Wkd Box Office 06•14-16•13 - 'man' steals box office, the end is near

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The people have spoken! Bomba of Steel! Long live Returns! Vive la revolution!

In all honesty, I personally would have liked to have seen the Returns sequel over Man of Steel. From what I have read, it would have been truly redeeming and really fun.

http://screenrant.com/bryan-singer-superman-man-steel-brainiac-storyline-rob-91933/

The only real problem I had with Returns was the characterization of Lex Luther... He should have been an evil billionaire, not some criminal mastermind stealing from old ladies.
 
What is interesting is how it is playing out the complete opposite of Superman Returns. Returns had a really underwhelming opening weekend but had a pretty decent leggy run from there on out and was able to inch past 200 mil. Man of Steel on the other hand had a huge opening weekend but then fell off a cliff with a big drop-off.
 
Poor WB.

And with Pacific Rim almost certified bomba, not looking good for the studio at all.
 
Poor WB.

And with Pacific Rim almost certified bomba, not looking good for the studio at all.

Man of Steel will make them money, international will guarantee that. But not Batman or Iron Man numbers by a long shot. It's just not the start to a franchise you'd want. Terrible post-opening weekend domestic gross isn't a base to build a franchise off of.
 
I don't think anyone believed it was going to make avengers money at all.

I think Batman Begins or IM1 numbers were more realistic expectations for MoS.
 
I don't think anyone believed it was going to make avengers money at all.

I think Batman Begins or IM1 numbers were more realistic expectations for MoS.
Thats a pretty huge range. 200 to 300 mil. It won't do Iron Man numbers domestically at this rate, and it won't make more than Batman Begins did adjusted for inflation.
 
I'm guessing that if MoS has that major drop, then this will force WB to market the shit out of Pacific Rim. The studio desperately needs a big franchise now that Nolan Bats and Harry Potter movies are no longer coming out.
 
I'm guessing that if MoS has that major drop, then this will force WB to market the shit out of Pacific Rim. The studio desperately needs a big franchise now that Nolan Bats and Harry Potter movies are no longer coming out.

I can't wait for Pacific Rim but I don't know anyone else in real life who does, I don't have a good feeling on it's performance. Not to mention it's tracking numbers have not been very good.
 
Maybe WB will catch a clue and hire Michael Bay for the next Superman. If you wanna go big and dumb, then go big and dumb the right way.

Pacific Rims looks like a soft performer to me.
 
Thats a pretty huge range. 200 to 300 mil. It won't do Iron Man numbers domestically at this rate, and it won't make more than Batman Begins did adjusted for inflation.

Batman Begins adjusted for inflation is only $255M. MoS has that locked. The movie will probably be in the $210-215M range after this weekend. Amazing Spider-man was sitting at $200M after a $34M second weekend, and it still made $60M after that point. That's with TDKR opening in week 3. Man of Steel will get a boost in its third week and fourth weekend thanks to the fourth of July. I still think $300M has a good shot at happening. If not, the film will be in the $285M+ range.
 
Batman Begins adjusted for inflation is only $255M. MoS has that locked. The movie will probably be in the $210-215M range after this weekend. Amazing Spider-man was sitting at $200M after a $34M second weekend, and it still made $60M after that point. That's with TDKR opening in week 3. Man of Steel will get a boost in its third week and fourth weekend thanks to the fourth of July. I still think $300M has a good shot at happening. If not, the film will be in the $285M+ range.

Man of Steel ain't getting any boost man.
 
Man of Steel ain't getting any boost man.

Every film gets a boost from a holiday weekend. Fourth of July is Thursday, which means that many people will be taking that Friday off as well.

EDIT: Those who watch TV, has WB switched to advertising Pacific Rim yet? If that campaign doesn't get started they are going to be in trouble.
 
Every film gets a boost from a holiday weekend. Fourth of July is Thursday, which means that many people will be taking that Friday off as well.

EDIT: Those who watch TV, has WB switched to advertising Pacific Rim yet? If that campaign doesn't get started they are going to be in trouble.

I've seen a couple of tv spots.
 
I find it interesting is that WWZ is over performing by the same amount that MOS is under performing, about 7-9m.

Are you talking about Friday or the weekend?

World War Z is overperforming by at least $15M for the weekend. Tracking had it at $40-45M.

I said $45M for Man of Steel on Wednesday, so I don't think it is underperforming by much at all. If it comes in lower than that, it won't be by much. Websites that were predicting $50-55M were not paying attention to the week day grosses. Early tracking had Man of Steel much higher, but that was the case last weekend too. Perhaps the film just plays well on Matinees, or perhaps the West Coast is not as interested as the East Coast?
 
Damn. Here I was convinced MoS could potentially do a billion. :x

Only films that aren't direct sequels (or prequels) in the billion dollar club are Avatar, Titanic, and Alice in Wonderland. Harry Potter came close.

Original films/reboots usually don't have the same box office potential as sequels. Especially overseas.
 
Friday (studio) estimate for Man of Steel is $12.7M for a $181M total.

Wow it just keeps going down

If next weeks topic isn't something like 'Superman scared off by monsters and zombies' it will be a missed oppurtunity
 
Are you talking about Friday or the weekend?

World War Z is overperforming by at least $15M for the weekend. Tracking had it at $40-45M.

I said $45M for Man of Steel on Wednesday, so I don't think it is underperforming by much at all. If it comes in lower than that, it won't be by much. Websites that were predicting $50-55M were not paying attention to the week day grosses. Early tracking had Man of Steel much higher, but that was the case last weekend too. Perhaps the film just plays well on Matinees, or perhaps the West Coast is not as interested as the East Coast?

A few places had MOS and WWZ both in the 50-55 range for the weekend. That's what I was talking about.
 
Man of Steel will make them money, international will guarantee that. But not Batman or Iron Man numbers by a long shot. It's just not the start to a franchise you'd want. Terrible post-opening weekend domestic gross isn't a base to build a franchise off of.

Batman Begins had great follow up weekends. It just didn't have a HUGE opening weekend. But it retained that audience pretty damn well after it. And rightfully so. It only dropped 43% on second and third weekends.
I think the only huge superhero movie to have better weekend holds that I can see was Spider-Man, which had approx 37-38% second and third weekend drops.

Friday (studio) estimate for Man of Steel is $12.7M for a $181M total.

Yeowch. That is even lower than initial estimates.
 
Well it's not a bomba but it is not going to be doing Batman/Marvel type numbers. The biggest problem is the massive drop off from last weekend and toxic word of mouth (no way to spin a friday drop of over 70% as anything less than that) is going to hurt the long run plans for a Justice League and wider DC Universe. It's hard to build up a universe off a film the film going public didn't really like.

What. Utter. Fucking. Nonsense. Though I have yet to see MOS myself Marvel's output was solid (Iron Man was an enjoyable romp. Thor and Captain America less so. IM2 is a disaster) and didn't really yield anything special until The Avengers which was good fun but largely overrated IMHO and yet they get praised for their output.

So how exactly are you equating MOS as 'a film the public didn't really like' and closing the door on the DCU entirely in one swoop? That's ludicrous. It might be a big drop in a crowded marketplace but to throw the baby out with the bath water is nonsensical.

And what exactly do you mean by 'Marvel type numbers'? Do you mean Iron Man 3 and Avengers numbers? Because if you do then fair enough. MOS should out gross Thor, Iron Man 1 & 2 and Captain America or, as they are otherwise known the majority of Marvel's output, in worldwide box office numbers.

MOS is still the number film in the worldwide marketplace according to Deadline with a number of major overseas territories still to go. The film has a long way to go yet before people start writing obituaries the DC franchise.
 
What. Utter. Fucking. Nonsense. Though I have yet to see MOS myself Marvel's output was solid (Iron Man was an enjoyable romp. Thor and Captain America less so. IM2 is a disaster) and didn't really yield anything special until The Avengers which was good fun but largely overrated IMHO and yet they get praised for their output.

So how exactly are you equating MOS as 'a film the public didn't really like' and closing the door on the DCU entirely in one swoop? That's ludicrous. It might be a big drop in a crowded marketplace but to throw the baby out with the bath water is nonsensical.

And what exactly do you mean by 'Marvel type numbers'? Do you mean Iron Man 3 and Avengers numbers? Because if you do then fair enough. MOS should out gross Thor, Iron Man 1 & 2 and Captain America or, as they are otherwise known the majority of Marvel's output, in worldwide box office numbers.

MOS is still the number film in the worldwide marketplace according to Deadline with a number of major overseas territories still to go. The film has a long way to go yet before people start writing obituaries the DC franchise.

It is the probably massive second weekend drop that is scary. While MoS has already outgrossed Thor, Captain America, and Incredible Hulk in the US, a drop that massive does not inspire confidence to continue with a sequel or sequels on the same path.

So how does MOS...not doing well, bode for a JLA film?

I still want a kick ass JLA film. Just not from the people behind MOS. At least not Nolan producing and Goyer writing. With the right material, Snyder could give us one helluva JLA film.
 
Bit harsh to call it a bomb....it will end up some where between $250m -$280m domestically and probably around $350m international which gives it $600m+

Not too bad for a reboot
 
lol @ the spin here, especially from Cheebo & Phoncicle (duh).

Do you guys know that this was possibly the first weekend in the history of box-office where three movies had a good shot of opening 50M+?

What other comparable movies (to MoS) had two big openers 80M+ & 60M+ opening it's second weekend?

Come with an answer to that. Mmmkay ;)
 
I don't think anyone predicted that. Those that were predicting big numbers were probably expecting that the movie wouldn't be complete shit.

Yes there was. Go into the MOS OT and go back to before last weekend and you'll see a few diehards inventing huge numbers based on no facts whatsoever.
 
lol @ the spin here, especially from Cheebo & Phoncicle (duh).

Do you guys know that this was possibly the first weekend in the history of box-office where three movies had a good shot of opening 50M+?

What other comparable movies (to MoS) had two big openers 80M+ & 60M+ opening it's second weekend?

Come with an answer to that. Mmmkay ;)

How is it spin to point out that it dropped? How is it spin to show that another, far better comic book movie, had a better hold on the second weekend of release that was also during the same time of June? And that movie was a Batman movie. The numbers don't lie.
 
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