The Mad Draklor
Member
I think the XBO will still win October (ableit, not running away with it easily). However, the PS4 price cut will have a more long term effect than Halo 5.
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September 2015 NPD (U.S. Hardware) Predictions - Closes October 13th
- Thread starter donny2112
- Start date
JetBlackPanda
Member
October is going to be fun.
like other guys said, i still think XB1 will win, but now will be close.
MUHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Mario Maker should sell >400k with digital and stay at #6.
MUHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA
Mario Maker should sell >400k with digital and stay at #6.
DriftingSpirit
Member
I'm rolling with PS4 for October. We've been here before. March 2014 with Titanfall and June with the Kinectless SKU. To a lesser degree, August of this year as well.
I've learned not to underestimate PS4.
I've learned not to underestimate PS4.
Darth Smurf X
Member
September - Sony
October - MS
November - Sony
December - Sony
And that should just about do it for 2015. See you all in January for NPD 2016: Even More Interesting!
October - MS
November - Sony
December - Sony
And that should just about do it for 2015. See you all in January for NPD 2016: Even More Interesting!
slavesnyder
Member
Would be funny if Yoshida now gave an interview, saying he expects a price drop for the XboxOne...
slavesnyder
Member
That's reasonable, but October will be close.
Haven't seen a bunker-gif for a long time now.
SupperCrunch
Member
Almost forgot!
[3DS] 115K
[WIU] 55K
[XB1] 270K
[PS4] 360K
We still don't know if MS will announce another price cut for the XB1, so I would say November and December aren't decided just yet. Phil Spencer anticipated a price-cut for the PS4, and the prevalence of 1TB $400 bundles MS is planning for the holidays lends evidence to a possible $50 cut across the board.
[3DS] 115K
[WIU] 55K
[XB1] 270K
[PS4] 360K
We still don't know if MS will announce another price cut for the XB1, so I would say November and December aren't decided just yet. Phil Spencer anticipated a price-cut for the PS4, and the prevalence of 1TB $400 bundles MS is planning for the holidays lends evidence to a possible $50 cut across the board.
CosmicQueso
Member
Also where is Cosmic when you need himWe need to decide what will happen to his avatar when he loses the 30m bet lol
Hmmm?
What bet?
Why you lie?
Nah man, that was my... my little cousin. He stole my GAF account and then bought a lot of MTX on PSN.
Oh.... OH...... so that's how it's gonna be huh.
Must say I'm disappointed Cosmic.... I thought you'd be a man of your word.... I guess I was wrong
CosmicQueso
Member
Well then... what do you want me to do?
perfectchaos007
Member
[3DS] 144K
[PS4] 200K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 230K
[PS4] 200K
[WIU] 80K
[XB1] 230K
After October, i think PS4 will be first all months since March.
April can be a XB1 victory thanks Quantum Break, but is too soon for know.
I want you to tell your cousin he has to honour the bet haha.
Doubt it.
GameWhisperer
Banned
LMAO at x1 beating ps4 by 30K in sept, why?
QB a system seller? No way. Will sell similar to alan wake if that.,
freefornow
Gold Member
Because it's his personal prediction? He may be wrong, he may be right. All part of the prediction thread fun.
hemo memo
You can't die before your death
I read this every month.
Not every month has a price drop and Halo.
hemo memo
You can't die before your death
So it's going to be extremely fun than usual.
Nightengale
Member
Winning September ain't strange, Forza isn't that big in US.
October, it's too early to tell this early since Halo releases end of the month.
Amazon still has less than 10% overall market share I believe so they're not going to be representative of how products are selling across the country.
That being said, if you're looking at monthly rankings and there are large gaps between Hardware SKU's then you can usually assume that the lower ranking one has sold more but it's important to factor in any pricing differences/promotional deals that Amazon or other retailers may have been running.
So yeh, it's not a whole lot accurate, especially for software (outside of top sellers) but it seems to be somewhat reliable when looking at hardware rankings as to which console will sell the most. We can't use Amazon to work out a gap or actual numbers though. Just a rough idea of rankings.
Also don't ever look at hourly charts and post it here.
It's become a meme here, but for October it's actually accurate.
Nightengale
Member
When it turns out both of them sold the same amount of consoles, then it's suddenly not interesting because nobody won. /s
Hardware ranking wise they are 22 out of 23 months correct on the monthly ranking.
The one they missed was actually spot on if you looked closely at what was happening.
What you can't infer is actual numbers or how close/ far the hardware end up.
Can't use the Amazon monthly for software, too many variables.
GameWhisperer
Banned
For hardware they have been nearly perfect.
travisbickle
Member
I really want to see Halo's influence outside the US, I know it's difficult to gather.
GameWhisperer
Banned
True, but when I see posts that go against all facts and pretty much everyone else it would be nice to hear their reasoning. If not it looks like nothing more then wishful thinking. His prediction is pretty unlikely.
Well xbox one is doing pretty terrible outside of US/UK, I am guessing same with halo?
Welfare
Member
US/UK/LA*
lol oh yeah
Giriath_89
Member
Halo was Xbox, but Xbox was never really big compared to Playstation, and now neither Xbox or Halo is big.
This seems crazy. With MGSV and Destiny The Taken King, why do you think the Xbox one will win?
Primethius
Banned
Oh you.
These were the monthlies I looked at.
I know I'm going to drive Zhuge (and Rex) crazy, but only mentioning it for current hourly trend:
The price drop impact has began on the Amazon (Hourly) ranking.
Destiny bundle dropping like a stone, and the more expensive bundles (LE BF and COD) got a nice boost, while the $349 UC Collection got a big one as well (The UC bundle just jumped from rank 114 to 63 in the last update).
The Halo 5 bundle was slowly creeping up, but seems to now be hovering around #35.
OBVIOUSLY this means nothing for the larger picture of the monthly, it's just the "right now" picture.
Now adressing the monthly pre orders of the Halo 5 bundle, these will play a big role, but probably mostly the August ones (when the bundle was revealed).
They charted relatively high in August on Amazon (#24, highest XB1 SKU on Amazon), but failed to chart at all in September.
We'll see
Still saying there will be a nice bump in October, but with the price drop I think the PS4 will win it.
And for Nov/ Dec, it will all edge on an XB1 price drop imo (for a longer period than just BF).
The price drop impact has began on the Amazon (Hourly) ranking.
Destiny bundle dropping like a stone, and the more expensive bundles (LE BF and COD) got a nice boost, while the $349 UC Collection got a big one as well (The UC bundle just jumped from rank 114 to 63 in the last update).
The Halo 5 bundle was slowly creeping up, but seems to now be hovering around #35.
OBVIOUSLY this means nothing for the larger picture of the monthly, it's just the "right now" picture.
Now adressing the monthly pre orders of the Halo 5 bundle, these will play a big role, but probably mostly the August ones (when the bundle was revealed).
They charted relatively high in August on Amazon (#24, highest XB1 SKU on Amazon), but failed to chart at all in September.
We'll see
Still saying there will be a nice bump in October, but with the price drop I think the PS4 will win it.
And for Nov/ Dec, it will all edge on an XB1 price drop imo (for a longer period than just BF).
Actually, Amazon has been right for every single month since both consoles launched except for one, April 2015. Even then, the monthly charts for April showed two XB1 SKU's being very close to a PS4 SKU, basically hinting at a win for the XB1. Too bad none of us got it.
As for October, it's true that the PS4 has been ahead thus far, but the XB1 Halo bundle is picking up steam on the charts. I know I sounded confident in the PS4 price drop thread that the PS4 might win, but right now, I'm not sure and I don't wanna predict just yet. I'll wait for more info.
Dude, I don't mean to be harsh, but I have to speak my mind. It's quite annoying that you are questioning everyone who predicts the XB1 being ahead or tied to the PS4 for this month. It's just their predictions. Wouldn't change a damn thing at the end. Would you rather have this thread (and other NPD threads) be more inactive instead? Let me kindly remind you that you are still a junior. This is quite a dangerous attitude for you to have right now. Don't take offense to this post, I'm just advising you.
I know I'm going to drive Zhuge (and Rex) crazy, but only mentioning it for current hourly trend:
The price drop impact has began on the Amazon (Hourly) ranking.
Destiny bundle dropping like a stone, and the more expensive bundles (LE BF and COD) got a nice boost, while the $349 UC Collection got a big one as well (The UC bundle just jumped from rank 114 to 63 in the last update).
The Halo 5 bundle was slowly creeping up, but seems to now be hovering around #35.
OBVIOUSLY this means nothing for the larger picture of the monthly, it's just the "right now" picture.
Now adressing the monthly pre orders of the Halo 5 bundle, these will play a big role, but probably mostly the August ones (when the bundle was revealed).
They charted relatively high in August on Amazon (#24, highest XB1 SKU on Amazon), but failed to chart at all in September.
We'll see
Still saying there will be a nice bump in October, but with the price drop I think the PS4 will win it.
And for Nov/ Dec, it will all edge on an XB1 price drop imo (for a longer period than just BF).
Destiny bundle is sold out and sold by third party anyway.
Now that you mention it, it might seem like he is. He even has a sloth in his avatar. Either way, I just hope we can have more reasonable posters in sales threads so we can have rational discussions.
slavesnyder
Member
I hope we have more posters at all. Sales threads are slow.
Pre season should be over by now here, too.
Yeah, even with pre season over (LOL!), this thread still slips away from the first page easily. The holidays will be interesting though!
NPD threads have been dying ever since launch hype cooled down. Makes me sad.
Yeah, I know. Guess it's typical for every generation.
I know, it's been that way since the 1 day sale between Amazon, BB and Target.
He's been banned now which is good.
But I agree, would be great to have more people posting here who are rational and not just blind fanboys.