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Media Create Sales: Week 40, 2011 (Oct 03 - Oct 09)

W

walking fiend

Member
BurntPork said:
I don't think anyone's worried that two games will result in sell-outs.

And a 10% drop is significant, imo. At least, it'll be enough to create doom articles about iPhone 4S stealing 3DS sales.
Click to expand...
That's not what I meant. I mean, there's this MK game that you want to buy but has no date, no box , nothing and it's going to come out in another vague 6 months. But now you have money, you know its going to be released in a month, you want to play OoT too, and maybe 3DL along the way, you also know that TGS passed and Iwata is still in place and 3DS not only wasn't discontinued, but also got MH4 and a slide-pad and no redesign was announced.

It's not going to increase the sales significantly, but maybe 10% :)P)



BurntPork said:
It seems that you're right.
Click to expand...
reading these articles?! give me tumours!
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
taZQF.png


vuZfl.png
 
L

LOCK

Member
This year will best 2004, and probably 2010. Everything would have to be exceptional to do any better, but who knows.

To continue the discussion before, I think people are underestimating how much growth Nintendo accomplished in Europe this generation. The 3DS should have no problems best the sales of its American counterparts. But as Chris said, and I have said before, November and December will be the deciding factors on if they will reach their FY targets or not. However two things to consider 1) the price drop is working, at least in the short term, 2) we don't exactly know the effect Mario 3D Land or MK7 will have upon the 3DS's sales momentum after the holidays. But it is one hell of a one, two punch.
 
J

jcm

Member
LOCK said:
Nintendo is usually very good with their fore cast.
Click to expand...

Actually, they suck at it, and they've managed to drag bad news out across a long period of time.

July 2010: Miss, leave forecasts alone, announce they'll be announcing the price and release date of 3DS in 3 months.

Sep 2010: Cut profit and revenue forecast

Jan 2011: Cut units forecast.

March 2011: Miss on everything, paper launch new hardware in a "weird to whom it may concern" letter.

July 2011: Miss, reduce earnings, profits, and units forecasts again. Huge price drop for a brand new system.

That is not a company doing a good job forecasting and managing expectations. That's a company that has no idea how bad the situation is. I think they may have finally turned it around, but the last few years have been a train wreck.
 
E

Erethian

Member
In the years when the Wii and DS were at their height they were releasing overly conservative forecasts, and would periodically update them throughout the year.

Also the high level of market volatility over the past year or two has certainly had an impact on making reliable forecasts.
 
L

LOCK

Member
Yeah other than the last two years, they have either been modest and underpredict their sales, or spot on.

So I think they will try to reach their current target. I'm not saying they will but...
 
M

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
Last week

[PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2012 - 633pt
[PSP] ... When you have love in Guam Idol AKB1/48 auction, please be left in their Limited Edition! BOX - 288pt
[PSP] ... When you have love in Guam AKB1/48 Idol Limited Edition - 187pt
[PSP] ... When you have love in Guam AKB1/48 Idol (Limited Edition) - 161pt
[PS3] Dynasty Warriors 6, Takeshi future transfer - 84pt
[PS3] Dark Soul - 43pt
[PS3] F1 2011 - 39pt
[PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd PSP the Best - 34pt
[Wii] Family fishing is your computer Bundle - 33pt
[Wii] Dragon Quest NES and SNES I · II · III Final Fantasy Anniversary 25 - 32pt
[PSP] Legend of Heroes Ao no Kiseki (Limited Edition) - 30pt
[PS3] RAGE - 29pt
[PSP] 5D's TAGFORCE6 Yugioh - 24pt
[PS3] Resident Evil Revival Selection HD Remastered Edition - 20pt
[NDS] Atsumete! Kirby - 20pt
[3DS] Pokemon Super Scramble - 17pt
[Wii] Everybody's Rhythm Tengoku - 15pt
[PS3] HD collection of birth and imprinted God of War Chains of Olympus - 15pt
[PS3] Shadow of the Colossus - 15pt
[3DS] The Legend of Zelda: Ocarina 3D - 14pt

And the daily preorder chart

Updated: October 10, 2011 (Mon) 08:00
Ranking is closed at October 09, 2011

[PSP] Final Fantasy Zero Expressions - 383pt
[PSP] Hatsune Miku-Project DIVA-extend - 199pt
[3DS] Monster 3G (Limited Edition) - 195pt
[PS3] ACE COMBAT ASSAULT HORIZON - 144Pt
[3DS] Monster 3G (Slide Pad Bundle) - 134pt
[PS3] Armored Core 5 - 119Pt
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIII-2 - 116pt
[PS3] OG Super Robot Wars 2 - 106pt
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIIIヴェルサス - 82Pt
[PSP] NARUTO-Naruto - Shippuuden Narutimate Impact - 70pt
[3DS] 3D Super Mario Land - 65pt
[PS3] Goodbye Special Edition ~ Macross F Movie Tsubasa ~ Hybrid Pack - 58pt
[PSP] Magical Girl Lyrical Nanoha A's PORTABLE-THE GEARS OF DESTINY-GOD BOX Limited Edition - 52pt
[Wii] JUST DANCE Wii (Just Dance Wii) - 51pt
[PS3] PS3 Sengoku BASARA3 Banquet - 50pt
[PS3] hen I started de Fuca and Desuko 4 Disgaea Disgaea. Append Limited Edition - 48pt
[PS3] Battlefield 3 - 44pt
[NDS] One Piece Gigant Battle the New World 2 (Limited Edition) - 41pt
[PSP] special government agency Seventh Dragon 2020 "cloud masses" set decoration only - 40pt
[PSP] To Aru Kagaku no Railgun (Limited Edition) - 39Pt
Click to expand...

This week

Comgnet Weekly Chart

Updated: 17 October 2011 (Mon) 08:00
Index aggregation period: 16 October 2011 ~ October 10, 2011

[PS3] ACE COMBAT ASSAULT HORIZON - 395pt
[Wii] JUST DANCE Wii (Just Dance Wii) - 250pt
[PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2012 - 140pt
[PSP] ... When you have love in Guam Idol AKB1/48 auction, please be left in their Limited Edition! BOX - 59pt
[PSP] ... When you have love in Guam AKB1/48 Idol (Limited Edition) - 55pt
[PSP] Ken to Mahou to Gakuen Mono. Final - 53pt
[PSP] ... When you have love in Guam Idol AKB1/48 Limited Edition - 45pt
[PS3] Dead Rising 2 Off the Record - 38pt
[PS3] Dark Soul - 38pt
[Xbox360] ACE COMBAT ASSAULT HORIZON - 37pt
[PS3] Dynasty Warriors 6, Takeshi future transfer - 35pt
[Wii] NES & SNES Dragon Quest I · II · III Final Fantasy Anniversary 25 - 34pt
[Xbox360] Forza Motorsports 4 (Limited Edition) - 30pt
[Wii] Rhythm Heaven for Everyone - 30pt
[Wii] Family fishing is your computer Bundle - 30pt
[PSP] 5D's TAGFORCE6 Yugioh - 26pt
[PSP] Monster Hunter Portable 3rd PSP the Best - 21pt
[NDS] Atsumete! Kirby - 19pt
[PS3] F1 2011 - 17pt
[PS3] Call of Duty: Black Ops (dubbed version) Bargain - 15pt

Comgnet Daily Preorder Chart

Updated: 17 October 2011 (Mon) 08:00
Ranking is closed at October 16, 2011

[PSP] Final Fantasy Zero formula - 456pt
[3DS] Monster 3G (Limited Edition) - 256pt
[PSP] Hatsune Miku-Project DIVA-extend - 246pt
[3DS] Monster 3G (slide pad Bundle) - 160pt
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIII-2 - 155pt
[PS3] Armored Core 5 - 123Pt
[PS3] OG Super Robot Taisen 2 - 107pt
[3DS] 3D Super Mario Land - 89pt
[PSP] NARUTO-Naruto - Shippuuden Narutimate Impact - 84pt
[PS3] Final Fantasy XIIIヴェルサス - 84Pt
[PS3] PS3 Sengoku BASARA3 Feast - 70pt
[PS3] Macross F special edition wing Sayonara ~ ~ Hybrid Pack Movie - 66pt
[PS3] Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 (Subtitled) - 61pt
[PSP] Magical Girl Lyrical Nanoha A's PORTABLE-THE GEARS OF DESTINY-GOD BOX Limited Edition - 61pt
[PS3] Battlefield 3 - 55pt
[Wii] Kirby of the Stars Wii - 54pt
[PS3] Mobile Suit Gundam VS Extreme - 52pt
[PS3] hen began de Fuca and Desuko Disgaea Disgaea 4. Append Limited Edition - 49pt
[NDS] One Piece Gigant Battle the New World 2 (Limited Edition) - 48pt
[Wii] Zelda 25 Pack anniversary Sky Sword Legend of Zelda Sword - 44pt

...Woah at Just Dance :O
 
T

thestopsign

Member
Seems like Just Dance could be a little under 100k for the week with Ace Combat sitting right above it. Rhythm Heaven also got a bit of a bump this week, probably from the ads (assuming they started the push already).
 
L

LOCK

Member
Wow at Just Dance.

3DS sales should be interesting, wonder how much they dip due to the Pink color releasing, or do we see a significant dip at all.

I have a feeling Mario is going to be huge. At least better than SM64DS
 
T

Takao

Banned
Just Dance doesn't surprise me at all. I suspect it'll be big, so yay another lost opportunity because SCEJ is the least co-ordinated with the Sony Music division...
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Next week looks a good week for predictions to restart even with only 2 remarkable games but after that we'll go non-stop until January.
 
N

noobie

Banned
Chris1964 said:
Next week looks a good week for predictions to restart even with only 2 remarkable games but after that we'll go non-stop until January.
Click to expand...
so nothing to look for in this week's number.. i mean the one which will be releasing in few hours.?
and what is getting released next week?
FF type-0?
 
C

Chris1964

Sales-Age Genius
Famitsu Sales: Week 42, 2011 (Oct 10 - Oct 16)

01./00. [PS3] Ace Combat: Assault Horizon <ACT> (Bandai Namco) {2011.10.13} (¥8.380)
02./00. [WII] Just Dance Wii <HOB> (Nintendo) {2011.10.13} (¥5.800)
03./01. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2012 <SPT> (Konami) {2011.10.06} (¥7.980)
04./02. [PSP] AKB1/48: Idol to Guam de Koishitara... # <ADV> (Bandai Namco) {2011.10.06} (¥5.229)
05./00. [PSP] Class of heroes Mono. Final: Shinnyusei wa Ohimesama <RPG> (Acquire) {2011.10.13} (¥5.040)
06./00. [360] Forza Motorsport 4 # <RCE> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2011.10.13} (¥7.140)
07./00. [PS3] Dead Rising 2: Off the Record <ACT> (Capcom) {2011.10.13} (¥4.990)
08./00. [360] Ace Combat: Assault Horizon <ACT> (Bandai Namco) {2011.10.13} (¥8.380)
09./09. [WII] Wii Sports Resort <SPT> (Nintendo) {2009.06.25} (¥4.800)
10./05. [PS3] Dark Souls <RPG> (From Software) {2011.09.22} (¥7.800)
 
M

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
I expect 3DS to fall more than 4-5k this time... because this week Pink will be out.
 
X

xero273

Member
noobie said:
so nothing to look for in this week's number.. i mean the one which will be releasing in few hours.?
and what is getting released next week?
FF type-0?
Click to expand...

Kirby, IM@S2 (PS3), Senritsu no Stratus. I think those are the big releases next week.
 
T

Takao

Banned
cvxfreak said:
Chances of Just Dance Wii becoming that "unsuspecting" Wii holiday hit: high.
Click to expand...

Well, it's a good thing I expect the unexpected. I joked it would sell like 500k, lol.
 
M

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
cvxfreak said:
Chances of Just Dance Wii becoming that "unsuspecting" Wii holiday hit: high.
Click to expand...

First Ubisoft million seller in Japan? :lol
 
N

noobie

Banned
Chris1964 said:
Famitsu Sales: Week 42, 2011 (Oct 10 - Oct 16)

01./00. [PS3] Ace Combat: Assault Horizon <ACT> (Bandai Namco) {2011.10.13} (¥8.380)
02./00. [WII] Just Dance Wii <HOB> (Nintendo) {2011.10.13} (¥5.800)
03./01. [PS3] World Soccer Winning Eleven 2012 <SPT> (Konami) {2011.10.06} (¥7.980)
04./02. [PSP] AKB1/48: Idol to Guam de Koishitara... # <ADV> (Bandai Namco) {2011.10.06} (¥5.229)
05./00. [PSP] Class of heroes Mono. Final: Shinnyusei wa Ohimesama <RPG> (Acquire) {2011.10.13} (¥5.040)
06./00. [360] Forza Motorsport 4 # <RCE> (Microsoft Game Studios) {2011.10.13} (¥7.140)
07./00. [PS3] Dead Rising 2: Off the Record <ACT> (Capcom) {2011.10.13} (¥4.990)
08./00. [360] Ace Combat: Assault Horizon <ACT> (Bandai Namco) {2011.10.13} (¥8.380)
09./09. [WII] Wii Sports Resort <SPT> (Nintendo) {2009.06.25} (¥4.800)
10./05. [PS3] Dark Souls <RPG> (From Software) {2011.09.22} (¥7.800)
Click to expand...
top 2 should be >200k
 
blu

blu

Wants the largest console games publisher to avoid Nintendo's platforms.
Mpl90 said:
I expect 3DS to fall more than 4-5k this time... because this week Pink will be out.
Click to expand...
35K-40K would be my guess.
 
D

DGRE

Banned
saichi said:
Rhythm Heaven out of the top ten and WSR is taking its place? what?
Click to expand...
Just Dance is also a Rhythm game. Makes sense for now. But I think both will hover in or around the top ten through the holidays.
 
M

mclem

Member
Mpl90 said:
3DS 55,025

...3DS...increased.
And next week is Pink time.
OH MY GOD :lol
Click to expand...

I have a feeling we're rapidly approaching Easter.

Can I suggest a future prediction? The first week that Vita unit sales will exceed 3DS unit sales. Because I don't think we'll see it this year.
 
F

frankie_baby

Member
Mpl90 said:
http://www.4gamer.net/games/117/G011794/20111019048/

3DS 55,025
PS3 28,596
PSP 25,271
Wii 12,161
DSi LL 2,721
DSi 1,999
Xbox 360 1,887
PS2 1,280
DS Lite 71

...3DS...increased.
And next week is Pink time.
OH MY GOD :lol

Ace Combat: Assault Horizon - 150k
Just Dance - 90k
Rhythm Heaven over 500k
Click to expand...
Reasonable start for jd I expected a bit more but legs should be good I can see at least 400k by xmas, 3ds going up is a shock I expected a slight drop or stabilty next week though should be insane with the pink release, 90k? 100k even?
 
F

frankie_baby

Member
mclem said:
I have a feeling we're rapidly approaching Easter.

Can I suggest a future prediction? The first week that Vita unit sales will exceed 3DS unit sales. Because I don't think we'll see it this year.
Click to expand...
That'll only ever happen when the 3ds is sold out
 
F

Fernando Rocker

Banned
mclem said:
I have a feeling we're rapidly approaching Easter.

Can I suggest a future prediction? The first week that Vita unit sales will exceed 3DS unit sales. Because I don't think we'll see it this year.
Click to expand...

What do you mean? That the first week of sales of the Vita is going to exceed the LTD sales of the 3DS or that it will exceed the sales of the 3DS for that same week?
 
M

mclem

Member
Fernando Rocker said:
What do you mean? That the first week of sales of the Vita is going to exceed the LTD sales of the 3DS or that it will exceed the sales of the 3DS for that same week?
Click to expand...

For that week.

I hadn't anticipated shortages, though. Although the next *big* shortage is likely to hit both platforms at the same time.
 
M

Michan

Member
mclem said:
I have a feeling we're rapidly approaching Easter.

Can I suggest a future prediction? The first week that Vita unit sales will exceed 3DS unit sales. Because I don't think we'll see it this year.
Click to expand...
Hmm.....

Given Vita is launching on not only one of the two strongest weeks for DS, but the week after Monster Hunter, and little more than 2 weeks after Mario Kart... I don't think we'll see it take the #1 spot for a while to come.

If it sits in front of 3DS for anything more than a total of 5 weeks next year, I will eat my hat.

Edit: Oh, shortages could mess it up. So ignoring shortages. But I don't think there will be (significant) 3DS shortages after the end of January.
 
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