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NPD Sales Results for January 2016

ethomaz

Banned
Game is lacking in content compared to other fighting games. The roll-out plan isn't really going to do the game favors unless reviewers re-review it at a later date (and I don't even think that has much of an impact on sales).



For sure. Doubt it effects the core at all. I suppose with SFV, we'll see how big the core truly is.



I'm pegging it at mid 70's personally.

With a game like this, the actual gameplay is irrelevant to most reviewers (lets be honest, who actually trusts reviewers to review fighting games?) It's all about content and SFV appeals to the online warrior/core crowd with it's feature set.
SFIV got 94 due gameplay and not content.
That is what matter in SF games.

SF games always have arcade/story mode, versus, training and now online.

SFV is a full featured fighting game.
 
SFIV got 94 due gameplay and not content.
That is what matter in SF games.

SF games always have arcade/story mode, versus, training and now online.

SFV is a full featured fighting game.

I don't disagree with any of that. I'm there day one. I just think comparisons to MKX will be made in reviews. We'll find out Monday I suppose.
 

Raist

Banned
It's simple really.

The XB1 is tanking because MS fucked up.
The PS4 is doing very well because Sony nailed it.

Any other kind of "explanation" is just noise.
 

Vena

Member
I still don't expect much more than 400k.

High 80 or 90.

Why do you think It will get lower scores?

I'd get a good laugh if a content starved game launching at full price and "future promise" but the type that you had to pay for, would score that much higher than Splatoon or Battlefront or Destiny. Good gameplay isn't an excuse in that scenario. All good games, and all got a shellacking for their lack of content (and two of them gave a lot more for free).

Especially not when MKX is brought in for comparison.

Edit: And since this isn't the place for it, there's a loooong discussion on how potentially troubled/thin the release and development of SFV is/was here: http://www.neogaf.com/forum/showthread.php?t=1182902&page=19
 
I still don't expect much more than 400k.



I'd get a good laugh if a content starved game launching at full price and "future promise" but the type that you had to pay for, would score that much higher than Splatoon or Battlefront or Destiny. Good gameplay isn't an excuse in that scenario. All good games, and all got a shellacking for their lack of content (and two of them gave a lot more for free).

Especially not when MKX is brought in for comparison.

That's the way I see it largely. Especially since to reviewers, I'm pretty sure every fighting game might as well be the same thing, lol.
 

Vena

Member
Naruto and FE (barring some weird split that makes it hard for any one version to chart) should make it along with, more obviously, Primal and SF.

Digimon and GRR aren't charting, the latter being functionally impossible.
 
Seeing that the Wii came out almost 10 years ago & people don't stick to the same type of games as they get older. Also just because you played Just Dance or whatever when you had a Wii don't mean that's what you're going to play when you have a PS4.

"When in Rome, do as the Romans do"

Err, wii games were selling amazingly all the way to 2010, and the same games were available on wiiu in 2012-2013, considering the same franchises and type of games from 5-7 years ago are still selling consoles, your point makes no sense.
 
You people are crazy 70's meta? Low reviews? Anything less than 450k? Nono. Im pegging sf with 500k at least, high 80's, and at the very least no.2 on the charts.
 

creamsugar

Member
9ncjXcf.png
 

wachie

Member
PIE time, thanks cream!

Assuming PS4 at 230k .... XB1 = 132k, Wii U = 40.2k, assuming PS4 at 225k .... XB1 = 129k, Wii U = 39.4k
 
Geez that's gotta sting for MS. Even in the US the xbone is floundering. I'm not sure how they plan on turning this ship around and frankly unless Sony fuck up and give them yet another free go like last gen I'm not sure they can.
 

Sterok

Member
Well, Paper Jam and Final Fantasy Explorers could've been bigger flops I guess. I'll take what I can get for those two.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
SFIV got 94 due gameplay and not content.
That is what matter in SF games.

SF games always have arcade/story mode, versus, training and now online.

SFV is a full featured fighting game.

But didn't Splatoon and Battlefront get huge knocks for not being whole at launch?

And they even got some GOTY nominations months later so the gameplay was always there.

I personally don't see it getting below 80 cause it's still Street fighter
 

Welfare

Member
If we do get more accurate numbers (or these are actually spot on), the difference will be negligible, so I'll do this now.

Code:
Xbox One 132k 

MoM drop = 90%

YoY drop = 12%

Weekly average

December: 1376k / 5 weeks = 275,200

January: 132k / 4 weeks = 33,000

Code:
PS4 230k 

MoM drop = 85%

YoY rise = 22%

Weekly average

December: 1582k / 5 weeks = 316,400

January: 230k / 4 weeks = 57,500

Code:
Wii U 40k 

MoM drop = 91%

YoY drop = 37%

Weekly average

December: 463k / 5 weeks = 92,600

January: 40k / 4 weeks = 10,000

LTD Market Share

PS4: 44% [+1%]
XB1: 39% [-0%]
WIU: 17% [-1%]

PS4 V XB1 GAP

<1.4m
 

Mikey Jr.

Member
DAMN he's here!

GG Wii U.

If the PS4 is 227k (+20% YOY)

XB1: 130K
WIU: 40K

I honestly don't think XB1 will win another month ever. I don't see it. Unless they combo it with an XB1 slim and Gears 4, while at the same time Sony has absolutely nothing. Thats the only scenario.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Oh, went back to aug 2013 NPD for exact sales

Nirolak OP said:
Mario & Luigi: Dream Team: 190,000 [Bowser's Inside Story did 258.1K and then later exploded into super sales. Will be an interesting one to track.]
 

Elandyll

Banned

Woot! Thanks Cream!

Now if only we could get one of the three accurately, it would be awesome.
Queso helped a lot, but his hint only tells us that the PS4 is > or = to +20% YoY...

If we read his hint accurately that is.

Given Zhuge's assertion on Twitter that "XB1 is dead" for the month, it's probably > to 20% YoY for PS4, but impossible to tell atm really.
 

Mpl90

Two copies sold? That's not a bomb guys, stop trolling!!!
IIRC, NPD said that January 2016's total sales for PS4+One+Wii U was around the same (very small difference) as January 2015. What was the total for 2015, again?
 

Bgamer90

Banned
I honestly don't think XB1 will win another month ever. I don't see it. Unless they combo it with an XB1 slim and Gears 4, while at the same time Sony has absolutely nothing. Thats the only scenario.

There was that pretty strange win for XB1 last year in April though so I wouldn't make any conclusions right now -- especially based on January.

I agree that the PS4 will take the majority of months this year (though that's a safe bet obviously).
 

Welfare

Member
IIRC, NPD said that January 2016's total sales for PS4+One+Wii U was around the same (very small difference) as January 2015. What was the total for 2015, again?

2015: ~402k
2016: ~397k [-1%]

If the PS4 is higher, than 2016 would be closer to 2015.
 
It's simple really.

The XB1 is tanking because MS fucked up.
The PS4 is doing very well because Sony nailed it.

Any other kind of "explanation" is just noise.

Ah logic. The true enemy of the delusional. This thread sure has gone places. Doubled in size over the last day or so. I'm sure it will make great reading material for the morning.

For February, my guess is the top 3 sellers will be CoD, GTA, and SFV. Primal will chart but I'm not sure where. Probably somewhere towards the bottom. If it were FC5 it would probably be number 1 but it's got that spin-off stigma attached to it and unless the game gets tremendous review scores then that will probably hurt its sales more than help.
 
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