Hey anyone tell me if this is a crazy idea:
From now on, I will "buy green, sell green" and use the Dow as an indicator of when to buy and sell. When the Dow reaches a peak (or better yet an all time peak), and then it falls, I wait till there is a recovery (green). A recovery is usually when after a plunge the markets have gone back up to about 30% of where they were before the plunged, and when there is stability in the trading for some time. At that point, I buy. Then I wait, and the very moment the Dow hit its former peak, I sell.
I took a look at a lot of graphs and I would have made money on all of them if I had followed this principal, as long as I was investing in big and financially sound companies that have a strong tendency to follow the market without extremes rises or lows or their own.
So I would:
1- Absolutely check the financials of a company to make sure they will be able to follow the overall performance of the Dow and hence not go off in unpredictable patterns that would indicate volatility and speculation.
2- Absolutely buy in the green (as in, when the Dow recovers after a strong drop after a strong high, not necessarily when the share itself is going up). Never buy at any other moments.
3- Absolutely sell in green (as in, when the Dow is back to its former peak), never wait regardless of upcoming financials or whatever news that would incite me to keep the shares.
If the shares are in the red when the Dow is at its peak: I made a bad investment
If the shares are in a peak when the Dow is still recovering very slowly: SELL. But something else.
I won't make a fortune like this, but from what I checked I would have made decent sums of money and no loss.
Any comments on that? Thanks! (of course it's not perfect
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