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[disco]

You don't have to be worried about Terry's Wonderland.

Thank you for putting my mind at rest. :3

 

[Gianni Merryman]

Predictions

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 1.050.000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 32.000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 115.000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 37.000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 3.100.000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 80.000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 47.000

 

[Orgen]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 932.000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 59.000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 111.000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 74.000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2.778.000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 104.000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 31.000

 

[Bruno MB]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime 3 <ACT> (Square Enix) {2011.11.02} (¥6.090) - 38,859 / NEW <27,77%> (140,000)

LTD sales as of February 2012 - 107,739

The figures speak for themselves.

Edit: Fixed (thanks donny2112)

 

[ShellyDeKiller]

Didn't really bomb; was an expansion of a DS title, IIRC.

DQM is the sort of title that does well.

But isn't this a remake instead of a new title?

 

[nordique]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime 3 <ACT> (Square Enix) {2011.11.02} (¥6.090) - 38,859 / NEW <27,77%> (140,000)

LTD sales as of January 2012 - 108,286

The figures speak for themselves.

True.

I feel Terry's Wonderland will have the highest 3DS opening yet.

This will bode well for DQ's future on the platform.

 

[Bruno MB]

But isn't this a remake instead of a new title?

It's a remake of a game that sold almost two and a half million units.

 

[Exterminieren]

I think it did; it was heavily overshipped, and now you can find it pretty cheap.

Square Enix can be unfathomably stupid. This isn't news.

 

[Olaeh]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 1,002,000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 49,000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 112,000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 39,000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2,410,000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 102,000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 41,000

 

[Alrus]

But isn't this a remake instead of a new title?

Well yeah but it's been a long time since the original came out and it was the best selling DQ Monster title ever. Last year, DQMJ 2: Professional (enhanced release of DQMJ2, released only one year later) sold over 600k so I'm sure this one will do fine.

 

[donny2112]

While I'm not sure about being heavily overshipped or not,

From MC, first week shipment was 140K. Last LTD was beginning of February @ 108K.

LTD sales as of January 2012 - 108,286

That's the Famitsu end of 2011 number, but the point is the same.

 

[Cosmo Clock 21]

Media Create 2011 Top 1000 is up on GEIMIN: http://geimin.net/da/db/2011_ne_mc/index.php

(Use Google Translate =P).

The sell-through rate for some titles seem really random. What's the "standard" STR for a game to be considered successful?

 

[Kazerei]

I guess so. There was that Dragon Quest 3DS game that bombed last November though wasn't there?

Not the same spinoff series though. Edit: numbers aren't up-to-date with 2011 LTD, but you get the picture

GBA Dragon Quest: Slime Morimori 346,190
DS Dragon Quest: Slime Morimori 2 293,970
DS Dragon Quest: Slime Morimori 2 (Ultimate Hits) 23,480
3DS Dragon Quest: Slime Morimori 3 80,585

GB Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 1,911,107
GB Dragon Quest Monsters 2: Ruka's Journey 1,253,013
GB Dragon Quest Monsters 2: Iru's Adventure 480,582
GBA Dragon Quest Monsters: Caravan Heart 593,458
DS Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 1,458,149
DS Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker (Ultimate Hits) 84,323
DS Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 1,283,423
DS Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 - Professional 532,656

 

[lazybones18]

How long before the Top 50 is known?

 

[matmanx1]

Predictions

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 905,567
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 65,234
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 135,897
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 35,123
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2,103,456
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 98,357
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 34,678

 

[Kazerei]

How long before the Top 50 is known?

Already posted, but OP hasn't been updated

 

[lazybones18]

Already posted, but OP hasn't been updated

thanks

 

[lobdale]

DQM is gonna do crazy numbers, it's been #1 on Amazon.jp forever and it's all over the stores.

 

[Kandinsky]

I have a strange feeling DQM will bomb... After Kingdom Hearts DDD I feel the market is all over the place...

Yeah I agree some of these DQM predictions are kinda crazy.

Predictions

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 670.000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 44.000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 196.000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 38.000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2.610.000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 100.000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 38.000

 

[donny2112]

The Top 1000 accounted for 95.8% of all software sold in 2011 according to Media Create.

Media Create 2011 Top 1000 Stats
Note: Format is [subject] - [sales] - [# of titles in Top 1000]

Overall Software

1. PSP - 13,918,017 - 277
2. PS3 - 12,511,910 - 226
3. WII - 8,687,291 - 100
4. 3DS - 7,365,636 - 73
5. NDS - 7,275,021 - 203
6. 360 - 1,120,616 - 84
7. PSV - 496,808 - 18
8. PS2 - 209,404 - 19


Third-Party Software

1. PSP - 13,418,880 - 261
2. PS3 - 11,404,983 - 196
3. NDS - 5,265,649 - 169
4. 3DS - 3,689,402 - 62
5. WII - 2,932,352 - 67
6. 360 - 945,822 - 74
7. PSV - 322,471 - 15
8. PS2 - 201,327 - 18


First Party Software

1. WII - 5,754,939 - 33
2. 3DS - 3,676,234 - 11
3. NDS - 2,009,372 - 34
4. PS3 - 1,106,927 - 30
5. PSP - 499,137 - 16
6. 360 - 174,794 - 10
7. PSV - 174,337 - 3
8. PS2 - 8,077 - 1


By Publisher

1. Nintendo - 10,243,490 - 66
2. Namco Bandai Games - 8,640,464 - 130
3. Square Enix - 4,957,290 - 67
4. Capcom - 4,737,308 - 68
5. Konami - 3,726,126 - 74
6. SEGA - 2,311,111 - 48
7. Koei-Tecmo - 2,188,396 - 34
8. Level 5 - 1,959,039 - 17
9. SCEI - 1,784,157 - 49
10. Nintendo/Pokemon Co. - 1,197,055 - 12

Others - 9,840,267 - 435


Edit:
Here's the Top 1000 from 2010, for comparison.

Publisher Breakdown

Nintendo - 12,667,698 - 66
Capcom - 7,649,449 - 60
Namco Bandai Games - 7,314,889 - 114
Square Enix - 6,229,360 - 69
Nintendo/Pokemon Co. - 5,913,433 - 12
Konami - 5,433,704 - 95
SEGA - 2,962,742 - 45
SCEI - 2,113,899 - 49
Level 5 - 1,982,664 - 12
Koei - 1,105,071 - 25
Hudson - 892,498 - 29
Spike - 587,634 - 19
Marvelous - 526,375 - 14
Electronic Arts Victor - 473,443 - 33
Idea Factory - 470,107 - 28
Atlus Co. - 382,331 - 13
D3 Publisher - 366,916 - 23
Take-Two Interactive - 349,411 - 7
Ubisoft - 297,366 - 18
Falcom - 246,777 - 6

Others - 4,412,667 - 263


Overall software

NDS - 21,904,434 - 291
PSP - 16,418,424 - 287
WII - 11,669,083 - 108
PS3 - 10,149,132 - 176
360 - 1,387,030 - 76
PS2 - 842,607 - 61
GBA - 7,724 - 1


1st party

NDS - 9,326,796 - 45
WII - 9,246,611 - 32
PS3 - 1,507,372 - 28
PSP - 593,455 - 20
360 - 184,066 - 8
PS2 - 13,072 - 1
GBA - 7,724 - 1


3rd party

PSP - 15,824,969 - 267
NDS - 12,577,638 - 246
PS3 - 8,641,760 - 148
WII - 2,422,472 - 76
360 - 1,202,964 - 68
PS2 - 829,535 - 60
GBA - 0 - 0

 

[Elfteiroh]

It had a 58% sellthrough at the end of the year, not 48% But yeah, not very good, but the sales expectations for this game were probably quite low. The PS3/Xbox 360 version was also released just about 1 month earlier, so that probably affected the sales a bit of the Vita version.

OMG! Thanks for the correction! I really don't know how I did this error. O_O
But wouldn't the quantity shipped be an indication of how much they thought it would sell?
Yeah I know Nintendo often overship their casual/sport titles, but it's not a casual game, and in the end it barely sold more than half the initial shipping. The exercise could be make with the other PSV games too. I would be curious to see the result... To late to do it now, I must sleep, but I'll try to look at it tomorrow.

 

[michaelius]

Predictions

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 500.000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 95.000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 150.000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 25.000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2.000.000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 100.000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 25.000

 

[SpaceDrake]

Jesus, I remember the PSP having a weaker start than that software-wise. That really does rather drive home how grim the situation for the Vita is right now (and sales are so low you can see something like Ciel no Surge cause a noticeable bump). Still, June may bring a little relief, but I don't think Persona 4, MGS HD and a Gundam Seed game will be able to take it above a million, especially not with two of those being remakes.

Also, might as well throw my hat into the ring:

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 500k
-DQ is a strong franchise, but this is a remake, even if it's on the Hot Shit Platform de rigeur. I don't think it'll be strong enough to do seven figures.
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 120k
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 75k
- It's a strong game, but it's a remake on the weakest handheld in recent memory. If anything I fear this prediction is optimistic.
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 50k
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2 mil
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 95k
The PS3 Ateliers have been mad strong and only get stronger, and this one's got a pretty good hype train behind it. That said, they usually only break six-figures after a few weeks, so with only a few days of sales I don't think it'll go into six-figs. It'll be close, though! And it'll probably do a bit better in its first week than previous titles!
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 30k

 

[pramath]

Pokemon Black/White 2 is probably going to take over the charts entirely. I actually anticipate the biggest opening for any game in Japan ever for Black/White 2.

 

[Chris1964]

Yeah I agree some of these DQM predictions are kinda crazy.

You tempt again to say the inevitable when I see you predicting:

some of these DQM predictions are kinda crazy -> DQM sales will be crazy

 

[michaelius]

Pokemon Black/White 2 is probably going to take over the charts entirely. I actually anticipate the biggest opening for any game in Japan ever for Black/White 2.

Why ? Isn't it charting at COMG below orginal Black/White ?

I think it will sell less than first B/W due to being in the middle of transmition phase from NDS to 3DS.
3DS owners would prefer it to be game made for 3DS and NDS has been mostly dead for months.

 

[Exterminieren]

Why ? Isn't it charting at COMG below orginal Black/White ?

Not by much at all, and pre-orders have been roughly consistent with those of Black and White.

It'll probably sell less by nature of being sequels, but not by as much as a third version would.

 

[Alrus]

Hahaha people predicting DQM will only do 500k in a month.

Edit: But seriously, why do you think it will suddenly do much worse than the last 3 DQM games?

 

[Magicpaint]

Hahaha people predicting DQM will only do 500k in a month.

Edit: But seriously, why do you think it will suddenly do much worse than the last 3 DQM games?

I think it will do more but, to be fair this is a remake and iirc Caravan Heart for GBA did ~600k. So a million isn't necessarily guaranteed for DQM.

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

While I'm not sure about being heavily overshipped or not, what I meant was, in terms of sales, for the type of product it was, it didn't bomb.

But the closest comparison for that type of product, its direct predecessors, sold several times as well.

 

[Brazil]

Pokemon Black/White 2 is probably going to take over the charts entirely. I actually anticipate the biggest opening for any game in Japan ever for Black/White 2.

I don't see it doing higher numbers than the original Black and White games, unless the franchise becomes exponentially more front-loaded.

 

[Principate]

I think it will do more but, to be fair this is a remake and iirc Caravan Heart for GBA did ~600k. So a million isn't necessarily guaranteed for DQM.

TBF that was an awful example, might as well compare early MH games as reason for the next MH to not sell over a million. The context of the sales is missing....

 

[Magicpaint]

TBF that was an awful example, might as well compare early MH games as reason for the next MH to not sell over a million. The context of the sales is missing....

How so? After the explosion of MHP, the MH games have significantly increased in sales and continue to do well. DQM: CH represented a steep decline for that spinoff series coming off the hugely successful DQM1/2 games on GBC... Now it's true that DQM:J 1/2 restored the series to its former greatness (sales wise), but you also have to realise that this game is a remake and not a brand new entry. We have no precedence for how those tend to perform (except for DQM 1+2 on PS1, but that's on a console), thus there are legitimate question marks to how well DQM1r could do compared to the Joker games.

 

[ULTROS!]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 400,000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 80,000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 180,000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 35,000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 1,600,000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 110,000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 10,000

 

[electroplankton]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 400,000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 80,000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 180,000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 35,000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 1,600,000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 110,000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 10,000

That'd be awfully low.

 

[Colonel Mustard]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 1,005,000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 53,000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 94,000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 26,000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 1,710,000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 85,000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 52,000

DQM 3D isn't assured 1M after 5 weeks but using KH as a barometer for DQM's sales is...nonsensical. Especially after how the two series performed on the original DS.

 

[Kenka]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 822.000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 51.000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 92.000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 37.000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2.480.000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 46.000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 17.000

 

[charlequin]

How so?

You're talking about a single entry from nearly a decade ago, in a subseries that's otherwise performed much better, on a platform that had pretty different expectations attached to it. It's not unreasonable to take the franchise's entire history into account when making predictions, but drawing a straight line from CH's performance to "Terry's Wonderland Remake might not hit a million" makes little sense on its own.

Like, there are legit reasons one might bring up as to why DQM:TW might not perform very well, but none of them have anything to do with Caravan Heart.

 

[Tratorn]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 855.555
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 50.000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 144.444
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 37.777
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 2.666.666
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 36.666
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 22.222

 

[Chris1964]

Regarding DQM

You can import data from joker 2 and Joker 2 Pro
It's the first time there is a hardware limited edition for Dragon Quest
YSO predictions give a first week at 500k range when for DDD the range was 200k

 

[Mpl90]

Regarding DQM

You can import data from joker 2 and Joker 2 Pro
It's the first time there is a hardware limited edition for Dragon Quest
YSO predictions give a first week at 500k range when for DDD the range was 200k

That...puts things in perspective.

 

[MasterSheen]

Regarding DQM

You can import data from joker 2 and Joker 2 Pro
It's the first time there is a hardware limited edition for Dragon Quest
YSO predictions give a first week at 500k range when for DDD the range was 200k

It is? Huh.

 

[Chris1964]

[NDS] Itadaki Street DS: Dragon Quest & Super Mario <TBL> (Square Enix) {2007.06.21} (¥5.040)
[GBA] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime <ACT> (Square Enix) {2003.11.14} (¥5.800)
[GBA] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime (Ultimate Hits) <ACT> (Square Enix) {2006.03.09} (¥3.300)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime 2 <ACT> (Square Enix) {2005.12.01} (¥4.990)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime 2 (Ultimate Hits) <ACT> (Square Enix) {2008.10.23} (¥2.940)
[3DS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime 3 <ACT> (Square Enix) {2011.11.02} (¥6.090)
[FCM] Dragon Quest <RPG> (Enix) {1986.05.27} (¥5.500)
[WII] Dragon Quest: Monster Battle Road Victory <RPG> (Square Enix) {2010.07.15} (¥6.090)
[PS2] Dragon Quest: Shonen Yangus to Fushigi no Dungeon <RPG> (Square Enix) {2006.04.20} (¥7.140)
[PS2] Dragon Quest: Shonen Yangus to Fushigi no Dungeon (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2007.06.28} (¥2.940)
[PS2] Dragon Quest & Final Fantasy in Itadaki Street Special <TBL> (Square Enix) {2004.12.22} (¥7.140)
[PS2] Dragon Quest & Final Fantasy in Itadaki Street Special (Ultimate Hits) <TBL> (Square Enix) {2008.06.26} (¥2.940)
[PSP] Dragon Quest & Final Fantasy in Itadaki Street Portable <TBL> (Square Enix) {2006.05.25} (¥5.040)
[PSP] Dragon Quest & Final Fantasy in Itadaki Street Portable (Ultimate Hits) <TBL> (Square Enix) {2008.03.06} (¥2.940)
[PS1] Dragon Quest Characters: Torneko Adventures 2 - The Last Hope <RPG> (Enix) {1999.09.15} (¥6.800)
[GBA] Dragon Quest Characters: Torneko Adventures 2 - The Last Hope Advance <RPG> (Enix) {2001.12.20} (¥5.980)
[PS2] Dragon Quest Characters: Torneko Adventures 3 - Mysterious Dungeon <RPG> (Enix) {2002.10.31} (¥6.800)
[GBA] Dragon Quest Characters: Torneko Adventures 3 - Mysterious Dungeon Advance <RPG> (Square Enix) {2004.06.24} (¥6.279)
[WII] Dragon Quest 25th Anniversary: Famicom & Super Famicom Dragon Quest I-II-III <RPG> (Square Enix) {2011.09.15} (¥4.440)
[SFC] Dragon Quest I+II <RPG> (Enix) {1993.12.18} (¥9.600)
[GMB] Dragon Quest I+II |GameBoy/GameBoy Color/Super GameBoy| <RPG> (Enix) {1999.09.23} (¥4.900)
[FCM] Dragon Quest II: Akuryou no Kamigami <RPG> (Enix) {1987.01.26} (¥5.500)
[FCM] Dragon Quest III: Soshite Densetsu e... <RPG> (Enix) {1988.02.10} (¥5.900)
[SFC] Dragon Quest III: Soshite Densetsu e... <RPG> (Enix) {1996.12.06} (¥8.700)
[GMB] Dragon Quest III: Soshite Densetsu e... |GameBoy Color| <RPG> (Enix) {2000.12.08} (¥6.400)
[FCM] Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen <RPG> (Enix) {1990.02.11} (¥8.500)
[PS1] Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen <RPG> (Enix) {2001.11.22} (¥6.800)
[NDS] Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen <RPG> (Square Enix) {2007.11.22} (¥5.490)
[PS1] Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen (PSOne Books) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2005.03.03} (¥3.675)
[PS1] Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2006.07.20} (¥2.625)
[NDS] Dragon Quest IV: Chapters of the Chosen (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2010.03.04} (¥2.940)
[NDS] Dragon Quest IX: Sentinels of the Starry Skies <RPG> (Square Enix) {2009.07.11} (¥5.980)
[NDS] Dragon Quest IX: Sentinels of the Starry Skies (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2010.03.04} (¥2.940)
[SFC] Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride <RPG> (Enix) {1992.09.27} (¥9.600)
[PS2] Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride <RPG> (Square Enix) {2004.03.25} (¥7.800)
[NDS] Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride <RPG> (Square Enix) {2008.07.17} (¥5.490)
[PS2] Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2006.07.20} (¥2.940)
[NDS] Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2010.03.04} (¥2.940)
[SFC] Dragon Quest VI: Realms Of Revelation <RPG> (Enix) {1995.12.09} (¥11.400)
[NDS] Dragon Quest VI: Realms Of Revelation <RPG> (Square Enix) {2010.01.28} (¥5.980)
[NDS] Dragon Quest VI: Realms Of Revelation (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2011.02.03} (¥2.940)
[PS1] Dragon Quest VII: Fighters of Eden <RPG> (Enix) {2000.08.26} (¥7.800)
[PS1] Dragon Quest VII: Fighters of Eden (PSOne Books) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2005.02.03} (¥3.675)
[PS1] Dragon Quest VII: Fighters of Eden (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2006.07.20} (¥2.625)
[PS2] Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King <RPG> (Square Enix) {2004.11.27} (¥9.240)
[PS2] Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2006.07.20} (¥2.940)
[GBA] Dragon Quest Monsters: Caravan Heart <RPG> (Enix) {2003.03.29} (¥5.980)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker <RPG> (Square Enix) {2006.12.28} (¥5.040)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2008.10.23} (¥2.940)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 <RPG> (Square Enix) {2010.04.28} (¥5.490)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2011.02.03} (¥2.940)
[NDS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Joker 2 - Professional <RPG> (Square Enix) {2011.03.31} (¥4.440)
[PS1] Dragon Quest Monsters 1+2 <RPG> (Enix) {2002.05.30} (¥6.800)
[GMB] Dragon Quest Monsters 2: Tara's Adventure |GameBoy/GameBoy Color/Super GameBoy| <RPG> (Enix) {2001.04.12} (¥6.400)
[GMB] Dragon Quest Monsters 2: Cobi's Journey |GameBoy/GameBoy Color/Super GameBoy| <RPG> (Enix) {2001.03.09} (¥6.400)
[GMB] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland |GameBoy/GameBoy Color/Super GameBoy| <RPG> (Enix) {1998.09.25} (¥4.900)
[WII] Dragon Quest Swords: The Masked Queen and the Tower of Mirrors <RPG> (Square Enix) {2007.07.12} (¥6.800)
[WII] Dragon Quest Swords: The Masked Queen and the Tower of Mirrors (Ultimate Hits) <RPG> (Square Enix) {2009.12.03} (¥2.940)
[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D # <RPG> (Square Enix) {2012.05.31} (¥5.490)
[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D [Special Pack] <RPG> (Square Enix) {2012.05.31} (¥20.490)

 

[Mpl90]

[SFC] Dragon Quest VI: Realms Of Revelation <RPG> (Enix) {1995.12.09} (¥11.400)

WHAT THE FUCK

 

[Magicpaint]

You're talking about a single entry from nearly a decade ago, in a subseries that's otherwise performed much better, on a platform that had pretty different expectations attached to it. It's not unreasonable to take the franchise's entire history into account when making predictions, but drawing a straight line from CH's performance to "Terry's Wonderland Remake might not hit a million" makes little sense on its own.

Like, there are legit reasons one might bring up as to why DQM:TW might not perform very well, but none of them have anything to do with Caravan Heart.

Well I wasn't suggesting that that was the determining factor. Just that it is one thing to consider alongside the fact that the new DQM game is also a remake. Anyway, I was mostly playing Devil's Advocate...given the recent momentum the series carries, my feeling is that this game will perform very well; a million is realistic enough.

 

[Fantastical]

I had no idea this DQM game was so popular.

 

[7Th]

I had no idea this DQM game was so popular.

Dude, it's Dragon Quest.

 

[Exterminieren]

Some of the BW2 predictions are pretty damn low.

 

[Alrus]

[3DS] Dragon Quest Monsters: Terry's Wonderland 3D (5 weeks) - 400,000
[PSV] Gundam Seed: Battle Destiny (4 weeks) - 80,000
[PSV] Persona 4: Golden (3 weeks) - 180,000
[PS3] Lollipop Chainsaw (3 weeks) - 35,000
[NDS] Pokemon Black 2 / White 2 (2 weeks) - 1,600,000
[PS3] Atelier Ayesha (1 week) - 110,000
[3DS] Culdcept (1 week) - 10,000

Your predictions for DQM and Pokemon are way too low, they will both do better than that in their first week alone.

 

[Fantastical]

Dude, it's Dragon Quest.

I understand that, but I didn't think a remake of a Game Boy spinoff game had this type of potential.