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[NahaNago]

Always a possibility it won't, but John Wick has a very specific audience, while SMBM is really everyone.

All of this is true. It is the possibility that has me hesitant. Everyone seems to be calling it a billion dollar film but it could easily drop the ball in the next 2 weeks. So I'll just sit back and wait and see.

 

[Puscifer]

This... Really shouldn't be a surprise

 

[Bragr]

I hope it is. I'm just hesitant to declare a billion dollar victory until it hits a billion. How much of a drop will the second week be. Everyone was raving over john wick doing so well, I was starting to think that was going to be nearly a billion from the way folks were talking.

John Wick 3 was a big success and grossed a little over 300 million. John Wick 4 is gonna top that and likely land at around 350 million. There has never been any talk of John Wick getting close to a billion.

Grossing a billion is extreme. Very few movies get close to that.

The Mario Movie went past Johh Wick 4's total box office numbers in 5 days. Compared to other movies with openings like that, crossing a billion shouldn't be an issue. The Mario Movie is gonna earn more than all the John Wick movies combined.

 

[ADiTAR]

John Wick 3 was a big success and grossed a little over 300 million. John Wick 4 is gonna top that and likely land at around 350 million. There has never been any talk of John Wick getting close to a billion.

Grossing a billion is extreme. Very few movies get close to that.

The Mario Movie went past Johh Wick 4's total box office numbers in 5 days. Compared to other movies with openings like that, crossing a billion shouldn't be an issue. The Mario Movie is gonna earn more than all the John Wick movies combined.

Which means they should've had Keanu voice Mario.

 

[AJUMP23]

Which means they should've had Keanu voice Mario.

 

[Men_in_Boxes]

Interestingly, all the movies require the franchise to be old enough for nostalgia driven parents to take their kids to. The cycle of violence then continues generation after generation in the same manner as the Hatfields and Mccoys.

 

[Azelover]

A Zelda film should be 2d animated and preferably bye Ghibli Studios.

I agree.

 

[Men_in_Boxes]

Zelda should be Live Action starring Tom Holland as the titular character.

 

[Jinzo Prime]

Zelda should be Live Action starring Tom Holland and the titular character.

Sony/Disney won't ever let him go. But that certainly would be a billion-making movie.

 

[Burning Blade]

Sony/Disney won't ever let him go. But that certainly would be a billion-making movie.

Woosh

 

[poodaddy]

Zelda should be Live Action starring Tom Holland as the titular character.

 

[MaestroMike]

Loved it !! The perfect video game film adaptation I’ll definitely be seeing it again. Super action packed and had everything I could ever want in a Mario movie

 

[eddie4]

Nintendo has an almost limitless potential for more movies: Zelda, Smash Bros, Luigis Mansion, Metroid, Donkey Kong, it all could easily translate.

I'd love to see a Metroid movie, done right of course.

 

[Jsisto]

Well earned. Loved every second of it.

 

[Dirk Benedict]

Gonna watch this with 2 friends and my Momma. I am paying everyone's way. Gladly. Can't wait to just have some fun!

 

[ShinFuYux]

The movie started so great, but it kinda lost itself near the end.

I have a feeling they tried to tell a serious story but the higher ups were like "nah, bro, dumb that shit down".

 

[pramod]

Wow, who woulda thought a video game movie based on the most popular game in the world, is 100% faithful to the source material, and even looks exactly like the actual game, would turn out to be popular?

 

[BlackTron]

John Wick 3 was a big success and grossed a little over 300 million. John Wick 4 is gonna top that and likely land at around 350 million. There has never been any talk of John Wick getting close to a billion.

Grossing a billion is extreme. Very few movies get close to that.

The Mario Movie went past Johh Wick 4's total box office numbers in 5 days. Compared to other movies with openings like that, crossing a billion shouldn't be an issue. The Mario Movie is gonna earn more than all the John Wick movies combined.

It's been a long time since I went to the theater and I saw both. John Wick with one adult, and Mario with 2 adults and 2 kids, and we moved down in the row so this giant party with like 8 kids could all fit in the same row together. So my experience is pretty consistent with these numbers.

Mario just has such a wider reach than an adult-only action movie. I sat next to a tiny 3-4 year old dressed as Rosalina. Nintendo may as well be the new fucking Disney. When kids are indoctrinated it's printing money.

Side note, my 10yo niece kinda freaked out at Peach's final ace up her sleeve, it's her favorite game ability because it's similar to a certain popular Disney princess. For me that was a real high note, where it succeeded as a game crossover movie (by invoking the experience of the game) and struck a chord with her exactly because it set out to do that. Successful game adaptation.

 

[Azurro]

The movie started so great, but it kinda lost itself near the end.

I have a feeling they tried to tell a serious story but the higher ups were like "nah, bro, dumb that shit down".

Well, Mario has never had much of a story, it's always characters that are cute, happy and funny. Even the ghost characters are cute, it kinda makes sense the movie would be the same, no?

 

[Scotty W]

I'm gonna give it a month till the crowds at the theatre die down, but I can't wait to watch this with my niece and nephew. Their parents don't let them go too hard on the video games, so I like to spoil them when they come visit. I'm not sure they've ever even played Mario, but they're both excited for the movie. It's so much fun to share these experiences with them and see how they react to and enjoy the same things I grew up with.

Y’all should microdose some magic mushrooms to make this one extra special.

 

[Gamerfan81]

It's now at 420.8 million. 19 million more and it becomes the highest grossing video game movie of all time overtaking Warcraft. Probably by this time tomorrow it holds that record. All indications are that the movie will hit $1 billion soon. Only 51 movies in the history of cinema has hit that milestone.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt6718170/

 

[tkscz]

This up coming weekend should be interesting. It doesn't have competition in terms of animated family movie and just going from the audiences that were in the two theaters I saw the movie in (once with wife and once with my kids) quite a few people plan on seeing it again.

 

[JayK47]

Glad to hear it. Will need to grab disk and watch with the kids.

 

[DKehoe]

Just back from seeing it and thought it was pretty fun. Cinema was packed as well, which wasn’t surprising considering how well it’s been doing at the box office.

 

[Jinzo Prime]

Woosh

You mean you wouldn't watch Tom Holland as Zelda? He can totally pull it off:

 

[Batiman]

The movie started so great, but it kinda lost itself near the end.

I have a feeling they tried to tell a serious story but the higher ups were like "nah, bro, dumb that shit down".

Probably for the better. It feels like a plot I could make up in 5 min in my head. Add in all the cool video game references and some popular voice actors and boom. Success.

Makes me wonder why it took them so long to make a big budget movie. I thought it was fun. No way was it bad, also not great.

Also they did a good job transitioning these voiceless characters into real characters without it feeling jarring at all. Especially with all the Pratt voice hate and other concerns before the release. Was really natural in the end and probably what they deserve the most praise for.

 

[Marvel14]

That's not a problem in an of itself, as tropey as it is.

The problem is that it has to be in contrast to an incompetent protagonist, who then by definition is not needed and has no agency.

A movie with a protagonist who has no agency backed up by supporting characters who don't need him and have no development is a bad movie.

And this movie (just got back) is very bad.

 

[ChorizoPicozo]

41% drop.

,,,,

i'm glad i am not Nintendo-indoctrinated.

but that song is stuck in my head.

 

[Bragr]

700 million in the books. Maybe it can reach a billion after this weekend.

 

[Synless]

41% drop.

,,,,

i'm glad i am not Nintendo-indoctrinated.

but that song is stuck in my head.

Now, I’m willing to be wrong here but a 41% is not bad compared to the average movie for a second weekend… in fact I believe I read its a lower drop than average By about 20%.

 

[ChorizoPicozo]

Now, I’m willing to be wrong here but a 41% is not bad compared to the average movie for a second weekend… in fact I believe I read its a lower drop than average By about 20%.

yep, they are usually between 57-67%.

 

[WoJ]

I took my daughter to see it over the weekend. It wasn't bad. I enjoyed the Sonic movies more. But this was certainly enjoyable.

 

[Sidney Prescott]

Was a fun movie, definitely a cool experience seeing it at the cinema. A lot of excited/happy people, especially kids. It's just easy for everybody to enjoy, of all ages. The visuals were amazing.

 

[touchfuzzy]

Wow, who woulda thought a video game movie based on the most popular game in the world, is 100% faithful to the source material, and even looks exactly like the actual game, would turn out to be popular?

You say this like it's obvious but it took Hollywood how many dozens of years and dozens of different adaptations to finally figure this out...?

 

[Marvel14]

$700 million reached. $1 billion here we go!

Hopefully Nintendo uses some of its profits to up investment in higher capabilities for the Switch successor.

It's the first time they've ever made so much money so quickly.

 

[AJUMP23]

 

[NecrosaroIII]

$700 million reached. $1 billion here we go!

Hopefully Nintendo uses some of its profits to up investment in higher capabilities for the Switch successor.

It's the first time they've ever made so much money so quickly.

It's shocking to me they didn't make a tie in game

 

[AJUMP23]

It's shocking to me they didn't make a tie in game

Movie games suck. Nintendo knows this.

 

[E-Cat]

$700 million reached. $1 billion here we go!

Hopefully Nintendo uses some of its profits to up investment in higher capabilities for the Switch successor.

It's the first time they've ever made so much money so quickly.

I wonder what cut Illumination are getting?

 

[Unknown Soldier]

$700 million reached. $1 billion here we go!

Hopefully Nintendo uses some of its profits to up investment in higher capabilities for the Switch successor.

It's the first time they've ever made so much money so quickly.

I would like them to use some of these profits to create the Nintendo Cinematic Universe. First off I would like a Donkey Kong movie and bring Seth Rogen back to voice DK. I heard some people think a Zelda movie would be cool. Others would like a Luigi's Mansion movie. I admit that I wonder what a Metroid movie would be like, especially Metroid itself is inspired by Alien so it would be a movie inspired by a video game inspired by a movie! There are a lot of possibilities now that Nintendo has tasted that box office money printer success!

I think Nintendo should stay conservative with the Switch 2's specs. The appeal of Switch has always been the ability to grab it off the dock and play it as a portable. Excessive spec inflation that compromises it's ability to be a portable would be against the hybrid console concept that made Switch so successful.

 

[AJUMP23]

I wonder what cut Illumination are getting?

Probably production cost plus revenue sharing.

 

[Billbofet]

Took my son to this tonight. He's 8 and most of the easter eggs were likely over his head, but he really enjoyed it.
I also enjoyed it quite a bit, but I wish there were more references and nods to the greatest Mario game of all time, Super Mario Bros. 2 (NES)!!!
Fingers crossed on seeing a Zelda movie - fully aware of how difficult it would be to pull off right! Or Metroid as a total pipedream.

 

[ADiTAR]

It's the first time they've ever made so much money so quickly.

Ah, they prob made less than 50m on it. Out of the 700m, the theaters take a 55-60% cut, subtract the marketing budget (125m ish), than illumination and Universal cut. The only buck they are really making is on the rise of Switch and Mario sales.

Switch's Mario video games have made them around 10b.

 

[El Pistolero]

With this and TLOU TV show having made waves, I expect Hollywood to get into videogames adaptations full mode, especially that the superheroes craze is slowly getting to an end.

 

[Marvel14]

Excessive spec inflation that compromises it's ability to be a portable

Ah, they prob made less than 50m on it.

What are you two smoking ?

It's the first time I see someone say "i hope Nintendo's hardware isn't too powerful so I can carry it." We know they will likely err on side of a current gen mid low capability mobile chipset. I just hope this success gives them the profit boost to absorb the cost of a midrange or even highmid mobile SoC with DLSS2.0. Portability should be completely unaffected, though battery life may be a bit worse.

And on that profit:
Assume.movie cost $150m to make and market,. that theatres take 50% of the revenue and Nintendo takes half of the subsequent profits.
$700m becomes $350m and leaves $200m total profit.

That's $100m already on 2 weeks and rising probably to $200m (hasn't released in Japan yet). They could put $75m aside for the next film and still have a bulging wallet. They would have to sell 1.7 mn copies of a game at £60 in two weeks to get the same revenue never mind profit. More profit will come from streaming, merchandising(games included) and tie ins.

 

[nightmare-slain]

I haven't saw it yet but happy it's doing well.

Do Zelda next please! I can't imagine a live action movie looking good so it has to be animated. It'd have to be an anime movie. I'm not sure it would be as successful as Mario but I'd watch it.

 

[ADiTAR]

What are you two smoking ?

It's the first time I see someone say "i hope Nintendo's hardware isn't too powerful so I can carry it." We know they will likely err on side of a current gen mid low capability mobile chipset. I just hope this success gives them the profit boost to absorb the cost of a midrange or even highmid mobile SoC with DLSS2.0. Portability should be completely unaffected, though battery life may be a bit worse.

And on that profit:
Assume.movie cost $150m to make and market,. that theatres take 50% of the revenue and Nintendo takes half of the subsequent profits.
$700m becomes $350m and leaves $200m total profit.

That's $100m already on 2 weeks and rising probably to $200m (hasn't released in Japan yet). They could put $75m aside for the next film and still have a bulging wallet. They would have to sell 1.7 mn copies of a game at £60 in two weeks to get the same revenue never mind profit. More profit will come from streaming, merchandising(games included) and tie ins.

I'm sure the profit can come to something bigger, mostly from the rise of brand awareness and more people wanting to play Mario. What the actual movie will give Nintendo in terms of profits is not that substantial for them, but maybe we'll see differently in their financial results.

 

[Dr.Morris79]

A billion you say? Shit, how will they cope?

I guess they really need old Gary Bowsers money after all.

 

[Bragr]

It just had the 7th-best second weekend of all time. This was the weekend of the 14th to the 16th. Pretty wild stuff.

The highest-grossing second-weekend movies ever in the United States:

1. Star Wars: The Force Awakens, $149.2 million
2. Avengers: Endgame, $147.4 million
3. Avengers: Infinity War, $114.8 million
4. Black Panther, $111.7 million
5. Jurassic World, $106.6 million
6. The Avengers, $103.1 million
7. The Super Mario Bros. Movie, $92.5 million
8. 2017’s Beauty and the Beast, $90.4 million
9. Top Gun Maverick, $90 million
10. Frozen II, $85.9 million

 

[Bragr]

Ah, they prob made less than 50m on it. Out of the 700m, the theaters take a 55-60% cut, subtract the marketing budget (125m ish), than illumination and Universal cut. The only buck they are really making is on the rise of Switch and Mario sales.

Switch's Mario video games have made them around 10b.

"This comes courtesy of MST Financial senior analyst David Gibson, who estimates that the movie will make $1.2 billion total at the box office, followed by an additional $2.3 billion from its digital release. Altogether, that’s $3.5 billion (about £2.8 billion).

Obviously, all that money won’t go to Nintendo – Illumination and Universal will be taking a cut – but Gibson tells Axios that Nintendo will come out of the venture with around $1.1 billion (about £886 million)."

Super Mario movie could make Nintendo $1,100,000,000 as it breaks records

Even on its second week, the Super Mario movie isn’t slowing down and is predicted to make up to $3.5 billion once it releases digitally.

metro.co.uk