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NPD Sales Results for September 2014 [Up1: Smash/HW/MK8, Destiny stats, 3DS HW]

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Loudninja

Member
I honestly thought bone was going to win March with Titanfall. I was ready to place money down on it. But then it didn't. So honestly, now, I don't know what to think.

I'm thinking again the Xbone will win November with MCC, but I am doubting myself. But then again, Sony is pretty much tapped out this holiday. They have jack shit while MS still has Sunset and MCC. So yeah, Sony has the momentum, but MS has the exclusives.

Fuck, its 50/50 for me right now.
They have LBP3, Singstar and Guilty Gear left.

Sony fans damage control like Xbox owners didnt buy digital in droves also
We have PR from Sony about digital sales.
 
Hmm sports game really did not do that well on the XB1.

Its pretty odd.

Someone earlier in the thread made the excellent point that EA Access likely pushed a bunch of sales to digital thanks to the discount and early access.

Once you apply some reasonable adjustments, assuming that more digital share for ea sports on xone vs ps4 and the numbers make much more sense.
 

Majmun

Member
EA Access sounds like great value tbh. I can imagine a lot of people subscribing to the service.

Let's hope EA created something very lucrative with EA Access, if this means that the retail sales will drop.
 
NnbQmt7.png


More on Destiny. That is Activision's stock. You can clearly see the leadup to Destiny followed by the market reaction since its release. The reason I share this is because I think a lot of people in this thread are engaged in a bit of cognitive dissonance. The line of thought now seems to be "Well, it's not bad. It's even good for a new IP! Yeah!" But if you read the threads, thoughts and consensus prior to the release of Destiny it was night and day. These numbers are bad, nay terrible, compared to what people were expecting. To act like any meaningful chunk of people actually expected this is just disingenuous. People from all walks ranging from random forum poster to multimillion dollar investor/analysts were expecting far more than this. I just find it strange that now people on here are now just instead repeating Activision's marketing lines like this is in any way normal, let alone good!

So stocks are back to where they were a few months before release? lol also the same kind of stock sell off happened when GTAV released, its not a broad picture of how successful a game is.

I have no idea what the expectations for Activision or Bungie were, probably a little more then what actually happened but at the end of the day its still the most played game on each platform and its the most successful new IP of all time. If the userbase can keep at it for the next couple DLC and announcement of Destiny 2 it will be a monster franchise this gen.
 

Loudninja

Member
Someone earlier in the thread made the excellent point that EA Access likely pushed a bunch of sales to digital thanks to the discount and early access.

Once you apply some reasonable adjustments, assuming that more digital share for ea sports on xone vs ps4 and the numbers make much more sense.
Hard to say when we don't have hard numbers.
 
NnbQmt7.png


More on Destiny. That is Activision's stock. You can clearly see the leadup to Destiny followed by the market reaction since its release. The reason I share this is because I think a lot of people in this thread are engaged in a bit of cognitive dissonance. The line of thought now seems to be "Well, it's not bad. It's even good for a new IP! Yeah!" But if you read the threads, thoughts and consensus prior to the release of Destiny it was night and day. These numbers are bad, nay terrible, compared to what people were expecting. To act like any meaningful chunk of people actually expected this is just disingenuous. People from all walks ranging from random forum poster to multimillion dollar investor/analysts were expecting far more than this. I just find it strange that now people on here are now just instead repeating Activision's marketing lines like this is in any way normal, let alone good!


Is this post a complete joke / sarcasm?

Serious question.
 
Context is everything.

-The budget for this game was absolutely unprecedented for any game, new ip or 50th iterative sequel. It had a larger budget than the budget bloat beast that is GTA5 for crying out loud.

Indeed, context is everything. If less than 200 million dollars is "unprecedented", then sure. Because that 500 million dollars is a 10-year deal. That includes 3 games and 6 expansions.
 
Sorry in advance, this is a very long thread. Is there a decent guesstimate as to what numbers Xbox did this month? Meaning September...
 

stryke

Member
Sorry in advance, this is a very long thread. Is there a decent guesstimate as to what numbers Xbox did this month? Meaning September...

We have the numbers but tough luck. If you follow NPD enough you should know who gives the numbers and work your way from there.

Edit - or you can quote that guy
 
It's Halo, though. The franchise is very popular in NA.

But Ps4 is going to get GTAV advertising, so I dunno.

I was under the impression Halo has been losing relevance ever since the CoD phenomenon hit. even in my circle of friends who I play Gears3 with on 360, have all shown their distaste for the franchise.

They have LBP3, Singstar and Guilty Gear left.

they also have that PS event in December. it's not a game release but it is an opportunity to sell the console.
 
Sony fans damage control like Xbox owners didnt buy digital in droves also
That *Physical disk only part of the "get a free game" deal sure skewed the numbers a bit. So did the Destiny PS4 bundles, which were not included in NPD. So did the digital deal where buying it on PS3 gives you the PS4 copy for free.

But... you know... who reads the OP, right?
 
Sony fans damage control like Xbox owners didnt buy digital in droves also
What "damage"? Sony moved more copies at retail, despite the fact Microsoft were literally giving the game away.

More people would rather pay to have the game on PS4 than get it for free on the XBone. That's pretty damning.
 
Thank you...

You're welcome, and thank Aquamarine.

As you saw, Xbone did well... but was still outdone by PS4 at nearly 2:1 for the month.

Edit: Xbone to 360 comparison - that is discussed in the thread, you'll need to back track a bit if someone else doesn't summarize for you.

YOU MAY NEED TO USE YOUR GAF DECODER RING to get all the information, if you know what I mean.
 

Eggbok

Member
I honestly thought bone was going to win March with Titanfall. I was ready to place money down on it. But then it didn't. So honestly, now, I don't know what to think.

I'm thinking again the Xbone will win November with MCC, but I am doubting myself. But then again, Sony is pretty much tapped out this holiday. They have jack shit while MS still has Sunset and MCC. So yeah, Sony has the momentum, but MS has the exclusives.

Fuck, its 50/50 for me right now.

I was thinking Xbone will win November but then I started having doubts:
- Kinda feel like a good chunk of the people interested in MCC already have an Xbone.
- Sony has a GTAV PS4 bundle (which will likely come to the US). GTAV made like $800 million in the first 24 hours. And that can definitely benefit Sony.
- While MCC will be a pretty big deal for Xbone, Advanced Warfare is also coming out which may actually do better than Halo.

MS needs to do a MCC/AW Xbone bundle lol.
 

xxracerxx

Don't worry, I'll vouch for them.
NnbQmt7.png


More on Destiny. That is Activision's stock. You can clearly see the leadup to Destiny followed by the market reaction since its release. The reason I share this is because I think a lot of people in this thread are engaged in a bit of cognitive dissonance. The line of thought now seems to be "Well, it's not bad. It's even good for a new IP! Yeah!" But if you read the threads, thoughts and consensus prior to the release of Destiny it was night and day. These numbers are bad, nay terrible, compared to what people were expecting. To act like any meaningful chunk of people actually expected this is just disingenuous. People from all walks ranging from random forum poster to multimillion dollar investor/analysts were expecting far more than this. I just find it strange that now people on here are now just instead repeating Activision's marketing lines like this is in any way normal, let alone good!

Have you ever looked at Take Two Interactive's stock after a GTA release?

Hint: It drops as well.
 

EL CUCO

Member
Just started catching up with this thread since the results broke.

Holy crap! Is that really MS' Sept NPD PR statement??
 
I was thinking Xbone will win November but then I started having doubts:
- Kinda feel like a good chunk of the people interested in MCC already have an Xbone.
- Sony has a GTAV PS4 bundle (which will likely come to the US). GTAV made like $800 million in the first 24 hours. And that can definitely benefit Sony.
- While MCC will be a pretty big deal for Xbone, Advanced Warfare is also coming out which may actually do better than Halo.

MS needs to do a MCC/AW Xbone bundle lol.

I fully expect to see more free games added to the future Xbone bundles. it also might be time to start packing in a year of XBL into these deals too
 
Context is everything.

-The budget for this game was absolutely unprecedented for any game, new ip or 50th iterative sequel. It had a larger budget than the budget bloat beast that is GTA5 for crying out loud.
-It was also developed by arguably the single best known console shooter developer and published by the undoubtedly most well known console shooter publisher. They made sure everybody knew this.
-A star studded cast. Dinklage is one of the hottest names in media right now. Investing in someone like him for a new IP is again all but unheard of.
-It launched right at the entry to holiday season when sales starts to spike upwards.
-It launched with uniquely skinned hardware bundles
-Effective preorder coercion and appealing demos resulted in "millions" of units sold on day 1 (think about what that means for the other 3 weeks of tracking)
-$500million of units were shipped on day 1. This gives insight into Activision's expectations of sales.
-It launched on 4 different consoles. The two last gen have a combined userbase in excess of 160,000,000 with a large chunk of that from the US.

It is a new IP, but it by no means received the new IP treatment, especially in terms of budget nor in initial interest.

I know it was already asked but what was the budget for Destiny? Seems you like know.
 

Chobel

Member
I think Xbone will win Nov, but it won't be because of MCC, more because It has marketing deals and bundles with the biggest games in the year: ACU and CoD:AW, and I have a feeling that MS will get real aggressive in BF, Xbone bundles and deals will be better than anything we've seen this year.

Sony sure has GTAV marketing deal with PS4, however I think many people are overestimating it.
 

Loudninja

Member
Xbox is doing fine... Yeah it's no ps4 but I don't understand all this gloom.
The problem is they had multiple bundles and deals for months with little effect.

They have to do all of that just to keep up,sure they are doing fine but that's not really whats being discuss here.
 

CLEEK

Member
NnbQmt7.png


More on Destiny. That is Activision's stock. You can clearly see the leadup to Destiny followed by the market reaction since its release. The reason I share this is because I think a lot of people in this thread are engaged in a bit of cognitive dissonance. The line of thought now seems to be "Well, it's not bad. It's even good for a new IP! Yeah!" But if you read the threads, thoughts and consensus prior to the release of Destiny it was night and day. These numbers are bad, nay terrible, compared to what people were expecting. To act like any meaningful chunk of people actually expected this is just disingenuous. People from all walks ranging from random forum poster to multimillion dollar investor/analysts were expecting far more than this. I just find it strange that now people on here are now just instead repeating Activision's marketing lines like this is in any way normal, let alone good!

There was an entire thread discussing this. The stock price has nothing to do with Destiny. The price of the stock was overvalued and Activisision announced the cancellation of Titan, their next WoW, and CoD preorders were down significantly.

Destiny is a success, whatever way you want to spin it.
 

Dire

Member
So stocks are back to where they were a few months before release? lol also the same kind of stock sell off happened when GTAV released, its not a broad picture of how successful a game is.

I have no idea what the expectations for Activision or Bungie were, probably a little more then what actually happened but at the end of the day its still the most played game on each platform and its the most successful new IP of all time. If the userbase can keep at it for the next couple DLC and announcement of Destiny 2 it will be a monster franchise this gen.

I'm not going to take the time to screencap Take Two's stock to prove you wrong. Anybody who'd like to do so simply google for TTWO stock graph - GTA 5 released on September 17 2013.

What's happening to Activision is not normal. It's caused by relatively extreme disappointment at results. What I find simply strange is that in lieu of acknowledging this the general consensus in here seems to be to try to claim not only were these results expected, they're actually even good. It's bizarro world for objectivity. I imagine most people who are surprised are simply worried of looking stupid due to the relatively large crowd of "Well duh of course it only hit 3million. Woohoo, awesome for a new IP!"
 

Akai__

Member
I was under the impression Halo has been losing relevance ever since the CoD phenomenon hit. even in my circle of friends who I play Gears3 with on 360, have all shown their distaste for the franchise.

Sale wise? No, because Halo 4 sold over 10 million copies. Fastest selling Halo game, I think.
 
I was thinking Xbone will win November but then I started having doubts:
- Kinda feel like a good chunk of the people interested in MCC already have an Xbone.
- Sony has a GTAV PS4 bundle (which will likely come to the US). GTAV made like $800 million in the first 24 hours. And that can definitely benefit Sony.
- While MCC will be a pretty big deal for Xbone, Advanced Warfare is also coming out which may actually do better than Halo.

MS needs to do a MCC/AW Xbone bundle lol.

Great point.
 

Apt101

Member
More on Destiny. That is Activision's stock. You can clearly see the leadup to Destiny followed by the market reaction since its release. The reason I share this is because I think a lot of people in this thread are engaged in a bit of cognitive dissonance. The line of thought now seems to be "Well, it's not bad. It's even good for a new IP! Yeah!" But if you read the threads, thoughts and consensus prior to the release of Destiny it was night and day. These numbers are bad, nay terrible, compared to what people were expecting. To act like any meaningful chunk of people actually expected this is just disingenuous. People from all walks ranging from random forum poster to multimillion dollar investor/analysts were expecting far more than this. I just find it strange that now people on here are now just instead repeating Activision's marketing lines like this is in any way normal, let alone good!

I don't think anyone, including Activision, is guilty of moving goalposts in this case. Having the best-selling new IP speaks for itself, and citing the often fickle reactions of investors immediately following a stock buildup doesn't suggest much positively or negatively.
 

Chamber

love on your sleeve
I honestly thought bone was going to win March with Titanfall. I was ready to place money down on it. But then it didn't. So honestly, now, I don't know what to think.

I'm thinking again the Xbone will win November with MCC, but I am doubting myself. But then again, Sony is pretty much tapped out this holiday. They have jack shit while MS still has Sunset and MCC. So yeah, Sony has the momentum, but MS has the exclusives.

Fuck, its 50/50 for me right now.

No one cares about Sunset Overdrive. I bet LBP3 posts higher numbers in North America and I don't think that will be much more than a blip on the radar itself.

After this result, I don't see how anyone is banking on MCC to win November for XB1. Sony is going to do 1000k in November regardless of Halo.
 

Purdy

Member
Do people take great pleasure in seeing their console of choice do better or get really down at their console of choice not doing the best?
 

Dire

Member
There was an entire thread discussing this. The stock price has nothing to do with Destiny. The price of the stock was overvalued and Activisision announced the cancellation of Titan, their next WoW, and CoD preorders were down significantly.

Destiny is a success, whatever way you want to spin it.

The cancellation of Titan and similar issues came quite some time after the stock started nose diving - which happened nearly immediately following Destiny's release. Incidentally here's an interesting article from the Motley Fool: Is Activision Blizzard's $500million Destiny a $1.5billion Mistake?

That article was published literally the day before the cancellation of Titan was announced. Incidentally the stock has fallen way more since that article was published. Some of that as you mention though is certainly not just Destiny but also Activisions other failings as of late.
 
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