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[Aquamarine]

Dengeki Weekly Software Highlights: Week 46, 2013 (Nov 11 - Nov 17)


The super-hit God Eater 2 dominated the charts this week with 355K sold

• 240K Vita
• 115K PSP

• God Eater - 302K first week, 669K total
• God Eater Burst - 231K first week, 603K total
• God Eater 2 - 355K first week

Average sell-through for God Eater 2 combined SKUs was around 65%

• Given a combined sellthrough of 355,490, we can assume initial shipments of ~546,900 to retailers

Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled) had a debut very similar to Black Ops II, the previous iteration

• 206K PS3
• 11K 360
• 3K Wii U

• Call of Duty: Black Ops II - 226,000 combined sales first week
• Call of Duty: Ghosts - 219,000 combined sales first week

World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014 had a dull turnout compared to its predecessor

• 152K PS3
• 19K PSP
• 12K 3DS

• World Soccer Winning Eleven 2013 - 272,000 combined sales first week
• World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014 - 183,000 combined sales first week

PS Vita TV was released to consumers, with around 40K sold

• 39,844 units of Vita TV were sold in its debut week
• 45% of sales (around 17,900 units) was from the more expensive PS Vita TV Value Pack bundle

[B]DENGEKI TOP 50 SOFTWARE SALES
Week 46, 2013 (Nov 11 - Nov 17)[/B]

[U][B]RANK/L.WK	TITLE								PUBLISHER		RELEASE		SALES	LTD		WK. CHANGE[/B][/U]
[b]1/-	Vita	God Eater 2							Bandai Namco Games	2013/11/14	240,195	240,195[/b]	
[b]2/-	PS3	Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled)				Square Enix		2013/11/14	205,693	205,693[/b]	
[b]3/-	PS3	World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014				Konami			2013/11/14	152,051	152,051[/b]	
[b]4/-	PSP	God Eater 2							Bandai Namco Games	2013/11/14	115,295	115,295[/b]	
[b]5/-	3DS	Daigasso! Band Brothers P					Nintendo		2013/11/14	38,871	38,871[/b]	
6/2	3DS	Pokémon X							Pokémon Co.		2013/10/12	35,183	1,618,368	-35%
7/3	3DS	Pokémon Y							Pokémon Co.		2013/10/12	30,303	1,508,925	-32%
8/4	3DS	Monster Hunter 4						Capcom			2013/09/14	27,550	2,999,221	-29%
9/1	PS3	Battlefield 4							Electronic Arts		2013/11/07	24,820	136,207		-78%
10/8	PS3	Grand Theft Auto V						Rockstar Games		2013/10/10	20,060	504,683		-26%
11/7	Wii U	Wii Party U							Nintendo		2013/10/31	19,889	119,078		-31%
[b]12/-	PSP	World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014				Konami			2013/11/14	19,394	19,394[/b]	
13/6	PS3	Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball 2013				Konami			2013/10/24	15,394	189,992		-53%
14/13	Wii U	New Super Mario Bros. U						Nintendo		2012/12/08	12,911	628,999		-7%
[b]15/-	3DS	World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014				Konami			2013/11/14	11,589	11,589[/b]	
[b]16/-	X360	Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled)				Square Enix		2013/11/14	10,742	10,742[/b]	
[b]17/-	PSP	Arcana Famiglia 2						C-Territory		2013/11/14	9,922	9,922[/b]	
18/9	PSP	Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball 2013				Konami			2013/10/24	9,172	105,212		-61%
[b]19/-	3DS	Medarot Dual: Kabuto Version					Rocket Company		2013/11/14	8,240	8,240[/b]	
20/15	3DS	Sentouchuu: Densetsu no Shinobi no Survival Battle!		Bandai Namco Games	2013/10/17	8,011	99,623		-35%
[b]21/-	3DS	Medarot Dual: Kuwagata Version					Rocket Company		2013/11/14	7,007	7,007[/b]	
22/5	Vita	Akiba's Trip 2							Acquire			2013/11/07	6,933	40,760		-80%
[b]23/-	3DS	Model Oshare Audition: Dream Girl				Alchemist		2013/11/14	5,933	5,933[/b]	
24/23	3DS	Animal Crossing: New Leaf					Nintendo		2012/11/08	5,324	3,414,158	-9%
[b]25/-	3DS	Seisou no Amazones						Arc System Works	2013/11/14	5,254	5,254[/b]	
26/17	3DS	Little Battlers eXperience: Wars				Level 5			2013/10/31	5,033	63,344		-55%
27/10	PS3	Akiba's Trip 2							Acquire			2013/11/07	4,940	24,567		-75%
28/18	Vita	Gundam Breaker							Bandai Namco Games	2013/10/31	4,878	48,884		-53%
29/27	3DS	Friend Collection: New Life					Nintendo		2013/04/18	4,194	1,494,643	-17%
30/21	Vita	Jikkyou Powerful Pro Baseball 2013				Konami			2013/10/24	4,094	51,708		-52%
31/25	3DS	Disney Magic Castle: My Happy Life				Bandai Namco Games	2013/08/01	4,089	322,037		-23%
32/11	3DS	Metal Max 4: Moonlight Diva					Kadokawa Games		2013/11/07	4,060	23,164		-79%
33/12	3DS	Bandai Namco Games Presents J Legend Retsuden			Bandai Namco Games	2013/11/07	3,794	19,507		-76%
34/14	PS3	Onechanbara Z: Kagura with NoNoNo!				D3 Publisher		2013/11/07	3,238	16,158		-75%
[b]35/-	PSP	Shinigami Shogyou: Kaidan Romance				QuinRose		2013/11/14	2,922	2,922[/b]	
36/33	3DS	New Super Mario Bros. 2						Nintendo		2012/07/28	2,918	2,039,748	1%
37/24	PS3	BlazBlue: Chronophantasma					Arc System Works	2013/10/24	2,900	98,292		-47%
[b]38/-	3DS	Dora-Chie: Mini-Dora Ongakutai to 7-tsu no Chie			Shogakukan		2013/11/14	2,644	2,644[/b]	
39/16	Vita	Exstetra							FuRyu			2013/11/07	2,594	14,088		-77%
40/32	3DS	Mario Kart 7							Nintendo		2011/12/01	2,541	2,107,449	-15%
41/22	PS3	NBA 2K14							Take-Two Interactive 	2013/11/07	2,511	10,229		-67%
[b]42/-	Wii U	Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled)				Square Enix		2013/11/14	2,508	2,508[/b]	
43/31	3DS	Youkai Watch							Level 5			2013/07/11	2,424	212,884		-20%
44/35	3DS	Mario & Luigi: Dream Team					Nintendo		2013/07/18	2,356	350,041		-8%
45/19	PS3	Rocksmith 2014 Edition						Ubisoft			2013/11/07	2,318	11,787		-76%
46/26	Vita	Hyperdimension Neptunia Re:Birth1				Compile Heart		2013/10/31	2,113	38,660		-58%
47/34	3DS	Luigi's Mansion: Dark Moon					Nintendo		2013/03/20	1,888	921,408		-28%
48/28	PS3	Tears to Tiara II: Haou no Matsuei				Aqua Plus		2013/10/31	1,807	31,321		-63%
49/36	3DS	Sonic: Lost World						Sega			2013/10/24	1,794	10,680		-23%
50/49	3DS	Super Mario 3D Land						Nintendo		2011/11/03	1,622	1,883,081	8%

Top 50

3DS - 24
PS3 - 11
PSV - 6
PSP - 5
WIU - 3
360 - 1

New releases not present in the Top 50:

[b][3DS] Jewel Pet: Cafe de Mahou no Cooking!

[PSV] Demon Gaze (PlayStation Vita the Best)

[PSP] Hyakki Yagyou & Hyaku Monogataru: Twin Pack

[360] Deadfall Adventures[/b]

[B]DENGEKI TOP 3 SOFTWARE SALES PER PLATFORM
Week 46, 2013 (Nov 11 - Nov 17)[/B]

[U][B]RANK	TITLE								PUBLISHER		RELEASE		SALES	LTD[/B][/U]

[B]PS3 Top 3[/B]
[b]1	Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled)				Square Enix		13/11/14	205,693	205,693[/b]	
[b]2	World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014				Konami			13/11/14	152,051	152,051[/b]
3	Battlefield 4							Electronic Arts		13/11/07	24,820	136,207	

[B]PSV Top 3[/B]
[b]1	God Eater 2							Bandai Namco Games	13/11/14	240,195	240,195[/b]
2	Akiba's Trip 2							Acquire			13/11/07	6,933	40,760		
3	Gundam Breaker							Bandai Namco Games	13/10/31	4,878	48,884		

[B]PSP Top 3[/B]
[b]1	God Eater 2							Bandai Namco Games	13/11/14	115,295	115,295[/b]
[b]2	World Soccer Winning Eleven 2014				Konami			13/11/14	19,394	19,394[/b]
[b]3	Arcana Famiglia 2						C-Territory		13/11/14	9,922	9,922[/b]

[B]WIU Top 3[/B]
1	Wii Party U							Nintendo		13/10/31	19,889	119,078
2	New Super Mario Bros. U						Nintendo		12/12/08	12,911	628,999
[b]3	Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled)				Square Enix		13/11/14	2,508	2,508[/b]

[B]WII Top 3[/B]
1	Taiko no Tatsujin Wii: Super Deluxe Edition			Bandai Namco Games	12/11/29	1,335	569,399
2	Mario Kart Wii							Nintendo		08/04/30	800	2,401,810
3	Super Smash Bros. Brawl						Nintendo		08/01/31	574	2,427,128		

[B]3DS Top 3[/B]
[b]1	Daigasso! Band Brothers P					Nintendo		13/11/14	38,871	38,871[/b]
2	Pokémon X							Pokémon Co.		13/10/12	35,183	1,618,368
3	Pokémon Y							Pokémon Co.		13/10/12	30,303	1,508,925

[B]NDS Top 3[/B]
1	Dragon Quest V: Hand of the Heavenly Bride (Ultimate Hits)	Square Enix		10/03/04	210	192,269
2	Pokémon Black 2							Pokémon Co.		12/06/23	205	1,625,085
3	Dragon Quest VI: Realms Of Revelation (Ultimate Hits)		Square Enix		11/02/03	180	149,480

[B]360 Top 3[/B]
[b]1	Call of Duty: Ghosts (Subtitled)				Square Enix		13/11/14	10,742	10,742[/b]
2	Battlefield 4							Electronic Arts		13/11/07	1,023	10,281
3	Grand Theft Auto V						Rockstar Games		13/10/10	453	33,267

[B]DENGEKI TOTAL HARDWARE AND SOFTWARE SALES
Week 46, 2013 (Nov 11 - Nov 17)[/B]

[U][B]SYSTEM		SALES		SALES(%)	L.WEEK		L.WEEK(%)	FY 2013 SALES	FY 2013(%)	FY 2013(L.WK %)[/B][/U]

[B]SOFTWARE SALES:[/B]														
PS3		466,841		37.2%		277,525		36.1%		6,690,689	25.1%		24.5%
Vita		268,852		21.4%		87,533		11.4%		2,005,549	7.5%		6.8%
PSP		178,187		14.2%		57,446		7.5%		2,427,110	9.1%		8.8%
Wii U		41,106		3.3%		49,832		6.5%		891,854		3.3%		3.3%
Wii		8,025		0.6%		9,271		1.2%		585,398		2.2%		2.3%
3DS		274,857		21.9%		272,167		35.4%		13,538,334	50.8%		52.2%
DS		3,432		0.3%		4,357		0.6%		258,749		1.0%		1.0%
X360		14,013		1.1%		11,509		1.5%		273,389		1.0%		1.0%
Total		1,255,313	100.0%		769,640		100.0%		26,671,072	100.0%		100.0%
								
[B]HARDWARE SALES:[/B]											
PS3		10,689		5.9%		10,941		8.2%		393,792		9.4%		9.6%
Vita		45,155		25.1%		22,106		16.5%		537,858		12.9%		12.3%
Vita TV		39,844		22.1%						39,844		1.0%		
PSP		4,041		2.2%		4,276		3.2%		185,284		4.4%		4.5%
Wii U		15,308		8.5%		17,142		12.8%		313,550		7.5%		7.5%
Wii		550		0.3%		633		0.5%		35,187		0.8%		0.9%
3DS LL		42,618		23.7%		52,550		39.3%		1,874,136	44.9%		45.9%
3DS		21,405		11.9%		25,977		19.4%		779,953		18.7%		19.0%
X360		307		0.2%		253		0.2%		11,485		0.3%		0.3%
Total		179,917		100.00%		133,878		100.0%		4,171,089	100.0%		100.0%

[B]*Note: FY 2013 refers to the period from April 2013 through March 2014[/B]

For the people who aren't regulars in Media Create threads:

What is Dengeki?
Dengeki is a website (it's also a brand of magazines / a book and manga imprint) that publishes sell-through Japanese sales data tracked by Kadokawa ASCII Research Laboratories, Inc., a division of Kadokawa Corporation. Every week they publish a nationwide snapshot of Japanese video game sales with the cooperation of more than 3,000 specialty game stores and convenience store chains all across Japan.

Why post Dengeki numbers when you have Media Create / Famitsu in the OP?
1) Unlike any other tracker, Dengeki gives us software numbers for Top 50 sales so we can track low-performing titles for a longer period of time
2) Unlike the others, Dengeki gives us total software sales for every platform, so we can track the relative health of platform software ecosystems
3) Dengeki is a respected sales tracker with 5 consecutive years of being reported each week in GAF threads

Is Dengeki less accurate than Media Create / Famitsu?
1) Dengeki is just as accurate as Media Create and Famitsu. Just because each tracker has quirks and natural deviations from the others doesn't mean one is inherently superior to the rest.
2) Dengeki is the tracker most unfamiliar to GAF / the public, and sometimes people confuse lack of dissemination with inaccuracy in sales figures
3) The amount of retail stores Dengeki tracks is similar to Media Create and Famitsu

Here are the differences between the trackers:

Media Create:
+ Nationwide Japanese sales data from Media Create Co., Ltd.
+ Tracks more than 3,000 retail stores / chains
+ Top 20 software sales with numbers
+ Top 50 software sales without numbers
+ Total hardware sales per platform
+ Sometimes presents sell-through figures
+ Releases first (at the same time as Famitsu)
+ Nintendo uses these numbers in their investor presentations
+ Distinguishes between 3DS and 3DS LL
- Does not track download cards
- Does not provide software sales figures past the Top 20

Famitsu:
+ Nationwide Japanese sales data from Enterbrain, Inc.
+ Tracks about 3,600 retail stores / chains
+ Top 30 software sales with numbers
+ Total hardware sales per platform
+ Sell-through ranges for all titles
+ Has the most historical data available for GAFfers
+ Tracks download cards
+ Releases first (at the same time as Media Create)
- Does not distinguish between 3DS and 3DS LL
- Does not report total software sales

Dengeki:
+ Nationwide Japanese sales data from Kadokawa ASCII Research Laboratories, Inc.
+ Tracks more than 3,000 retail stores / chains
+ Top 50 software sales with numbers
+ Top 3 software sales per platform
+ Total software sales per platform
+ Total hardware sales per platform
+ Sell-through figures for a few titles
+ Distinguishes between 3DS and 3DS LL
- Inconsistent data reporting over the years
- Does not track download cards
- Releases nearly 24 hours after Media Create / Famitsu

Dengeki Spreadsheet Archive
http://bit.ly/16xq86v

Dengeki Historical Sales Archive
2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013
(A very special thanks to Road for making this archive possible)

Last Week's Sales Figures: Week 45, 2013 (Nov 04 - Nov 10)

 

[Aquamarine]

New to this week's Dengeki are two spreadsheets:


DENGEKI - TOTAL SW + TOTAL HW (FY 2013-2014) (UPDATED 11-21-2013) (BY AQUAMARINE FOR NEOGAF) (DISTR).xlsx

1) Contains weekly software sales + weekly hardware sales for each platform from April 1st through November 17th
2) If there is a slight discrepancy, numbers are corrected in accordance with each week's FY-to-date


DENGEKI TOP 50 ARCHIVE (BY AQUAMARINE FOR NEOGAF) (UPDATED 11-21-2013).xlsx

1) Contains every single entry from every Top 50 Software Dengeki list from April 1st through November 17th
2) Ordered by ranking (to see relative weekly performance) and alphabetically (to track sales performance throughout the weeks)
3) Has 1,650 unique entries


Future iterations of the Top 50 Archive will include:

1) Dengeki sales numbers prior to April 1st, 2013
2) Dengeki sales numbers not included in each Top 50


Part of the reason people don't use Dengeki as often is because unlike Famitsu / Media Create, there aren't databases with easily-searchable Dengeki information.

The Top 50 archive is my attempt to ramp up efforts in making the tracker more accessible. It's preliminary, so it may contain minor errors.


To download, go to the following link:

Dengeki Spreadsheet Archive
http://bit.ly/16xq86v

 

[Mpl90]

New to this week's Dengeki are two spreadsheets:


DENGEKI - TOTAL SW + TOTAL HW (FY 2013-2014) (UPDATED 11-21-2013) (BY AQUAMARINE FOR NEOGAF) (DISTR).xlsx

1) Contains weekly software + weekly hardware for each platform from April 1st through November 17th

2) If there is a slight discrepancy, numbers are corrected in accordance with each week's LTD


DENGEKI TOP 50 ARCHIVE (BY AQUAMARINE FOR NEOGAF) (UPDATED 11-21-2013).xlsx

1) Contains every single entry from every Top 50 Software Dengeki list from April 1st through November 17th

2) Ordered by ranking (to see relative weekly performance) and alphabetically (to track sales performance throughout the weeks

3) Has 1,650 unique entries


Future iterations of the Top 50 Archive will include:

1) Dengeki sales numbers prior to April 1st, 2013

2) Dengeki sales numbers not included in each Top 50


Part of the reason people don't use Dengeki as often is because unlike Famitsu / Media Create, there aren't databases with easily-searchable Dengeki information.

The Top 50 archive is my attempt to ramp up efforts in making the tracker more accessible. It's preliminary, so it may contain minor errors.

You can't stop being so great and helpful, can you?

Spoiler

Still, no Rune Factory 4 US debut posted yet as I politely asked ;_;

 

[Tripon]

Why weren't you there to comfort Kitase-sama? T_T

If Kitase wants to be comforted he should make a better game.

 

[Nibel]

Very badly

 

[Sammy Samusu]

Comgnet DQX Wii U

DQX - 15pt (final) - 36,454 / 72,654
DQX Version 2 - 40pt (14 days before release) - ?

The unbreakable lotus.

By the way, did DQX Wii U really sell tons of copies digitally or was that a mistranslation?

 

[maxiell]

It's awesome that you guys post Dengeki and Comgnet each week; it's tremendous and appreciated.

 

[Kid Ying]

Comgnet DQX Wii U

DQX - 15pt (final) - 36,454 / 72,654
DQX Version 2 - 40pt (14 days before release) - ?

The unbreakable lotus.

By the way, did DQX Wii U really sell tons of copies digitally or was that a mistranslation?

It surely did. Its the number one of the all time ranking software on the wiiu eshop and has been consistently on the top three of the weekly charts (which are probably small numbers, but still). We just dont know the numbers.

Also, looks like the expansion its not on sale on the eshop. Dont know if theres any kind of promotion on the game since i dont have it, but eshop says its not going to sell, so maybe we will see higher numbers for the expansion than for the original release.

Also, in one day, Mario 3d world already sold better than wii party u and its on its track to surpass game and wario on eshop. I dont know if a lot of people plan to get Taiko on the eshop too, but i believe it will surpass those two too with time.

 

[The perfect Dark]

Mario 3D World is #23 on amazon.de one week before release. This is pretty good for a WiiU game in germany.
Note: Ps4 (11.29.), XboxOne (11.22) not yet released.

edit: Zelda Link between worlds is #6

 

[Kouriozan]

Thanks Aquamarine, awesome job!

 

[extralite]

It surely did. Its the number one of the all time ranking software on the wiiu eshop and has been consistently on the top three of the weekly charts (which are probably small numbers, but still). We just dont know the numbers.

Also, looks like the expansion its not on sale on the eshop. Dont know if theres any kind of promotion on the game since i dont have it, but eshop says its not going to sell, so maybe we will see higher numbers for the expansion than for the original release.

Actually Wii Street U is #1 in the alltime chart.

Expansion will be available as DLC, according to the eShop info page. The expansion will still do better at retail than the original release because upgraders from Wii got the U download version for half price. The expansion doesn't have this kind of discount so more will buy the disc version this time.

 

[VXLbeast]

Very badly

Good. I am usually of the mind that I want to see everyone succeed, but seeing Square punished for their handling of this brand is satisfying and hopefully will be telling for them.

 

[Road]

Predictions..

[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai 2
[PS3] Gran Turismo 6
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 2
[3DS] Inzauma Eleven Supernova / Big Bang
[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Z
[PS3+PSV] Shin Gundam Musou
[PS3] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD
[PSV] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD
[3DS] Zelda: A Link Between Worlds

Anything else relevant (100k+) for December? Hardware? PXY and MH4?

 

[Captain Smoker]

Comgnet DQX Wii U

DQX - 15pt (final) - 36,454 / 72,654
DQX Version 2 - 40pt (14 days before release) - ?

The unbreakable lotus.

By the way, did DQX Wii U really sell tons of copies digitally or was that a mistranslation?

It's at 200.000 units minimum, including the digital sales.

Maximum, no idea, depends on the digital sales since the last report.

 

[Kid Ying]

Actually Wii Street U is #1 in the alltime chart.

Expansion will be available as DLC, according to the eShop info page. The expansion will still do better at retail than the original release because upgraders from Wii got the U download version for half price. The expansion doesn't have this kind of discount so more will buy the disc version this time.

I dont count wii street since its not a game and went free for quite some time, including the week where the bundles came out.

And thanks for the information.

 

[Yanikun]

Also, in one day, Mario 3d world already [...] on its track to surpass game and wario on eshop.

Mainline 3D Mario game on its way to outsell Game and Wario, momentous achievement.

 

[schuelma]

It's at 200.000 units minimum, including the digital sales.

Maximum, no idea, depends on the digital sales since the last report.

Did we get that number confirmed somewhere?

 

[Linkhero1]

Is DQX V2 a new game or is it going to be a downloadable expansion? or both?

 

[Foshy]

Mainline 3D Mario game on its way to outsell Game and Wario, momentous achievement.

In other news, it's also very likely to beat Rayman Legends and Sonic Lost Worlds combined LTDs in its first hour on sale.

 

[michaelius]

In other news, it's also very likely to beat Rayman Legends and Sonic Lost Worlds combined LTDs in its first hour on sale.

That's like 5 thousand copies right ?

 

[Foshy]

maybe closer to 4, but yeah

 

[Sammy Samusu]

Once again, here is the link to that DQX interview: http://neogaf.com/forum/showpost.php?p=62116325&postcount=155

 

[Mory Dunz]

So Dream Team passed 350K according to Dangeki. Cool.

Comgnet DQX Wii U

DQX - 15pt (final) - 36,454 / 72,654
DQX Version 2 - 40pt (14 days before release) - ?

The unbreakable lotus.
?

Is DQX V2 like a rerelease or something? Is it exlusive to the Wii U?

It's at 200.000 units minimum, including the digital sales.

Maximum, no idea, depends on the digital sales since the last report.

Isn't that a pretty decent number?

So what are the largest selling 3rd Party games on the Wii U?
Monster Hunter?
Sonic Transformed?
Lego City?

 

[BriBri]

Anything else relevant (100k+) for December? Hardware? PXY and MH4?

Gaist Crusher? Attack on Titan?

 

[Takao]

Is DQX V2 like a rerelease or something? Is it exlusive to the Wii U?

Expansion Pack, and no it's not exclusive to Wii U. It's coming to Wii, and PC too.

 

[RurouniZel]

Predictions

[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai 2 - 115K
[PS3] Gran Turismo 6 - 700K
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 2 - 50K (40KWii/10KWiiU)
[3DS] Inzauma Eleven Supernova / Big Bang - 73K
[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Z - 140K
[PS3+PSV] Shin Gundam Musou - 400K (150KVita/250KPS3)
[PS3] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD - 300K
[PSV] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD - 350K (200K X/ 150K X-2)
[3DS] Zelda: A Link Between Worlds 350K

 

[Lumyst]

Spoiler

Still, no Rune Factory 4 US debut posted yet as I politely asked ;_;

Spoiler

Rune Factory 4 JUST made it in time for the September NPD (they counted October 1) and its debut sales were around 17,000. I was hoping for 20,000, so I'll just imagine that 3,000 other people have picked up the game after October 1...or at least 3,000 people in Europe will pick it up when it comes out over there, then the 20,000 mental barrier I have will be satisfied.

 

[theprodigy]

Spoiler

Rune Factory 4 JUST made it in time for the September NPD (they counted October 1) and its debut sales were around 17,000. I was hoping for 20,000, so I'll just imagine that 3,000 other people have picked up the game after October 1...or at least 3,000 people in Europe will pick it up when it comes out over there, then the 20,000 mental barrier I have will be satisfied.

Spoiler

great now give me Xenoblade NPD data

 

[AmanoBuff]

Predictions

[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai 2 - 115K
[PS3] Gran Turismo 6 - 700K
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 2 - 50K (40KWii/10KWiiU)
[3DS] Inzauma Eleven Supernova / Big Bang - 73K
[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Z - 140K
[PS3+PSV] Shin Gundam Musou - 400K (150KVita/250KPS3)
[PS3] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD - 300K
[PSV] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD - 350K (200K X/ 150K X-2)
[3DS] Zelda: A Link Between Worlds 350K

Are this your predictions for the FW or LTD?

Also, do you guys think we should separate the Vita versions of X/X-2 by sku for more accuracy? How has MC treated Vita collections in the past? Does every Twin Pack considered as such independently? Or will each of them considered two sales (one of each game)?

 

[Lumyst]

Spoiler

great now give me Xenoblade NPD data

Spoiler

I think there was no tracking for Xenoblade because it was a retailer exclusive, but I never knew about sales or NeoGAF or NPD or those kinds of things last year, so I wasn't around for that month's thread, I could blissfully purchase a game because I heard it was cool, without worrying about my heart being broken by its sales

To stay on topic, I'll just add that I'm glad that the Vita performed great last week! I'd rather see more Japanese games on dedicated gaming devices than on mobile >_<

 

[Bruno MB]

Predictions..

[3DS] Hatsune Miku Project Mirai 2
[PS3] Gran Turismo 6
[WII+WIU] Dragon Quest X Version 2
[3DS] Inzauma Eleven Supernova / Big Bang
[3DS] Puzzle & Dragons Z
[PS3+PSV] Shin Gundam Musou
[PS3] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD
[PSV] Final Fantasy X / X-2 HD
[3DS] Zelda: A Link Between Worlds

Anything else relevant (100k+) for December? Hardware? PXY and MH4?

Drag-On Dragoon 3 looks like an interesting release, I would include it.

Regarding December hardware sales I find they are even more fun to predict than most of the new software releases, so I would definitely include 3DS and probably Wii U and PS Vita too.

 

[RurouniZel]

Are this your predictions for the FW or LTD?

Also, do you guys think we should separate the Vita versions of X/X-2 by sku for more accuracy? How has MC treated Vita collections in the past? Does every Twin Pack considered as such independently? Or will each of them considered two sales (one of each game)?

Oh sorry, FW predictions. And I thought the PS3/PSV collections were seperated so I seperated them.

 

[AmanoBuff]

Oh sorry, FW predictions. And I thought the PS3/PSV collections were seperated so I seperated them.

No problem.

As for FFX/X-2, the PS3 version is a single sku.

The Vita has three skus: One for each game separately and a Twin Pack where both games are included in one box (although two separate carts).

 

[KillerMan91]

Drag-On Dragoon 3 looks like an interesting release, I would include it.

Regarding December hardware sales I find they are even more fun to predict than most of the new software releases, so I would definitely include 3DS and probably Wii U and PS Vita too.

Yeah. Didn't Nier sell pretty well in Japan? Not huge opening but had decent legs for RPG. Interesting to see Drag-On Dragoon 3 numbers.

 

[kswiston]

Brain Age: Concentration Training | 46,528 | 235,962

Wow, I thought the game had bombed way harder than that. I guess I got confused with the US where I think it opened at 5k or something.

Isn't that still a 95%+ drop from the previous game?

 

[Hyperactivity]

I consider the vita and vita tv seperate. Still congrats to vita. It and it's sister are right under 3ds

 

[Kid Ying]

Hacimaki posted the top 10 of wiiu software from famitsu till 9/26 (before the bundles and zelda). Here it goes:

1) Super Mario Bros U - 552000
2) Nintendoland - 359000
3) Monhan Tri G - 218000
4) Pikmin 3 - 201000
5) New Super Luigy U - 82000
6) Dragon quest x - 80000
7) Game and wario - 68000
8) Lego city - 46000
9) Orochi 2 - 35000
10) Zombiu - 33000

source: http://diamond.jp/articles/-/44325?page=4

I was honestly surprised on zombiu and musou orochi. They got better legs than i presumed.

 

[hiska-kun]

Week of bombas indeed:

Lightning Returns: Final Fantasy - 50-60% (shipment was much lower than the last entry)
Super Mario 3D World - 20%
One Piece: Unlimited World Red - 20%
New Atelier Rorona - 30-40%
Aikatsu 2 - 30%

This week succes:

Taiko no Tatsujin Wii U Version - 5%
Cooking Mama 5 - 5%

 

[Alrus]

Damn Taiko...

But really, all of those sellthrough are absolutely awful. I guess Mario could have some okay legs, but the rest... What happened with One Piece?

 

[ambientmystic]

Week of bombas indeed:

Lightning Returns: Final Fantasy - 50-60% (shipment was much lower than the last entry)
Super Mario 3D World - 20%
One Piece: Unlimited World Red - 20%
New Atelier Rorona - 30-40%
Aikatsu 2 - 30%

This week succes:

Taiko no Tatsujin Wii U Version - 5%
Cooking Mama 5 - 5%

Dayum... But you know Mario's gonna have dem legs though. Thanks for those, hiska-kun.

 

[mrjohill]

20% for one piece and Mario? Wow that's not great...

 

[Tripon]

Week of bombas indeed:

Lightning Returns: Final Fantasy - 50-60% (shipment was much lower than the last entry)
Super Mario 3D World - 20%
One Piece: Unlimited World Red - 20%
New Atelier Rorona - 30-40%
Aikatsu 2 - 30%

This week succes:

Taiko no Tatsujin Wii U Version - 5%
Cooking Mama 5 - 5%

Question, do the Japanese usually buy games/consoles during the end of Nov.?

 

[1st Course]

Holy shit Taiko bombed hard.

 

[Immaculate]

Week of bombas indeed:

Lightning Returns: Final Fantasy - 50-60% (shipment was much lower than the last entry)
Super Mario 3D World - 20%
One Piece: Unlimited World Red - 20%
New Atelier Rorona - 30-40%
Aikatsu 2 - 30%

This week succes:

Taiko no Tatsujin Wii U Version - 5%
Cooking Mama 5 - 5%

gonna be a terrible week all around next wednesday

 

[Kid Ying]

Damn Taiko...

But really, all of those sellthrough are absolutely awful. I guess Mario could have some okay legs, but the rest... What happened with One Piece?

Taiko never sell much on its release week. It keeps selling till the christmas, where it
peaks.

 

[thepotatoman]

Question, do the Japanese usually buy games/consoles during the end of Nov.?

From looking at the achives listed in the op, it looks like they do, but new years week is the week that numbers get insane, along with the week right before and right after.

 

[Maedhros]

I consider the vita and vita tv seperate. Still congrats to vita. It and it's sister are right under 3ds

It doesn't matter what you consider. A Vita TV is a Vita by any means.

 

[L Thammy]

Its crazy how one of the best looking jrpgs came so early this gen and tbh thats not praising blue dragon its just showing how disappointing the jrpg scene has been on consoles since PS2 and the golden days of PS1. The things that confuses me the most is that jrpgs sell well. Theres a big audience for them on PS3 clearly, and three of the biggest new IP's iirc are jrpgs (Dragons Dogma, Dark/Demons Souls, Bravely, Default).

Going back to this because I think it's interesting. I think it's actually a lot harder to make successful JRPGs now. Dragon Quest is moving towards social gameplay, Final Fantasy is moving towards action. Dragon Dogma's Western-styled. In the NES days, it seemed like you could just take Dragon Quest, slap it in a new setting, and that would be enough (Mother, Far East of Eden, Glory of Heracles, Destiny of an Emperor).

Bravely Default seems like it's a Final Fantasy game in all but name; are there any other new retro-styled JRPG IPs that have been successful over the last gen?

Super Mario 3D World - 20%
One Piece: Unlimited World Red - 20%
Taiko no Tatsujin Wii U Version - 5%
Cooking Mama 5 - 5%

Wow, these are awful.

 

[crinale]

Mario U and Taiko's performance is quite alarming...
Let's wait & see.

Taiko never sell much on its release week. It keeps selling till the christmas, where it
peaks.

To have legs doesn't a platform have to have established install base to a certain extent? I donno...

 

[BriBri]

The One Piece game is great so I hope it doesn't bomb. Be great to have another successful monster hunting game on the 3DS to rival all the Vita (cl)ones. And I feel bad for hoping Cooking Mama 5 bombs

Spoiler

so I can pick up a cheap copy for the awesome fish-feeding mini-game

.