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[Welfare]

Road please why do we have all of next-gen consoles in common

Y'all a bunch of pessimists.

 

[Trust me. I'm a PhD]

Y'all a bunch of pessimists.

Both Microsoft and Sony out preformed my predictions. While this killed any chance I had for a decent standing, I am happy that consoles are healthy^^ (well, WiiU not withstanding...)

 

[Kar]

[XB1] 1320K
[PS4] 940K

Thats all I have.

DAMN I WAS SO CLOSE

EDIT: Now that I look again, I predicted a 380k difference, HOLY SHIT I THINK I WON THIS GUYS, AND THIS IS MY FIRST TIME.

 

[hepburn3d]

Morning, Oh what a show

Edit: From the official thread.

Almost exactly this:

Taking the 242 for the WiiU from the OP as baseline you end up with:

242
895.4
1282.6


Δ = 387.2

so ...

[XB1] 1282k
[PS4] 895k
[WIU] 242k

A 387K difference is a good win this month for MS, IMO.

 

[Hammer24]

Uhmm, has Kagari been banned too? She did threw the same numbers around Cboat did.

 

[RyanPierre]

Uhmm, has Kagari been banned too? She did threw the same numbers around Cboat did.

If getting deceived by cboat was bannable, the NPD thread would be a graveyard.

 

[Hammer24]

If getting deceived by cboat was bannable, the NPD thread would be a graveyard.

Well, Kagari & sales threads... there is a history... ;-)

 

[Graphics Horse]

Looks like Chartz did better than a lot of people :lol

 

[SwiftDeath]

Looks like Chartz did better than a lot of people :lol

Having just realized this, I am now sad. Oh well

 

[Chobel]

The new humble MS screwed up my prediction big time

 

[HORRORSHØW]

The new humble MS screwed up my prediction big time

lol same here. had MS and sony at 1200k and 950k before i changed it. oh well.

 

[ferrasvansen]

Looks like Chartz did better than a lot of people :lol

Yeah time for me to give up, never was good at predictions.

 

[iJudged]

That's a massive gap, 400k? Holy shit

 

[miDnIghtEr20C]

Kagari just tweeted Xbone won by 10k only... I'm guessing joke tweet?

Got too caught up in the excitement that X1 didn't win by much.

 

[wachie]

Sorry for bumping but just wondering when donny will tabulate the results?

I'm thinking Chartz + Pachter, divide by 2.

Even then I think it will be higher than the average.

Getting around 1100 and 830.

I should have gone with this .. damn.

 

[Aquamarine]

Sorry for bumping but just wondering when donny will tabulate the results?


I should have gone with this .. damn.

Probably when more precise data releases for more consoles.

Just be patient.

 

[PhatSaqs]

Got too caught up in the excitement that X1 didn't win by much.

lol

 

[airmangataosenai]

Month after month virtually everyone overestimates the Wii U. Hopefully after this month people have finally learned. It's ridiculous we saw this kind of optimism of a turnaround after last year, there were serious posts in the NPD thread about people only NOW accepting that the Wii U wouldn't surpass the Gamecube. After this month, even my prediction of 15 million is probably impossible even with potential aggressive price drops/bundling/special editions speculation taken into account. As a matter of fact, isn't it actually down by a few thousand units year over year for the quarter when you look at October sales coupled with November? I know it's slightly up for November but was down n October.

Edit: Maybe not down in October?

 

[Welfare]

Month after month virtually everyone overestimates the Wii U. Hopefully after this month people have finally learned. It's ridiculous we saw this kind of optimism of a turnaround after last year, there were serious posts in the NPD thread about people only NOW accepting that the Wii U wouldn't surpass the Gamecube. After this month, even my prediction of 15 million is probably impossible even with potential aggressive price drops/bundling/special editions speculation taken into account. As a matter of fact, isn't it actually down by a few thousand units year over year for the quarter when you look at October sales coupled with November? I know it's slightly up for November but was down n October.

Edit: Maybe not down in October?

I had it near 260k originally, but after seeing others (a lot of them) put it over 300k, I let that get the better of me.

Never again. I was exact on the Wii U in October and was originally a lot closer this month.

 

[Lexxism]

Month after month virtually everyone overestimates the Wii U. Hopefully after this month people have finally learned. It's ridiculous we saw this kind of optimism of a turnaround after last year, there were serious posts in the NPD thread about people only NOW accepting that the Wii U wouldn't surpass the Gamecube. After this month, even my prediction of 15 million is probably impossible even with potential aggressive price drops/bundling/special editions speculation taken into account. As a matter of fact, isn't it actually down by a few thousand units year over year for the quarter when you look at October sales coupled with November? I know it's slightly up for November but was down n October.

Edit: Maybe not down in October?

I don't think so. Maybe you meant September? I think that's the only month this year that is down YOY while the other months were up compared from last year.

 

[IndoAssassin]

Oops wrong thread

 

[theprodigy]

Month after month virtually everyone overestimates the Wii U.

false, we underestimated it pretty badly in June

Kappa

edit: also February and September

 

[A_Gorilla]

If getting deceived by cboat was bannable, the NPD thread would be a graveyard.

We should build a memorial.

Seriously, the first 40 pages of this thread will become legendary, if they aren't already.

 

[Miles X]

[360] 300k (on par?)
[3DS] 450k (70k out)
[PS3] 160k (too high?)
[PS4] 1150k (350k out, damn)
[WIU] 330k (80k out)
[XB1] 1250k (20k~out!)


Very happy with my XB1 and 360 predictions.

 

[vinnygambini]

Sorry for the bump, any update Donny12? I think all the numbers have been revealed in the NPD thread

 

[shinra-bansho]

Closer on dead PS3 than the other two top 3 from last month. Neato.

No one gets ordering bonus though because damn U.

Redacted, on further consideration.

Everything aside from XBO wasn't bad given the bigger numbers this month. But that XBO surprise.

 

[Aquamarine]

Sorry for the bump, any update Donny12? I think all the numbers have been revealed in the NPD thread

Well, not precisely. We have good enough ranges, though.

 

[vinnygambini]

Closer on dead PS3 than the other two top 3 from last month. Neato.

No one gets ordering bonus though because damn U.

Everything aside from XBO wasn't bad given the bigger numbers this month. But that XBO surprise.

I'm as bad as you. I think everyone did poorly lol I might place worse than Chartz ;.;

Edit: I did

Well, not precisely. We have good enough ranges, though.

Save us Aqua

 

[shinra-bansho]

Oh, vinny I decided to remove those deltas from my post in retrospect, since they could constitute something of a summary post. Could you do the same, thanks.

 

[Aquamarine]

Save us Aqua

I can't go too overboard too quickly...GfK is watching me...

 

[vinnygambini]

I can't go too overboard too quickly...GfK is watching me...

I understand Aqua. Take your time.

 

[Welfare]

I can't go too overboard too quickly...GfK is watching me...

Ah.

 

[Aquamarine]

Don't blame me...blame the GfK Group and their partnership with NPD...

 

[vinnygambini]

Don't blame me...blame the GfK Group and their partnership with NPD...

I know Aqua, you know I'm teasing you just to post my gifs.

Now I shall distract the GfK Group with another gif of my own:

 

[donny2112]

Sorry for the bump, any update Donny12? I think all the numbers have been revealed in the NPD thread

Just hadn't been on GAF in 2 days. Saw the PS3 update, so calculating now.

 

[jvm]

Just hadn't been on GAF in 2 days. Saw the PS3 update, so calculating now.

breathingintensifies.gif

Can't wait to see how awful it was.

 

[donny2112]

NeoGAF Prediction Results - November 2014

Units

1. Jomjom - 307,000
2. Kill3r7 - 314,000
3. CosmicQueso - 387,000
4. Bitch Pudding - 421,000
5. Final Verdict - 456,000
5. Sweep14 - 456,000
7. Asd202 - 459,000
8. Welfare - 462,000
9. Pillville - 481,000
10. HocusPocus - 483,000
11. big_z - 490,000
12. SmartWaffles - 518,000
13. GifGafIsTheBestGaf - 521,000
13. Larogue - 521,000
13. Orthogonal - 521,000
16. Insane Metal - 529,000
17. Melkr_ - 531,000
18. tearsintherain - 533,000
19. Lexxus - 543,000
20. Radec - 552,000
21. Gbpackers31 - 553,000
21. Graphics Horse - 553,000
23. Hammer24 - 567,000
24. Loydx2 - 568,000
24. doicare - 568,000
26. KenPokesBarbie - 571,000
27. Isurus - 573,000
28. andy_lhc - 576,000
29. Miles X - 579,000
30. Bruno MB - 588,000
31. Skii - 591,000
32. Azlan - 593,000
32. archnemesis - 593,000
34. TomShoe - 596,000
35. Fox_Mulder - 599,000
35. chadskin - 599,000
37. Putty - 601,000
38. funkystudent - 603,000
39. shinra-bansho - 607,000
40. Frag Waffles - 608,000
40. allan-bh - 608,000
42. AniHawk - 618,000
42. Fitzy - 618,000
44. DarthWalden - 619,000
45. GAF_Agg - 620,100
46. Yoda - 621,000
46. theprodigy - 621,000
48. Freeser - 622,000
49. Xando - 631,000
50. Rand6 - 633,000
50. noobie - 633,000
52. metalslimer - 634,000
53. Ash Sparrow - 639,000
54. Jamix012 - 640,000
54. Smiles and Cries - 640,000
54. vicissitudes - 640,000
57. Rubik8 - 641,000
57. slavesnyder - 641,000
59. Aquamarine - 642,000
60. GamerJM - 644,000
61. vinnygambini - 645,000
62. AngryMoth - 648,000
63. wachie - 649,000
64. Elios83 - 651,000
64. Oddduck - 651,000
64. Patapwn - 651,000
67. Bass260 - 653,000
68. Kiant - 666,000
68. VGC - 666,000
68. bud23 - 666,000
71. skedar897 - 670,000
72. Angelus Errare - 671,000
73. ferrasvansen - 673,000
74. SwiftDeath - 678,000
75. Road - 680,000
76. Zero-Crescent - 681,000
76. michaelius - 681,000
78. Mpl90 - 686,000
79. Trust me, I'm a PhD - 689,000
80. Kayant - 691,000
81. jvm - 692,000
82. Duxxy3 - 693,000
82. Pennywise - 693,000
84. El-Pistolero - 698,000
84. bakman21 - 698,000
86. aaronwt - 701,000
87. Cornbread78 - 703,000
87. RamzaIsCool - 703,000
89. Chezzymann - 706,000
90. donny2112 - 708,000
91. Gurish - 711,000
92. spatenfloot - 711,530
93. BlackBuzzard - 713,000
94. mejin - 716,000
95. Brew124 - 721,000
96. Mr Swine - 730,000
97. Loris146 - 738,000
97. hepburn3d - 738,000
97. madp0k - 738,000
100. Randolph Freelander - 739,000
101. plainr_ - 748,000
102. sixamp - 750,000
103. Pop-O-Matic - 751,000
104. Volcane - 753,000
104. astrogamer - 753,000
106. Bgamer90 - 758,000
106. CorporateClown - 758,000
108. MisterR - 759,000
108. Rosur - 759,000
108. blakep267 - 759,000
111. BuzzJive - 764,000
112. ascii42 - 768,000
113. 1st Course - 771,000
113. Stuggernaut - 771,000
113. pitseleh - 771,000
116. Violence Jack - 773,000
117. panda-zebra - 780,000
118. BoxManLocke - 781,000
118. Jallopy - 781,000
120. NoctisXV - 786,000
121. travisbickle - 790,000
122. Sloane_Ranger - 791,000
123. DrWong - 794,000
124. geordiemp - 796,000
125. pip77 - 804,000
126. Pathfinder - 809,000
127. gotstrangepowers - 818,000
128. CalamityPixel - 821,000
129. BeforeU - 823,000
130. chithanh - 828,000
131. John Bender - 833,000
132. JaguarCROW - 838,000
133. rokkerkory - 841,000
134. Spazgadget - 843,000
135. BlackJace - 844,000
135. Griml┐ck - 844,000
137. Maxxan - 850,000
138. Brian★ - 871,000
139. Megadragon15 - 873,000
140. Hoo-doo - 879,000
141. Prototype Viktor - 890,000
142. Panda Rin - 907,000
143. shwimpy - 915,000
144. Stilton Disco - 921,000
145. Javier - 923,000
146. MasterSheen - 927,000
147. GrayDock - 931,000
148. RexNovis - 932,000
149. gimmmick - 936,000
150. Ape - 943,000
150. Ty4on - 943,000
152. Dedication Through Light - 946,000
153. Elandyll - 948,000
154. Vena - 959,000
155. GnawtyDog - 964,000
156. xenogears - 968,000
157. Anth0ny - 973,000
158. WhiskerFrisker - 974,000
159. WinterDemons - 977,000
160. monegames - 978,000
161. kyser73 - 979,000
162. kungfuian - 989,000
163. mephixto - 1,001,000
164. prag16 - 1,003,000
165. jamesinclair - 1,003,001
166. Chobel - 1,009,000
167. KillerMan91 - 1,016,000
168. apmusson - 1,023,000
169. psrock - 1,031,000
170. Canis lupus - 1,039,000
170. Devilgunman - 1,039,000
172. Ch┐ Totoro - 1,053,000
173. Daviii - 1,064,000
173. FliXFantatier - 1,064,000
175. gtj1092 - 1,067,000
176. sacrificengineer - 1,071,000
177. Discomurf - 1,076,000
178. jhmtehgamr20xx - 1,083,000
179. VMGamez - 1,099,000
180. WaffleTaco - 1,103,000
181. Turkoop - 1,121,000
182. Pachter - 1,123,000
183. LordOcidax - 1,124,000
184. Apt101 - 1,131,000
184. Mr.Sumal - 1,131,000
186. QuikNez - 1,134,000
187. freefornow - 1,136,000
188. Conduit - 1,153,000
189. FullMetaltech - 1,156,000
190. NormalFish - 1,219,000
191. parmanu - 1,269,000
192. tesla246 - 1,287,000
193. Wildarmsjecht - 1,301,000
194. Syphon Filter - 1,351,000
195. ThoughtsOfSpeaking - 1,398,000
196. HabeeNo - 1,411,000
197. kyo2004 - 1,496,000
198. Super_Cobra - 1,711,000
199. TheHall - 1,717,000


Points

     November 2014                   Overall 2014 Top (9/11)
01.  Kill3r7                109.60   allan-bh               880.75
02.  Jomjom                 106.88   shinra-bansho          864.47
03.  CosmicQueso            103.92   Road                   840.02
04.  archnemesis            100.30   theprodigy             838.20
05.  big_z                   95.75   Gbpackers31            837.39
06.  GifGafIsTheBestGaf      95.67   doicare                837.28
07.  Isurus                  95.55   archnemesis            831.48
08.  Sweep14                 95.31   vinnygambini           828.69
09.  Final Verdict           94.72   Graphics Horse         823.51
10.  Bitch Pudding           93.13   donny2112              817.75
11.  Skii                    93.05   MasterSheen            816.79
12.  Fox_Mulder              91.43   SwiftDeath             814.52
13.  HocusPocus              91.13   Elios83                813.17
14.  noobie                  90.73   prag16                 813.00
15.  TomShoe                 90.64   Loris146               812.99
16.  Cornbread78             90.34   jvm                    810.74
17.  doicare                 90.18   Bruno MB               810.61
18.  Gbpackers31             90.04   ascii42                809.93
19.  SmartWaffles            90.02   Canis lupus            808.15
20.  theprodigy              90.02   BlackBuzzard           806.99
21.  Hammer24                89.81   bakman21               803.61    * Aquamarine             804.16
22.  Jamix012                89.61   andy_lhc               803.21
23.  Lexxus                  89.53   1st Course             799.51
24.  Fitzy                   88.90   BuzzJive               798.25
25.  Asd202                  88.75   RamzaIsCool            797.72
26.  Bruno MB                88.70   Bgamer90               796.49
27.  mejin                   88.60   Randolph Freelander    796.41
28.  Welfare                 88.60   Lexxus                 795.60
29.  Trust me, I'm a PhD     88.42   Maxxan                 792.92
30.  andy_lhc                88.30   Hammer24               790.48
31.  Brew124                 88.05   pitseleh               787.56
32.  allan-bh                88.02   noobie                 786.50
33.  RamzaIsCool             88.02   confuziz               786.25
34.  tearsintherain          87.98   michaelius             785.06
35.  Pillville               87.90   Chobel                 784.83
36.  VGC                     87.86   skedar897              781.25
37.  Road                    87.84   Zero-Crescent          780.79
38.  shinra-bansho           87.37   CorporateClown         774.83
39.  Radec                   87.05   astrogamer             774.57
40.  funkystudent            86.62   travisbickle           768.03
41.  Aquamarine              86.50   Jamix012               767.95
42.  hepburn3d               86.48   DrWong                 758.42
43.  KenPokesBarbie          85.88   Aquamarine             754.03
44.  Miles X                 85.85   Duxxy3                 749.03
45.  Patapwn                 85.57   gtj1092                748.62
46.  Larogue                 85.50   Welfare                746.96
47.  wachie                  85.22   Ty4on                  742.58
48.  Pop-O-Matic             85.09   sacrificengineer       739.43
49.  Elios83                 85.07   Megadragon15           736.90
50.  Frag Waffles            84.86   mejin                  729.32

Congratulations, Jomjom by Units and Kill3r7 by Points!

Spoiler

VGC's Unit difference. Can't make this stuff up.

 

[Ty4on]

1 million off, 150th place ;_;


Congratulations to the winners!

Spoiler

And mail me your sources.

 

[vinnygambini]

Just hadn't been on GAF in 2 days. Saw the PS3 update, so calculating now.

Thanks donny

61. vinnygambini - 645,000

 

[SEGAvangelist]

Jomjom got laughed at for his predictions right? LOL

 

[Graphics Horse]

I thought VGC had me beat this month.

 

[allan-bh]

Was not a good month for me, at least I was able to keep the 1st place for overall 2014.

What numbers did you use for Wii U and PS3 donny?

 

[donny2112]

What numbers did you use for Wii U and PS3 donny?

240K (based off of XB1 and cs's pie chart) and 89K.

 

[Bruno MB]

If I have a good December I can still make it into the top 10. Anyway, this year can't end soon enough.

 

[1st Course]

Ouch

Xbone killed me

 

[donny2112]

8 predictions had the ordering correct.

Cornbread78
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Isurus
archnemesis
big_z
mejin
psrock
tearsintherain

 

[Chobel]

166. Chobel - 1,009,000

Anyway, thanks Donny and congratulations for Jomjom and Kill3r7!

 

[GifGafIsTheBestGaf]

thanks donny and congrats to the winners

 

[Graphics Horse]

8 predictions had the ordering correct.

Cornbread78
GifGafIsTheBestGaf
Isurus
archnemesis
big_z
mejin
psrock
tearsintherain

Wow only 8? Well done to those. And commiserations to Wii u.

 

[jvm]

[3DS] 3350K
[PS4] 3200K
[XB1] 2700K
[PS3] 1100K
[360] 1001K
[WIU] 1000K

Quoting my post for the full-year predictions from this thread. Oh dear.

3DS over 1700K
PS4 over 3600K
XB1 over 3000K
PS3 under 600K
360 just over 1000K
WIU just under 1000K