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Kurosaki Ichigo · Feb 18, 2011

So lets talk about our prediction game for huge-ass next week, I have around 10 titles worth predicting any normal week and that's without any 3DS stuff, which would be hardware prediction and 6 interesting titles. What do you guys think, shall we separate 3DS predictions from the rest, combine and trim the list, combine but add a 3rd and 4th ranking for just 3DS stuff...

There's also number availability question, since a normal MC Top20 would barely cover around new 16 titles I can see hitting it (without splitting Nintendogs which I think they won't), but there's also a chance we get a full report on 3DS numbers.

Short list of what's interesting to predict:
3DS: Hardware, Nintendogs, Layton 5, Street Fighter IV, Samurai Warriors, Ridge Racer, Winning Eleven. Total 7.
Rest: DS Yugioh, PSP Phantasy Star Portable 2 Inf, PSP Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5, PSP/WII SD Gundam, WII/PS3 Rune Factory, PS3 Disgaea 4, PS3 Killzone 3, 360 Idolmaster 2. Total 10.

Datschge · Feb 18, 2011

Liabe Brave said:
No dev/publisher will be insane enough to do this, but it'd be a hoot.

It already happened at least once with the port of PW from DS to iOS, so I'm sure it can happen again.

AniHawk · Feb 18, 2011

Smiles and Cries said:
what does the 3DS station do?

it's not so bad. they just go in through the nose and take out a piece of your brain.

test_account · Feb 18, 2011

AniHawk said:
it's not so bad. they just go in through the nose and take out a piece of your brain.

And you get to keep the piece that they cut out in a jar (The Simpsons Treehouse of Horror

).

Chris1964 · Feb 18, 2011

21. / 24. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) {2009.10.01}
22. / 19. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3: World Challenge!! The Ogre (Level 5) {2010.12.16}
23. / 23. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (w/ Remote Plus) (Nintendo) {2010.11.11}
24. / 26. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) {2008.04.10}
25. / 30. [WII] Momotaro Railway 2010: Sengoku Ishin no Hero Daishuugou! no Maki [Everyone's Recommendation Selection] (Hudson) {2011.01.20}
26. / 31. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) {2009.12.03}
27. / 00. [360] Entaku no Seito: Students of Round (Chunsoft) {2011.02.10}
28. / 12. [PS3] Dragon Age: Origins (Spike) {2011.01.27}
29. / 22. [WII] Mario Sports Mix (Nintendo) {2010.11.25}
30. / 16. [PSP] Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep - Final Mix (Square Enix) {2011.01.20}
31. / 25. [NDS] Magician's Quest: The Merchants Store of Sorcery (Konami) {2010.11.11}
32. / 29. [WII] Taiko Drum Master Wii 3 (Bandai Namco) {2010.12.02}
33. / 10. [PSP] My Little Sister Can't Be This Cute Portable (Bandai Namco) {2011.01.27}
34. / 00. [PSP] Uta no Prince-Sama: Sweet Serenade (Broccoli) {2011.02.10}
35. / 32. [NDS] Super Fossil Fighters (Nintendo) {2010.11.18}
36. / 37. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) {2006.05.25}
37. / 33. [WII] Super Mario All-Stars (Nintendo) {2010.10.21}
38. / 15. [PSP] Toaru Majutsu no Index (ASCII Media Works) {2011.01.27}
39. / 21. [PSP] AKB1/48: If I loved an Idol (Bandai Namco) {2010.12.23}
40. / 43. [NDS] Friend Collection (Nintendo) {2009.06.18}
41. / 35. [PS3] Call of Duty: Black Ops (Dubbed Edition) (Square Enix) {2010.12.16}
42. / 45. [NDS] One Piece: Gigant Battle (Bandai Namco) {2010.09.09}
43. / 40. [PS3] Resident Evil 5: Gold Edition [PlayStation 3 the Best] (Capcom) {2010.11.11}
44. / 39. [NDS] Mario Vs. Donkey Kong: Miniland Mayhem (Nintendo) {2010.12.02}
45. / 00. [NDS] Dengeki School RPG: Cross of Venus Special (ASCII Media Works) {2011.02.10}
46. / 47. [WII] Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Nintendo) {2008.01.31}
47. / 49. [NDS] Taiko Drum Master DS: Dororon! Battle With the Ghouls!! (Bandai Namco) {2010.07.01}
48. / 00. [WII] Samurai Warriors 3 [Everyone's Recommendation Selection] (Koei Tecmo) {2011.01.20}
49. / 48. [PSP] Dangan-Ronpa (Spike) {2010.11.25}
50. / 38. [NDS] Monster Busters: Powered (Bandai Namco) {2011.01.20}

00. / 00. [ALL] Software Sales 2011 (All Publishers) {2011.02.07} - 1.162.810 / 5.964.048 (+35%)

NDS - 14
WII - 14
PSP - 13
PS3 - 7
360 - 2
3DS - 0
PS2 - 0

Sell-through for MH bundles>90%, sell-through for RM3: 81,18%

Graphics Horse · Feb 18, 2011

Liabe Brave said:
I just had a crazy thought. How about 3DS ports to NGP where both screens are rotated 90 degrees and stacked in portrait mode? The total resolution of the NGP screen is actually higher than the two 3DS screens put together, and only very slightly physically smaller (about the same size as the lower screen). Because the buttons would be hard to hit in this orientation it might restrict such porting to stylus-only games, but still!

No dev/publisher will be insane enough to do this, but it'd be a hoot.

It depends how important the lower screen is in these games, it looks like most games would be better off with a different layout.
They should have done Space invaders Extreme 2 on the PSP in tate-mode.

Grimmy · Feb 18, 2011

Soooo happy to see Dangun Ronpa still hanging in the Top 50!

Chris1964 · Feb 18, 2011

I did some research for previous system launches and the info we got back then.

Famitsu
[360] Report at Tuesday, hw + top 3 sw + tie ratio
[PS3] Report at Monday, hw + top 3 sw + tie ratio -> rounded numbers
[WII] Report at Tuesday, hw + top 10 sw + tie ratio

Media Create*
[PS3] Report at Wednesday, hw + total sw
[WII] Report at Tuesday, hw + total sw

* Media Create numbers were provided from eg.nttpub.co.jp that has gone down. Hopefully inside-games or 4Gamer more likely will give the numbers this time.

Chris1964 · Feb 19, 2011

antonz · Feb 19, 2011

Oh My the insanity is beginning. Would be nice to have that kind of selection for accessories etc in the States though

VOOK · Feb 19, 2011

antonz said:
Oh My the insanity is beginning. Would be nice to have that kind of selection for accessories etc in the States though

You can!

I've already ordered like 4 different cases just cos.

Chris1964 · Feb 19, 2011

I did some final changes to formatting. That's what will be used from now on.

Media Create Sales: Week 05, 2011 (Jan 31 - Feb 6)

01. / 00. [NDS] Ace Attorney Investigations: Miles Edgeworth 2 (Capcom) {2011.02.03} - 132.266 / NEW
02. / 00. [PSP] Macross: Triangle Frontier (Bandai Namco) {2011.02.03} - 55.513 / NEW
03. / 00. [PSP] White Knight Chronicles Episode Portable: Dogma Wars (SCE) {2011.02.03} - 40.603 / NEW
04. / 00. [NDS] Dragon Ball Kai: Ultimate Butouden (Bandai Namco) {2011.02.03} - 31.108 / NEW
05. / 04. [PSP] Kenka Bancho 5: Laws of Manhood (Spike) {2011.01.27} - 28.000 / 86.978 (-53%)
06. / 07. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom 3 (Capcom) {2010.12.01} - 27.861 / 4.156.138 (-16%)
07. / 01. [WII] The Last Story (Nintendo) {2011.01.27} - 19.178 / 133.900 (-83%)
08. / 02. [PSP] Valkyria Chronicles 3 (Sega) {2011.01.27} - 17.927 / 120.705 (-83%)
09. / 10. [WII] Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) {2010.12.09} - 16.493 / 790.386 (-14%)
10. / 03. [PSP] My Little Sister Can't Be This Cute Portable (Bandai Namco) {2011.01.27} - 11.721 / 100.214 (-87%)
11. / 16. [NDS] Pokemon Black / White (Pokemon Co.) {2010.09.18} - 10.795 / 5.061.434 (+1%)
12. / 06. [PS3] Dragon Age: Origins (Spike) {2011.01.27} - 10.517 / 53.371 (-75%)
13. / 14. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) {2010.07.08} - 9.678 / 1.777.102 (-10%)
14. / 21. [PSP] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) {2010.11.18} - 9.301 / 162.901 (+18%)
15. / 05. [PSP] Toaru Majutsu no Index (ASCII Media Works) {2011.01.27} - 8.863 / 64.880 (-84%)
16. / 09. [PSP] Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep - Final Mix (Square Enix) {2011.01.20} - 8.430 / 106.276 (-59%)
17. / 22. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) {2010.10.28} - 8.229 / 435.122
18. / 18. [NDS] Ni no Kuni: The Ebony Wizard (Level 5) {2010.12.09} - 7.595 / 467.561 (-14%)
19. / 17. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3: World Challenge!! The Ogre (Level 5) {2010.12.16} - 7.165 / 395.515 (-31%)
20. / 00. [PSP] Atelier Violet: The Alchemist of Guramnat 2 - Deep Blue Memories (Gust) {2011.02.03} - 5.564 / NEW

21. / 20. [PSP] AKB1/48: If I loved an Idol (Bandai Namco) {2010.12.23}
22. / 28. [WII] Mario Sports Mix (Nintendo) {2010.11.25}
23. / 23. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (w/ Remote Plus) (Nintendo) {2010.11.11}
24. / 24. [WII] Wii Fit Plus (Nintendo) {2009.10.01}
25. / 27. [NDS] Magician's Quest: The Merchants Store of Sorcery (Konami) {2010.11.11}
26. / 30. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) {2008.04.10}
27. / 00. [PS3] WWE Smackdown Vs. Raw 2011 (Yuke's) {2011.02.03}
28. / 00. [360] DoDonPachi Resurrection: Black Label (Cave) {2011.02.03}
29. / 29. [WII] Taiko Drum Master Wii 3 (Bandai Namco) {2010.12.02}
30. / 25. [WII] Momotaro Railway 2010: Sengoku Ishin no Hero Daishuugou! no Maki [Everyone's Recommendation Selection] (Hudson) {2011.01.20}
31. / 31. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) {2009.12.03}
32. / 34. [NDS] Super Fossil Fighters (Nintendo) {2010.11.18}
33. / 36. [WII] Super Mario All-Stars (Nintendo) {2010.10.21}
34. / 00. [PSP] Death Connection Portable (Idea Factory) {2011.02.03}
35. / 39. [PS3] Call of Duty: Black Ops (Dubbed Edition) (Square Enix) {2010.12.16}
36. / 37. [NDS] Eigo de Tabisuru: Little Charo (Nintendo) {2011.01.20}
37. / 40. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) {2006.05.25}
38. / 26. [NDS] Monster Busters: Powered (Bandai Namco) {2011.01.20}
39. / 41. [NDS] Mario Vs. Donkey Kong: Miniland Mayhem (Nintendo) {2010.12.02}
40. / 50. [PS3] Resident Evil 5: Gold Edition [PlayStation 3 the Best] (Capcom) {2010.11.11}
41. / 49. [NDS] Momotaro Railway: World (Hudson) {2010.12.02}
42. / 38. [PS3] Arcana Heart 3 (Arc System Works) {2011.01.13}
43. / 45. [NDS] Friend Collection (Nintendo) {2009.06.18}
44. / 48. [WII] Shape Boxing 2: Enjoy the Diet on Wii! (Rocket Company) {2010.12.16}
45. / 00. [NDS] One Piece: Gigant Battle (Bandai Namco) {2010.09.09}
46. / 13. [360] Gal Gun (Alchemist) {2011.01.27}
47. / 00. [WII] Super Smash Bros. Brawl (Nintendo) {2008.01.31}
48. / 00. [PSP] Dangan-Ronpa (Spike) {2010.11.25}
49. / 00. [NDS] Taiko Drum Master DS: Dororon! Battle With the Ghouls!! (Bandai Namco) {2010.07.01}
50. / 00. [PS3] Gran Turismo 5 (SCE) {2010.11.25}

NDS - 15
PSP - 13
WII - 13
PS3 - 7
360 - 2
3DS - 0
PS2 - 0

SOFTWARE

Code:

-----------------------------------------------------------------------            
|System | This Week | Last Week | Last Year |        YTD |   Last YTD |            
-----------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  ALL  |   860.681 | 1.094.937 | 1.217.094 |  4.801.238 |  7.073.729 |       
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

HARDWARE

Code:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|System | This Week | Last Week | Last Year |        YTD |   Last YTD |         LTD |            
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  PSP  |    30.611 |    34.928 |    44.901 |    272.228 |    370.838 |  16.922.436 |      
|  PS3  |    23.846 |    25.149 |    25.450 |    192.355 |    183.594 |   6.279.845 |      
|  NDS  |    22.565 |    22.561 |    52.606 |    210.417 |    338.211 |  32.361.115 |      
|  WII  |    14.972 |    19.448 |    36.149 |    141.833 |    257.746 |  11.421.470 |      
|  360  |     2.282 |     3.513 |     3.651 |     16.746 |     21.166 |   1.437.244 |      
|  PS2  |     1.897 |     1.938 |     2.047 |     11.512 |     11.989 |  21.707.608 |      
|  3DS  |         0 |         0 |         0 |          0 |          0 |           0 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  ALL  |    96.173 |   107.537 |   164.804 |    845.091 |  1.183.544 |  90.129.718 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
| DSiLL |    11.555 |    11.891 |    28.080 |    108.809 |    162.641 |   2.056.391 |      
|  DSi  |     9.954 |     9.611 |    19.116 |     90.496 |    141.742 |   5.634.223 |      
|  DSL  |     1.056 |     1.059 |     5.410 |     11.112 |     33.828 |  18.085.030 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  PSP  |    30.475 |    34.648 |    43.163 |    266.215 |    360.815 |  16.755.999 |      
| PSPgo |       136 |       280 |     1.738 |      6.013 |     10.023 |     166.437 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Famitsu Sales: Week 06, 2011 (Jan 31 - Feb 6)

01. / 00. [NDS] Ace Attorney Investigations: Miles Edgeworth 2 (Capcom) {2011.02.03} - 134.760 / NEW (+0%)
02. / 00. [PSP] Macross: Triangle Frontier (Bandai Namco) {2011.02.03} - 54.685 / NEW (+0%)
03. / 00. [PSP] White Knight Chronicles Episode Portable: Dogma Wars (SCE) {2011.02.03} - 41.241 / NEW
04. / 06. [PSP] Monster Hunter Freedom 3 (Capcom) {2010.12.01} - 32.655 / 4.163.560 (-17%)
05. / 00. [NDS] Dragon Ball Kai: Ultimate Butouden (Bandai Namco) {2011.02.03} - 29.732 / NEW
06. / 04. [PSP] Kenka Bancho 5: Laws of Manhood (Spike) {2011.01.27} - 22.050 / 86.408 (-66%)
07. / 01. [WII] The Last Story (Nintendo) {2011.01.27} - 19.754 / 129.458 (-82%)
08. / 02. [PSP] Valkyria Chronicles 3 (Sega) {2011.01.27} - 17.993 / 126.978 (-83%)
09. / 10. [WII] Donkey Kong Country Returns (Nintendo) {2010.12.09} - 12.434 / 851.502 (-26%)
10. / 07. [PS3] Dragon Age: Origins (Spike) {2011.01.27} - 12.134 / 47.933 (-66%)
11. / 12. [NDS] Pokemon Black / White (Pokemon Co.) {2010.09.18} - 11.009 / 5.092.530 (-12%)
12. / 03. [PSP] My Little Sister Can't Be This Cute Portable (Bandai Namco) {2011.01.27} - 10.506 / 99.916 (-88%)
13. / 16. [WII] Wii Party (Nintendo) {2010.07.08} - 9.306 / 1.786.328 (-10%)
14. / 18. [PSP] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) {2010.11.18} - 9.250 / 156.163 (+10%)
15. / 05. [PSP] Toaru Majutsu no Index (ASCII Media Works) {2011.01.27} - 8.937 / 65.504 (-84%)
16. / 09. [PSP] Kingdom Hearts: Birth by Sleep - Final Mix (Square Enix) {2011.01.20} - 8.641 / 107.479 (-56%)
17. / 15. [NDS] Ni no Kuni: The Ebony Wizard (Level 5) {2010.12.09} - 7.663 / 501.538 (-27%)
18. / 23. [WII] Mario Kart Wii (Nintendo) {2008.04.10} - 6.770 / 3.066.706 (-1%)
19. / 00. [PSP] Atelier Violet: The Alchemist of Guramnat 2 - Deep Blue Memories (Gust) {2011.02.03} - 6.528 / NEW
20. / 17. [PSP] AKB1/48: If I loved an Idol (Bandai Namco) {2010.12.23} - 6.323 / 370.102 (-34%)
21. / 22. [WII] Wii Sports Resort (Nintendo) {2009.06.25} - 6.283 / 2.242.456 (-17%)
22. / 21. [NDS] Inazuma Eleven 3: World Challenge!! The Ogre (Level 5) {2010.12.16} - 6.172 / 371.083 (-23%)
23. / 24. [WII] Mario Sports Mix (Nintendo) {2010.11.25} - 6.092 / 590.078 (-10%)
24. / 00. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2011 (Konami) {2010.10.28} - 5.379 / 401.812
25. / 00. [PS3] WWE Smackdown Vs. Raw 2011 (Yuke's) {2011.02.03} - 5.271 / NEW
26. / 00. [360] DoDonPachi Resurrection: Black Label (Cave) {2011.02.03} - 5.186 / NEW
27. / 26. [WII] Super Mario All-Stars (Nintendo) {2010.10.21} - 5.179 / 848.024 (-14%)
28. / 28. [NDS] Magician's Quest: The Merchants Store of Sorcery (Konami) {2010.11.11} - 4.917 / 328.894 (-13%)
29. / 30. [NDS] New Super Mario Bros. (Nintendo) {2006.05.25} - 4.775 / 6.071.466 (-8%)
30. / 00. [WII] New Super Mario Bros. Wii (Nintendo) {2009.12.03} - 4.568 / 4.168.082 (-8%)

PSP - 15
WII - 10
NDS - 8
PS3 - 6
360 - 1
3DS - 0
PS2 - 0

SOFTWARE

Code:

---------------------------------------------            
|System | This Week | Last Week | Last Year |            
---------------------------------------------            
|  NDS  |     37,5% |     14,8% |     31,1% |         
|  PSP  |     34,6% |     46,4% |     36,1% |         
|  WII  |     15,0% |     21,5% |     14,5% |         
|  PS3  |      9,4% |     10,4% |     15,5% |         
|  360  |      3,1% |      6,6% |      1,2% |         
|  PS2  |      0,4% |      0,4% |      1,4% |         
|  OTH  |      0,1% |      0,1% |      0,1% |         
|  3DS  |      0,0% |      0,0% |      0,0% |         
---------------------------------------------

HARDWARE

Code:

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|System | This Week | Last Week | Last Year |        YTD |   Last YTD |         LTD |            
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  NDS  |    29.498 |    26.891 |    56.193 |    335.338 |    591.928 |  32.459.636 |      
|  PSP  |    27.180 |    29.822 |    42.660 |    221.849 |    526.468 |  16.498.780 |      
|  PS3  |    23.571 |    22.872 |    25.648 |    223.572 |    322.278 |   6.173.459 |      
|  WII  |    14.953 |    18.985 |    30.704 |    229.682 |    421.165 |  11.459.974 |      
|  360  |     2.846 |     3.632 |     4.250 |     22.968 |     32.530 |   1.429.631 |      
|  PS2  |     1.419 |     1.356 |     1.962 |     10.411 |     17.790 |  21.906.322 |      
|  3DS  |         0 |         0 |         0 |          0 |          0 |           0 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  ALL  |    99.467 |   103.558 |   161.417 |  1.043.820 |  1.912.159 |  89.927.802 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  DSi  |    28.318 |    25.467 |    51.216 |    321.783 |    546.112 |   7.882.656 |      
|  DSL  |     1.180 |     1.424 |     4.977 |     13.555 |     45.816 |  18.127.774 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------            
|  PSP  |    27.027 |    29.658 |    41.152 |    211.216 |    510.486 |  16.347.695 |      
| PSPgo |       153 |       164 |     1.508 |     10.633 |     15.982 |     151.085 |      
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For predictions let's go all the way. Predict for everything.

Captain Chaos · Feb 19, 2011

Smiles and Cries said:
NDS is selling too well for its last legs

Will be interesting to see how nds sales pan out in next few months.

Kurosaki Ichigo · Feb 19, 2011

Chris1964 said:
For predictions let's go all the way. Predict for everything.

Rankings (units/points) all in one, or separating 3DS and the rest or both (all in one and specific 3DS-only ranking)? I'm probably leaning to the latter.

Chris1964 · Feb 19, 2011

Kurosaki Ichigo said:
Rankings (units/points) all in one, or separating 3DS and the rest or both (all in one and specific 3DS-only ranking)? I'm probably leaning to the latter.

You choose.

Blablurn · Feb 19, 2011

played some ridge racer 3D. didnt like the 3D effect at all. but yeah, the worst part was the gameplay haha

Takao · Feb 19, 2011

That display makes the 3DS look like a DSi XL, shit looks huge. Also, I now know where that guy got his Pikachu avatar from (look at the banner in the background!).

Kurosaki Ichigo · Feb 19, 2011

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)
- 3DS stuff is released on the 26th, Saturday, so 2 days will be covered, the rest is usual 4 days
- Any title missing Media Create Top20 will be taken out of the predictions
- There will be 4 rankings: Best overall by units, best overall by percentages, best in 3DS stuff by units and best in 3DS stuff by percentages. Basically it means the usual pair of rankings and an extra pair for 3DS-only stuff (hard+soft) for its launch commemoration .

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) -
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) -
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) -
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) -
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) -
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) -
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) -
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) -
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) -
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) -
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) -
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) -
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) -
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) -
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) -
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) -
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) -

Your turn, arm-chair analysts

Gravijah · Feb 19, 2011

Takao said:
That display makes the 3DS look like a DSi XL, shit looks huge. Also, I now know where that guy got his Pikachu avatar from (look at the banner in the background!).

Yeah, the one that looks like Face from the old Nick Jr!

Spiegel · Feb 19, 2011

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 376000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 120000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 160000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 50000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 30000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 33000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 20000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 16000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 300000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 8000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 190000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 25000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 15000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 25000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 85000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 30000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 37000

Chris1964 · Feb 19, 2011

I wonder if anyone will have less than 200k or even 300k error.

Baki · Feb 19, 2011

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 387,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 105,000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 135,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 63,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 75,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 66,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 70,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 20,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 165,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 12,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 177,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 98,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 45,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 88,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 27,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 32,000

PS: Too bad they only have 400,000 units for launch. NDS launched at 460K+ units.

Chris1964 · Feb 19, 2011

Baki said:
PS: Too bad they only have 400,000 units for launch. NDS launched at 460K+ units.

This number for 3DS is an estimate that can be close but can also be off.

Tailzo · Feb 19, 2011

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 390,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 150,000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 90,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 30,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 40,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 40,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 50,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 10,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 70,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 12,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 90,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 50,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 30,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 50,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 15,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 20,000

I don't hve any clue. I do hope Disgaea 4 seels well.

king zell · Feb 19, 2011

Marvel vs. Capcom 3: Fate of Two Worlds

http://www.true-gaming.net/home/19097

Catherine

http://www.true-gaming.net/home/19102

schuelma · Feb 19, 2011

What the hell.

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 360000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 150000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 170000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 40000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 20000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 25000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 30000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 12000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 265000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 10000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 200000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 20000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 12000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 30000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 75000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 37000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 33000

onipex · Feb 19, 2011

apana said:
On hardware side I dont think PSP2 is gonna do all that great compared to 3DS. Also the Last Story seems to have done very poorly considering the publicity Nintendo gave it.

I honestly think the game would have done better outside of Japan or just should have been put on the 3DS.

donny2112 · Feb 19, 2011

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 385K
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 125K
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 85K
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 25K
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 15K
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 5K
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 30K
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 25K
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 225K
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 15K
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 90K
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 25K
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20K
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20K
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 75K
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 56K
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 45K

VOOK · Feb 20, 2011

Blablurn said:
played some ridge racer 3D. didnt like the 3D effect at all. but yeah, the worst part was the gameplay haha

Playing Ridger Racer as your only 3DS game

ULTROS! · Feb 20, 2011

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 390k
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 110k
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 160k
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 55k
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 77k
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 40k
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 75k
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 15k
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 285k
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 15k
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 170k
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 50k
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 10k
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 90k
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 95k
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 25k
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 20k

Chris1964 · Feb 20, 2011

Predictions

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 543.210
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 156.789
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 167.890
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 45.678
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 43.210
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 34.567
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 32.109
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 21.098
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 234.567
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 10.987
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 178.901
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 32.109
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 12.345
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 23.456
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 78.901
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 32.109
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 34.567

Chris1964 · Feb 20, 2011

Shining Hearts ships 170k, target was 150k.

http://twitter.com/ShineNaHito/status/38272448386441216

Aru · Feb 20, 2011

Chris1964 said:
Shining Hearts ships 170k, target was 150k.

http://twitter.com/ShineNaHito/status/38272448386441216

Sequel incoming ? :/

duckroll · Feb 20, 2011

Way too many titles for prediction imo. Kinda lacking motivation for this one. :/

Jackano · Feb 20, 2011

Predictions

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 320,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 166,333
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 102,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 96,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 33,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 54,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 40,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 10,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 80,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 10,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 60,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 34,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 30,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 25,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 30,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 5,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 18,000
[3DS] Combat of Giants: Dinosaurs 3D (Ubi Soft) - 0,500

wrowa · Feb 20, 2011

Is the tie-ratio at launch usually below 1?

Chris1964 · Feb 20, 2011

wrowa said:
Is the tie-ratio at launch usually below 1?

Famitsu

[360] 0,91
[PS3] 0,98
[WII] 1,69

Man · Feb 20, 2011

Chris1964 said:
Famitsu

[360] 0,91
[PS3] 0,98
[WII] 1,69

The Wii had a included game perhaps? US had at least but not Europe.

AceBandage · Feb 20, 2011

Man said:
The Wii had a built in game perhaps? US had at least but not Europe.

WiiSports wasn't bundled with the system in Japan.

u_neek · Feb 20, 2011

Okay, tough one but I'll give it a try...

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 390,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 130,000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 165,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 80,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 45,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 47,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 40,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 15,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 300,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 15,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 175,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 33,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 20,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 35,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 60,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 40,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 40,000

Takao · Feb 20, 2011

My guesses:

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 350,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 120,000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 140,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 60,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 80,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 30,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 50,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 50,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 270,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 19,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 170,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 30,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 30,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 35,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 70,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 35,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 22,000

ItWasMeantToBe19 · Feb 20, 2011

Are there shipment numbers for Nintendogs, Layton, and SSFIV?

Chris1964 · Feb 20, 2011

ItWasMeantToBe19 said:
Are there shipment numbers for Nintendogs, Layton, and SSFIV?

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=25792291&postcount=157

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=25795653&postcount=158

ItWasMeantToBe19 · Feb 21, 2011

Chris1964 said:
http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=25792291&postcount=157

http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=25795653&postcount=158

Thanks! Very interested to see the sales of Nintendogs+Cats especially since it seems like it got a very nice shipment.

Kurosaki Ichigo · Feb 21, 2011

Predictions banzai
[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 422k
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 122k
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 162k
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 32k
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 42k
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 22k
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 22k
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 22k
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 307k
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 27k
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 187k
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 32k
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 12k
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 27k
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 77k
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 37k
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 32k

Kenka · Feb 21, 2011

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 391'000

[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 101'200
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 86'000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 32'500
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 17'200
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 8'500
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 13'400

[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 23'700

[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 234'000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 8000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 134'600

[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 13'900
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 11'800

[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 27'400
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 34'100
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 21'700

[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 21'500

KuwabaraTheMan · Feb 21, 2011

Prediction League (Feb 21 - Feb 27)

[3DS] Hardware (Nintendo) - 395,000
[3DS] Nintendogs + Cats (Nintendo) - 125,000
[3DS] Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (Level 5) - 170,000
[3DS] Super Street Fighter IV: 3D Edition (Capcom) - 85,000
[3DS] Samurai Warriors: Chronicles (Koei Tecmo) - 50,000
[3DS] Ridge Racer 3D (Bandai Namco) - 25,000
[3DS] Winning Eleven 3DSoccer (Konami) - 13,000
[NDS] Yu-Gi-Oh! 5Ds World Championship 2011 (Konami) - 21,000
[PSP] Phantasy Star Portable 2: Infinity (Sega) - 225,000
[PSP] Harukanaru Toki no Naka de 5 (Koei Tecmo) - 17,000
[PSP] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 85,000
[WII] SD Gundam G Generation: World (Bandai Namco) - 45,000
[WII] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 15,000
[PS3] Rune Factory: Oceans (Marvelous) - 35,000
[PS3] Disgaea 4 (Nippon Ichi Software) - 73,000
[PS3] Killzone 3 (SCE) - 47,000
[360] The Idolmaster 2 (Bandai Namco) - 41,000

cvxfreak · Feb 21, 2011

Can Super Street Fighter IV 3D really be expected to sell within 30% of what the PS3 version sold in 2010? (153,924)

Chris1964 · Feb 21, 2011

cvxfreak said:
Can Super Street Fighter IV 3D really be expected to sell within 30% of what the PS3 version sold in 2010? (153,924)

It's expected to be at the second line of top sellers with Samurai Warriors, after Layton and Nintendogs.

Kenka · Feb 21, 2011

cvxfreak said:
Can Super Street Fighter IV 3D really be expected to sell within 30% of what the PS3 version sold in 2010? (153,924)

It can, definitely. The game itself is a showcase of the 3DS possibilties. Scale the exceptations down given the fact that it is a remake and what you get is a decent (if not good) seller. If people lack motivation in purchasing a 3DS, then high sales may be tough to reach (for all software invovled) but if 3DS pre-orders are any indication, the hardware is set to explode at launch, and thus, push the entire line-up as a whole.

I personally expect it to be number #4 at launch. #3 would be extremely positive.

What makes me worry though, would be an extremely favourable response to first-party software as opposed to third-party offerings. That would be the first sign that Nintendo didn't succeed in changing the public's perceptions. I fear that.

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