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[Leviathicus]

I expect literally none of those games to be a success.

Playstation is stupidly lucky that GTA VI is coming this or next year. Those sales and the online microtransactions are going to carry the horrible decision of over investing in GAAS and diluting your brand porting your games over to PC.

 

[Caffeine]

Jason Blundell's has a real shot. Marathon will release but not be a huge success, the rest are dead in the water.
I think sony should focus on astrobot like expierences like Astro golf,and a 3 on 3 astrobot basketball similar to the nba street vol 3 just be flashy and fun.

 

[GigaBowser]

allstars 2 with astrobot

 

[ChorizoPicozo]

Boi comes out like nothing has happened

 

[moogman]

The new Media Molecule one I get because they've always been innovative and creative. I trust them that it's live service for a reason. Bungie is OK, and I see why Sony are doing it but the rest seem like a waste of good dev teams.

 

[Sooner]

Helldivers 3 will be a hit

 

[FIREKNIGHT2029]

I expect all of them to flop and I’m going to throw a party when they all flop too.

 

[Buggy Loop]

6 more that were not part of the other 2 cancelled?

Jesus Christ, did Sony just put the house on fucking GAAS at the Casino or something?

 

[3liteDragon]

Cancel all of 'em.

 

[March Climber]

Guerilla - Horizon Online

Bungie - Marathon

Haven - Fairgames

PlayStation Studio - Gummy Bears

PlayStation Studio - Jason Blundell AAA shooter

Media Molecule - Hiring for Live Service experience

I have crossed out the ones that will not make it.

Horizon Online will only survive if it can thrive as a single player experience as much as it can as a multiplayer one. Old-school style MMOs where you have to heavily rely on player count are too risky in today's world.

Also, this is coming from someone who likes MMOs and keeps up with the news on that front. The traditional experience just isn't worth it.

 

[FalconPunch]

I have crossed out the ones that will not make it.

Horizon Online will only survive if it can thrive as a single player experience as much as it can as a multiplayer one. Old-school style MMOs where you have to heavily rely on player count are too risky in today's world.

Also, this is coming from someone who likes MMOs and keeps up with the news on that front. The traditional experience just isn't worth it.

Funnily enough, i think the only one that might make it is the one from the ex-cod guys....

 

[bitbydeath]

PlayStation Studio - Gummy Bears

WTF is that?

These are gummy bears.

 

[Zannegan]

I can see Marathon making it. I could see something else sticking the landing between MM, an unknown shooter, and Horizon (which would honestly make for a great action MMO, if not for almost all the characters). Who knows?

 

[March Climber]

Funnily enough, i think the only one that might make it is the one from the ex-cod guys....

The problem they're facing is that we haven't seen it.

And if we haven't seen it, it doesn't exist.

And if it doesn't exist, that's probably what the top suits at Sony are seeing, considering the recent rumor that they might have cut two unannounced projects.

 

[Trogdor1123]

I put 2. I think horizon a marathon will hit. No interest in marathon but the horizon world is fascinating to me.

 

[MatrixReloaded101]

Wait, those are the 6 games??? They are about to lose soooo much money.

These Live service games are knocking studios out like Thanos... but let the greed continue.

 

[James Sawyer Ford]

This game was revealed almost two years ago, there have been closed betas but we still haven't seen a single shred of actual gameplay.

If any this game is in deep shit.

They've had numerous playtests, the most recent one being very positive. Lack of gameplay shown to the public just means asset/art isn't locked down yet, not that the game is necessarily in a bad state

 

[James Sawyer Ford]

I expect that we'll get a few successes out of this. Marathon looks like a lock to me.

Jason Blundell - hopeful his pedigree can translate into something masculine and cool, like Helldivers.

Don't have too much faith in Jade Raymond's game, but the concept isn't horrible.

Horizon MP has a lot of potential but remains to be seen if they can capture that feeling in an MP environment with friends.

 

[MayauMiao]

God of War live service. What a stupid, stupid idea.

 

[Topher]

Gummy Bears?

 

[ReBurn]

Hit what? The top of the charts? The wall? The floor?

 

[Pasta la Vista]

The only 2 that will actually see release are Marathon and that Horizon Fortnite game. Hermen and Bungies last chance.
The Horizon game will fail miserably (like Concord).
Marathon will find some success, that game at least seems to have its own identity from what little we've seen. If anything the art direction offers something new.

 

[clintar]

Any of them gonna allow straight white male protags?

 

[Men_in_Boxes]

Men_in_Boxes looking at the poll results...

 

[thicc_girls_are_teh_best]

I voted 2 just to help make you feel better after the cancellation news. GAAS getting 86'd and it's only the first month of the new year. Gotta be rough, bro.

 

[Rawbutt Jellybean]

Likely none and it was a very stupid decision to bet so much on GaaS.

 

[Flabagast]

fairgamed and horizon are guaranteed flops. Not that sure about the others but still I would not bet one dollar on it.

Sony has totally lost the plot this gen

 

[blacktout]

I couldn't decide whether to vote for "0 - 1" or "2."

I think Marathon is probably the best shot but one of the others could certainly break out.

I could see Horizon working, but I do wonder how much crossover there is going to be between the current Horizon audience and the GaaS crowd. I know I generally love singleplayer open world adventures but fucking hate MMOs. Having random douchebags running around completely annihilates the sense of immersion and exploration that I want from those kinds of games (though I did enjoy GTA Online, so who knows).

I think Fairgame$ is completely DOA, judging by the discourse around the game.

Gummy Bears sounds like a mix of Smash Bros, Fall Guys, and League of Legends with a zoomer aesthetic, which, honestly, I would rather walk outside, shoeless, in my pajamas, right now and die of hypothermia than play for five minutes.

Jason Blundell and Media Molecule games are much harder calls, since we know so little about them and there's a real chance that one or both could be cancelled, given how bloodthirsty PS has been post-Concord. I think the Blundell game might have a shot if it manages to release this gen, and the Media Molecule game will probably be absolutely brilliant and only attract a small audience, judging by their past work.

 

[Bitstream]

 

[Jinzo Prime]

I expect that we'll get a few successes out of this. Marathon looks like a lock to me.

Jason Blundell - hopeful his pedigree can translate into something masculine and cool, like Helldivers.

Don't have too much faith in Jade Raymond's game, but the concept isn't horrible.

Horizon MP has a lot of potential but remains to be seen if they can capture that feeling in an MP environment with friends.

I can't believe I'm saying this, but I totally agree.

I am no Bungie fan, but you just can't deny the success they found with Destiny, and with extraction shooters really finding thier footing there should be a strong expectation that they can make Marathon a hit.

Horizon really is a wait and see: good concept, but is all going to be about the execution.

Jason Blundell made COD Zombies mode so it could be good, but we have no way of knowing right now.

Gummy Bears, no idea, but Fairgame$ is a wash, and MM should not be making a live service game unless it has a strong single player element, a la Little Big Planet.

 

[AmuroChan]

MLB The Show is one that is almost certainly going to succeed. It's annualized so the development cost is low, and they make bank off of DD.

 

[Men_in_Boxes]

MLB The Show is one that is almost certainly going to succeed. It's annualized so the development cost is low, and they make bank off of DD.

Let the record show that MLB The Show is not part of the Significant Six nor was it ever implied to be part of the Significant Six. I yield to the jury...

 

[Robb]

0-1 is my guess.

 

[viveks86]

There will be 1. Not 0. 2 at the most. Straight from the ass as we haven’t seen them yet. But that’s my best blind guess

 

[Zathalus]

I don't believe every single one would be failures. Marathon is being developed by Bungie so that has good chances, and at least one of the others should be alright. Going on the recent track record I think 2 is being generous.

 

[Kerotan]

2 maximum but I think 1. Sony will learn from this. They fucked up their single player game output but got away with it because Xbox fumbled so bad.

 

[AgatonSax]

The one advertising a dude character . That one.

 

[Majukun]

might as well pick a number at random, since so many factors get into a gaas being successfull.
from my point of view the business model is already pretty full, but stuff like the last marvel game shows there is still space for one or two big successes

 

[Yoboman]

Marathon will hit on Bungies name alone

The rest will bomb

Horizon MMO - lmao we saw the leaks it looked so bad
Gummy Bears - sounds stupid
Fairgame$ - looks the worst of the lot unless they've thrown everything out we've seen in the teaser
Jason Blundell - his last game got cancelled can't see why this would work out different
Media Molecule - would love them to have a hit but they make stuff that is just unmarketable. And make dumb choices like creators in Dreams being unable to monetise their own creations

 

[Bernardougf]

V A P O R W A R E

 

[SkylineRKR]

Well, I think all of them are dead within a few months. Its really hard to become a mainstay. Its about the game being good at launch, and not filled with issues. Then its about persistent content and engagement. This is very hard to accomplish and they usually fail.

 

[Putonahappyface]

Hopefully zero.

 

[diffusionx]

Push Square has it right:

Reaction: Sony's Live Service Push Has Been a Disaster of Utterly Insane Proportions

A new low

www.pushsquare.com

Sony does not know what they are doing. The games that they still have cooking aren't interesting at all. I would say the only one with any hope whatsoever is Marathon. Online Horizon sounds as stupid and idiotic as Online God of War. Lego Horizon's failure should have pushed Sony into realizing this franchise isn't what they think it is. Fairgame looks horrible and the concept is insanely outdated and silly. The other stuff, we have no clue. Media Molecule hasn't made a real game in a decade.

 

[Horseganador]

None of them will work, Sony users don't want to hear about gaas games, they won't even give them a chance.

 

[vaibhavpisal]

They should focus everything on Marathon, Horizon online and Media Molecule title.

Cancel everything else. Let those studios support development of these 3.

Fairgames$ should be immediately cancelled. Dunno why its still a thing.

 

[DenchDeckard]

Marathon has a chance. Bungie has experience.

 

[spons]

Given enough money wasted on these projects, this could very well be PlayStation's suicide considering none of these will be profitable.

 

[Radical_3d]

That is not the question. The question is “how many need to flop before they kick out Hulst?” First guy ever to loose a 400 million bet and keep the job.

 

[hemo memo]

0 - 1 for sure.

 

[chromatic9]

I could see Marathon doing ok.

It's crazy just how much they had planned when there's not enough time or audience to even play them. Seems they completely misread the market and their own success as a platform and large single player sales that the PS gamers would simply buy into a large wave of GAAS.

Funny thing is the one game that looked interesting and had gamers already down was Factions. They could've handed it off to get it finished and it could've enjoyed a decent 6 months like Helldivers 2.