Dismantling of the settlements is something that Israel has to do, what does it mean to do it bilaterally?Whoa who said anything about a peace treaty? I was under the impressions you sere promoting a unilateral decision. Under the process of negotiations sure. Of course this is kind of moot since any solution involves some settlements staying (with land swap given).
Egypt lost 2 wars in Embarrassing fashion and they had to be bribed by the USA. Big difference where isrsel isn't capable of doing that now since there is no traditional war here or traditional government. And they got the Sinai back in thei negotiation. There was nothing left for then to go after, they wanted out of direct conflict for good. Nothing to gain.
A unilateral decision wouldn't lead to peace, though. And they can't threaten their state as a whole but they can do what they've done and ramp it up. They've essentially been in war since 2000 so that doesn't change.
I don't think unilaterally dismantling them changes anything for the positive and probably hurts. S not until other things happen first. Has to be part of a process. I also don't think expanding then does anything but hurt. I think there should be a freeze until its solved at this point but the longer this goes on the more Israelites will want to expand , unfortunately.
And just so we're clear, I'm certainly not advocating a withdrawal without a peace treaty (like in Gaza) but you wouldn't need that.
All the Palestinian leaders in the West Bank are on the record saying they would sign a peace treaty tomorrow under those conditions.
Also, Egypt consider the '73 war a great victory, they have victory museums for that war.
I don't think anyone was a "winner" in that war, but if you're getting into the business of psychoanalyzing a nation, the common wisdom (and Sadat diaries) suggests that Egypt needed a moral victory before it was willing to make peace with Israel.
Most people that I know are satisfied when they get what they wanted.I don't need inside information. Palestinians aren't unique. It's how anyone would approach that situation coming from the same place. Wouldn't you assess your tactics as working and push for more? Bargaining is all about signaling strength, too.
I think the biggest problem people make is trying to assign blame to either side but reality is this is the situation that exists and it's more important to try to figure out what breaks the bad cycle. Or more importantly, what will establish trust?
Ever see a bitter divorce battle? It's a fitting analogy.
And I really don't think many Palestinians are going to say "well, the last 60 years were shit, and we just fulfilled are century old national dream, but fuck it, let's get into another century of war with a vast superior enemy".
Or on the flip side, do you honestly think that they'll say "well, we still have the settlements in the middle of our country, but that means that the Israeli are super serious, let's make lasting peace with them".
What does trust have to do with the freeze?I agree with this. Which is why I think the best move is a freeze. But the Israelis distrust the Palestinians so much that's not even politically viable anymore. We have to work back to that.
You act like building in the settlement is helping Israeli security.
The only goal of the settlements is to prevent a Palestinian state, that why there were created, there is literally nothing to gain by building them (outside an eventual one state solution).
How does building in the settlements gives Israel bargaining power?Bargaining power, how does it work? You're taking too much of an invisible hand approach.
Because I can tell you how dismantling is going to give Israel bargaining power, by getting the world behind it.
Why do you think that would happen?It's not a win win. It would empower palestinian attacks. Until Israel can trust the Palestinians to play nice they can't dismantle. And they have no reason to trust them (and visa versa).
You understand that you're making the case that the more Israel treat the Palestinian like assholes the less they'll attack them.
What kind of logic that is?
I don't know people who operates like that (and I know some Palestinians).