaigning works. But it doesn't work so well in primaries, where the winner has to go on to another election.
Clinton's path to the nomination, then, involves the following steps: kneecap an eloquent, inspiring, reform-minded young leader who happens to be the first serious African American presidential candidate (meanwhile cementing her own reputation for Nixonian ruthlessness) and then win a contested convention by persuading party elites to override the results at the polls. The plan may also involve trying to seat the Michigan and Florida delegations, after having explicitly agreed that the results would not count toward delegate totals. Oh, and her campaign has periodically hinted that some of Obama's elected delegates might break off and support her. I don't think she'd be in a position to defeat Hitler's dog in November, let alone a popular war hero.
Some Clinton supporters, like my friend (and historian) David Greenberg, have been assuring us that lengthy primary fights go on all the time and that the winner doesn't necessarily suffer a mortal wound in the process. But Clinton's kamikaze mission is likely to be unusually damaging. Not only is the opportunity cost--to wrap up the nomination, and spend John McCain into the ground for four months--uniquely high, but the venue could not be less convenient. Pennsylvania is a swing state that Democrats will almost certainly need to win in November, and Clinton will spend seven weeks and millions of dollars there making the case that Obama is unfit to set foot in the White House. You couldn't create a more damaging scenario if you tried.
Imagine in 2000, or 2004, that George W. Bush faced a primary fight that came down to Florida (his November must-win state). Imagine his opponent decided to spend seven weeks pounding home the theme that Bush had a dangerous plan to privatize Social Security. Would this have improved Bush's chances of defeating the Democrats? Would his party have stood for it?
AniHawk said:In March or April?
Liara T'Soni said:About this pastor....I just saw the clip on CNN and I'm really beginning to question just how in touch with Black America whites are....
What exactly is the big fuss over this man? Do some people have no experiece at all with a black church and what a pastor or minister means to the community?
His statements, while uncomfortable for some, is certainly not the kind of stuff I thought would be causing such a strong uproar.
What has he said in the past? Certainly something more controversial then this, I'm guessing.
Or is the whole thing about people wanting to be offended, just so they can claim double standards and political correctness?
quadriplegicjon said:gaaah. im already going through withdrawal.. april 22 is soooo far away.
:.(
Yup. he's been fundraising non-stop since locking up the nomination.Hootie said:Also too much time for McCain to prepare and fundraise for the GE. Hillary needs to GTFO if she doesn't want the Democratic Party to end up in shambles. As if that would ever happen...
mosaic said:Wow, this thread made it all the way to page 3.... I guess people don't notice them when the words "primary" or "Obama" aren't in the title.
Kind of nice to see a thread with only minimal race baiting...
Also, word is a plan for Michigan will be revealed in a few hours. Our state legislature apparently has to approve it though... and they're the same dumbasses who put us in this position.
Lastly, Jack Kevorkian is running for congress. He won't win: very republican district , but it does bring new meaning to Vote or Die.
grandjedi6 said:People were actually bumping the Neogaffers for Obama thread instead
And isn't Jack Kevorkian the suicide assist guy who had his medical license revoked because he well.. assisted people in committing suicide?
Rendell: Obama Would Beat McCain in Pennsylvania
Oh fuck them. Will they show McCain's spiritual adviser going on his anti-Islamic rant?Cheebs said:Today Show showed that Reverend Wright video
Also Good Morning America showed it again today for the second day in a row...meeeehZeed said:Oh fuck them. Will they show McCain's spiritual adviser going on his anti-Islamic rant?
grandjedi6 said:Despite the conception, Obama has never won a semi-open Primary.
Edwards told his delegates to not switch just yesterdaysyllogism said:At least there's something to look forward to this weekend - the Iowa county conventions. All the Edwards delegates could theoretically go to either candidate.
Yes, but that's hardly a guarantee they all will. There are hundreds of Edwards state delegates.Cheebs said:Edwards told his delegates to not switch just yesterday
The type of people picked to go to these conventions are the obsessively loyal (which is why the idea of hillary stealing obama ones is basically impossible). They'd probably jump off a bridge if he asked them to. I doubt any switch, if any do it'd be something meaningless like 1 or 2.syllogism said:Yes, but that's hardly a guarantee they all will.
Both campaigns, especially Obama campaign, have very actively tried to court Edwards delegates. Even Mari Culver, a former major Edwards supporter in Iowa, has been robocalling people for Obama. While it's quite possible and even likely nothing will change, I don't think you know what you are talking about.Cheebs said:The type of people picked to go to these conventions are the obsessively loyal (which is why the idea of hillary stealing obama ones is basically impossible). They'd probably jump off a bridge if he asked them to. I doubt any switch, if any do it'd be something meaningless like 1 or 2.
maximum360 said:Indeed. Hopefully Obama has an attorney general spot open.