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[argon]

NDS 500k
Wii 360k
PS2 330k
360 270k
PSP 240k
PS3 170k
GBA 160k
GCN 30k
XBX 0.5k

 

[arne]

Yeah if you want to make the case that shipments might've been lower in March I can see where you're coming from, but that didn't seem to be what Nameless implied with his statement.

You're right. My bad. He's wrong. They haven't gone down month to month (and 2 months can hardly be considered a trend even if it was!)

 

[GhaleonEB]

Wii - 400k
NDS - 500k
PS3 - 150k
360 - 350k
PS2 - 250k
GBA - 150k
PSP - 200k

PS3 vs GBA! FIGHT! :lol

My money's on the GBA, aka The Returning Champion.

 

[Oblivion]

DS: 400k
Wii: 300k
360: 200k
PS3: 100k

There's no WAY I could lose!

 

[justchris]

NDS 525k
Wii 360k
PS2 330k
360 270k
PSP 240k
PS3 170k
GBA 160k
GCN 30k
XBX 0.5k

Heh, quick edit. You forgot something the first time. I almost saw what you did there.

 

[Segata Sanshiro]

Hmm.

DS: 445k
Wii: 335k
PS2: 302k
360: 290k
PSP: 250k
PS3: 150k
GBA: 120k

 

[fse]

Wii : OMG
360: WOW
PS3: OH SHIT...

 

[LOCK]

NDS - 500,000
WII - 330,000
PS2 - 255,000
360 - 250,000
PSP - 190,000
GBA - 150,000
PS3 - 149,000
GCN - 25,000

Tiger Woods PGA Tour 07 - 100,000
The Godfather: Blackhand Edition - 35,000
God of War 2 - 750,000
GRAW 2 - 350,000
Guitar Hero II - 400,000
Motorstorm - 70,000

 

[GhaleonEB]

Allow me to submit Wedbush Morgan's prediction to the mix:

Wii 400,000
PS3 165,000
Xbox 360 250,000
PS2 250,000
PSP 210,000
DS 250,000
GBA 165,000

 

[Parl]

Finally. Now we have analyst numbers from Pachter, we can better predict NPD.

Wii: 320,004
DS: 320,003
PS3: 164,520
Xbox: 360: 249,000
PS2: 264,234
PSP: 210,935
GBA: 161,503

Real predictions:

NDS: 480,000
Wii: 385,000
PS2: 355,000
360: 280,000
PSP: 220,000
GBA: 160,000
PS3: 160,000
NGC: 30,000
Xbx: 600

 

[Hcoregamer00]

Finally. Now we have analyst numbers from Pachter, we can better predict NPD.

Wii: 320,004
DS: 320,003
PS3: 164,520
Xbox: 360: 249,000
PS2: 264,234
PSP: 210,935
GBA: 161,503

But patcher has been off, way off.

 

[duderon]

Post #4 in this thread.





Original post. I'd say Guitar Hero II ought to do pretty good.

I scrolled a bit too fast. Good work!

 

[Parl]

But patcher has been off, way off.

Exactly. Although I have faith in the guy this month. I think he'll be less than 700k off for the total difference for each system, so for Wii and DS, I haven't avoided his numbers as much as I have previously.

The guy didn't used to predict less anticipated numbers and when his "previews" came through, I was satisified if my numbers were way off his. But now, he predicts the safe numbers too.

 

[Epigamic]

Is GAF better than Pachter? Here's a comparison of the collective GAF estimates to Pachter's. All numbers, with the exception of N (number of estimates), are in thousands. Joke estimates were ignored.

	N	Median	Mean	Pachter
Wii	103	335	332	400
DS	98	437	448	250
X360	103	250	251	250
PS2	94	280	280	250
PS3	102	150	155	165
PSP	95	206	205	210
GBA	87	140	137	165
GC	56	21	21	
Xbox	50	0.5	0.7

Bring on Thursday...

 

[diddlyD]

most of these posts read more like personal wishlists than realistic predictions :lol

 

[legend166]

NDS 500k
Wii 390k
PS2 260k
360 250k
PSP 210k
PS3 140k
GBA 160k
GCN 20k
XBX 0.5k

 

[apujanata]

NDS: 400k
Wii: 300k
PS2: 260k
360: 230k
PSP: 180k
PS3: 150k
GBA: 130k
GC: 25k

 

[JoshuaJSlone]

My beginning-of-the-year prediction for March:

Wii: 360K
DS: 294K
PS3: 197K
X360: 192K
PS2: 191K
PSP: 167K
GBA: 121K

Hmm. Not totally awful. Now current predictions:
DS: 394K
Wii: 360K
PS2: 291K
X360: 232K
PSP: 217K
GBA: 161K
PS3: 157K

 

[GhaleonEB]

	N	Median	Mean	Pachter
Wii	103	335	332	400
DS	98	437	448	250
X360	103	250	251	250
PS2	94	280	280	250
PS3	102	150	155	165
PSP	95	206	205	210
GBA	87	140	137	165
GC	56	21	21	
Xbox	50	0.5	0.7

Bring on Thursday...

We only really differ by any substantial margin on the DS and Wii. I think Pachter's going to get murdered on that DS prediciton.

 

[Tf53]

Oh, there goes my virginity. Guess there's a first time for everything, huh?

DS 510,000
Wii 370,000
PS2 350,000
360 290,000
PSP 230,000
GBA 150,001
PS3 150,000

 

[Brak]

We only really differ by any substantial margin on the DS and Wii. I think Pachter's going to get murdered on that DS prediciton.

What the hell was he thinking? Maybe because there weren't any big releases on DS in March, but I really don't think that's a factor at this point.

 

[Mar]

GBA: 161K
PS3: 157K

The grudgematch of the century.

Somebody should be taking bets.

 

[Crypto]

My first predictions...

DS : 400k
Wii : 290k (based on what that GS COO said)
360 : 200k
PS3 : 160k
PS2 : 200k
PSP : 260k (price cut)

I think it was a meh month...

 

[seattle6418]

hardware:

Wii - 325k
360 - 243k
PS3 - 172k

DS - 419k
PSP - 225k
GBA - 168k

PS2 - 281k
XBOX - 1k
GC - 19k

software:

God of War II - 1.1 million
MLB the show (PS2) - 520k
GTA VCS - 490k
GRAW2 - 475k
TNMT - (PS2) 310k
MLB 2k7 (360) - 300k
Burnout Dominator - 270k
Tiger woods - 245k
Guitar Hero II - 222k
Motorstorm - 190k
Crackdown - 185k
Diddiy kong Racing - 170k
Wii play - 170k
Guitar Hero II (PS2) - 150k

but maybe i´m inflating the software sales

 

[Crypto]

Wait, so March NPD's data is really more like Feb? Because price cut was pretty early in March...

 

[GhaleonEB]

What the hell was he thinking? Maybe because there weren't any big releases on DS in March, but I really don't think that's a factor at this point.

He must have thought it was supply constrained. But even so, to predict half of February's sales, when there's an extra week in the March reporting period - delusional.

 

[Son of Godzilla]

NDS 340k
WII 310k
PS2 270k
360 240k
PSP 210k
GBA 170k
PS3 145k
GCN 20k
XBX .4k

 

[2600]

DS 415,000
Wii 305,000
PS2 315,000
X360 285,000
PSP 190,000
GBA 120,000
PS3 140,000

 

[underfooter]

I didn't look at anyone elses before predicting these:


DS- 450k
Wii- 250k (shortages)
360- 205k
PS3- 165k
PSP- 100k
PS2- 200k
N-gage- 456

 

[justchris]

What the hell was he thinking? Maybe because there weren't any big releases on DS in March, but I really don't think that's a factor at this point.

I stand by my prediction of fairly high DS sales. Nintendo started advertising Pokemon on tv, on Saturday mornings (so I watch Saturday morning cartoons, get over it) before the end of March with "only on Nintendo DS" prominent. A lot of people will have bought it in preparation for that, I believe.

 

[starship]

Prediction:

Wii - 365k
DS - 320k
PS2 - 275k
X360 - 260k
PSP - 210k
PS3 - 200k
GBA - 160k
GC - 20k
Xbox - 500

 

[kottila]

DS 370,000
Wii 350,000
PS2 280,000
360 265,00
PSP 200,000
GBA 120,000
PS3 146,000

 

[fresquito]

Heh, I'm new to NPD predictions. Here they go:

NDS: 455k
Wii: 360k
PS2: 330k
360: 270k
PSP: 215k
GBA: 155k
PS3: 145k
GC: 25k
Xbox: 400

 

[F#A#Oo]

NDS 515k
Wii 285k
PSP 240k
PS2 230k
PS3 175k
GBA 165k
360 100k
GCN 30k
XBX 100

 

[devilscallmedad]

NDS 350K
Wii 310K
PS2 270K
360 220K
PSP 200K
PS3 170K

 

[Rekwest]

NDS 379k
Wii 250k
PS2 300k
360 280k
PSP 170k
PS3 140k

 

[F#A#Oo]

most of these posts read more like personal wishlists than realistic predictions :lol

If that was the case then Dreamcast would be in everyone's list...

 

[Amused_To_Death]

Why are there two NPD prediction threads?

 

[mclem]

Wii 350k
DS 325k
Xbox 360 235k
PSP 220k
PS2 215k
PS3 175k
GBA 150k

 

[GhaleonEB]

Why are there two NPD prediction threads?

This is the official prediction thread. The other was just Pachter's prediction, though it kind of drifted into one.

 

[Kosma]

DS 400k
Wiieeak 400k
PSP 275k <<<<<<<<<<<<<<<< *longshot*
PS2 250k
3"red lights"60 250k
PStriple 200k
GBA 50k

*Puts money on the longshot*

 

[DayShallCome]

NDS - 455K (Still supply constrained)
WII - 366K (Also supply constrained)
360 - 287K (Solid lineup of releases, maintains solid momentum)
PS2 - 270K (GoWII + GTA:VCStories make this last month before sharp declines)
PSP - 255K (Wildcard... did impending price drop affect sales?)
PS3 - 176K (The month that EVERYONE figures out that PS3 will simply NEVER sell at 600$)
GBA - 160K (PS3 wins... this time)

 

[PepsimanVsJoe]

PS3: 180k
Wii: 390k
360: 225k
NDS: 450k
PS2: 250k
PSP: 275k
GBA: 150k

I suck at these but oh well.

 

[Clever Pun]

DS: 401K
GBA: 160K
PSP: 210K

Wii: 355K
X360: 235K
PS3: 158K

PS2: 280K
GC: 22K
XBOX: 218

 

[JonathanEx]

Wii: 350k
DS: 450k
360: 250k
PS2: 250k
PS3: 150k
PSP: 200k
GBA: 151k
GC: 15k
Xbox: 7

 

[Burnst]

Lets hope for a

 

[valkillmore]

oh my god i almost had a POOP when i saw this thread had been bumped, i thought the numbers were in! but we're waiting until tomorrow evening, right?

my predictions:

Wii 375,000
Xbox 360 - 240,000
DS - 300,000
PS3 - 140,000 (yeah that's right Motorstorm fanboys, no bump for you)

 

[FrankT]

Wii 360K (Could be higher, but based on Lazard's view of flat on supply constraint)
PS3 105K
360 250K
PS2 250K

 

[Miniboss1232]

My first predictions evar:

NDS - 575,000
WII - 325,000
PS2 - 275,000
360 - 225,000
PSP - 175,000
GBA - 125,000
PS3 - 125,000
GCN - 25,000
XBX - 300

My general methodology is that the DS and Wii are basically selling everything that's shipped.

Trends seem to state that Nintendo is shipping just a few units units of both the DS and the Wii to the US than Japan, so I'm just taking the Japanese numbers for both systems and incrementing them by about 25k. Wii hardware will probably be a bit lower than my predictions, while DS hardware will probably be a bit higher.

As for everything else, I'm going to say that the numbers are roughly equivalent to the February numbers. While the month was longer (5 weeks compared to 4 weeks), March is generally considered to be slower. And so for hardware that's not supply constrained, I would expect them to stay about level. However, I wouldn't be surprised if my PS2, 360, PSP, GBA, and PS3 predictions were 25,000 units lower than what actually was sold.

 

[Earthstrike]

Wii - 340k
PS2 - 265k
360 - 250k
NDS - 420k
PSP - 160k
PS3 - 151k
GC - 18k
XBX- 370