5. Crimsonphia & hey_Flush - Not an impossible boat. Flush doesn't interact with them a whole lot and they've sort of kept their distance. Sophia was semi-skeptical of Royal/Monkey's claim but it didn't go into much. One point for this group here as well is how Monkey votes for Ty, for rather similar reasons to Sophia/Crimson but just a difference of logic, and then quickly backs down from them after Ty flips. Can just be Monkey playing into the 'skeptical' card and hoping the heat from Crimson/Sophia dissipates as they flop to a new target? Although I feel like if this pair were the case then Monkey/Royal could just jump on Sorian and I and push there unless they didn't feel they could get more votes for it?
6. Crimsonphia & XKark - Crimson/Sophia just kind of straight ignore Kark's gambit on Day 1 and don't comment on it ( unless I missed it ). Also just a lot of '
not sure how to read them' which has been the hallmark of this boat, though it's sometimes followed by a
'I guess I don't get scum vibes from them' post.. I still think here that if Crimson/Sophia is Scum then Kark tried to save them and lynched Ty instead. Don't believe XKark really push towards Crimson/Sophia at all either throughout the game, even the Day where they are a lynch candidate they just sort of steps around most of the conversations and only focus on Ty. They've also been absent today too and haven't given much of their thoughts except for a weird argument from Kark that came out of nowhere and then went nowhere. Attempts at distancing?
7. Crimsonphia & Natiko Sparks - Nothing really changed from the above, just have a hard time overall seeing Natiko buss Sophia this hard. Also this latest argument and the one on Day 2 is very, uh, aggressive and vocal and I'm not sure if W/W would be that openly angry at each other. Meta I guess but I'm not seeing it...
8. hey_Flush & XKark - Already said this is extremely doubtful but Royal also votes Kark on Day 1 and pushes him up to 3 and is then tied for top. Was also rather indifferent at the end of Day 1 and makes a small manifesto against Vere. Considering how close Kark was to being lynched and how he pushed him up it wouldn't make sense if they were both Scum. 99% confident here they aren't both Scum.
9. hey_Flush & Natiko Sparks - Royal and Natiko have a bit of an argument on Day 1 surrounding Nomad but it didn't really go anywhere? It just kinda disappears after a while. Natiko scum read Royal/Monkey going into Day 4 ( day after they claim btw ) but after Sorian and I claim he just quickly backs down on it. Not sure if he posted earlier why he scum read them, I only really saw a post shortly after Royal/Monkey claimed where he thought they were trying to save a
Scum!Ouro but that's it? So I don't really know why he went into that Day still thinking they were Scum. Even by Day 5 Royal still has Nomad/Natiko as
nulls and the two boats just...don't interact much.
10. XKark & Natiko Sparks - Natiko gives Kark as an option of who he'd vote for on Day 1 but never interacted much with him and says it's a low-info lynch and would rather move elsewhere. Stayed on Ouro/KK at Day End despite XKark being a leading lynch and never really jumped over to Orb, kinda odd if they were Scummates. Other than that there really isn't much of anything between these two that I saw. Natiko did come in today and defended XKark out of the blue though so...there's that. But there's just a lack of stuff here.
SO given this plus all my reads I think the remaining boat is likely Crimson/Sophia & Kark/Xbro for reasons given. Royal/Monkey & Crimson/Sophia are also entirely possible as well given Monkey's back down from Sophia/Crimson and her general explanations on voting Ty over them which I'm still rather iffy on. But, again, I still feel like if this was the team at play then I don't see why they don't just double-team and jump on Sorian and I for the heinous act of being alive and score the mislynch there instead of having Monkey wave around so much. I can only see this if they believed they couldn't sway Natiko/Nomad and wanted Royal/Monkey to try and get another lynch going and waiting before bussing to read the thread. A Royal/Monkey & Natiko/Nomad Scum Team is also possible just given their weird interactions but given their overall play I don't think that's the case? I'd be highly impressed if they do end up being Scum just by how well they're faking a Town game as I feel rather good about Natiko and Monkey especially.
The team I just really, really don't think is at play is Kark/Xbro & Royal/Monkey and Crimson/Sophia & Natiko/Nomad. Every other team is somewhere between these two.