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[M3d10n]

The number "3" appears a lot in the top 3.

 

[radioheadrule83]

Today must be a sad day in Boken's lair.

ha I don't know what Boken's typical posting is like, but I'd love to see a parody 'lair' that was the opposite of Gahiggidy's famous basement picture (framed Iwata pic, crate, gamecube playing area on the floor etc)

Anyone else remember the days when people used to actually try and argue that Japanese people were physically incapable of enjoying FPS games? I can't remember if I read people saying that here or on the IGN Boards back in the day, it was ridiculous.

 

[Thoraxes]

Super Mario Sunshine - 280,610
Gamecube - 1,453,421
>19% attach rate

Doomed?

fernandorocker.jpg

I think he's still banned for that picture though.
Regardless, those UC numbers intrigue me too. I wonder how well the PC version of BF3 sold over there as well. Too bad we'll probably never see those numbers.

 

[Cosmo Clock 21]

Can't wait to see how well MW3 sells. Might the FPS genre have finally broken into Japan?

 

[Quadrangulum]

Japan as a growth market for shooters is going to be interesting.

 

[zomgbbqftw]

Wow! Great 3DS sales! PS3 slightly weaker despite strong U3 and BF3 sales. I suppose the gaijin already have their PS3s and don't need new ones.

 

[BladeoftheImmortal]

Well, aren't there rumors that Sony is shipping around 500k to 600k Vitas for launch? If this is the case I see no issue in UC-GS selling over 100k.

It's golden abyss, not golden showers....although i do like those.

 

[Pocks]

Not that this means anything but if the 3DS install base was also 10,324,614 we could have theoretically seen 3D Land open at 1,507,393 units.

Depends all on appeal and how front-loaded 3D Land will be, but I predict good things in its future.

Edit

Fixed

This is a meaningless comparison though as it is all theoretical, and initial sell through of Mario titles usually pales in comparison to their legs.

Edit 2:

I'm just trying to show that sometimes comparing attach rates doesn't mean much.

Yeah, you're right. I just thought it was an interesting statistic.

My statement regarding attach rates and Nintendo being doomed were unrelated, though I did a poor job illustrating that. I intended the doomed comment to be a reflection on Nintendo's performance overall this week, not just the attach rate in two completely different scenarios (handheld vs. home console, large install base vs. small, etc.)

Really, what was meant to be an interesting post turned into a mess due to initially erroneous figures and a lack of clarity otherwise.

 

[NIghtWolf]

Launch window games are exceptions to this method of thinking.

And that leaves us with the other part of the thinking that is too many other games releasing for launch for people to pick up their less likely to pick up kinda genre-game. Just an opinion.

I can totally see it doing 75k tops in the best case but sure other people may have a better grasp at sales predictions and that stuff...

 

[KingDizzi]

3DS doesn't deserve those sales but that's pretty impressive.

Great 3DS and Mario numbers, honestly could not care less for a Mario game without Kart in the title but at least it pushes the install base for MHP3G!

 

[Michan]

And that leaves us with the other part of the thinking that is too many other games releasing for launch for people to pick up their less likely to pick up kinda genre-game. Just an opinion.

I can totally see it doing 75k tops in the best case but sure other people may have a better grasp at sales predictions and that stuff...

The "biggest" launch game always wins the prize, and other launch titles often win big, too. It's not uncommon for early adopters to buy 2 or more games with their new system.

 

[stilgar]

Why not?

Because it's French. Don't waste your time.

 

[Boken]

Okay. Now look at the actual numbers...

Pretty sure NSMB did a lot better than this!

 

[EXGN]

Holy crap, Japan really is warming up to shooters huh? Modern Warfare 3 is gonna be absolutely HUGE.

 

[VOOK]

3DS = Fad.

 

[TheNatural]

They're backkkk

 

[Michan]

Pretty sure NSMB did a lot better than this!

Yeah, you're right. 3DS is doomed.

Spoiler

DS was at 14.5 million units when NSMB was released, with 865,024 during week 1.

 

[walking fiend]

Pretty sure NSMB did a lot better than this!

2D Mario? And ^

There won't be any excuse when MK comes out, though

 

[Chris1964]

 

[Thoraxes]

NSMB is still a monster worldwide though. Seriously, it is the prime example of an evergreen title if I've ever seen one.

 

[djtiesto]

Japan as a growth market for shooters is going to be interesting.

It's gonna suck if you don't particularly care for the genre, and you look to Japan to provide a refuge from what western developers have been doing...

 

[French]

Pretty sure NSMB did a lot better than this!

A lot better indeed, 900k. And it had a bigger effect on hardware sales.

Maybe people are getting tired of playing the same licences over and over again ? We'll see with MK.

 

[Mpl90]

Oh God, there's something beastly in the 3DS! Performance.
Only now I notice in the Pac Man, he sold the 66,6% of the overall hardware sales.
OMG :lol :lol :lol

EDIT: Look

THE BEAAAAAAST

 

[VOOK]

A lot better indeed, 900k. And it had a bigger effect on hardware sales.

Maybe people are getting tired of playing the same licences over and over again ? We'll see with MK.

NSMB was released when the DS userbase was huge, SM3DL is not.

 

[LOCK]

Very good top 10 overall.

Would have loved to see DQ Slime do better, but oh wells. Now lets watch Marios legs till MK7 comes out.

 

[Struct09]

Yay 3DS!!

 

[Truth101]

Sometimes I just wish mod would ban trolls from the media create threads.

Meltdowns are enjoyable and all, but trolls just get annoying.

 

[Nirolak]

Now I'm curious to see how Binary Domain does.

 

[Carl]

Holy shit Uncharted and Battlefield.

3DS expected. Did better than i thought though

 

[Spiegel]

Namco Bandai seems to be the only third party smart enough to exploit the huge, game-starved Wii userbase with party/familiar oriented games, which have always sold well there. They are probably the smartest company in Japan right now finding huge success in multiple consoles.


On an unrelated note, I don't think Mpl90 is going to survive the year.
He most likely will die from the excitement of seeing the 3DS sell >600k one of these next weeks.

 

[Cygnus X-1]

"It's me, Mario!"

 

[manueldelalas]

THE BEAAAAAAST

Nintendo doomed in the afterlife confirmed.

 

[Barack Lesnar]

Sometimes I just wish mod would ban trolls from the media create threads.

Meltdowns are enjoyable and all, but trolls just get annoying.

Same could be said for your ilk. When I see that cow, I know exactly what the post is gonna be.

 

[Michan]

A lot better indeed, 900k. And it had a bigger effect on hardware sales.

Nope. DS was already experiencing great hardware sales. NSMB did almost double unit sales, though.

 

[Cygnus X-1]

Not bad, Mario should hit a million at least

Believe me: it will sell much, much more.

 

[olimpia84]

But GAF told me the 3DS was doomed and sent to die.

 

[Truth101]

Very good top 10 overall.

Would have loved to see DQ Slime do better, but oh wells. Now lets watch Marios legs till MK7 comes out.

Slime Mori Mori 2 Opened at

43,995

with the DS LTD at

3,951,045


It also released in December, so considering that I would say that Slime Mori Mori 3 performed quite well.

 

[Cygnus X-1]

If someone want to buy Nintendo's shares: this is the moment.

 

[slaughterking]

Believe me: it will sell much, much more.

Nah.

 

[walking fiend]

Namco Bandai seems to be the only third party smart enough to exploit the huge, game-starved Wii userbase with party/familiar oriented games, which have always sold well there. They are probably the smartest company in Japan right now finding huge success in multiple consoles.


On an unrelated note, I don't think Mpl90 is going to survive the year.
He most likely will die from the excitement of seeing the 3DS sell >600k one of these next weeks.

My thought to, his/her overreactions put those of BP to shame! In a different way, but still...

 

[Lord_Byron28]

A lot better indeed, 900k. And it had a bigger effect on hardware sales.

Maybe people are getting tired of playing the same licences over and over again ? We'll see with MK.

There is a significant difference between 2D and 3D Mario. This is the best opening for a 3D Mario.

 

[funkystudent]

Uncharted did good

The Harrison ford effect?

 

[Cygnus X-1]

Nah.

You can underestimate whatever you want, but the Mario franchise you know. During the holiday season, the million bar will be easily broken and then it will keep selling for a lot of time. I would say 2 millions at least by the end of 2012 as minimum.

 

[Mpl90]

Namco Bandai seems to be the only third party smart enough to exploit the huge, game-starved Wii userbase with party/familiar oriented games, which have always sold well there. They are probably the smartest company in Japan right now finding huge success in multiple consoles.


On an unrelated note, I don't think Mpl90 is going to survive the year.
He most likely will die from the excitement of seeing the 3DS sell >600k one of these next weeks.

EHI!
You have only to do predictions about software, not about life of a person.
OK!?!??!?!!?
Thanks.



Now, back to a "serious" note.

20./00. [3DS] Nicola Kanshuu: Model Oshare Audition 2 <SLG> (Alchemist) {2011.11.03} (¥5.980) - 6.643 / NEW
[NDS] Nicola Kanshuu: Model Oshare Audition (Alchemist) - 17.295 / 108.333 / 15,96% 01/04/10

Eh, it's a casual title, on a console which will see an install base explosion. It should do in line with the first.

07./00. [3DS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime 3 <RPG> (Square Enix) {2011.11.02} (¥6.090) - 38.859 / NEW
[GBA] Dragon Quest: Slime Morimori (Square Enix) - 67.797 / 346.190 / 19,58% 14/11/03
[NDS] Dragon Quest Heroes: Rocket Slime (Square Enix) - 43.995 / 293.970 / 14,97% 01/12/05

Again losing some sales, but not as much as the second. So, it seems the high hardware sales worked for it.

Poor Azito 3D, instead

And I have to quote you about Namco: they did a complete 180 degrees turn of thinking: now they're collectiong successes on successes, with the right software on the right hardware.
Guys, they're having very good results even on the Wii in 2011.
On the Wii.
In 2011.

P.S. walking, I'm a male. XD
P.P.S. walking, you offend me saying I put on shame BP's efforts, even if in a different way.
Really.
But, seeing what you're saying, I'll learn... staying much more calm is the key.

 

[AranhaHunter]

Pac Man is back

http://www.4gamer.net/games/117/G011794/20111108015/TN/005.gif[IMG][/QUOTE]

[QUOTE=Mpl90]Oh God, there's something beastly in the 3DS! Performance.
Only now I notice in the Pac Man, he sold the [B]66,6%[/B] of the overall hardware sales.
OMG :lol :lol :lol

EDIT: Look

[IMG]http://www.4gamer.net/games/117/G011794/20111108015/TN/005.gif[IMG]

THE BEAAAAAAST[/QUOTE]

This guy is almost orgasming over 3DS sales, maybe you can post the chart a couple more times?

Anyways, what COD4, MW2 and BLOPS first week's number? I'm wondering if it can sell 200 or 300k first week.

 

[airmangataosenai]

Yeah, you're right. 3DS is doomed.

Spoiler

DS was at 14.5 million units when NSMB was released, with 865,024 during week 1.

Your DS numbers are way off man. At the end of 2005 DS was only at 5.6 and didn't reach even 14 million until the end of 2006 or even later. By the end of April it was a little over 7.6 million and for some reason the MC threads don't have much info but it probably was around 8.2 million the week the game launched with the massive hardware boost it received. So yeah if you're looking proportionally it did about the same but that really isn't a good way of thinking about these sorts of things. Most likely it will end up selling more like the 3D games than the 2D ones although probably a bit better. I'd say it'll end up somewhere between 1.5-2 million when all's said and done.

 

[slaughterking]

You can underestimate whatever you want, but the Mario franchise you know. During the holiday season, the million bar will be easily broken and then it will keep selling for a lot of time. I would say 2 millions at least by the end of 2012 as minimum.

There are Mario games and there are Mario games. Not all of them are equal when it comes to sales and for a 3D Mario it would be unprecedented to sell well beyond even just 1 million units.
3D Land is off to a very good start, but there's nothing indicating it'll have some insane legs that'll quintuple its first week sales.

 

[Dedication Through Light]

Well Naruto Shippuden is still charting. I thought Mario would have sent sales of both software and hardware to the 500K area.

3.5mln 3DS by yrs end seems likely.

 

[Alrus]

There are Mario games and there are Mario games. Not all of them are equal when it comes to sales and for a 3D Mario it would be unprecedented to sell well beyond even just 1 million units.
3D Land is off to a good start, but there's nothing indicating this it'll have some insane legs that'll quintuple its first week sales.

Check Mario 64 (both versions) for a 3D title going beyond 1 mil. There's a big probability that 3D Land will sell much better than the Galaxy games.

 

[Truth101]

There are Mario games and there are Mario games. Not all of them are equal when it comes to sales and for a 3D Mario it would be unprecedented to sell well beyond even just 1 million units.
3D Land is off to a very good start, but there's nothing indicating it'll have some insane legs that'll quintuple its first week sales.

Exactly this is a new type of Mario game, so no one can make predictions on how well it will sell. Just thaat it will sell well.

Let us wait a few weeks and see what type of legs it has first.

Edit:

Do we know how many copies Nintendo shipped of Mario 3D Land?