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Official June 2007 NPD Prediction Thread

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S

STG!

Member
[NDS] 413,000
[WII] 342,000
[PSP] 197,000
[PS2] 179,000
[360] 163,000
[PS3] 105,000
[GBA] 77,000
[NGC] 9,000
 
O

Odysseus

Banned
bud said:
why were you banned anyway?
Click to expand...

the last junior thread back in april. i posted a bishoptl gif that was hosted by some dumb gaffer who got banned and then went and swapped it out for lemonparty or some such abomination. at least that's my interpretation of the events. and then some other dumb gaffer bumped the thread almost two months later pointing out my post. ban time: six months, reduced to one because of overcrowding.
 
I

InterMoniker

Member
Odysseus said:
the last junior thread back in april. i posted a bishoptl gif that was hosted by some dumb gaffer who got banned and then went and swapped it out for lemonparty or some such abomination. at least that's my interpretation of the events. and then some other dumb gaffer bumped the thread almost two months later pointing out my post. ban time: six months, reduced to one because of overcrowding.
Click to expand...
Damn thats lame that someone would bring up a thread two months later to do that.
 
D

donny2112

Member
The Canadian numbers are out. Even though we haven't seen hardware, that's still enough to stick to today's deadline.

Predictions are closed.

Cheesemeister,
Can you post the stats like you did for May? They were very interesting. :)
 
C

Cheesemeister

Member
Number of contestants: 181

PS2 - Agg. = 197,897; Expected Range = 175,000 to 240,000
PSP - Agg. = 234,928; Expected Range = 240,000 to 280,000
PS3 - Agg. = 99,422; Expected Range = 75,000 to 119,300
XBX - Agg. = 1,055; Expected Range = 100 to 2,000
360 - Agg. = 173,986; Expected Range = 120,000 to 195,000
GBA - Agg. = 85,496; Expected Range = 50,000 to 90,000
NGC - Agg. = 10,013; Expected Range = 4,000 to 15,000
NDS - Agg. = 470,229; Expected Range = 255,000 to 625,000
WII - Agg. = 374,602; Expected Range = 360,278 to 445,000

STG! missed the deadline. Too bad, so sad.

List of Shame:
Speevy
Son of Godzilla
 
L

llTll

Banned
i dont know if i am late but here are my numbers

[NDS] 500K
[Wii] 350K
[PSP] 250K
[PS2] 200K
[360] 180K
[GBA] 60K
[PS3] 110K
[GCN] 1oK
 
G

GhaleonEB

Member
Was the release date for data ever clarified? It's usually tomorrow, but the preview came out from Pachter that said Monday.
 
L

laserbeam

Banned
GhaleonEB said:
Was the release date for data ever clarified? It's usually tomorrow, but the preview came out from Pachter that said Monday.
Click to expand...

NPD confirmed Monday. They are using a new system and it will be down for 2 days.
 
B

Brak

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Number of contestants: 181

PS2 - Agg. = 197,897; Expected Range = 175,000 to 240,000
PSP - Agg. = 234,928; Expected Range = 240,000 to 280,000
PS3 - Agg. = 99,422; Expected Range = 75,000 to 119,300
XBX - Agg. = 1,055; Expected Range = 100 to 2,000
360 - Agg. = 173,986; Expected Range = 120,000 to 195,000
GBA - Agg. = 85,496; Expected Range = 50,000 to 90,000
NGC - Agg. = 10,013; Expected Range = 4,000 to 15,000
NDS - Agg. = 470,229; Expected Range = 255,000 to 625,000
WII - Agg. = 374,602; Expected Range = 360,278 to 445,000

STG! missed the deadline. Too bad, so sad.

List of Shame:
Speevy
Son of Godzilla
Click to expand...
I'm assuming the PSP's expected range should read 140,000 to 280,000.

The aggregates look like really good estimations again. I bet that they'll beat 60-70% of GAF
 
C

Cheesemeister

Member
Brak said:
I'm assuming the PSP's expected range should read 140,000 to 280,000.

The aggregates look like really good estimations again. I bet that they'll beat 60-70% of GAF
Click to expand...

Hmm, interesting. Looks like some debugging will be in order... tomorrow. =P
 
F

Frillen

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Number of contestants: 181

PS2 - Agg. = 197,897; Expected Range = 175,000 to 240,000
PSP - Agg. = 234,928; Expected Range = 240,000 to 280,000
PS3 - Agg. = 99,422; Expected Range = 75,000 to 119,300
XBX - Agg. = 1,055; Expected Range = 100 to 2,000
360 - Agg. = 173,986; Expected Range = 120,000 to 195,000
GBA - Agg. = 85,496; Expected Range = 50,000 to 90,000
NGC - Agg. = 10,013; Expected Range = 4,000 to 15,000
NDS - Agg. = 470,229; Expected Range = 255,000 to 625,000
WII - Agg. = 374,602; Expected Range = 360,278 to 445,000

STG! missed the deadline. Too bad, so sad.

List of Shame:
Speevy
Son of Godzilla
Click to expand...


Who predicted the DS at 255k? Or how does this Expected Range system work anyway?
 
L

laserbeam

Banned
donny2112 said:
Anybody want to do the figuring on June's Canadian numbers like was done for May to guess the U.S.'s numbers?
Click to expand...

voodoojohn said:
Projected June American HW #'s based on canada
WII: 480,778
NDS: 542,161
PS2: 216,634
PSP: 265,344
360: 170,038
PS3: 81,604
GBA: 116,199
Click to expand...

there ya go from canada Thread
 
D

duderon

rollin' in the gutter
GhaleonEB said:
Was the release date for data ever clarified? It's usually tomorrow, but the preview came out from Pachter that said Monday.
Click to expand...

Can I get a link to the Pachter preview?
 
xaosslug

xaosslug

Member
[NDS] 405, 900
[WII] 340, 000
[PSP] 289, 309
[PS2] 265, 780
[360] 122, 000
[PS3] 179, 021
[GBA] 81, 901
[NGC] 5, 250
 
Cygnus X-1

Cygnus X-1

Member
Cheesemeister said:
Number of contestants: 181

PS2 - Agg. = 197,897; Expected Range = 175,000 to 240,000
PSP - Agg. = 234,928; Expected Range = 240,000 to 280,000
PS3 - Agg. = 99,422; Expected Range = 75,000 to 119,300
XBX - Agg. = 1,055; Expected Range = 100 to 2,000
360 - Agg. = 173,986; Expected Range = 120,000 to 195,000
GBA - Agg. = 85,496; Expected Range = 50,000 to 90,000
NGC - Agg. = 10,013; Expected Range = 4,000 to 15,000
NDS - Agg. = 470,229; Expected Range = 255,000 to 625,000
WII - Agg. = 374,602; Expected Range = 360,278 to 445,000

STG! missed the deadline. Too bad, so sad.

List of Shame:
Speevy
Son of Godzilla
Click to expand...

The range of the DS is a little bit large, eh ? So, outside Nintendo's products, Gaffers expect great thing for PSP. I have not voted because I'm really bad. I'm not an analyst, but I'll be here for the numbers.
 
D

donny2112

Member
Cygnus X-1 said:
I have not voted because I'm really bad.
Click to expand...

Example anonymous entry from April:

Nintendo DS: 1.2k - Pokemon!
PSP: 890k - April Momentum + Price Drop + Tax returns
PS3: 745k - April Momentum + Tax returns + Home and LBP on the Horizon--and these will attract the casuals, believe me!
Nintendo Wii: 125k - Can't find them in stores
Xbox 360: 75k - Nobody likes the Elite on GAF, so it won't sell.
Click to expand...

You're worse than that?

It's too late this month, but you can always start next month. :)

I've updated the points pages through May.

http://www.angelfire.com/planet/donny2112/NeoGAF/points_main.html
 
R

RBH

Member
So I go back to check this thread and make sure I got my predictions in, and then I'm surprised to realize that NPD day is actually today. :lol

It's felt like ages since we last had an NPD day on GAF. I'm expecting hilarity/gifs/bannings, as usual. :D
 
S

Steiner_Zi

Member
Well, expect sales in line to Canadian NPD numbers.. I don't have high hopes for suprises. But July NPD, this will be a hell more interesting!
 
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