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NPD Sales Results for November 2013 [Up3: Zelda, Pokemon, Mario, 3DS, Wii U]

I wish we had some new sales numbers for Fire Emblem awakening.
I wonder if it will exceed 500K eventually in NA.

Wii-U selling higher than Pachters prediction ,but still sold poorly. Mario 3D not doing good either. Kinda sad to hear.
 

Mory Dunz

Member
Any Knack data come in yet? I need the numbers for the inevitable Nintendo fan meltdowns when it out performs Super motherfucking Mario.

The tears will keep me nourished for the winter.

This is kind of what I said earlier.
This whole Knack vs Mario thing wouldn't exist (and should'nt exist) but for statements like this.

...Then Mario outsells it (here at least) and people say "Well duh, it's Nintendo's mainline 3D Mario game)".
 

rdrr gnr

Member
I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 9. What are you thinking of? :)



Hmmm. Xbox 360 launched over 4. Is 2 really something to be happy with, especially with analysts predicting 3.25? I know that day one digital skews the comparison a bit (especially for the most hardcore, who are buying consoles day one), but it still seems a bit disappointing.
Maybe more than a bit. I own two next-gen games. Both digital.
 

John Harker

Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
I wonder how nintendo views the performance of pikmin 3. On one hand, it ain't like its good. On the other hand, its on the high end of the sellers on the system (<160). Go little guys go!!

Also man Batman plumetted deep
 
Ok, should any of us be worried at statistic of a 24% decline in software sales year over year? I mean the hardware sales are good and all but if people are not buying games then that is reason for concern.
 

dark10x

Digital Foundry pixel pusher
Based on the way Nintendo and Sony have operated in the past, I don't think anyone should expect a Dreamcast situation.
 

John Harker

Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
I'm thinking of a number between 1 and 9. What are you thinking of? :)



Hmmm. Xbox 360 launched over 4. Is 2 really something to be happy with, especially with analysts predicting 3.25? I know that day one digital skews the comparison a bit (especially for the most hardcore, who are buying consoles day one), but it still seems a bit disappointing.

I honestly feared it was going to be a lot worse. And it wasn't as dominated by one title as previous gen launch. Clearly cod had biggest numbers but between cod, bf4 and ac4, its starting off a tigheter race which I think is just healither in general.

Killzone surprised me, the rest are just OK.

Disney and skylanders doing well is good for casual market on consoles

Edit: software is down 24%, i don't think anything is up yoy. Its been declining for awhile. The only big growth in awhile was ac3 last year it got huge, and now it's back level again.
 

NateDrake

Member
Based on the way Nintendo and Sony have operated in the past, I don't think anyone should expect a Dreamcast situation.

What do you mean by a Dreamcast situation? Low sales or a quick exit from the current console race?

I honestly feared it was going to be a lot worse. And it wasn't as dominated by one title as previous gen launch. Clearly cod had biggest numbers but between cod, bf4 and ac4, its starting off a tigheter race which I think is just healither in general.

Killzone surprised me, the rest are just OK.

Disney and skylanders doing well is good for casual market on consoles

Edit: software is down 24%, i don't think anything is up yoy. Its been declining for awhile. The only big growth in awhile was ac3 last year it got huge, and now it's back level again.
KZ: SF was surprising to me as well considering KZ wasn't exactly a killer-app on PS3. KZ:SF has a rather negative word of mouth. I wonder if sales of KZ will drop in Dec.
 
That top 10 makes me want to jump out of a fucking window.
Yeah, but you can't be surprised by it. Mostly annuals: CoD, AssCreed, Madden, FIFA, and NBA 2K14. A couple big occasionals: GTA & BF4. And the rest are Christmas gifts for kids/casuals: Skylanders, Disney Infinity, Just Dance.
 
PS3 was rumored at 424k.

PS4 - 1138000
Xbone - 909132
360 - 647000
Wii U - 220000
PS3 - 424000

Total = 3338132 / 0.98 = 3406257

PS3 / Total = 12.4%
PS3 + PS4 = 1562000
Xbone + 360 = 1556132

PS3 + PS4 > Xbone + 360, <10k difference

Seems to line up with this.
 
Edit: software is down 24%, i don't think anything is up yoy. Its been declining for awhile. The only big growth in awhile was ac3 last year it got huge, and now it's back level again.

And yet there's a fairly ubiquitous narrative that the PS4/Xbone hardware numbers obliterate any concerns about the long-term health of the console market. Hmm...
 

Bronetta

Ask me about the moon landing or the temperature at which jet fuel burns. You may be surprised at what you learn.
Fire Emblem Awakening vs Super Mario 3D World sales comparisons, go!

LOL
FE:A best game of 2013. 3D World second best game of 2013. How's that for a comparison?
 
And yet there's a fairly ubiquitous narrative that the PS4/Xbone hardware numbers obliterate any concerns about the long-term health of the console market. Hmm...
People spent around a billion dollars on new hardware this month, I think it's not unexpected that that will put a damper on other spending.
 
Some split I see, some see good 3DS numbers but some expected more.

Considering the 2 heavy hitters were launching after a long ass gen and each sold 2m consoles, I say those 3DS numbers are great and an important factor for getting best HW month in history.

Wii U is here to stay, even performing this bad, so 2014 is already looking with great potential. I am really behind on games for the Wii U, so with the 2014 lineup, plus indies, plus games I missed from 2013, I am locked for gaming entertainment.

Launching a new console mid-gen would be a grave mistake. The market will be split between the PS4 and the X1, hosting tens millions of each, so there wouldn't be a place for a late new comer. It's like showing up at a party at 1 am. Everybody's alredy drunk and no one will give you a second glance. Plus designing a console and launching it would take three years at least, at which time both rival consoles would have had a price cut...
Nintendo, imo, has no option but to sit this one out. Let the console drift, while releasing inhouse games (2014 look like a very promising year : Bayonetta2, X, Mario Kart, DKC, Smash...) and drop the price whenever possible to slightly boost sales. There is no need to try to recover some of that lost market share : it's bound not to happen.

lol, that party + drunk analogy does not work, if an ugly chick comes at 1am when everyone is drunk at the party, I think everyone will look at her as some hot ass chick.
 

Pistolero

Member
You know what they did with all E.T video games in 1983? Nintendo needs to start making preparations to do that with the Wii U, bury it and move on. It's only going to get worse from here so unless they plan on releasing Mario, Zelda and Metroid games yearly, they need to take all that Wii money, build a decent console that is more powerful (can't stress this enough) than the Xbox and PS4. Sell their souls to Activision, EA and 2k. Without COD, FIFA, Madden, Battlefield and 2kSports. Your console isn't worth a damn, and it will always be relegated to being second or third choice.

Make an online service that can match every basic functionality of PS plus and Xbox Live. I'm sure it's not that hard to pay someone to make a side by side comparison of what those 2 services have in common with each other and make sure their service matches every commonality. Now if they don't do this I'm certain we'll see months where the Wii U ships <10k units in the U.S. All this needs to be done by Holiday 2015 for them to even stand a chance because once MS and Sony reach the economies of scale where they can produce these consoles for next to nothing (relatively) and the price drops start hitting, it's over.

Launching a new console mid-gen would be a grave mistake. The market will be split between the PS4 and the X1, hosting tens millions of each, so there wouldn't be a place for a late new comer. It's like showing up at a party at 1 am. Everybody's alredy drunk and no one will give you a second glance. Plus designing a console and launching it would take three years at least, at which time both rival consoles would have had a price cut...
Nintendo, imo, has no option but to sit this one out. Let the console drift, while releasing inhouse games (2014 look like a very promising year : Bayonetta2, X, Mario Kart, DKC, Smash...) and drop the price whenever possible to slightly boost sales. There is no need to try to recover some of that lost market share : it's bound not to happen.
 

FireSol

Member
Kaz delivered as usual ))
b2d3dcd4ddc1.jpg
 

Square2015

Member
X360 has broken the 40m barrier in the US, it's ranks 3rd all-time for home console.
3DS has joined the 10m+ console family:

From data I've amassed:

ALL-TIME HW SALES IN USA (sold not shipped):
  1. DS 53.4m
  2. PS2 46.1m
  3. Wii 41.4m
  4. X360 40.4m
  5. GBA 34.9m
  6. PSX 30.2m
  7. NES ~29m
  8. PS3 25.1m
  9. GB/P 25m
  10. 2600 20m
  11. PSP 19.8m
  12. SNES 18m?
  13. GEN 18m?
  14. N64 17.9m
  15. GBC 17.3m
  16. XB 13.8m
  17. GC 11.7m
  18. 3DS 10.4m
 

bunbun777

Member
All next gen titles should have good legs since there are quite a few customers out there waiting for consoles and will not have many more choices when they finally get one in the next month, two months, even beyond.

Also software drop maybe tied to digital sales?
 

Papercuts

fired zero bullets in the orphanage.
I don't think anything we know of at this point can drastically change the wii u. Bumps for Mario Kart and Smash? Sure. But Bayonetta will do nothing and not sell well as much as I have frothing anticipation for it, same with X, Fire Emblem X SMT, etc.

Kaz delivered as usual ))
b2d3dcd4ddc1.jpg

Seems he missed the vita, but I think real kaz isn't aware of it at this point either. :p
 

John Harker

Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
And yet there's a fairly ubiquitous narrative that the PS4/Xbone hardware numbers obliterate any concerns about the long-term health of the console market. Hmm...

Like I said tho, its not off to a bad start. The bottom just dropped out on the current ecosystem quickly the past couple years.

What's really gonna take a hit in the short term is both companies digital networks in my opinion. You spend like 8 years cultivating a network of content and then overnight you toss it all away but not making that content compatible or available on your new ecosystem. Crazy. Live and PSN are so barren, not sure full priced games are going to make up for a revenue decline without the heavy storefronts previously available as less people use those boxes but we shall see!
 

Bsigg12

Member
X360 has broken the 40m barrier in the US, it's ranks 3rd all-time for home console.
3DS has joined the 10m+ console family:

From data I've amassed:

ALL-TIME HW SALES IN USA (sold not shipped):
  1. DS 53,400,000
  2. PS2 46,100,000
  3. Wii 41,400,000
  4. X360 40.400,000
  5. GBA 34,900,000
  6. PSX 30,200,000
  7. NES ~29,000,000
  8. PS3 25,100,000
  9. GB/P 25,000,000
  10. 2600 20,000,000
  11. PSP 19,800,000
  12. SNES 18,000,000?
  13. GEN 18,000,000?
  14. N64 17,990,000
  15. GBC 17,300,000
  16. XB 13,800,000
  17. GC 11,700,000
  18. 3DS 10,400,000

Wow, never thought the 360 would pass the Wii here in the US but we're just a couple months away.
 
People spent around a billion dollars on new hardware this month, I think it's not unexpected that that will put a damper on other spending.

Software sales were up YOY in November 2006, the last time two consoles launched the same month. I know Wii/PS3 and Xbone/PS4 are hardly a 1:1 comparison, but color me unconvinced by that argument for now.
 

Glass Joe

Member
Launching a new console mid-gen would be a grave mistake. The market will be split between the PS4 and the X1, hosting tens millions of each, so there wouldn't be a place for a late new comer. It's like showing up at a party at 1 am. Everybody's alredy drunk and no one will give you a second glance. Plus designing a console and launching it would take three years at least, at which time both rival consoles would have had a price cut...
Nintendo, imo, has no option but to sit this one out. Let the console drift, while releasing inhouse games (2014 look like a very promising year : Bayonetta2, X, Mario Kart, DKC, Smash...) and drop the price whenever possible to slightly boost sales. There is no need to try to recover some of that lost market share : it's bound not to happen.

Agreed. New console R&D takes years to complete (they're probably already looking at options) and they couldn't just shit out a PS4/XB1 competitor immediately if they tried. By 2016, prices of hardware will be cheaper and they could manage something on par or better for a reasonable price (low entry price is important to Nintendo's hardware success).

Nintendo typically does a 5-6 year cycle anyway, so 2016 would be 4 years, assuming Wii U continues to flounder. In the mean time, their best option is to continue with Wii U, shake up their strategy / management some and hopefully learn quickly from their mistakes. Getting the U to $199 as soon as conceivable needs to be their top option, maybe even by Spring when Kart comes out.
 
Software sales were up YOY in November 2006, the last time two consoles launched the same month. I know Wii/PS3 and Xbone/PS4 are hardly a 1:1 comparison, but color me unconvinced by that argument for now.
The 360 was a year old, had an installed base of 3.5M and people were actually buying software for it. Unlike the other console that's released in this cycle.

Software sales were down in November 2005, despite the 360 launch.

If software continues to decline as we transition further, then I'd be more concerned. But I think it's early days.

I'm expecting a contraction, of course, but it will largely be due to Nintendo's flailing. I don't think the industry really has a chance to get back to the days of the NDS, Wii and Music peripheral boom heights.


------
Both will probably pass Wii U this month, if they haven't already.

TTM for Sony and Microsoft's hardware jumped over a million units due to these launches.
 

dolemite

Member
The 360 was a year old, had an installed base of 3.5M and people were actually buying software for it.

Software sales were down in November 2005, despite the 360 launch.

If software continues to decline as we transition further, then I'd be more concerned.

I'm expecting a contraction, of course, but it will largely be due to Nintendo's flailing.


------

Both will probably pass Wii U this month, if they haven't already.

TTM for Sony and Microsoft's hardware jumped over a million units due to these launches.

If I remember correctly, the 360 managed to move about 1 million copies of Gears of War in 2006 on an install base of just over 3 million.
Now lets see what the XBone can do to Titanfall in March....
 
And yet there's a fairly ubiquitous narrative that the PS4/Xbone hardware numbers obliterate any concerns about the long-term health of the console market. Hmm...

The next gen consoles did quite well. The problem is that there aren't enough of them yet to affect the overall market. I also think that franchise fatigue is depressing numbers. We'll have to wait until next year when we'll see some new heavy hitters like Watchdogs, The Division, and Titanfall enter the market.
 
Ok, should any of us be worried at statistic of a 24% decline in software sales year over year? I mean the hardware sales are good and all but if people are not buying games then that is reason for concern.

Day one digital accounts for some of that, but you can blame Nintendo for most of that.

Maybe more than a bit. I own two next-gen games. Both digital.

You very well could be right.

Also man Batman plummeted deep

This, Ascension, and Judgment all underperforming shows that people buying games might be smarter than they're given credit for. People know to stick to the real thing.

Also, I want to play Origins but my backlog (old and new next-gen) is just dumb, so I look forward to the fire sales :)

I honestly feared it was going to be a lot worse. And it wasn't as dominated by one title as previous gen launch. Clearly cod had biggest numbers but between cod, bf4 and ac4, its starting off a tighter race which I think is just healthier in general.

Killzone surprised me, the rest are just OK.

Disney and skylanders doing well is good for casual market on consoles

Edit: software is down 24%, i don't think anything is up yoy. Its been declining for awhile. The only big growth in awhile was ac3 last year it got huge, and now it's back level again.

I wish there would have been more "killer apps." Watch Dogs would have sold a ton.

Oh, and hi, Nintendo, dragging the industry down with your underperformance.

That top 10 makes me want to jump out of a fucking window.

It's a good thing there is more variety than ever with indie, mobile, and a wide variety of games at various price points. That's the same thing as saying the top ten TV shows make you want to jump out of a fucking window, ignoring the fact that TV is better than it's ever been (well, slightly less so with no Breaking Bad :().

Is there a major launch title that absolutely deserved to be up there? Also cross-gen + PC games have an install base of like, 200 million.

KSF, Knack, and Ryse are okay.
BF4, Ghosts, NBA 2K, FIFA, and Madden all have massive appeal.
AC4 is FANTASTIC.
DR3 and NFS are really good.
Forza is better than ever at its core but just has a bit of a nasty shell around it.

Plus, your standards lower when you are in the launch hype zone so you buy more shit than you normally would.

And yet there's a fairly ubiquitous narrative that the PS4/Xbone hardware numbers obliterate any concerns about the long-term health of the console market. Hmm...

Three reasons:
1. Day One Digital
2. Nintendo collapse
3. In between exciting new franchises. This generation will have franchises that rise to the top like COD, AC, BF, Gears, and others did last gen. They're just not out yet so people are a tad bored. There's huge potential in Titanfall, Destiny, Watch Dogs, The Division, The Crew, and many others.
 

RaijinFY

Member
Agreed. New console R&D takes years to complete (they're probably already looking at options) and they couldn't just shit out a PS4/XB1 competitor immediately if they tried. By 2016, prices of hardware will be cheaper and they could manage something on par or better for a reasonable price (low entry price is important to Nintendo's hardware success).

Nintendo typically does a 5-6 year cycle anyway, so 2016 would be 4 years, assuming Wii U continues to flounder. In the mean time, their best option is to continue with Wii U, shake up their strategy / management some and hopefully learn quickly from their mistakes. Getting the U to $199 as soon as conceivable needs to be their top option, maybe even by Spring when Kart comes out.

They won't be able to do that without ditching the tablet...
 

John Harker

Definitely doesn't make things up as he goes along.
I think Nintendo is down like 12% yoy in units, so to the guys above there you go. Nsmbu just destroyed all their offerings now
 
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