Certainly no cheaper than the Switch OLED price of $350.
I suspect $399, personally. They’re rumored to have 256Gb fast internal storage for the first time, and rumors claim a significantly bigger display.
$350 - $399, with the Switch OLED discounted.
My money is going to be on something closer to $450. That would still undercut the big consoles, the portability factor will enable it to be priced above Series S, while still being an MSRP that is trading blows with the Steam Deck and all the other PC handhelds.
Unlike the Tegra X1, which probably had existing stock lying around that can be bought for cheap off Nvidia's hand and had a cheap manufacturing node, this is a custom-made chip (at least afaik) with a more recent node process, and I honestly don't see Nvidia not wanting to take a bigger cut of the Switch 2's MSRP, this is not in-line with their behavior, especially when they have the upper hand.
Remember, Nintendo are kind of over a barrel here (and so is Sony/Xbox with AMD), if they want guaranteed and easy to implement backcompat, then they have to make the deal with their existing chip partner.
This is the same reason Sony went with AMD instead of Intel for their next gen of devices, despite Intel starting to get super competitive with AMD in terms of performance at the lower TDPs:
On the heels of the PS5 Pro, the PS6 looks to be AMD-powered
www.gamesradar.com
(I personally would have gone with Intel because their AI and upscaling tech is >>> AMD's, and I don't really care about backcompat as a selling point, but business gotta business I guess).
not remotely a ‘kill shot’, especially with GTA on the horizon. But I suspect that GTA release month might be the only month where the traditional consoles outsell the Switch 2 in the next 2 years post release.
Software wise, it’ll smother everything else in Japan.
It's gonna be trading blows with PS in each region because the latter half of the gen's PS software is looking more steady than the 1st (which was decent enough imo).
Japan is absolutely a wash tho like you said, at least until Xbox and PS get a dedicated handheld out there.