DM3
Opening Weekend
85mil
LT Dom
225
WW OW
250
LT WW
925
Baby Driver
Opening Weekend
25mil
LT Dom
70
WW OW
50
LT WW
160
-
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Wkd BO 0623-2517 - Transformers snore than meets the eye, Woman keeps up with Cars
- Thread starter xaosslug
- Start date
DM3
Opening Weekend
85mil
LT Dom
225
WW OW
250
LT WW
925
Baby Driver
Opening Weekend
25mil
LT Dom
70
WW OW
50
LT WW
160
I think Justice League is going to fail big time. It looks like a Snyder snooze fest and the humor (at least in the trailers) falls flat. That big-bang Snyder monster-fight shit almost killed Wonder Woman for me.
Shockingly, the most promising upcoming film from the DCEU is Aquaman, and that's based purely on casting. WB needs to remove the Snyder feel from their DC stuff, or its going to drag down their entire brand.
Paramount is definitely in the worst shape of all the studios. I can't believe they allowed the Trek franchise to collapse so quickly. As you said, ST09 was one of the best reboots in recent years, and already the franchise is back on shaky ground.
BronsonLee
Member
Baby Driver will make negative dollars
Yeah, it obviously almost killed WoM for Wonder Woman. JL will make bank. The quality will determine it's legs but OW should be high enough to carry it close to 800m.
They also have a Matt Reeves directed Batman and a WW2 from Patty down the road. Plus if rumors are to be believed it looks like Flash will have a competent director. DCEUs future actually looks pretty bright.
lol ok man if you say so.
Obliterator
Member
I feel like I'm FINALLY starting to see some buzz building for Spidey Homecoming
I think word of mouth is going serve it well
Lights and Waves
Member
Very true. It also makes you sound ~very sophisticated~ if you complain about the third act of Wonder Woman. Monkey see, monkey do.
I'm completely shook by all the success this film has had. I've seen it four times and I honestly wouldn't mind seeing it again.
Hope they announce the sequel at Comic Con.
vinnygambini
Why are strippers at the U.N. bad when they're great at strip clubs???
Nice read on you view of the big 6 kswiss, appreciate it. Always fun.
Awesome read, swiss. Disney is so well positioned right now, it's unreal
Thanks. I wasn't originally planning on writing 1500 words, so I'm glad someone read that wall of text.
I wouldn't say that Disney is producing my favourite stuff (though most of it is enjoyable), but they definitely seem to have the blockbuster game figured out for now.
I haven't come across a budget, but based on the cast and what was shown in the trailers, I'm expecting $30-50M. They also had those 30 songs to license. Hopefully it wasn't too much more than the top end of my range. I would be impressed if it was much less.
Ditto.
This is their third time rebooting Spiderman and RDJ does nothing for me now. BP and Thor both look fresh.
Yeah, same here. The positive reactions so far have been relieving
It's the second reboot, not third. (And they're not doing the origin again.)
Mrstriker09
Member
Wow 47 meters down did really good for its second weekend
Baby Driver
DOM: Tears
DOM total: Under appreciated
OS: Slightly less tears
OS total: Slightly less under appreciated
WW: Edgar Wright classic
DM3
DOM: Sucking cash out of parents pockets
DOM total: A few less trucks of cash than DM2
OS: More sucking cash out of parents pockets
OS total: Half a boat less cash than DM2
WW: Illumination stays winning
Biggest-Geek-Ever
Member
I'll lock down exact predictions for both later, but Baby Driver I'm hoping can at least break $20M over 5 days
fight me, Bronson
In that vein, perhaps the most baffling scheduling of the summer: The Hitman's Bodyguard and Logan Lucky are releasing on the same day, August 18.
Gentleman Jack
Member
Yes, but how many negative dollars will it make in the first weekend, and how many negative dollars total domestic gross?
Japan could make things interesting. I believe that is the only market left for both movies to open. Pirates 5 opens in Japan in a week.
Wonder Woman doesn't open there until the end of August and I'm not sure anyone knows what to expect from it. For the sake of comparison, Man of Steel made $8m, Suicide Squad made $15m, BvS made $16m, Civil War made $24m, Doctor Strange made $16m and Guardians 2 made $9m.
Pirates 4 made $108m.
So, yeah.
The USD was trading at about 80 JPY back when On Stranger Tides launched. Now the exchange is closer to 1 USD = 110 Yen.
So that $108M in Japan becomes $79M using current exchange rates.
I wouldn't expect much more than $60M for Pirates 5 there, and even that is probably optimistic.
So that $108M in Japan becomes $79M using current exchange rates.
I wouldn't expect much more than $60M for Pirates 5 there, and even that is probably optimistic.
I certainly don't expect it to make $100m again but its success certainly wasn't due to exchange rates. Pirates has always been huge in Japan.
If we compare it to the original Avengers, which released a year after Pirates 4, even that "only" made $45m.
So I'm very interested to see where Pirates 5 lands there.
ElBoxyBrown
Banned
Wonder Woman's third act did not kill the movie's word of mouth. Y'all are painting some revisionist history. The movie was instant praise from the get-go. It was too big to fail. A measly divisive third act wasn't gonna stop the hype train.
This. Mark Wahlberg is a sad sorry replacement.
US Superhero films aren't popular in Japan, because they have their own brand of superheroes. The Avengers is the highest grossing superhero film there in USD since Spider-Man 3 I believe. The typical superhero range is $10-15M. Sometimes a bit less. Sometimes a bit more.
Also, the actual take that Pirates 4 managed was most definitely due to exchange rates. Pirates 3 managed $91M when rates were around 120 yen to the dollar. So while Pirates 4 appears to be a 20% bump over Pirates 3 in Japan, it was actually down 20% in local currency. No one is disputing that the franchise is popular, but that popularity has been waning (along with the popularity of pretty much every Hollywood franchise outside of a few Disney films). Add that to a much weaker currency than the last time this series was in release, and you will likely get a 40-50% drop from the last entry.
People get upset when people say "I thought it was good, not amazing" and list out why. That then eventually becomes bad word of mouth....somehow....
starchild excalibur
Member
I've never done one of these before. Let's see:
Despicable Me 3:
OW - $75 mil
Domestic - $335 mil
International - $650 mil
Total - $985 mil
Baby Driver:
OW - $22 mil
Domestic - $58 mil
International - $48 mil
Total - $106 mil
I hope I'm wrong on those low BD numbers though.
edit: Woah, The World's End and Scott Pilgrim both made less than $50 mil worldwide. I guess $100+ mil worldwide would be a huge success for Edgar Wright.
47 Meters Down was great.
Principate
Saint Titanfall
Japan sure loves it pirates.
Kenzodielocke
Banned
Embargo for Spidey and Apes lifts today? When?
I think Spidey is on Thursday.
I want to know, why did they replace Shia Labeuf in Transformers? Him and Megan were the best part of Transformers and Revenge of the Fallen to me. I really enjoyed those two.
Also, will Wonder Woman overtake Suicide Squad domestically on Wednesday and Batman v Superman on Friday?
Also, will Wonder Woman overtake Suicide Squad domestically on Wednesday and Batman v Superman on Friday?
Beren the Empty-Handed
Member
If I remember correctly Shia was sick of spending most of his time acting with floating tennis balls in a blue screen room, and it soured him on huge blockbusters in general.
Megan was fired by Spielberg for some comments she made.
PanSexual_Peacock
Member
Didn't she compare Bay to Hitler?
What does LT and OS mean?
Yes she compared him to Hitler and Spielberg wanted her fired.
It's so crazy that Paramount didn't use Trek's 50th anniversary at all for Beyond.
Just a few years before the BBC was able to turn Doctor Who's 50th anniversary into a worldwide event for the show and Paramount didn't even try for Beyond.
Which studio would you say is producing your favorite stuff?
For me, it's definitely Disney as I love star wars, Marvel has been so damn consistent and my daughter looooooves princesses right now. Disney's consistent quality makes me feel like I'm not going to waste money seeing a shitty movie (most of the time). Other studios are so hit or miss for me.
wesleyshark
Banned
Awesome to see WW doing so well.
You have very good taste. A24 films and blumhouse have had excellent recent outputs.
With minimal time to actually go to the movies though, I (usually) stick more to blockbusters and VOD smaller scale productions if that makes sense
yeah these 2 studios have been wowing me for the last few years
really happy when i see them succeed
having said that, disney is king for my family. i love their marvel output, my neice loves star wars, my wife loves their live action remakes of animated classics.
George Oscar Bluth II
Banned
I'm the same but it's more of an issue with ticket prices for me.
Of course. I'm all over the place with movies. Like my blockbusters as much as smaller movies. I even scour through no budget horror quite often.
How often do you get to the theater?