Stock-Age: Stocks, Options and Dividends oh my!

Great Auk

Member
This is the thing that bugs me about this the most. Who the fuck wants to sew Abercrombie and Banana Republic tshirts in a sweatshop. We dont even like working in fast food and literally demand $15 an hour to flip burgers. Who the fuck is going to sit there for hours on end doing menial tasks.

Bring back high paying jobs these cunts are shipping off to India. No one is going to fill these jobs even if factories are somehow miraculously spun up in the next few months.

You say "we" as if you are able to speak for 300+ million Americans. You and I would NEVER work in a shoe factory. I will guarantee you that tens of thousands of Americans would.

In fact they do, they still manufacture shoes in the USA. They still manufacture clothing apparel in the USA.

People only don't want to work certain jobs because they don't want to be paid slave wages.
 
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StreetsofBeige

Gold Member
You say "we" as if you are able to speak for 300+ million Americans. You and I would NEVER work in a shoe factory. I will guarantee you that tens of thousands of Americans would.

In fact they do, they still manufacture shoes in the USA. They still manufacture clothing apparel in the USA.

People only don't want to work certain jobs because they don't want to be paid slave wages.
People would for sure take those jobs. Heck if every WM and McDonalds is fully staffed with endless job applicants, I'm sure factory jobs paying triple would have giant lines of applicants. There's always people wanting to work with some blue collar skills to offer.
 
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natjjohn

Member
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Ecotic

Member
There's just simply going to have to be a quick reversal of this policy, or it's likely there's going to be a recession or even a black swan event. The phones have to be burning up at the congressional offices.
 

SlimySnake

Flashless at the Golden Globes
You say "we" as if you are able to speak for 300+ million Americans. You and I would NEVER work in a shoe factory. I will guarantee you that tens of thousands of Americans would.

In fact they do, they still manufacture shoes in the USA. They still manufacture clothing apparel in the USA.

People only don't want to work certain jobs because they don't want to be paid slave wages.
i pointed out the Fastfood salaries for a reason. Those are the people who will work those factory jobs and they are not going to want the cheap sub minimum wage jobs.

Factory jobs in the u.s are actually very well paid thanks to decades of union negotiations. They all make $100k a year making cars.

Sewing clothes and nike shoes are not even going to be worth $7.50 or minimum wage. And unlike fast food resturants, its going to be non stop work. No one is going to want to do it.

lookup what happened when they had americans work on farms. no one lasted a full day out in the fields. people hire mexicans for a reason.
 

Nocty

Gold Member
It's pretty telling were in a broader bubble given 90% of fintwit participants have never seen a real bear market

~2 to 5 % down days are nothing, I lived trading through 2008, we are not even close to that level of fuckery. I literally whitnessed people jumping out of office buildings in NY. I distinctly remember one firm in particular so confident in 'buying the dip' that they went max leverage and within 2 days went from multi billion dollar fund to bankrupt in 48 hours. Things got nutty. People were remortgaging their houses to go all in and the makret continued to correct another 30% down, wiping the floor with most. It was pure chaos.

Bear Stearns was just one story of the time, it was wild, I will never forget Jim Cramer telling people to buy the fear as it melted to 0
 
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Great Auk

Member
i pointed out the Fastfood salaries for a reason. Those are the people who will work those factory jobs and they are not going to want the cheap sub minimum wage jobs.

Factory jobs in the u.s are actually very well paid thanks to decades of union negotiations. They all make $100k a year making cars.

Sewing clothes and nike shoes are not even going to be worth $7.50 or minimum wage. And unlike fast food resturants, its going to be non stop work. No one is going to want to do it.

lookup what happened when they had americans work on farms. no one lasted a full day out in the fields. people hire mexicans for a reason.

A little more than half of all agriculture work in the United States is done by Americans. It's not all illegals.

Americans will do the work otherwise it wouldn't be the majority of the workforce.
 

StreetsofBeige

Gold Member
It's pretty telling were in a broader bubble given 90% of fintwit participants have never seen a real bear market

~2 to 5 % down days are nothing, I lived trading through 2008, we are not even close to that level of fuckery. I literally whitnessed people jumping out of office buildings in NY. I distinctly remember one firm in particular so confident in 'buying the dip' that they went max leverage and within 2 days went from multi billion dollar fund to bankrupt in 48 hours. Things got nutty. People were remortgaging their houses to go all in and the makret continued to correct another 30% down, wiping the floor with most. It was pure chaos.

Bear Stearns was just one story of the time, it was wild, I will never forget Jim Cramer telling people to buy the fear as it melted to 0
Covid was a disaster for 3 weeks straight in 2020. And then to top it off end of March lots of office jobbers (me included) were asked to go home and work. No timelines yet. Just WFH until we tell you to come back which was...... 2 full years.

Also, the dot com April 2000 bust was way worse than tariffs (at least so far). Every big tech company probably got cut in half and all the internet flame outs dropped to pennies and many closed up shop.
 

dem

Member
It doesn’t feel like it now, but it’ll go back up.


Or buying NVDA last month was like buying INTC in 2000....

If you held the SP from 2000... for like.. 10-15 years... your return was basically nothing.

It's been like.. 2 fucking days. Jesus christ.


A few years ago it was a huge deal that Apple passed 1T market cap.
Now their Market cap is 3 Trillion and yesterday they lost 300 billion in market cap like it was nothing. The market is insanely overvalued. This can continue for a long time. Who knows if it will... but it can and has before.
 
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Atrus

Gold Member
A little more than half of all agriculture work in the United States is done by Americans. It's not all illegals.

Americans will do the work otherwise it wouldn't be the majority of the workforce.

To get that value you have to include family workers who are declining over time as successive generations avoid the business and farms increase in size, efficiency and complexity as more capital results in large corporate owned farms. Of actual hired farm workers, US citizens are not the majority.


This is pretty much a standard story in first world countries where farms have to move toward advanced technology and automation to add value and productivity. Sacrificing productivity to work rice paddies and pick fruit is inefficient, costly, and hurts business competitiveness.
 

Great Auk

Member
To get that value you have to include family workers who are declining over time as successive generations avoid the business and farms increase in size, efficiency and complexity as more capital results in large corporate owned farms. Of actual hired farm workers, US citizens are not the majority.


This is pretty much a standard story in first world countries where farms have to move toward advanced technology and automation to add value and productivity. Sacrificing productivity to work rice paddies and pick fruit is inefficient, costly, and hurts business competitiveness.

I don't disagree with you generally speaking.

Hopefully with more automation there will be less need for migrant labor. I just don't like the argument that we need an army of illegals so that we can eat.
 

Haint

Member
Or buying NVDA last month was like buying INTC in 2000....

If you held the SP from 2000... for like.. 10-15 years... your return was basically nothing.

It's been like.. 2 fucking days. Jesus christ.


A few years ago it was a huge deal that Apple passed 1T market cap.
Now their Market cap is 3 Trillion and yesterday they lost 300 billion in market cap like it was nothing. The market is insanely overvalued. This can continue for a long time. Who knows if it will... but it can and has before.

Valuations ballooned to comical levels cause the US alone printed $16 trillion new dollars during Covid. Every other country in the world did the same. Apple didn't appreciate to 3 trillion, the dollar depreciated to 50 cents.
 

Yoshichan

And they made him a Lord of Cinder. Not for virtue, but for might. Such is a lord, I suppose. But here I ask. Do we have a sodding chance?
jfyi all

i somehow managed to invest all my life savings on a bunch of stocks that reached ATH at the start of this year

it's never been this over

never ever
 

pel1300

Member
I noticed on the leftwing youtube channels, not a single one of them or their audience comments are saying how it's a good time to buy into the market now.....and none of the comments say it either, but everywhere else on social media everyone is saying they are buying the dip.

I wonder if the audiences of these leftist channels just don't invest period....or if they are all low income living paycheck to paycheck and therefore can't afford to invest. I'm pretty certain the pundits running the channels like Kyle Kulinski, Krystal Ball, David Pakman, etc invest a ton in the stock market, weird how they never mention it or advise their audience to invest in order to beat inflation.
 

Elog

Member
I noticed on the leftwing youtube channels, not a single one of them or their audience comments are saying how it's a good time to buy into the market now.....and none of the comments say it either, but everywhere else on social media everyone is saying they are buying the dip.

I wonder if the audiences of these leftist channels just don't invest period....or if they are all low income living paycheck to paycheck and therefore can't afford to invest. I'm pretty certain the pundits running the channels like Kyle Kulinski, Krystal Ball, David Pakman, etc invest a ton in the stock market, weird how they never mention it or advise their audience to invest in order to beat inflation.
All the professional investors are moving towards the exists still - not a rout - but a consistent reallocation from equities to bonds or cash, and from USD denominated assets to assets denominated in other major currencies. This is not a left wing bubble. It is a real increase in underlying risk due to uncertainty across the board but in particular in the US (the increase in uncertainty and hence risk is 3-4x larger in the US compared to elsewhere).

Be careful out there.
 

Nocty

Gold Member
jfyi all

i somehow managed to invest all my life savings on a bunch of stocks that reached ATH at the start of this year

it's never been this over

never ever

as long as you are not leveraged, and don't have to forced sale, just ride it out good sir.

There are going to be more pain ahead but in the long term it will just be a candle on a long chart.
 
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Gp1

Member
as long as you are not leveraged, and don't have to forced sale, just ride it out good sir.

There are going to be more pain ahead but in the long term it will just be a candle on a long chart.

The famous "go do something else" and forget about terminal for a week or so.
 

Nocty

Gold Member
The famous "go do something else" and forget about terminal for a week or so.
we have the perfect hobby for it. Find a good RPG and get lost for a few weeks. I do think it will be a longer decline personally but the rule still applies. It doesn't do you any good selling when things are red.
 

Yoshichan

And they made him a Lord of Cinder. Not for virtue, but for might. Such is a lord, I suppose. But here I ask. Do we have a sodding chance?
as long as you are not leveraged, and don't have to forced sale, just ride it out good sir.

There are going to be more pain ahead but in the long term it will just be a candle on a long chart.
no leveraged, no need to sell, I have enough capital to survive for a few years - but god damn man. God damn.
 
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