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A Song of Ice and Fire BOOK Discussion |OT2| Unmarked SPOILERS for Published Material

Lothar

Banned
I thought the thread was bumped to wish him a happy birthday. But I guess maybe the thread is right. If we don't get a book, he shouldn't get happy birthday wishes.
 

Paganmoon

Member
I thought the thread was bumped to wish him a happy birthday. But I guess maybe the thread is right. If we don't get a book, he shouldn't get happy birthday wishes.

I'm pretty sure he doesn't read Gaf:)

And if he did, he should stop, and get back to writing the books!
 

Ryde3

Member
It's probably best to wait until the series is finished before starting on a posh hardbook set - if the Earth still exists by then obviously. It's hard enough trying to have all the same editions for this series in paperback, they're constantly changing in size and design.

My thoughts too, going to wait and hope I survive that long!

Every time this thread gets bumped I hope we finally have the date. Fuck :/

No kidding. I started my read of the series maybe, 2-3 months ago and I'm about midway through A Feast for Crows, guess there's no question that I'll finish ADWD before book 6 is out huh?
 

Sotha Sil

Member
This bump made me realize I've stopped hoping for good news. It's a strange feeling. I guess that's what they call the acceptance stage of grief. (I'll still be happy when/if TWoW comes out tho)

Happy belated birthday George!
 

Ryde3

Member
So I'm still on my first read through, and I just finished a Feast for Crows - I can't believe at the end of the book he wrote to expect Dance with Dragons the next year and took 6! that's crazy lol.
 

gutshot

Member
I'd say it's time for some TWOW predictions from when ADWD came out. Oh, such an optimistic bunch we were!

I'd guess 4 years, maybe late 2015. As for story details, my guess is Dany doesn't head for Westeros until the end of book 6 and comes as more of a savior than a conqueror in book 7 (meeting the others at the Trident). I think Aegon is going to die at some point in the next book (and may not be a Targ).

I am hoping it is around 3 years. GRRM seems to be really ecstatic that the show has been a hit, and that his books have sky-rocketed in popularity. Hopefully this plus a few months break will re-invigorate him, and the next novel won't be so difficult.

Steven King took 4-6 years between each of the first 5 dark tower books and the knocked out 3 in less than 2 years. GRRM is too much a perfectionist to do that, but it is feasible that the delays will shorten now that he has gotten through most of the stuff he was having trouble writing.

I'm optimitic regarding how long it will take Martin to finish Winds of Winter. I say 2.5 years, releasing 3 years from now during the summer of 2014. Also, if I were Martin I'd buy a log cabin somewhere cold and picturesque such as Vermont, Maine, Nova Scotia, BC, etc. to live in while I was writing the book. I'd do it this fall and get it ready to move in as soon as it gets cold.

Of course, the series wasn't nearly as popular then, so there weren't as many signings or conventions, not to mention writing an episode a year for the show (and being involved in the casting process and other things).

It could happen if he sits down when he returns after 9 months of not really writing much and finds everything flying out, but late 2014-early 2015 is more when I would look towards.

I'd say late 2014/early 2015, but even that is being optimistic

My bet is on 2016.

He's done with a 100 pages already. Chapters that were meant to be in Dance with Dragons but bumped up. Winds of Winter spoiler: He has completed 4 chpaters with POVs of Arya, Sansa, Arianne, and an Aeron Greyjoy . I think 3-4 years, likely 4 years is what you should expect.

I guess I'm an optimist. I expect the series to be done by this time 2015. He is 'over the hump' as it were. If he knows exactly where this story is going, getting there shouldn't be as hard now. He also has additional incentive in trying to get the story finished in time for the TV series to catch it up...

Granted, that is IF he knows where the story is going. If he still hasn't decided then I guess 2019 doesn't sound too far off... :(

I do really hope with this knot supposedly undone, he can get back to writing these books in 2 years. I mean, aSoS was out in just under 2 years following aCoK which was out 2 years after aGoT.

If he can get that kinda pace going again, we will be finished by at least 2016. Which would be awesome.

I agree that George is gonna pump out the last 2 books fairly quickly (by his standards anyway). People seem to forget how quick he pumped out the first 3, and now that all the pieces are set and the endgame is in sight, I'm optimistic that we will get to the conclusion within 4 to 5 years, mayhap sooner.

I also think George wants to get this fucker done. He's already got plans for another series, crazy sonofabitch that he is. He's also learned a lot these last 10 years and he's not gonna make any of the mistakes that plagued Feast and Dance.

I honestly think TWOW will be out in 2-3 years. Martin no longer has time to take years on the books, assuming the show remains successful. I agree with the point that each book creates its own problems for him, but I still think ADWD/AFFC had even more problems and it should be "easier" now. The definition of easier in relation to Martin is still "a long fucking time" but it won't be 4-5+ years imo. I'm pretty confident on that...

Given all the good will and press he has received this year, I think he'll enter 2012 refreshed and ready to rock. Hopefully towards the fall/winter he slows down from all the traveling and just rests. Watch a lot of football, Mr. Martin. Chill, take naps, watch porn or whatever. You've earned it

Hoping for 2014, probably coming late 2015. Everything points to TWOW being the most eventful book in the series. Hopefully that translates to George writing faster, rather than having to figure out what the hell to do.


BONUS TOTALLY WRONG GOT PREDICTION!

This all seems like pie in the sky wishful thinking to me. I can't believe anybody thinks HBO is going to give GOT the 8-10 seasons it will take to adapt the entire story. I just don't see it happening under any circumstances. The cost would be simply staggering, the actors will want to move on to other projects, and so on and so forth.
 
Going through those posts and seeing myself arguing with people that thought it was coming in 2014 is pretty amusing. So many new readers of the series thought "this time will be different."

so no one even considered 2017+?

Plenty said it would never come. The current state is not a surprise at all, it's a redux of the AFFC and ADWD situation. People just invented reasons to convince themselves that things would change when there was never a good reason to expect them to.
 
Hey, he still has until April to have the gap be shorter than Feast to Dance!

I look forward to after the book finally does come out and a new wave of optimistic fans predict only a 2-3 year wait for the next one.
 

gutshot

Member
so no one even considered 2017+?

Not really. People either made wildly optimistic predictions or just didn't make any predictions at all and basically had a "don't expect it any time soon" vibe. The latter group were nearly all folks who have been following the series the longest, while the former tended to be newer fans.
 
Most people (including myself) believed that the Meereenese Knot was the primary cause of the delay for 4 & 5, when in fact it's GRRM's glacial pace and highly specific requirements for where and when he will work on the book that are the issue. And those things aren't going to go away.
 

RaidenXZ

Member
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame :(
 

flyover

Member
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame :(

I always kind of felt he might be doing that, but I've been wrongly optimistic about his release dates for like a dozen years straight, now.
 

ZeroRay

Member
New Prediction Winds in Q4 2018/Early 2019 :(

Also mods, please unban Phoenix Dark whenever Winds does come out, at least for a month. pls
 

gutshot

Member
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame :(

This exact theory was proposed when the wait for ADWD was on-going and, well, you see how that turned out.

New Prediction Winds in Q4 2018/Early 2019 :(

Also mods, please unban Phoenix Dark whenever Winds does come out, at least for a month. pls

Yeah, I will miss his analysis and theories.
 

M.Bluth

Member
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame :(

Even if he had been doing that (definitely isn't happening), after Winds is released, he'll realize Dream needed more time and would end up working on it for six more years.
 

Kuraudo

Banned
He can't release the next book until after the show has finished at this point. It's too poetic to say that the entirety of the TV adaptation aired between him finishing Dance and Winds.
 

WaffleTaco

Wants to outlaw technological innovation.
I'm actually okay with it not coming out for a while. Yes it sucks, but at this point I'll watch the show to get my fix and then eventually the books. Better for him to take his time and make something spectacular than a mediocre rushed messed.
 

Brakke

Banned
Books getting remasters now?

Books been getting remasters for ages.

Stephen damn King remastered the Stand and added hundreds of pages. If GRR remasters any of his books, expect and extra thousand pages of small folk aimlessly walking the countryside, disillusioned by war. And lots of nipple fetishism, probably.
 

Aiii

So not worth it
I'm still hoping he's writing the next two books at the same time pretty much (like story wise) so he can easily pump out the last one in a reasonable time frame :(

I always kind of felt he might be doing that, but I've been wrongly optimistic about his release dates for like a dozen years straight, now.

That is not optimistic, that is straight up delusional sorry.

The next book will come in 2018 at the earliest and it will be 2026 at the earliest before the last book comes out, if we will see it all.

Realistically speaking, the odds for that final book coming out at all are 50/50, at best.
 

WaffleTaco

Wants to outlaw technological innovation.
That is not optimistic, that is straight up delusional sorry.

The next book will come in 2018 at the earliest and it will be 2026 at the earliest before the last book comes out, if we will see it all.

Realistically speaking, the odds for that final book coming out at all are 50/50, at best.
50/50?? I think you are being almost too positive...
 

Fuzzy

I would bang a hot farmer!
Books been getting remasters for ages.

Stephen damn King remastered the Stand and added hundreds of pages. If GRR remasters any of his books, expect and extra thousand pages of small folk aimlessly walking the countryside, disillusioned by war. And lots of nipple fetishism, probably.
I'd read it.
 

Black_Sun

Member
This is a pretty good post on Jon Snow and making dad proud:

"What is honor compared to a woman’s love? What is duty against the feel of a newborn son in your arms… or the memory of a brother’s smile? Wind and words. Wind and words. We are only human, and the gods have fashioned us for love. That is our great glory, and our great tragedy."

Ultimately, you fight for your people, not your country, and fighting is one of the ways in which you learn the difference. You start your character arc all fired up and first-time-drunk on ideals and themes and the big picture and then suddenly, you realize that you’ve lost the subtext and all you care about is the people with you, the people you have left, an infinite cascade of loved ones lost and replaced, a god with many faces. Jon Snow doesn’t fight for the Watch, nor the realm, with quite the same ragged passion with which he fights for his father, and everyone who has filled the hole he left behind.

He does so at the cost of any other way of life, all the more desperately as they keep dying on him, just like Ned, as if it’s something wrong with him…his plot is driven forward and highlighted throughout by their deaths, and how he redirects and represses his rage and despair and crippling guilt. He thinks he’s found an easier father than Ned, if not quite the same, with Benjen, only to learn that he must earn affection within the hierarchy of the Watch. After Benjen vanishes, Jon applies this lesson with Jeor Mormont, saving him from the ultimate symbol of the old guard’s failure to remember their true calling, and the need (shared by Jeor’s fellow been-here-forever brothers Qhorin Halfhand, Aemon Targaryen, and Donal Noye) to pass on to the next generation what little they can before it’s too late. Jeor’s last words, of course, echo Ned’s overwhelming longing to join his “son” at the Wall.

As with Ned, Jon is far away and helpless when his Lord Commander is betrayed and murdered; when it comes to Qhorin, Jon has to strike the killing blow himself. That he still thinks of himself as immature following this moment, enough that he has to “kill the boy” in A Dance with Dragons, is a sign that this death, traumatic as it is, actually wasn’t destabliizing to Jon’s identity. He killed Qhorin for no reason other than Qhorin told him to, because that was the One Thing that would make Qhorin proud of him, a recurring trope in Jon’s arc. What makes this not sappy is that the One Thing isn’t triumphing over evil, but stuff like breaking his vows to go poach his siblings’ birthright and burn the godswood therein (as Stannis wants) or forcing a mother to abandon her child and take on another in his place (as Aemon is so proud of him for), or yeah, killing your mentor to join your enemies…as they are, until he enters the king’s tent.

Jon is not only humbled and awed in Mance Rayder’s presence; he trusts the wildling king with Arya’s life, and risks political suicide (and therefore literal homicide) in freeing him to a degree that really can’t be overstated. The discourse around Jon’s assassination tends to center on Jon’s wild promise to abandon his Watch in order to fight Ramsay (understandably, more below), but imagine the thoughts of your average Watchman, maybe even a Jon supporter, when they learn from the Pink Letter that Mance is alive and Jon sent him a secret mission. Some of them may be warily getting used to the wildlings in general, but how many were not glad when Mance Rayder “died,” even if the pyre itself horrified them? Jon took that away from them, because it was Arya and Arya was home and Arya was the father they both looked like (and only them), and so Jon was so perfectly positioned to allow a father figure returned from the dead (the only one to do so for him) to rescue his little sister, no matter how his brothers would react. I’m not saying I approve of their bloodlust at all, but that it’s a factor Jon simply refuses to consider.

It’s a blunt, explicit, practically ecstatic spirit of denial that courses through Jon Snow’s final paragraphs in A Dance with Dragons, a refusal to acknowledge what’s coming that is, oddly enough, his most authentic act of self-expression in the whole story. As with Dany’s own final chapter in Dance, GRRM unveils with primal clarity who Jon Snow is, really really is. Ramsay is sitting in his dad’s chair. Ramsay has killed one of his other dads (or so he says). Ramsay has a third dad of Jon’s locked in a cage covered in the skins of women…and wants Arya back now that he’s done with that side project. When Jon roars,

"This creature who makes cloaks from the skins of women has sworn to cut my heart out, and I mean to make him answer for those words…"

He is not thinking about the spearwives so much as Arya; I’d even go so far as to say he’s thinking about Joffrey (and therefore Ned) as much as Ramsay. They have killed my father, again and again; they have already cut my heart out.

He’s also, of course, thinking about Stannis, and when I say denial:

"It is not for us to oppose the Bastard of Bolton, to avenge Stannis Baratheon, to defend his widow and his daughter."

I mean heavy damn denial.

But I’ve already said stuff about Stannis and Jon’s relationship, so I’ll say instead that just as Jon doesn’t give voice to his deepest feelings, so too is his true audience nowhere to be found in the Shield Hall. It’s not the wildlings, nor the Watch. It’s not any of his dads.

It’s Catelyn.

Because her nightmare came true: her trueborn children are dead or fled, and a Snow is despoiling their inheritance. But it’s not Jon, and he has this gloriously unambiguous chance: to prove Catelyn wrong, to fight for Winterfell without conquering it, to show that he could be trusted to be Ned Stark’s son and not heir. And he takes it, and immediately suffers for it, and we’re left knowing that when he learns he’s not Ned’s son after all, it’ll just mean another dead man (Rhaegar) for him to die for.
 

KahooTs

Member
Don't agree with much of the above. Rhaegar is a father to reject, not die for.

What got Jon into the Ramsay situation was his love for Arya. That was his first sin, love before duty, before the best interest of the realm. The second was trusting in prophecy.

Mistakes, made crystal clear because it wasn't even Arya.

Love before duty, trusting in prophesy, they're the Rhaegar mistakes that undid a dynasty and got his wife raped and killed and children killed. And got himself killed too.

Unlike Rhaegar Jon is going to get a second chance, and will be faced again with the same dilemmas, but he will have learned. Don't trust prophecy to lead you, no matter how strong the evidence and dire the situation. And don't put love (Arya's happiness, or anyone's) before peace and stability, before the good of the realm.
 
Love before duty sure, but I don't really see trust in prophecy as one of Jon's main sins. Jon essentially faced Aemon's tests, but unlike the maester finally broke because Arya was more important to him than his oaths. Which if you want to draw parallels, is what happened with Ned before his death when he choose his daughters' safety over his honor and the truth.
 

KahooTs

Member
GRRM laid the groundwork with that sorcery is a blade without a hilt line. And he rammed home the point it was relying on Mel's sorcery that got Jon tangled up in the mess with this one.
A grey girl on a dying horse, fleeing from her marriage. On the strength of those words he had loosed Mance Rayder and six spearwives on the north.

His father read some ancient scroll then later shelved his efforts to put his mad king father aside to run off to make a third head of the dragon, resulting in calamity and the apparent other two dragon's heads getting dashed.

And here comes Stannis to Jon's doorstep to burn his daughter on a sorcerer's word and in the name of prophecy, which will end with him having nothing but his daughter's ashes to show for it.

The lesson is clear, just do the right thing and don't go trusting or relying on the magical bullshit.
 

Frodo

Member
Is there a nice summary of everything that already happened in the books so far? Because I'll probably have forgotten everything I've read so far when our very dearest GRRM decides to release Winds.
 

Black_Sun

Member
GRRM laid the groundwork with that sorcery is a blade without a hilt line. And he rammed home the point it was relying on Mel's sorcery that got Jon tangled up in the mess with this one.

His father read some ancient scroll then later shelved his efforts to put his mad king father aside to run off to make a third head of the dragon, resulting in calamity and the apparent other two dragon's heads getting dashed.

And here comes Stannis to Jon's doorstep to burn his daughter on a sorcerer's word and in the name of prophecy, which will end with him having nothing but his daughter's ashes to show for it.

The lesson is clear, just do the right thing and don't go trusting or relying on the magical bullshit.

True that. But Jon came to the opposite conclusion when he died. He thinks he should've relied on Melisandre more not less.

“Yes.” A sword without a hilt, with no safe way to hold it. But Melisandre had the right of it. Even a sword without a hilt is better than an empty hand when foes are all around you. (ADWD JON VIII)

“Melisandre … look to the skies, she said.” He set the letter down. “A raven in a storm. She saw this coming.” When you have your answers, send to me…

…I should talk with Melisandre after I see the queen, he thought. If she could see a raven in a storm, she can find Ramsay Snow for me. (JON XIII)


Dude is probably going to start using shadowbabies to get things done. Melisandre offers someone a try every book. No way that gun doesn't get fired again.

Also GRRM is with you in magic:

Magic can ruin things. Magic should never be the solution. Magic can be part of the problem.”
 

Black_Sun

Member
Is there a nice summary of everything that already happened in the books so far? Because I'll probably have forgotten everything I've read so far when our very dearest GRRM decides to release Winds.

These books aren't really easy to summarize. If you don't want to do a re-read again which I'd recommend then I'd suggest looking through this person's chapter by chapter summaries along with her fun comments:

http://www.tor.com/features/series/a-read-of-ice-and-fire/
 

KahooTs

Member
True that. But Jon came to the opposite conclusion when he died. He thinks he should've relied on Melisandre more not less.
He hasn't learned the lesson yet, and it may take some more magical failures before he does but at this stage he still doesn't know Mel was wrong, as far as he's aware Bolton's Arya is Arya and the letter proved Mel right.
 

Black_Sun

Member
He hasn't learned the lesson yet, and it may take some more magical failures before he does but at this stage he still doesn't know Mel was wrong, as far as he's aware Bolton's Arya is Arya and the letter proved Mel right.

Fun theory but maybe he'll never find out Jeyne isn't Arya. How devastating would it be if his resurrection fogged up his memories enough to mistake Jeyne for Arya.

Also cool parallel but Robb and Jon both died because of different Jeynes.
 

Ratrat

Member
I can't believe GRRM isn't going to release it this year. I thought surely he would start talking again once this season ended and things started to cool. At this rate its going to be late 2017 at the earliest. Fuck.
 

HawkeyeIC

Member
I really had even forgotten that GRRM was still writing books at this point. 2017 seems optimistic, so I'll go with 2018.
 

Aiii

So not worth it
I can't believe GRRM isn't going to release it this year. I thought surely he would start talking again once this season ended and things started to cool. At this rate its going to be late 2017 at the earliest. Fuck.

Honestly I think GRRM gave up years ago.
 

Kinokou

Member
Aww come on you guys, we were here last year too. We'll endure it again, and again and again and we'll love it!
 

KahooTs

Member
I'll try this theory here, maybe it will gain some traction amongst general fans rather than the more dedicated character fans that make up the ASOIAF boards.

Certain bloodlines have an affinity with certain animals/beasts. The first men with various animals, Greyjoys with krakens, Starks specifically with wolves, probably Mormonts and bears, Lannisters and lions and so on. And of course Valyrians with dragons. Why or how this came to be the case I don't know and it may not get answered, some ancient creation events probably judging by TWOIAF hints, but I don't think it's a far reach to just assume so and work from there given all the allusions in the text.

The Varamyr chapter introduced the concept of a second life, he died and became a wolf. Common thinking has it as seeding for how Jon will survive his death, that Jon's soul (maybe not the best word for it but the simplest and I'll use it from here on out) will warg Ghost and he'll somehow return to a human body from there. That may or may not happen, but it's not the whole purpose of the second life concept, the second life is the answer to the biggest mysteries in the series and will drive the end game.

The second life is how Valyrians tamed dragons to ride. They were able to sacrifice the life of a blood member of their family to begin a second life in a dragon. That dragon would then conventionally become hospitable enough towards a human blood family member of the sacrifice and allow them as a rider. A blood relation is formed between dragon and human. But Varamyr was a skinchanger, which was what allowed him to take a second life, and Valyrians are not. In place of being skinchangers Valyrian's had blood magic, which allowed them to achieve what Varamyr did.

Dragons descended from the one that was skinchanged still share the same blood relation with humans descended from the sacrifice, the blood relation holds through generations, but will weaken with the introduction of other blood lines. Thus why Valyrians practiced incest and how the notion that the blood of the dragon must remain pure came about. Also why dragon riding was a per family thing. The following are the choice pieces which are explained by or evidence something in the above.

As above.
The tradition amongst the Targaryens had always been to marry kin to kin. Wedding brother to sister was thought to be ideal. Failing that, a girl might wed an uncle, a cousin, or a nephew; a boy, a cousin, aunt, or niece. This practice went back to Old Valyria, where it was common amongst many of the ancient families, particularly those who bred and rode dragons. "The blood of the dragon must remain pure,"

Why they were kin to those they controlled.
It was on the great peninsula across from Slaver's Bay that those who brought an end to the empire of Old Ghis—though not to all of their ways—originated. Sheltered there, amidst the great volcanic mountains known as the Fourteen Flames, were the Valyrians, who learned to tame dragons and make them the most fearsome weapon of war that the world ever saw. The tales the Valyrians told of themselves claimed they were descended from dragons and were kin to the ones they now controlled.

Valyrians were sorcerers, blood and fire sorcerers. Marwyn puts it most succinctly but this is an accepted fact in world.
"What feeds the flame?" asked Sam.
"What feeds a dragon's fire?" Marwyn seated himself upon a stool. "All Valyrian sorcery was rooted in blood or fire. The sorcerers of the Freehold could see across mountains, seas, and deserts with one of these glass candles. They could enter a man's dreams and give him visions, and speak to one another half a world apart, seated before their candles. Do you think that might be useful, Slayer?"

Aerys wasn't all mad, there's some truth to what he was thinking. We'll probably find out where he was getting this information, but you can see in the quote, even after the second life practice has been forgotten Aerys wasn't the first Targ thinking he could burn and be reborn as a dragon.
The Targaryens never bury their dead, they burn them. Aerys meant to have the greatest funeral pyre of them all. Though if truth be told, I do not believe he truly expected to die. Like Aerion Brightfire before him, Aerys thought the fire would transform him . . . that he would rise again, reborn as a dragon, and turn all his enemies to ash.
The fire would transform him is an important line, to take a second life as a dragon the sacrifice's body must burn, or there abouts.

The second life is the explanation for Euron's horn.
I am Dragonbinder ... No mortal man should sound me and live ... Blood for fire, fire for blood.
Moqorro is wrong or only has half the story when he explains the horn, the horn is a Valyrian tool to achieve a second life in a dragon. It's just as it says, it's a dragon binder, a trade of blood for fire. The blower dies, but becomes bound to a dragon, achieving fire.

Varamyr was not the first second life in the series, or the first on page. It probably happened with all three of Dany's dragons, almost certainly with Viserys -> Viserion and definitely with Drogo -> Drogon. Drogo to Drogon will be central to the story and the one with the most evidence to show the point.

MMD's gutter blood magic in her tent of wtf allowed Drogo's soul to join Drogon's, and wake when his body was burned. It's what GRRM is getting at in this passage.
When a horselord dies, his horse is slain with him, so he might ride proud into the night lands. The bodies are burned beneath the open sky, and the khal rises on his fiery steed to take his place among the stars. The more fiercely the man burned in life, the brighter his star will shine in the darkness.

And what this story is about.
"A trader from Qarth once told me that dragons came from the moon," blond Doreah said ...
"The moon?"
"He told me the moon was an egg, Khaleesi," the Lysene girl said. "Once there were two moons in the sky, but one wandered too close to the sun and cracked from the heat. A thousand thousand dragons poured forth, and drank the fire from the sun. That is why dragons breathe flame. One day the other moon will kiss the sun too, and then it will crack and the dragons will return."
The two Dothraki girls giggled and laughed. "You are foolish strawhead slave," Irri said. "Moon is no egg. Moon is god, woman wife of sun. It is known."
Dany, moon of Drogo's life, and Drogo, Dany's sun (and stars), joined and from their union came dragons. And the dragons drank from the sun (Drogo) and that's where they got their fire. When MMD 'tries' to save Drogo he lives but ends up soulless, he has lost his fire. Drogo's soul has gone into Drogon's egg.
He was lying on the bare red earth, staring up at the sun.

A dozen bloodflies had settled on his body, though he did not seem to feel them. Dany brushed them away and knelt beside him. His eyes were wide open but did not see, and she knew at once that he was blind. When she whispered his name, he did not seem to hear. The wound on his breast was as healed as it would ever be, the scar that covered it grey and red and hideous.

“Why is he out here alone, in the sun?” she asked them.

“He seems to like the warmth, Princess,” Ser Jorah said. “His eyes follow the sun, though he does not see it. He can walk after a fashion. He will go where you lead him, but no farther. He will eat if you put food in his mouth, drink if you dribble water on his lips.”

Dany kissed her sun-and-stars gently on the brow, and stood to face Mirri Maz Duur. “Your spells are costly, maegi.”

“He lives,” said Mirri Maz Duur. “You asked for life. You paid for life.”

“This is not life, for one who was as Drogo was. His life was laughter, and meat roasting over a firepit, and a horse between his legs. His life was an arakh in his hand and his bells ringing in his hair as he rode to meet an enemy. His life was his bloodriders, and me, and the son I was to give him.”
Soulless Drogo stares longingly at the sun, because he has lost his fire, Drogon has drank it. The fire/Drogo's soul is interchangeable, and thus the answer to Marwyn's question.
"What feeds the flame?" asked Sam.
"What feeds a dragon's fire?" Marwyn seated himself upon a stool. "All Valyrian sorcery was rooted in blood or fire. The sorcerers of the Freehold could see across mountains, seas, and deserts with one of these glass candles. They could enter a man's dreams and give him visions, and speak to one another half a world apart, seated before their candles. Do you think that might be useful, Slayer?"
Marwyn taught MMD her blood magic, not that she really knew what she did, but they're on the right track, asking the right questions.

There's an obvious problem to this, only Targaryen's should be able to second life a dragon on the basis of a pre-existing connection between Valyrian's and dragons. And Drogo is no Valyrian/Targ. The rule is real, just it has a backdoor, Dany's wake the dragon dream goes some way to explaining it.
“You don’t want to wake the dragon, do you?”
She saw sunlight on the Dothraki sea, the living plain, rich with the smells of earth and death. Wind stirred the grasses, and they rippled like water. Drogo held her in strong arms, and his hand stroked her sex and opened her and woke that sweet wetness that was his alone, and the stars smiled down on them, stars in a daylight sky. “Home,” she whispered as he entered her and filled her with his seed, but suddenly the stars were gone, and across the blue sky swept the great wings, and the world took flame.
Rhaego is conceived, the stars which represent Drogo (sun and stars) to turn wings, and the fire comes. Drogo is replaced with the dragon through Rhaego's conception.
“ . . . don’t want to wake the dragon . . . ”
She could feel the heat inside her, a terrible burning in her womb. Her son was tall and proud, with Drogo’s copper skin and her own silver-gold hair, violet eyes shaped like almonds. And he smiled for her and began to lift his hand toward hers, but when he opened his mouth the fire poured out. She saw his heart burning through his chest, and in an instant he was gone, consumed like a moth by a candle, turned to ash. She wept for her child, the promise of a sweet mouth on her breast, but her tears turned to steam as they touched her skin.
The sacrifice of Rhaego. Someone without the blood of the dragon can piggy back their way into a second life in a dragon by sacrificing a child of theirs with blood of the dragon. The child comes too, Rhaego is in Drogon with Drogo.
“ . . . want to wake the dragon . . . ”
Ghosts lined the hallway, dressed in the faded raiment of kings. In their hands were swords of pale fire. They had hair of silver and hair of gold and hair of platinum white, and their eyes were opal and amethyst, tourmaline and jade. “Faster,” they cried, “faster, faster.” She raced, her feet melting the stone wherever they touched. “Faster!” the ghosts cried as one, and she screamed and threw herself forward. A great knife of pain ripped down her back, and she felt her skin tear open and smelled the stench of burning blood and saw the shadow of wings. And Daenerys Targaryen flew.
I include this passage just to show that it's not the first time this has been done. The ghosts of the other Targs are urging her on, they've done this before, it's a historic practice.

Should this all be correct you would expect some Drogo like behaviour out of Drogon. Colouring (for the black braid which represented his strength) and naming is superficial, GRRM hints I'd call them, but if Drogo is in there Drogon should act like it on occasion. Not totally, the person's sentience gets lost inside the beast, like Bran can't even remember to mark a tree for Jojen when he's a direwolf. But there should be some hints.

Obviously there's Drogon's affinity with Dany, him allowing her to ride him. He's also the alpha of the three.
"A gift of news. Dragonmother, Stormborn, I tell you true, Robert Baratheon is dead."
Outside her walls, dusk was settling over Qarth, but a sun had risen in Dany's heart. "Dead?" she repeated. In her lap, black Drogon hissed, and pale smoke rose before her face like a veil. "You are certain? The Usurper is dead?"
Drogon exults at the news of Robert's death, if you recall Robert sending the assassin is what prompted his speech about taking the IT.
Dany knew her face was flushed, but in the darkness Irri surely could not tell. Wordless, the handmaid put a hand on her breast, then bent to take a nipple in her mouth. Her other hand drifted down across the soft curve of belly, through the mound of fine silvery-gold hair, and went to work between Dany's thighs. It was no more than a few moments until her legs twisted and her breasts heaved and her whole body shuddered. She screamed then. Or perhaps that was Drogon. Irri never said a thing, only curled back up and went back to sleep the instant the thing was done.
He's either enjoying this scene or it pisses him off. I think the latter because later,
"They have been wild while you were gone, Khaleesi," Irri told her. "Viserion clawed splinters from the door, do you see? And Drogon made to escape when the slaver men came to see them. When I grabbed his tail to hold him back, he turned and bit me." She showed Dany the marks of his teeth on her hand.
He bites the offending hand.
The black dragon had been flying north across the Skahazadhan toward the tall grasses of the Dothraki sea. He had not returned.
Left to his own will Drogon makes his home in the Dothraki sea and roams and hunts it free and far, like a Khal.

The next step in explaining the theory would be to move onto Euron, but only if people are interested to read it as it's a lot more writing. In summary Euron has the gist of things, the horn to do it and the mad motivation. His conversation with Victarion is double speak, when he says he wants to fly, he means second life a dragon. When he says he may never know if he can unless he jumps from a great tower, that's because his horn blower died and he's realised he will have to sacrifice himself, commit suicide, to try to fly (dragon second life). And why he wants Dany, specifically a heir of her blood, because he knows he needs it to sacrifice. What's more, he's going to succeed, and with Drogon.

From there things go to Jon/Dany. But without a detailed explanation it should be obvious how some things play into the theory. Like why there's that saying floating around that it takes two sacrifices of kings blood, the child and the father to wake the dragon. Why there's three mounts Dany must ride, one for each of Drogon's second lifers. Why there's three heads of the dragon. Why Drogo will be as he was when she bears a living child. Why there's a prince that is promised which will wake the dragon.

And the big central theme at play. What's a bastard child's life worth against the survival of the realm? What kind of monster would give a child to the living flames? Jon's abhorrence of Craster's survival of the Others by sacrificing his children. Ned's refusal at every turn to take the easy road and allow a child be harmed, the father Jon will never forget. All that against the cost of Dany's dragons, the sacrifice of Rhaego that Dany doesn't deny she knew of and Hazzea, for whom she named herself and her dragons monsters. Fire and ice, ice preserves, fire consumes.
 

Black_Sun

Member
I'll try this theory here, maybe it will gain some traction amongst general fans rather than the more dedicated character fans that make up the ASOIAF boards.

Certain bloodlines have an affinity with certain animals/beasts. The first men with various animals, Greyjoys with krakens, Starks specifically with wolves, probably Mormonts and bears, Lannisters and lions and so on. And of course Valyrians with dragons. Why or how this came to be the case I don't know and it may not get answered, some ancient creation events probably judging by TWOIAF hints, but I don't think it's a far reach to just assume so and work from there given all the allusions in the text.

The Varamyr chapter introduced the concept of a second life, he died and became a wolf. Common thinking has it as seeding for how Jon will survive his death, that Jon's soul (maybe not the best word for it but the simplest and I'll use it from here on out) will warg Ghost and he'll somehow return to a human body from there. That may or may not happen, but it's not the whole purpose of the second life concept, the second life is the answer to the biggest mysteries in the series and will drive the end game.

The second life is how Valyrians tamed dragons to ride. They were able to sacrifice the life of a blood member of their family to begin a second life in a dragon. That dragon would then conventionally become hospitable enough towards a human blood family member of the sacrifice and allow them as a rider. A blood relation is formed between dragon and human. But Varamyr was a skinchanger, which was what allowed him to take a second life, and Valyrians are not. In place of being skinchangers Valyrian's had blood magic, which allowed them to achieve what Varamyr did.

Dragons descended from the one that was skinchanged still share the same blood relation with humans descended from the sacrifice, the blood relation holds through generations, but will weaken with the introduction of other blood lines. Thus why Valyrians practiced incest and how the notion that the blood of the dragon must remain pure came about. Also why dragon riding was a per family thing. The following are the choice pieces which are explained by or evidence something in the above.

As above.

Why they were kin to those they controlled.

Valyrians were sorcerers, blood and fire sorcerers. Marwyn puts it most succinctly but this is an accepted fact in world.

Aerys wasn't all mad, there's some truth to what he was thinking. We'll probably find out where he was getting this information, but you can see in the quote, even after the second life practice has been forgotten Aerys wasn't the first Targ thinking he could burn and be reborn as a dragon.The fire would transform him is an important line, to take a second life as a dragon the sacrifice's body must burn, or there abouts.

The second life is the explanation for Euron's horn. Moqorro is wrong or only has half the story when he explains the horn, the horn is a Valyrian tool to achieve a second life in a dragon. It's just as it says, it's a dragon binder, a trade of blood for fire. The blower dies, but becomes bound to a dragon, achieving fire.

Varamyr was not the first second life in the series, or the first on page. It probably happened with all three of Dany's dragons, almost certainly with Viserys -> Viserion and definitely with Drogo -> Drogon. Drogo to Drogon will be central to the story and the one with the most evidence to show the point.

MMD's gutter blood magic in her tent of wtf allowed Drogo's soul to join Drogon's, and wake when his body was burned. It's what GRRM is getting at in this passage.

And what this story is about.Dany, moon of Drogo's life, and Drogo, Dany's sun (and stars), joined and from their union came dragons. And the dragons drank from the sun (Drogo) and that's where they got their fire. When MMD 'tries' to save Drogo he lives but ends up soulless, he has lost his fire. Drogo's soul has gone into Drogon's egg.Soulless Drogo stares longingly at the sun, because he has lost his fire, Drogon has drank it. The fire/Drogo's soul is interchangeable, and thus the answer to Marwyn's question.Marwyn taught MMD her blood magic, not that she really knew what she did, but they're on the right track, asking the right questions.

There's an obvious problem to this, only Targaryen's should be able to second life a dragon on the basis of a pre-existing connection between Valyrian's and dragons. And Drogo is no Valyrian/Targ. The rule is real, just it has a backdoor, Dany's wake the dragon dream goes some way to explaining it.Rhaego is conceived, the stars which represent Drogo (sun and stars) to turn wings, and the fire comes. Drogo is replaced with the dragon through Rhaego's conception.
The sacrifice of Rhaego. Someone without the blood of the dragon can piggy back their way into a second life in a dragon by sacrificing a child of theirs with blood of the dragon. The child comes too, Rhaego is in Drogon with Drogo.I include this passage just to show that it's not the first time this has been done. The ghosts of the other Targs are urging her on, they've done this before, it's a historic practice.

Should this all be correct you would expect some Drogo like behaviour out of Drogon. Colouring (for the black braid which represented his strength) and naming is superficial, GRRM hints I'd call them, but if Drogo is in there Drogon should act like it on occasion. Not totally, the person's sentience gets lost inside the beast, like Bran can't even remember to mark a tree for Jojen when he's a direwolf. But there should be some hints.

Obviously there's Drogon's affinity with Dany, him allowing her to ride him. He's also the alpha of the three.
Drogon exults at the news of Robert's death, if you recall Robert sending the assassin is what prompted his speech about taking the IT.
He's either enjoying this scene or it pisses him off. I think the latter because later,
He bites the offending hand.
Left to his own will Drogon makes his home in the Dothraki sea and roams and hunts it free and far, like a Khal.

The next step in explaining the theory would be to move onto Euron, but only if people are interested to read it as it's a lot more writing. In summary Euron has the gist of things, the horn to do it and the mad motivation. His conversation with Victarion is double speak, when he says he wants to fly, he means second life a dragon. When he says he may never know if he can unless he jumps from a great tower, that's because his horn blower died and he's realised he will have to sacrifice himself, commit suicide, to try to fly (dragon second life). And why he wants Dany, specifically a heir of her blood, because he knows he needs it to sacrifice. What's more, he's going to succeed, and with Drogon.

From there things go to Jon/Dany. But without a detailed explanation it should be obvious how some things play into the theory. Like why there's that saying floating around that it takes two sacrifices of kings blood, the child and the father to wake the dragon. Why there's three mounts Dany must ride, one for each of Drogon's second lifers. Why there's three heads of the dragon. Why Drogo will be as he was when she bears a living child. Why there's a prince that is promised which will wake the dragon.

And the big central theme at play. What's a bastard child's life worth against the survival of the realm? What kind of monster would give a child to the living flames? Jon's abhorrence of Craster's survival of the Others by sacrificing his children. Ned's refusal at every turn to take the easy road and allow a child be harmed, the father Jon will never forget. All that against the cost of Dany's dragons, the sacrifice of Rhaego that Dany doesn't deny she knew of and Hazzea, for whom she named herself and her dragons monsters. Fire and ice, ice preserves, fire consumes.

Pretty interesting theory but I think the easier solution is that the Valyrians used magic to hybridize themselves with dragons hence their affinity for them. That would also explain the weird coloring and good looks. We do know that they were conducting experiments to create chimeras with all sorts of other animals.

But your point about Euron is cool because it effectively makes Euron into Cthulhu if he succeeds. HP Lovecraft's Cthulhu is 1/3 man, 1/3 dragon and 1/3 kraken.
 
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