kkaabboomm said:
this i would say is a very reasonable statement. debatable, as always, as how long this will hurt him, but reasonable none the less. all i was pointing out was that citing the Ras Clinton+1 as evidence the bitter remark has already begun to impact him is false. Will it impact him? probably. has that shown up yet? no.
BUT ACCORDING TO GALLUP DAILY TRACKING AFTER ONE DAY IT HASN'T HURT HIM. WHAT IN THE WORLD ARE YOU THINKING SUGGESTING THAT? YOU FAIL! YOU LOSE! YOU'RE WRONG!
...*eyes*
Hillary's lie about Bosnia has permanently hurt more MORE than the Wright controversy did Obama.
Well that's hugely debateable. Personally, I don't think it did. People that didn't like the Bosnia lie were more likely already to believe that the Clintons were not honest and not trustworthy. Also, frankly, Bosnia is not going to turn up in the general election because it's not effective enough. "Hillary Clinton is a liar" is not going to do much, because it's something that helps Clinton's electability argument: What you see is what you get. It gained traction because the ongoing narrative of Clinton is her honesty and trustworthiness. Clinton will never win the honesty vote against McCain, and never was going to.
I think Bittergate is more of Obama's version of Bosnia than it being as bad as Rev. Wright. Watch, I think bittergate will turn off people who were already not sold on Obama's message or were undecided -- which of course still hurts him but is obviously not going to be the difference between him winning and losing the state. I also don't expect it to have much impact on the general if Obama is the nominee because I doubt it's effective enough. However, it's still hurtful because it's bad for Obama with Reagan Democrats. Clinton can still win against McCain even if she was perceived as dishonest versus McCain. Democrats can't win without a sizeable portion of Reagen Dems.
Rev. Wright hurt him across the board. It directly undercut his core campaign values. It made people disillusioned. IT's
STILL being talked about a month later. That shit was majorly damaging, and just because SOME of his numbers recovered doesn't mean the impact wasn't majorly felt.