You think the holiday will close the gap? Whats 360's best holiday and do you think it'll do anything close to it? The Wii-U is launching in a few months and its still doing near half of 360's monthly rate, you're not going to close any gap by nibbling at a snails pace. The 360 is not the PS2, its not gonna keep doing big numbers for years on end, and thats what it needs to close the gap.
All but dead is a big exaggeration, the Wii is cheap, people will still buy it, its not like the numbers are gonna drop to 0 in the next month. The 360 already plummeted hugely this month, what do you think will happen as we get closer to Durango's release?
If the Wii-U wasn't released this year and Nintendo let this generation go on for another year or two then sure the 360 might have had the chance, but next-gen is already on its way, people are already bored of this generation.
The best holiday was the last one 3.4m~ Up 200k YoY, Wii was 1.9m~ down 1.7m YoY.
The rate at which it outsells the Wii in the non holiday months doesn't matter, but just to prove a point.
Jan - May 11 - 360 outsold Wii by 440k~
Jan - May 12 - 360 has outsold Wii by 740k~
Despite the slump this year, it's increased the rate it's outselling Wii.
It's also interesting you note it isn't the PS2. It's already doing
better than the PS2 in the same timeframe, vastly so.
Wii is in danger of a few sub 50k months coming up. WiiU will cannibalize Wii sales more than 360/PS3, which are far more appealing with games still releasing and effectful price cuts left in them. We've already seen a $99 Wii on BF can't even outsell the PS3 anymore.
Most of the gap will be closed before Durango's release. Fact of the matter is though, 360 is the top selling console month in month out, and the baseline price hasn't been slashed since 08. Since then PS3 has had 2 price cuts, Wii has had 2/3 price cuts? I'm losing count.
Nodody can call into the effect of a 360 price cut, all we've seen is MS create $149 on BF bundles (and them fly off the shelves at a huge rate).
well according to the numbers posted earlier, there is a 5,335,000 difference.
Wii: 39.460M
360: 34.125M
PS3: 21.170m
if we drop wii units sold monthly down to 0 moving forward, that means 360 must sell
444,583 units per month for 12 months
222,291 units per month for 24 months.
160,000 units per month for 33 months,
I guess you're thinking of that last one, where it'll match up around 2015
i think the successor will bite into that quite a bit, and of course the wii will likely continue to sell until nintendo pulls the plug.
I never go by monthly averages because it just doesn't work like that. MS just need to give a good price cut to the 360 this holiday and it'll cut into Wii sales massively.