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[Stop It]

As it's a 5 week month... (Only hardware from me)

DSLite: 550k (Just crown it already, this thing is the almighty returned).
Wii: 420k (And just wait for the SPM affect, next month will be huge)
PS2: 280k (Still Hanging in there)
Xbox 360 275k (Strong sales boosted by strong software)
PSP: 240k (Decent enough sales, I best Sony wished they made the console bulky and made a PSPLite too)
PS3: 180k (Nowhere near enough, yet Sony will still spin it as a victory somehow, probably value of sales again)
GBA: 150k (Why are you people still buying these? ).

 

[ylvis_]

Prediction:

NDS: 520k
Wii: 370k
PS2: 340k
360: 290k
PSP: 220k
PS3: 165k
GBA: 155k
GCN: 25k
Xbox: 1k

 

[Porkepik]

DS = 430K
Wii = 360K
PS2 = 210K
360 = 220K
PSP = 210K
PS3 = 145K
GBA = 95K

I'm pretty sure Motorstorm won't have had a big effect on PS3 numbers but at least some games came out this month it should have helped it a little bit still far from the x360 and the wii is not in sight anymore. At leats I finally got to play Oblivion and this is a great game (quite fond of Motorstorm too) problem is not game interest me on the PS3 in the near horizon (lair is probably the next one).

I will be joining the DS buyers this month (and probably wii if I can find one, the 360 will have to wait for a price drop)

 

[Heidir]

NDS: 420k
360: 250k
Wii: 270k
PS2: 280k
PSP: 200k
PS3: 150k
GBA: 140k
GC: 20k

 

[Chibbi Brady]

DS - 515k
Wii - 410k
PS2 - 320k
360 - 275k
PSP - 245k
GBA - 155k
PS3 - 150k

 

[Ganondorf>Link]

DS - 420k
Wii - 350k
PS2 - 310k
360 - 260k
PSP - 200k
GBA - 175k
PS3 - 160k

 

[Nander]

DS: 495k
Wii: 340k
PS2: 320k
360: 260k
PSP: 200k
PS3: 170k
GBA: 130k

 

[kallisto76]

DS - 550k
Wii - 370k
PS2 - 320k
PSP - 230k
360 - 190k
PS3 - 170k
GBA - 140k
GC - 10k
XBX - 1,5k

 

[Brofist]

DS: 425,000
Wii: 300,000
PS2: 280,000
Xbox 360: 260,000
PSP: 210,000
GBA: 150,000
PS3: 149,999
GC: 15,000
Xbox: 1,000

 

[Core Zero]

Eh, might as well... my first shot at this.

Wii - 320,000
X360 - 222,000
PS3 - 140,000
PS2 - 230,000

DS - 400,000
PSP - 185,000
GBA - 90,000

GCN - 10,000
XBOX - 100

 

[Emowii]

Wii - 240,000

360 - 255,000

PS3 - 210,000


Don't care enough about the handhelds to bother.

 

[TheKurgan]

DS - 400k
Wii - 290k
PS2 - 260k
360 - 200k
PSP - 190k
GBA - 140k
PS3 - 140k

 

[gkryhewy]

DS: 400k
Wii: 329k
360: 215k
PSP: 185k
PS3: 139k
PS2: 135k
GBA: 115k

 

[Frankfurter]

Wii 410k
PS2 290k
X360 255k
PS3 145k

NDS 575k
PSP 190k
GBA 160k

 

[teiresias]

PS3 - 120k or less

 

[Orgen]

NDS - 527.000
PSP - 206.000
GBA - 139.000

WII - 413.000
360 - 285.000
PS2 - 264.000
PS3 - 169.000

GCN - 29.000
XBX - 7.000

 

[Freki]

Nintendo DS 465,000

Wii 365,000

PlayStation 2 275,000

Xbox 360 235,000

PlayStation Portable 190,000

Game Boy Advance 120,000

PlayStation 3 119,000

GameCube 20,000

Xbox 300

 

[capslock]

I thought the CW was that 360 beat Wii this month?

 

[donny2112]

Do we have the results from last month?

February 2007 NPD Prediction Results (All but XBX and GCN)

1. pilonv1 - 218K
2. Chibbi Brady - 260K
3. Javy007 - 283K
4. donny2112 - 290K
5. DayShallCome - 298K
6. argon - 300K

Important note for predictors:

1-23 in the rankings all had one thing in common. They all had predictions for the 7 main consoles. 68-97 (there were 97 entries last month ) also had one thing in common. None of them had complete predictions for all seven consoles.

Get the hint?


Congratulations, pilonv1!

Post #4 in this thread.

Wasn't a major game release either aside from maybe GRAW2 (which didn't seem to get much hype).

360 - GRAW 2 (3/6), Def Jam Icon (3/6), Armored Core 4 (3/20), TMNT (3/20), Virtua Tennis 3 (3/20), Guitar Hero II (4/3)

Original post. I'd say Guitar Hero II ought to do pretty good.

 

[RubberJohnny]

DS: 450,000
Wii: 300,000
PS2: 220,000
Xbox 360: 200,000
PSP: 220,000
GBA: 150,000
PS3: 145,000
GC: 15,000
Xbox: 1,500

 

[TheDrowningMan]

DS - 375k
Wii - 320k
PS2 - 245k
360 - 190k
PSP - 215k
GBA - 130k
PS3 - 90k
GC - 11k
Xbox - 950

 

[Thraktor]

Laziest predictions ever:

DS- 606,250
Wii- 418,750
PS2- 368,750
XBox360- 285,000
PSP- 220,000
GBA- 170,000
PS3- 158,750
GC- 30,000
XBox- 600

 

[djtiesto]

Might as well:

DS: 420,000
PS2: 280,000
Wii: 270,000
PSP: 250,000
360: 240,000
PS3: 160,000
GBA: 90,000
GCN: 18,000
Xbox: 28

 

[the thoroughbred]

DSL: 485K
360: 200K
Wii: 250K
GBA: 135K
PS2: 220K
PSP: 130K
PS3: 120K
GC: 25K
XBOX: 3.6

Even after that post telling us how many people were actually taken into account in lsat months predictions, there still seems to be a lot of people who are predicting less than 7 consoles. They either don't want to be included or are just ignorant.

 

[the thoroughbred]

PSP: 240k (Decent enough sales, I best Sony wished they made the console bulky and made a PSPLite too)

I don't know, I think it is bulky. So I bet they are already planning a PSPL

EDIT: imagine a PSPsp:lol :lol :lol

 

[schuelma]

Oh one more prediction- Tiger Woods Wii will sell over 100K.

 

[BuzzJive]

Nintendo DS 444,000
Wii 331,000
PlayStation 2 316,000
Xbox 360 256,000
PlayStation Portable 212,000
Game Boy Advance 144,000
PlayStation 3 118,000
GameCube 18,000
Xbox 300

 

[pswii60]

Nintendo DS 420,000
Wii 320,000
PSP 250,000
PlayStation 2 235,000
PlayStation 3 205,000
Xbox 360 175,000

I don't know, I think it is bulky. So I bet they are already planning a PSPL

EDIT: imagine a PSPsp:lol :lol :lol

You shouldn't laugh at your own jokes.

 

[Chiggs]

PlayStation 3 - 575,000 (March Excitement comedy option)
Nintendo DS - 410,000
Wii - 335,000
PlayStation 2 - 295,000
Xbox 360 - 263,000
PlayStation Portable - 246,000
Game Boy Advance - 144,000
GameCube - 16,000
Xbox - 302

 

[swander]

Nintendo DS 405,000
Wii 335,000
PlayStation 2 305,000
Xbox 360 205,000
PlayStation Portable 198,000
PlayStation 3 180,000
Game Boy Advance 116,000
GameCube 18,000
Xbox 380

 

[NMC2006]

NDS - 400,000
360 - 325,000
Wii - OUT OF STOCK!!! lol jk 300,000
PS2 - 220,000
PSP - 160,000
PS3 - 120,000
Xbox - 25

Shot in the dark, don't really care about these numbers but I thought I would partake.

 

[K.Jack]

Game Boy Advance 110,000
Nintendo DS 419,000
Wii 335,000
PlayStation 2 274,000
PlayStation Portable 227,000
PlayStation 3 136,000
Xbox 360 261,000

 

[Idioteque]

PSP 900,000
Wii 234,000
360 300,000
PS3 15,000
DS 13,000
PS2 350,000

 

[Gekkonidae]

PSP 900,000

The PSP price drop happened 4 days before the sampling period ended.

Anyway, my predictions:

DS 435k
Wii 278k
360 234k
PSP 198k
PS2 184k
PS3 154k
GBA 121K
GC 13k
XBOx < 1k

 

[MasterMFauli]

DS - 550k
Wii - 415k
360 - 240k
PS2 - 210k
GBA - 150k
PSP - 120k
PS3 - 80k
GC - 23k
Xbox - 1k

 

[ascii42]

My First Try

NDS - 475,000
WII - 320,000
PS2 - 280,000
X360- 250,000
PSP - 210,000
PS3 - 200,000
GBA - 140,000

 

[Cooter]

DS: 435,000
Wii: 355,00
PS2: 270,000
Xbox 360: 265,000
PSP: 215,000
PS3: 185,000
GBA: 145,000
GC: 13,000
Xbox: 1,000

 

[justchris]

Hmmmm....I think I'll go with:

DS: 512k
Wii: 306k
PS2: 270k
360: 251k
PSP: 205k
PS3: 115k
GBA: 95k
GCN: 21k
Xbx: 350

Edit: Explanation: DS goes up. Nintendo already started advertising Pokemon, and that it's only on DS. So DS goes up, GBA goes down (who wants to buy a GBA now that Pokemon is on DS?), but DS runs up against supply constraints. Wii goes a bit, low supply most of the month, with a massive shipment in the last week. PSP sells well it's first weekend of Price Drop with great advertised specials. 360 utterly fails to deviate from it's established pattern of 50k-55k a week. PS2 & PS3 follow normal trends for March (~90% of February numbers). GCN & Xbox I just made up.

 

[johnsmith]

I see a lot of people overestimating the PS3.

Must be that March Excitement.

 

[doicare]

DS - 415k
Wii - 310k
PS2 - 320k
360 - 265k
PSP - 250k
GBA - 150k
PS3 - 195k

 

[doicare]

I see a lot of people overestimating the PS3.

Must be that March Excitement.

i see alot of people underestimating the ps3

 

[DeaconKnowledge]

i see alot of people underestimating the ps3

To be fair, Nobody expected them to dip so far with Feb NPD, which is why I think you're seeing so much lowballing.

Well, that, and the only game that could be really considered high profile being Motorstorm.

 

[Nander]

I see a lot of people overestimating the PS3.

Must be that March Excitement.

5 week month and Motorstorm, so I don't see why 150k-200k (what most are predicting) is unrealistic.

 

[Nameless]

I see a lot of people overestimating the PS3.

Must be that March Excitement.

I see a lot of wii overestimating. Its dropped each much this year, yet people are predicting some drastic rise all of a sudden.

 

[DeaconKnowledge]

I see a lot of wii overestimating. Its dropped each much this year, yet people are predicting some drastic rise all of a sudden.

I'll assume you meant each month.

And yeah, the Wii is being a bit highballed too.

 

[Jokeropia]

I see a lot of wii overestimating. Its dropped each much this year, yet people are predicting some drastic rise all of a sudden.

??

Wii weekly sales have been pretty much equal throughout both January and February.

 

[arne]

??

Wii weekly sales have been pretty much equal throughout both January and February.

There weren't a lot of "guaranteed in-store ads" in March iirc.

 

[Jokeropia]

There weren't a lot of "guaranteed in-store ads" in March iirc.

Yeah if you want to make the case that shipments might've been lower in March I can see where you're coming from, but that didn't seem to be what Nameless implied with his statement.

 

[Diablos54]

Wii - 400k
NDS - 500k
PS3 - 150k
360 - 350k
PS2 - 250k
GBA - 150k
PSP - 200k

PS3 vs GBA! FIGHT! :lol

 

[Gekkonidae]

I was estimating some Motorstorm Bump for the PS3 in March. I may be being too kind, but I just don't see the PS3 dipping much lower just yet.

I think most people are overestimating the Wii this month. Look for a monster April for the Wii, but from what I've heard supplies were flat in March.