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NPD Sales Results for February 2014 [Up2: PS4/XB1/Wii U/360 Hardware, BD/Poke/DK]

If we use Kagari as a source who despises FFXIII, then it is very suspect. NPD has it 8 before 10 so I chose to believe the official one. Don't forget that LR was offered digitally as well.

Yeah, Kagari is the leader of our merry band of Lightning haters, who've spread all the FUD about the series.


Shit I let it slip, I better hide from the ninjas now *vanishes*
 

Thoraxes

Member
If we use Kagari as a source who despises FFXIII, then it is very suspect. NPD has it 8 before 10 so I chose to believe the official one. Don't forget that LR was offered digitally as well.

She definitely has a bias (that much is obvious), but I don't think she'd lie about the numbers. There's no real reason to lie about something like that.
I knew it'd sell better. Told Kagari that before #'s were posted. People want a more traditional JRPG... especially one from Square Enix.

Which is why i'd be a little concerned about XV.
 
That's a very good point, damn why didn't they release it at the start of a month instead :).









The little fat plumber has already showed what kind of selling power he has once before on WiiU with 3D World, I see no reason why MK which is a much broader appealing franchise nowadays cannot do even better.

I didn't actually know that the hardware bump would be split between months like that so of course it makes achieving 300k hardware sales in a single month much harder but it should move 300k consoles over both NPD tracking periods which is much improved over the usual what 50k per month average the console currently has in America.

Of course a lot depends on how well Nintendo advertise MK8, which was why I was asking how the Tropical Freeze advertising was in America.

He's coming... prepare yourselves for when WiiU outsells XBone ! :)
The little fat plumber didn't necessarily help much w/ 3D World, tho, and I'd ssay Wii U sold so much at first b/c it was a new Nintendo console, not so much due to NSMBU.

~200,000 is more modest, but best to temper your expectations now instead of later. And given the way Wii U's been selling (and that June's not a holiday month), I would lower even that.

If MK8 fails, SSBU is the last savior.
 

Hero

Member
I'm pretty sure Lightning Returns was cheaper to make than BD.

Is that supposed to be a positive for the Final Fantasy franchise? Because I can't imagine any scenario where Square-Enix executives or shareholders are happy with LR's performance and the overall state of the FF franchise.
 
Hah!

Stay in front of your crazy and you can mitigate the impact of it. This is why I've always been willing to say "I WAS FUCKING SO WRONG!"

My prediction was made after we'd learned the price and launch wares though. I really did have that much faith in NSMB.

What did you predict WiiU year one Worldwide hardware sales to be out of interest, as high as mine ? :p.
 

DJIzana

Member
She definitely has a bias (that much is obvious), but I don't think she'd lie about the numbers. There's no real reason to lie about something like that.


Which is why i'd be a little concerned about XV.

I don't think we have anything to worry about with FFXV. The cast is entirely different, setting, music, darker story, combat... entirely different experience all together.
 
Is that supposed to be a positive for the Final Fantasy franchise? Because I can't imagine any scenario where Square-Enix executives or shareholders are happy with LR's performance and the overall state of the FF franchise.
I'm pretty sure that's a joke.

What did you predict WiiU year one Worldwide hardware sales to be out of interest, as high as mine ? :p.
Higher actually.

My initial expectation was that NSMB alone would drive the system to a userbase around 20 million units by the time PS4/One launched.
 
I do wonder what this means for Mario Kart 8 and the Wii U in all honesty. I think the hype for Mario Kart 8 is quite a bit greater than 3D World. For one, people had great impressions about MK8 from the first trailer (unlike 3D World), and it continues to be marketed a lot. Could the Wii U break 200K for June? I think it's fairly likely Wii U will break 100K in sales considering DK got it to 83K. Just looking at the preorders on Amazon throughout the world, MK8 is easily higher on the charts compared to basically every other Wii U game anywhere. If that keeps up, it could actually sell fairly decently. It actually hit #1 on Amazon in a bunch of countries a good 2-3 months before its release of all things. If that doesn't indicate decent hype, I'm not sure what does.

I agree. In September last year on Amazon UK, there were barely any Wii U games breaking the top 100. Windwaker and 3D World started that, but DK has got into the top 20 regularly recently, and Mario Kart 8 was briefly number 1 here and consistently rotates positions in the top 100. I think MK8 is going to give the console a massive boost worldwide. Its crucial that Ninty release Smash soon after to keep the momentum.
 
WiiU sales actually decent for WiiU
Might make it to Gamecube levels eventually

Oh, and how much profit does Nintendo get for BD? And SE too? Is Nintendo going to be a little lax on the 30% sales royalty give that they're publishing?
 

Tripon

Member
I'm unsure, but comparing Nintendo's releases with NPD over the years it varies wildly on 3DS depending on the nature of the title and how much stock is available.

Like Luigi's Mansion had catatonic (<2%) digital sales upfront, but BD here would be fairly healthy double digits.

Right, that's what I remembered. People are critical of Nintendo's strategy, but their day one releases are one of the few bright spots of the service.
 

John Harker

Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
"Next-gen software sales in the consoles' first four months are up 80 percent compared with the combined sales of Xbox 360 and PS3 software in the same time period. The 9 percent decline in overall software sales is attributed to weakening sales for Xbox 360, PS3 and Wii, which is expected, according to NPD. "

The faster people adopt next-gen, the faster old gen dies, and the transition is being very fast.

I'm sure the industry would love to eat their cake and have it, but...

of course we do. we always budget for the cake and the cookies ;)
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
Is that supposed to be a positive for the Final Fantasy franchise? Because I can't imagine any scenario where Square-Enix executives or shareholders are happy with LR's performance and the overall state of the FF franchise.

It's a joke making fun out of how cheap a lot of LR looks.

BD was obviously vastly cheaper and is made by a hole in the wall studio.
 

Y2Kev

TLG Fan Caretaker Est. 2009
Is that supposed to be a positive for the Final Fantasy franchise? Because I can't imagine any scenario where Square-Enix executives or shareholders are happy with LR's performance and the overall state of the FF franchise.

Considering that Lightning Returns was a budget title made by a very small team at Square Enix (<10 people) with no new assets whatsoever, it has done fantastically well. It also demonstrated to Square there is a slavish, brainless audience that will buy anything with Lightning in it so in a way they have hedged new revenue streams with this latest title. Finally, they also showed that review scores do not much matter in driving sales with this core audience.

Huge hit.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
Right, that's what I remembered. People are critical of Nintendo's strategy, but their day one releases are one of the few bright spots of the service.

Yes, to note while I have been negative as a whole on the 3DS, I do think Nintendo is actually nailing some things with the system and think that if they move on to the 4DS in a very forward looking matter it might not turn out nearly as badly as the current trend for portables would suggest.
 
Well if you're going to use Amazon as a metric, you should know that Titanfall for XB1 ranks 6 in the video game department, while Infamous is 30th for the year.

You're aware one of those games is out, and the other isn't right now, yes? It kinda skews the results.
 

John Harker

Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
Well if we take Harker's statement that generally digital sales are 10% or less for 360/PS3 games, I can confirm that BD outsold it by a fair margin.

Which also has the interesting implication that BD's digital sales were pretty large.

I bought it digital!

Nintendo is 'trying to change the way games are sold' - whatever that means. But occasionally you see a 3DS game surprise me. Not that I have access to all of that lockbox data, but I've been impressed with the odd Nintendo-published title in the past in terms of download penetration.

I just think that audience in particular hasn't been showing up at retail at all.
Notice how poorly third party games have been on the platform.
 

Abdiel

Member
Speaking from Best Buy numbers... All of you that feel Titanfall is pushing the X1 to these incredible heights, I'd really like to you consider the sobering reality that you're completely off the mark.

I think it was famousmortimer that said that there's around a million x1s sold by Titanfall already, as in people who bought the system with the intent to play that game. Feb. numbers definitely feed into that too, with the Beta excitement, and all that. But The game has been out for 2 days now, and our district (Northeast US) has sold less than 40 of the Titanfall bundles, and no store has placed any orders or even requests for any kind of replenishment.

Meanwhile the PS4 is a source of constant requests. Even the mobile stores in malls get calls from customers asking if they carry PS4s. The Salem, NH and Nashua, NH stores haven't even received a shipment of PS4s in a month. A month! But we've received word from Sony that major shipments are due this month in all of our stores.

I fully expect the X1 to do well again this month, but in terms of beating the PS4...? I can't really agree with any of you.
 

Nirolak

Mrgrgr
I bought it digital!

Nintendo is 'trying to change the way games are sold' - whatever that means. But occasionally you see a 3DS game surprise me. Not that I have access to all of that lockbox data, but I've been impressed with the odd Nintendo-published title in the past in terms of download penetration.

I just think that audience in particular hasn't been showing up at retail at all.
Notice how poorly third party games have been on the platform.

Yeah it's kind of shocking overall.

I remember that Elite Beat Agents was seen as the archetypical third party bomb back in the NDS days, but these days many, many 3DS games would love to have its LTD sales if I'm remembering them correctly.
 

Replicant

Member
If it makes Lightning fans feel better, FFXIII + FFXIII-2 shipped 9.7 million copies so this is a rather minor victory in the war, haha.

Lightning thanks your support. ;)

lightning-Returns-FF-XIV-costume.jpg
 
Considering that Lightning Returns was a budget title made by a very small team at Square Enix (<10 people) with no new assets whatsoever, it has done fantastically well. It also demonstrated to Square there is a slavish, brainless audience that will buy anything with Lightning in it so in a way they have hedged new revenue streams with this latest title. Finally, they also showed that review scores do not much matter in driving sales with this core audience.

Huge hit.

Word on the grape vine is that SE are cancelling all mobile projects and staffing up to release two AAA Lightning games on next gen consoles per month.
 
Not even 1/2 of XIII-2's first month sales.

oh
maybe the drop IS real

from what I can tell, XIII-2 did 355k first month, so this is <177k

edit: I see it's <175k

also I swear Nintendo has promoted Fire Emblem and Bravely Default better than any Wii U game
 

Spiegel

Member
Yeah it's kind of shocking overall.

I remember that Elite Beat Agents was seen as the archetypical third party bomb back in the NDS days, but these days many, many 3DS games would love to have its LTD sales if I'm remembering them correctly.

EBA was first party
 
The little fat plumber didn't necessarily help much w/ 3D World, tho, and I'd ssay Wii U sold so much at first b/c it was a new Nintendo console, not so much due to NSMBU.

~200,000 is more modest, but best to temper your expectations now instead of later. And given the way Wii U's been selling (and that June's not a holiday month), I would lower even that.

If MK8 fails, SSBU is the last savior.

I never actually mentioned NSMBU tbh because as Knack showed, almost anything sells at launch no matter how awful it is.

3D World pushed WiiU hardware sales from ~50k sales per month in 2013 to 220k for November and 470k for December. 3D World had an amazing impact on WiiU hardware sales which was obviously helped by the Holidays but then again most big name titles are.

I don't personally see Smash Bros U having anything like the effect of MK8 on hardware sales unless there is another $50 price cut around the time of it's launch. The 3DS version will also hurt it's sales.
 

~Kinggi~

Banned
Considering that Lightning Returns was a budget title made by a very small team at Square Enix (<10 people) with no new assets whatsoever, it has done fantastically well. It also demonstrated to Square there is a slavish, brainless audience that will buy anything with Lightning in it so in a way they have hedged new revenue streams with this latest title. Finally, they also showed that review scores do not much matter in driving sales with this core audience.

Huge hit.
How do we know this? Really less than 10 people? That sounds nuts.
 

Beant

Member
Question for anyone in the know about NPD. Do the subscribers get information broken down by which store sells what? i.e. can you see how many consoles were sold from amazon vs gamestop vs bestbuy etc?
 
Considering that Lightning Returns was a budget title made by a very small team at Square Enix (<10 people) with no new assets whatsoever, it has done fantastically well. It also demonstrated to Square there is a slavish, brainless audience that will buy anything with Lightning in it so in a way they have hedged new revenue streams with this latest title. Finally, they also showed that review scores do not much matter in driving sales with this core audience.

Huge hit.

I know your post is a fine mixture of seriousness and shit-stirring, but not everyone who bought it is brainless. I knew exacty what I was in for when I purchased it, and I wanted to complete the trilogy. I'm up to the final boss now and so far I've been satisfied with my purchase.
 
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