Every time this thread gets bumped I hope we finally have the date. Fuck :/
Every time this thread gets bumped, I wonder what non-asoif thing GRRM has "not-a-blogged" about this time.
Every time this thread gets bumped I hope we finally have the date. Fuck :/
I thought the thread was bumped to wish him a happy birthday. But I guess maybe the thread is right. If we don't get a book, he shouldn't get happy birthday wishes.
It's probably best to wait until the series is finished before starting on a posh hardbook set - if the Earth still exists by then obviously. It's hard enough trying to have all the same editions for this series in paperback, they're constantly changing in size and design.
Every time this thread gets bumped I hope we finally have the date. Fuck :/
So I'm still on my first read through, and I just finished a Feast for Crows - I can't believe at the end of the book he wrote to expect Dance with Dragons the next year and took 6! that's crazy lol.
I'd guess 4 years, maybe late 2015. As for story details, my guess is Dany doesn't head for Westeros until the end of book 6 and comes as more of a savior than a conqueror in book 7 (meeting the others at the Trident). I think Aegon is going to die at some point in the next book (and may not be a Targ).
I am hoping it is around 3 years. GRRM seems to be really ecstatic that the show has been a hit, and that his books have sky-rocketed in popularity. Hopefully this plus a few months break will re-invigorate him, and the next novel won't be so difficult.
Steven King took 4-6 years between each of the first 5 dark tower books and the knocked out 3 in less than 2 years. GRRM is too much a perfectionist to do that, but it is feasible that the delays will shorten now that he has gotten through most of the stuff he was having trouble writing.
I'm optimitic regarding how long it will take Martin to finish Winds of Winter. I say 2.5 years, releasing 3 years from now during the summer of 2014. Also, if I were Martin I'd buy a log cabin somewhere cold and picturesque such as Vermont, Maine, Nova Scotia, BC, etc. to live in while I was writing the book. I'd do it this fall and get it ready to move in as soon as it gets cold.
Of course, the series wasn't nearly as popular then, so there weren't as many signings or conventions, not to mention writing an episode a year for the show (and being involved in the casting process and other things).
It could happen if he sits down when he returns after 9 months of not really writing much and finds everything flying out, but late 2014-early 2015 is more when I would look towards.
I'd say late 2014/early 2015, but even that is being optimistic
My bet is on 2016.
He's done with a 100 pages already. Chapters that were meant to be in Dance with Dragons but bumped up. Winds of Winter spoiler: He has completed 4 chpaters with POVs of Arya, Sansa, Arianne, and an Aeron Greyjoy . I think 3-4 years, likely 4 years is what you should expect.
I guess I'm an optimist. I expect the series to be done by this time 2015. He is 'over the hump' as it were. If he knows exactly where this story is going, getting there shouldn't be as hard now. He also has additional incentive in trying to get the story finished in time for the TV series to catch it up...
Granted, that is IF he knows where the story is going. If he still hasn't decided then I guess 2019 doesn't sound too far off...
I do really hope with this knot supposedly undone, he can get back to writing these books in 2 years. I mean, aSoS was out in just under 2 years following aCoK which was out 2 years after aGoT.
If he can get that kinda pace going again, we will be finished by at least 2016. Which would be awesome.
I agree that George is gonna pump out the last 2 books fairly quickly (by his standards anyway). People seem to forget how quick he pumped out the first 3, and now that all the pieces are set and the endgame is in sight, I'm optimistic that we will get to the conclusion within 4 to 5 years, mayhap sooner.
I also think George wants to get this fucker done. He's already got plans for another series, crazy sonofabitch that he is. He's also learned a lot these last 10 years and he's not gonna make any of the mistakes that plagued Feast and Dance.
I honestly think TWOW will be out in 2-3 years. Martin no longer has time to take years on the books, assuming the show remains successful. I agree with the point that each book creates its own problems for him, but I still think ADWD/AFFC had even more problems and it should be "easier" now. The definition of easier in relation to Martin is still "a long fucking time" but it won't be 4-5+ years imo. I'm pretty confident on that...
Given all the good will and press he has received this year, I think he'll enter 2012 refreshed and ready to rock. Hopefully towards the fall/winter he slows down from all the traveling and just rests. Watch a lot of football, Mr. Martin. Chill, take naps, watch porn or whatever. You've earned it
Hoping for 2014, probably coming late 2015. Everything points to TWOW being the most eventful book in the series. Hopefully that translates to George writing faster, rather than having to figure out what the hell to do.
This all seems like pie in the sky wishful thinking to me. I can't believe anybody thinks HBO is going to give GOT the 8-10 seasons it will take to adapt the entire story. I just don't see it happening under any circumstances. The cost would be simply staggering, the actors will want to move on to other projects, and so on and so forth.
so no one even considered 2017+?
so no one even considered 2017+?
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame
New Prediction Winds in Q4 2018/Early 2019
Also mods, please unban Phoenix Dark whenever Winds does come out, at least for a month. pls
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame
Also mods, please unban Phoenix Dark whenever Winds does come out, at least for a month. pls
BONUS TOTALLY WRONG GOT PREDICTION!
Also mods, please unban Phoenix Dark whenever Winds does come out, at least for a month. pls
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame
.
Anybody think he's working on an "Enhanced" version of Winds?
Books getting remasters now?
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame
I always kind of felt he might be doing that, but I've been wrongly optimistic about his release dates for like a dozen years straight, now.
50/50?? I think you are being almost too positive...That is not optimistic, that is straight up delusional sorry.
The next book will come in 2018 at the earliest and it will be 2026 at the earliest before the last book comes out, if we will see it all.
Realistically speaking, the odds for that final book coming out at all are 50/50, at best.
I'd read it.Books been getting remasters for ages.
Stephen damn King remastered the Stand and added hundreds of pages. If GRR remasters any of his books, expect and extra thousand pages of small folk aimlessly walking the countryside, disillusioned by war. And lots of nipple fetishism, probably.
A grey girl on a dying horse, fleeing from her marriage. On the strength of those words he had loosed Mance Rayder and six spearwives on the north.
GRRM laid the groundwork with that sorcery is a blade without a hilt line. And he rammed home the point it was relying on Mel's sorcery that got Jon tangled up in the mess with this one.
His father read some ancient scroll then later shelved his efforts to put his mad king father aside to run off to make a third head of the dragon, resulting in calamity and the apparent other two dragon's heads getting dashed.
And here comes Stannis to Jon's doorstep to burn his daughter on a sorcerer's word and in the name of prophecy, which will end with him having nothing but his daughter's ashes to show for it.
The lesson is clear, just do the right thing and don't go trusting or relying on the magical bullshit.
Yes. A sword without a hilt, with no safe way to hold it. But Melisandre had the right of it. Even a sword without a hilt is better than an empty hand when foes are all around you. (ADWD JON VIII)
Melisandre look to the skies, she said. He set the letter down. A raven in a storm. She saw this coming. When you have your answers, send to me
I should talk with Melisandre after I see the queen, he thought. If she could see a raven in a storm, she can find Ramsay Snow for me. (JON XIII)
Magic can ruin things. Magic should never be the solution. Magic can be part of the problem.
Is there a nice summary of everything that already happened in the books so far? Because I'll probably have forgotten everything I've read so far when our very dearest GRRM decides to release Winds.
He hasn't learned the lesson yet, and it may take some more magical failures before he does but at this stage he still doesn't know Mel was wrong, as far as he's aware Bolton's Arya is Arya and the letter proved Mel right.True that. But Jon came to the opposite conclusion when he died. He thinks he should've relied on Melisandre more not less.
He hasn't learned the lesson yet, and it may take some more magical failures before he does but at this stage he still doesn't know Mel was wrong, as far as he's aware Bolton's Arya is Arya and the letter proved Mel right.
There's no proof he's still writing books.I really had even forgotten that GRRM was still writing books at this point. 2017 seems optimistic, so I'll go with 2018.
I can't believe GRRM isn't going to release it this year. I thought surely he would start talking again once this season ended and things started to cool. At this rate its going to be late 2017 at the earliest. Fuck.
These books aren't really easy to summarize. If you don't want to do a re-read again which I'd recommend then I'd suggest looking through this person's chapter by chapter summaries along with her fun comments:
http://www.tor.com/features/series/a-read-of-ice-and-fire/
The tradition amongst the Targaryens had always been to marry kin to kin. Wedding brother to sister was thought to be ideal. Failing that, a girl might wed an uncle, a cousin, or a nephew; a boy, a cousin, aunt, or niece. This practice went back to Old Valyria, where it was common amongst many of the ancient families, particularly those who bred and rode dragons. "The blood of the dragon must remain pure,"
It was on the great peninsula across from Slaver's Bay that those who brought an end to the empire of Old Ghis—though not to all of their ways—originated. Sheltered there, amidst the great volcanic mountains known as the Fourteen Flames, were the Valyrians, who learned to tame dragons and make them the most fearsome weapon of war that the world ever saw. The tales the Valyrians told of themselves claimed they were descended from dragons and were kin to the ones they now controlled.
"What feeds the flame?" asked Sam.
"What feeds a dragon's fire?" Marwyn seated himself upon a stool. "All Valyrian sorcery was rooted in blood or fire. The sorcerers of the Freehold could see across mountains, seas, and deserts with one of these glass candles. They could enter a man's dreams and give him visions, and speak to one another half a world apart, seated before their candles. Do you think that might be useful, Slayer?"
The fire would transform him is an important line, to take a second life as a dragon the sacrifice's body must burn, or there abouts.The Targaryens never bury their dead, they burn them. Aerys meant to have the greatest funeral pyre of them all. Though if truth be told, I do not believe he truly expected to die. Like Aerion Brightfire before him, Aerys thought the fire would transform him . . . that he would rise again, reborn as a dragon, and turn all his enemies to ash.
Moqorro is wrong or only has half the story when he explains the horn, the horn is a Valyrian tool to achieve a second life in a dragon. It's just as it says, it's a dragon binder, a trade of blood for fire. The blower dies, but becomes bound to a dragon, achieving fire.I am Dragonbinder ... No mortal man should sound me and live ... Blood for fire, fire for blood.
When a horselord dies, his horse is slain with him, so he might ride proud into the night lands. The bodies are burned beneath the open sky, and the khal rises on his fiery steed to take his place among the stars. The more fiercely the man burned in life, the brighter his star will shine in the darkness.
Dany, moon of Drogo's life, and Drogo, Dany's sun (and stars), joined and from their union came dragons. And the dragons drank from the sun (Drogo) and that's where they got their fire. When MMD 'tries' to save Drogo he lives but ends up soulless, he has lost his fire. Drogo's soul has gone into Drogon's egg."A trader from Qarth once told me that dragons came from the moon," blond Doreah said ...
"The moon?"
"He told me the moon was an egg, Khaleesi," the Lysene girl said. "Once there were two moons in the sky, but one wandered too close to the sun and cracked from the heat. A thousand thousand dragons poured forth, and drank the fire from the sun. That is why dragons breathe flame. One day the other moon will kiss the sun too, and then it will crack and the dragons will return."
The two Dothraki girls giggled and laughed. "You are foolish strawhead slave," Irri said. "Moon is no egg. Moon is god, woman wife of sun. It is known."
Soulless Drogo stares longingly at the sun, because he has lost his fire, Drogon has drank it. The fire/Drogo's soul is interchangeable, and thus the answer to Marwyn's question.He was lying on the bare red earth, staring up at the sun.
A dozen bloodflies had settled on his body, though he did not seem to feel them. Dany brushed them away and knelt beside him. His eyes were wide open but did not see, and she knew at once that he was blind. When she whispered his name, he did not seem to hear. The wound on his breast was as healed as it would ever be, the scar that covered it grey and red and hideous.
“Why is he out here alone, in the sun?” she asked them.
“He seems to like the warmth, Princess,” Ser Jorah said. “His eyes follow the sun, though he does not see it. He can walk after a fashion. He will go where you lead him, but no farther. He will eat if you put food in his mouth, drink if you dribble water on his lips.”
Dany kissed her sun-and-stars gently on the brow, and stood to face Mirri Maz Duur. “Your spells are costly, maegi.”
“He lives,” said Mirri Maz Duur. “You asked for life. You paid for life.”
“This is not life, for one who was as Drogo was. His life was laughter, and meat roasting over a firepit, and a horse between his legs. His life was an arakh in his hand and his bells ringing in his hair as he rode to meet an enemy. His life was his bloodriders, and me, and the son I was to give him.”
Marwyn taught MMD her blood magic, not that she really knew what she did, but they're on the right track, asking the right questions."What feeds the flame?" asked Sam.
"What feeds a dragon's fire?" Marwyn seated himself upon a stool. "All Valyrian sorcery was rooted in blood or fire. The sorcerers of the Freehold could see across mountains, seas, and deserts with one of these glass candles. They could enter a man's dreams and give him visions, and speak to one another half a world apart, seated before their candles. Do you think that might be useful, Slayer?"
Rhaego is conceived, the stars which represent Drogo (sun and stars) to turn wings, and the fire comes. Drogo is replaced with the dragon through Rhaego's conception.“You don’t want to wake the dragon, do you?”
She saw sunlight on the Dothraki sea, the living plain, rich with the smells of earth and death. Wind stirred the grasses, and they rippled like water. Drogo held her in strong arms, and his hand stroked her sex and opened her and woke that sweet wetness that was his alone, and the stars smiled down on them, stars in a daylight sky. “Home,” she whispered as he entered her and filled her with his seed, but suddenly the stars were gone, and across the blue sky swept the great wings, and the world took flame.
The sacrifice of Rhaego. Someone without the blood of the dragon can piggy back their way into a second life in a dragon by sacrificing a child of theirs with blood of the dragon. The child comes too, Rhaego is in Drogon with Drogo.“ . . . don’t want to wake the dragon . . . ”
She could feel the heat inside her, a terrible burning in her womb. Her son was tall and proud, with Drogo’s copper skin and her own silver-gold hair, violet eyes shaped like almonds. And he smiled for her and began to lift his hand toward hers, but when he opened his mouth the fire poured out. She saw his heart burning through his chest, and in an instant he was gone, consumed like a moth by a candle, turned to ash. She wept for her child, the promise of a sweet mouth on her breast, but her tears turned to steam as they touched her skin.
I include this passage just to show that it's not the first time this has been done. The ghosts of the other Targs are urging her on, they've done this before, it's a historic practice.“ . . . want to wake the dragon . . . ”
Ghosts lined the hallway, dressed in the faded raiment of kings. In their hands were swords of pale fire. They had hair of silver and hair of gold and hair of platinum white, and their eyes were opal and amethyst, tourmaline and jade. “Faster,” they cried, “faster, faster.” She raced, her feet melting the stone wherever they touched. “Faster!” the ghosts cried as one, and she screamed and threw herself forward. A great knife of pain ripped down her back, and she felt her skin tear open and smelled the stench of burning blood and saw the shadow of wings. And Daenerys Targaryen flew.
Drogon exults at the news of Robert's death, if you recall Robert sending the assassin is what prompted his speech about taking the IT."A gift of news. Dragonmother, Stormborn, I tell you true, Robert Baratheon is dead."
Outside her walls, dusk was settling over Qarth, but a sun had risen in Dany's heart. "Dead?" she repeated. In her lap, black Drogon hissed, and pale smoke rose before her face like a veil. "You are certain? The Usurper is dead?"
He's either enjoying this scene or it pisses him off. I think the latter because later,Dany knew her face was flushed, but in the darkness Irri surely could not tell. Wordless, the handmaid put a hand on her breast, then bent to take a nipple in her mouth. Her other hand drifted down across the soft curve of belly, through the mound of fine silvery-gold hair, and went to work between Dany's thighs. It was no more than a few moments until her legs twisted and her breasts heaved and her whole body shuddered. She screamed then. Or perhaps that was Drogon. Irri never said a thing, only curled back up and went back to sleep the instant the thing was done.
He bites the offending hand."They have been wild while you were gone, Khaleesi," Irri told her. "Viserion clawed splinters from the door, do you see? And Drogon made to escape when the slaver men came to see them. When I grabbed his tail to hold him back, he turned and bit me." She showed Dany the marks of his teeth on her hand.
Left to his own will Drogon makes his home in the Dothraki sea and roams and hunts it free and far, like a Khal.The black dragon had been flying north across the Skahazadhan toward the tall grasses of the Dothraki sea. He had not returned.
I'll try this theory here, maybe it will gain some traction amongst general fans rather than the more dedicated character fans that make up the ASOIAF boards.
Certain bloodlines have an affinity with certain animals/beasts. The first men with various animals, Greyjoys with krakens, Starks specifically with wolves, probably Mormonts and bears, Lannisters and lions and so on. And of course Valyrians with dragons. Why or how this came to be the case I don't know and it may not get answered, some ancient creation events probably judging by TWOIAF hints, but I don't think it's a far reach to just assume so and work from there given all the allusions in the text.
The Varamyr chapter introduced the concept of a second life, he died and became a wolf. Common thinking has it as seeding for how Jon will survive his death, that Jon's soul (maybe not the best word for it but the simplest and I'll use it from here on out) will warg Ghost and he'll somehow return to a human body from there. That may or may not happen, but it's not the whole purpose of the second life concept, the second life is the answer to the biggest mysteries in the series and will drive the end game.
The second life is how Valyrians tamed dragons to ride. They were able to sacrifice the life of a blood member of their family to begin a second life in a dragon. That dragon would then conventionally become hospitable enough towards a human blood family member of the sacrifice and allow them as a rider. A blood relation is formed between dragon and human. But Varamyr was a skinchanger, which was what allowed him to take a second life, and Valyrians are not. In place of being skinchangers Valyrian's had blood magic, which allowed them to achieve what Varamyr did.
Dragons descended from the one that was skinchanged still share the same blood relation with humans descended from the sacrifice, the blood relation holds through generations, but will weaken with the introduction of other blood lines. Thus why Valyrians practiced incest and how the notion that the blood of the dragon must remain pure came about. Also why dragon riding was a per family thing. The following are the choice pieces which are explained by or evidence something in the above.
As above.
Why they were kin to those they controlled.
Valyrians were sorcerers, blood and fire sorcerers. Marwyn puts it most succinctly but this is an accepted fact in world.
Aerys wasn't all mad, there's some truth to what he was thinking. We'll probably find out where he was getting this information, but you can see in the quote, even after the second life practice has been forgotten Aerys wasn't the first Targ thinking he could burn and be reborn as a dragon.The fire would transform him is an important line, to take a second life as a dragon the sacrifice's body must burn, or there abouts.
The second life is the explanation for Euron's horn. Moqorro is wrong or only has half the story when he explains the horn, the horn is a Valyrian tool to achieve a second life in a dragon. It's just as it says, it's a dragon binder, a trade of blood for fire. The blower dies, but becomes bound to a dragon, achieving fire.
Varamyr was not the first second life in the series, or the first on page. It probably happened with all three of Dany's dragons, almost certainly with Viserys -> Viserion and definitely with Drogo -> Drogon. Drogo to Drogon will be central to the story and the one with the most evidence to show the point.
MMD's gutter blood magic in her tent of wtf allowed Drogo's soul to join Drogon's, and wake when his body was burned. It's what GRRM is getting at in this passage.
And what this story is about.Dany, moon of Drogo's life, and Drogo, Dany's sun (and stars), joined and from their union came dragons. And the dragons drank from the sun (Drogo) and that's where they got their fire. When MMD 'tries' to save Drogo he lives but ends up soulless, he has lost his fire. Drogo's soul has gone into Drogon's egg.Soulless Drogo stares longingly at the sun, because he has lost his fire, Drogon has drank it. The fire/Drogo's soul is interchangeable, and thus the answer to Marwyn's question.Marwyn taught MMD her blood magic, not that she really knew what she did, but they're on the right track, asking the right questions.
There's an obvious problem to this, only Targaryen's should be able to second life a dragon on the basis of a pre-existing connection between Valyrian's and dragons. And Drogo is no Valyrian/Targ. The rule is real, just it has a backdoor, Dany's wake the dragon dream goes some way to explaining it.Rhaego is conceived, the stars which represent Drogo (sun and stars) to turn wings, and the fire comes. Drogo is replaced with the dragon through Rhaego's conception.
The sacrifice of Rhaego. Someone without the blood of the dragon can piggy back their way into a second life in a dragon by sacrificing a child of theirs with blood of the dragon. The child comes too, Rhaego is in Drogon with Drogo.I include this passage just to show that it's not the first time this has been done. The ghosts of the other Targs are urging her on, they've done this before, it's a historic practice.
Should this all be correct you would expect some Drogo like behaviour out of Drogon. Colouring (for the black braid which represented his strength) and naming is superficial, GRRM hints I'd call them, but if Drogo is in there Drogon should act like it on occasion. Not totally, the person's sentience gets lost inside the beast, like Bran can't even remember to mark a tree for Jojen when he's a direwolf. But there should be some hints.
Obviously there's Drogon's affinity with Dany, him allowing her to ride him. He's also the alpha of the three.
Drogon exults at the news of Robert's death, if you recall Robert sending the assassin is what prompted his speech about taking the IT.
He's either enjoying this scene or it pisses him off. I think the latter because later,
He bites the offending hand.
Left to his own will Drogon makes his home in the Dothraki sea and roams and hunts it free and far, like a Khal.
The next step in explaining the theory would be to move onto Euron, but only if people are interested to read it as it's a lot more writing. In summary Euron has the gist of things, the horn to do it and the mad motivation. His conversation with Victarion is double speak, when he says he wants to fly, he means second life a dragon. When he says he may never know if he can unless he jumps from a great tower, that's because his horn blower died and he's realised he will have to sacrifice himself, commit suicide, to try to fly (dragon second life). And why he wants Dany, specifically a heir of her blood, because he knows he needs it to sacrifice. What's more, he's going to succeed, and with Drogon.
From there things go to Jon/Dany. But without a detailed explanation it should be obvious how some things play into the theory. Like why there's that saying floating around that it takes two sacrifices of kings blood, the child and the father to wake the dragon. Why there's three mounts Dany must ride, one for each of Drogon's second lifers. Why there's three heads of the dragon. Why Drogo will be as he was when she bears a living child. Why there's a prince that is promised which will wake the dragon.
And the big central theme at play. What's a bastard child's life worth against the survival of the realm? What kind of monster would give a child to the living flames? Jon's abhorrence of Craster's survival of the Others by sacrificing his children. Ned's refusal at every turn to take the easy road and allow a child be harmed, the father Jon will never forget. All that against the cost of Dany's dragons, the sacrifice of Rhaego that Dany doesn't deny she knew of and Hazzea, for whom she named herself and her dragons monsters. Fire and ice, ice preserves, fire consumes.